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Poll: Potential General Election: who are you voting for?

Potential October GE: Who will you vote for?

  • Conservative

    Votes: 84 19.1%
  • Labour

    Votes: 129 29.4%
  • SNP

    Votes: 29 6.6%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 4 0.9%
  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 130 29.6%
  • TIG

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • DUP

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 2 0.5%
  • UUP

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • SDLP

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Green Party (or any local Green affiliate)

    Votes: 14 3.2%
  • Other independent or minor party (please state!)

    Votes: 3 0.7%
  • Spoiled ballot

    Votes: 7 1.6%
  • Not voting

    Votes: 13 3.0%
  • Brexit Party

    Votes: 24 5.5%

  • Total voters
    439
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Spamcan81

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You and me, both !

Who votes for this "nasty party' ? The huge majority are the over 55's. Those that managed to buy a house when, in real terms, they cost a quarter of what they cost today. Many became scum private land-lords buying to let, pricing even the most modest property well above the means of an average hard working couple.
Their interests are best served by the Conservatives. Not for them the problem of making ends meet, they probably have a decent private pension, take two or three holidays abroad each year, or even bought a place in France or Spain. These inactives are deciding the future for the hard-working younger generation. I'm not saying they didn't work hard to enjoy the fruits of their labour but it's their Little Britain attitude that is seeing the country leaving the E.U after 40 years of close cooperation
and mutual benefit.

Don't believe me ? Take a look at Yougov statistics :

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politic...06/13/how-britain-voted-2017-general-election

70% of the over 70's voted Conservative in the 2017 General Election !

Won't be voting Conservative but I know a fair few Labour voters who fit your description of a typical over 55 Tory yet laughingly call themselves socialists.
 
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DynamicSpirit

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Absolutely this. I can happily accept that someone who works at McDonalds without any responsibility beyond serving customers or preparing food is only going to attract the minimum wage. My problem lies with that minimum wage not being sufficient to allow someone to live on. As you point out the Living Wage Foundation have determined that outside of London the rate should be £9.30 (compared to £8.21 for the National "Living Wage", £7.70 for 21 - 24 year olds and £6.15 for 18 - 20 year olds).

I kinda agree - but with a strong proviso, of, sufficient for whom to live on? A wage that's sufficient for family with two children to live on, or for a single parent with two children renting a house privately to live on, would probably give a life of untold luxury to a single person living with their parents, or to a single person who already owns a house. And conversely, a wage that's sufficient for a single person to live very comfortably could probably leave a family with one breadwinner in abject poverty. This kind of consideration always seems to be missing from the arguments to solve poverty by raising the minimum wage (along with the issues of whether increasing the minimum wage would just lead to inflation and therefore leave the people it was intended to help no better off).
 

ComUtoR

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Probably because they have zero chance of winning. Their only viable option for any chance of power will be to accept scraps from the masters table. If there was a hung parliament, they will be in a rather awkward position. Do they side with the Conservative Party (the likely winners) and admit defeat on their remain stance. Which would cause complete embarrassment and destroy their credibility or do they side with Labour and still end up having to back Brexit and when that goes horribly wrong lose even more credibility because they will fail at a coalition once again.

Conservative and Labour only really have one stance when asked about a hung parliament and that is that they intend to win and that is the only scenario they are interested in.
 

cactustwirly

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Probably because they have zero chance of winning. Their only viable option for any chance of power will be to accept scraps from the masters table. If there was a hung parliament, they will be in a rather awkward position. Do they side with the Conservative Party (the likely winners) and admit defeat on their remain stance. Which would cause complete embarrassment and destroy their credibility or do they side with Labour and still end up having to back Brexit and when that goes horribly wrong lose even more credibility because they will fail at a coalition once again.

Conservative and Labour only really have one stance when asked about a hung parliament and that is that they intend to win and that is the only scenario they are interested in.

Well if there was a hung parliament, they would only side with the Tories on the condition of a second referendum with a remain option.
 

Esker-pades

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Jeffrey Archer, writing in the Telegraph last year, said: "I was travelling through the north west recently, where i was giving a speech at a school, and as I looked out of the window it did make me think I'd vote for Corbyn if I lived up here".

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/...-archer-vote-north-west-england-a8540231.html

It does make you wonder why people in certain areas would contemplate voting Conservative when it is clearly not in their interests to do so.
Because the right-wing establishment* parties have had decades and centuries of experience of encouraging the less well-off to vote against their own interests.

*'Establishment' here is used to encompass both political, economic and other forms of establishment. While The Brexit Party would argue that it is not an 'establishment party', it's leader has been an MEP for 20 years (thus is part of the political establishment), and it is funded by people like Aaron Banks, Richard Tice, and other businessmen, all of whom are part of the economic establishment.
 

ainsworth74

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Redcar
I kinda agree - but with a strong proviso, of, sufficient for whom to live on? A wage that's sufficient for family with two children to live on, or for a single parent with two children renting a house privately to live on, would probably give a life of untold luxury to a single person living with their parents, or to a single person who already owns a house. And conversely, a wage that's sufficient for a single person to live very comfortably could probably leave a family with one breadwinner in abject poverty. This kind of consideration always seems to be missing from the arguments to solve poverty by raising the minimum wage (along with the issues of whether increasing the minimum wage would just lead to inflation and therefore leave the people it was intended to help no better off).

I would suggest consulting the Living Wage Foundation to seek your answers. In particular the two documents halfway down this page:

https://www.livingwage.org.uk/calculation
 

thenorthern

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27 May 2013
Messages
4,114
This is a national election on national issues ; local issues are for local government.

Sort of although the United Kingdom is a very centralized state meaning that most decisions are made at a national level.

Also certain things like tax cuts or major projects can benefit some areas at the expense of others. In my area a lot of the decisions of the past 9 years by the government has been beneficial to my constituency.
 

AlterEgo

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I read some very good analysis today about what is paralysing the UK economy. Low paid, low productivity work is systemic in the UK. The Government have been at pains to shout about the unemployment levels but that is totally ignoring the problems facing the UK at the moment. Because there is still an abundance of cheap labour available it is far cheaper for a business to hire a worker on low pay that it is to invest in machinery. If the economic conditions go bad and recession hits, no problem just sack all of your human workforce and reduce your production levels. Machinery on the other hand once you have made the investment its pretty much a permanent investment. I actually believe raising the minimum wage to over £10 an hour might be a very good idea. Stop business from going for the cheap labour option. Force companies to invest and create higher productivity work. The UK is stuck in low productivity cycle. The Government just wants people in some kind of work to make the unemployment figures look good. We need far higher quality jobs and higher skilled jobs. Not just more and more minimum wage nonsense work where people struggle just to get by everyday. I am definitely an advocate of raising the minimum wage radically to try and get the UK out of its low productivity rut it currently is in.

So you like automation and machinery then, as the report states - it’s actually a good idea? You’ve changed your tune.
 

hooverboy

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So you like automation and machinery then, as the report states - it’s actually a good idea? You’ve changed your tune.
..he says sarcastically as he posts from a PC that someone had to design from chip level,develop, and programme and integrate to do the nice clicky bits in a user friendly fashion.
anyone in here old enough to remember programming in BASIC?
the early computers even before basic,you'd have to learn either ASCII,HEX or machine code(ie pure binary 1's and 0's)

these days is so much simpler,but behind each icon on your desktop is a bunch of source code that someone had to write the script for,to make it locate the right file,perform actions x and y in the correct sequence,etc etc.

technology is GOOD!,as long as people remember there is a human cost to letting it run riot.
it's even better gig if you can actually DO the programming,because the skillbase is so limited.

would you prefer going back to 2 or 3 days delay each way for a letter correspondence,or have an email reply in a minute or two?

automation is coming,whether you like it or not,but I do agree there needs to be some limitations.
for example.ray kurzweil's "transhumanism" where everyone is plugged into the borg,I find disturbing, but something like thought controlled prosthetics I would be totally in favour of
 
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507021

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As I said before I was going to vote for the Liberal Democrats, but they've since lost my vote. I cannot vote for a party which, if they won the election, would simply ignore the votes of seventeen million people. I don't agree with the result of the referendum, but I think that's absolutely outrageous.

I'm now going to vote Labour, although that's because I think they're the least worst rather than the best.
 

Busaholic

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14,080
Although my natural inclination is to support the Lib Dems I do feel they're making rather a mess of things here.

Firstly the announcement they would revoke Brexit if they got a majority provided ammunition for their opponents, even though such a course of action would be democratic in the event they formed the next government, which is hugely improbable anyway. But a bit like Labour's Brexit policy all that it a bit too complicated to come across in a soundbite. The people in favour of revocation would probably have voted Lib Dem anyway.

Secondly I believe they should have unilaterally stood aside in seats where the main contenders were a Tory and a moderate pro-remain Labour candidate. The reason not to seems to be a fear of putting off voters in LibDem-Tory marginals who wouldn't want to help Corbyn into power. But the likely outcome is either that the Tories will get a majority or that they will fall short and Labour will be the largest party. Either outcome is horrifying to many. But it's inconceivable that the LibDems would prop up the Tories, so any former moderate Tories who decide to vote LibDem obviously see a Tory government as the worst outcome and therefore should support measures that make it less likely. It would also mean the survival of more centrist voices within Labour.

Thirdly if they want a bold commitment perhaps they should come out and say they would support Labour but not if Corbyn or one of his close allies was the PM. They seem to mention Corbyn not Labour when they make that sort of statement now, so that may actually be their policy, but it's not clear to the casual observer.
I agree with you in almost every detail there. Where I live in St Ives constituency we have Lib Dem only having lost to Tories by 320 votes last time, with the same ex-MP candidate standing again, but the Greens aren't standing down and may get several thousand votes. Last election they didn't stand 'by local arrangement' to try to get the LD elected, but now, with this supposed national pact, they're standing! I suspect Lib Dem internal politics here - Andrew George, the former MP referred to, was critical of Swinson's 'we'll revoke Brexit' policy at their recent party conference, for similar reasons to those you give. In predominantly Leave Cornwall it's madness to say the LDs would just ignore the original Referendum result, unless they achieve the fantasy majority that Swinson claims to be possible, in which case they could be said to have that mandate. So, I shall be voting for the LD candidate but NOT the party. Incidentally, my wife has an ex-colleague friend with whom she remains in touch, who almost became a Lib Dem MP years ago, losing by only a few votes, and remains close to those at the top of the party. His view, on the phone to her yesterday, was, interestingly, that the Lib Dems should aid Labour if the latter won more seats than the Tories, regardless of their leader.
 

najaB

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I cannot vote for a party which, if they won the election, would simply ignore the votes of seventeen million people.
If they were to form a majority government, having run on a promise that they would revoke Article 50, then clearly revoking Article 50 is the will of the people. Or do the votes of people in 2016 somehow override the votes of people in 2019.

There are valid reasons to deny the Lib Dems your vote, but that is not one of them.
 

507021

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If they were to form a majority government, having run on a promise that they would revoke Article 50, then clearly revoking Article 50 is the will of the people. Or do the votes of people in 2016 somehow override the votes of people in 2019.

There are valid reasons to deny the Lib Dems your vote, but that is not one of them.

Last time I checked, disagreeing with a party's policy on a subject which is important to you is a valid reason not to vote for them. I don't agree with the Liberal Democrats' policy to revoke Article 50 without another referendum, so I'm not voting for them.

I would much rather Article 50 was revoked after the public voted for it in a second referendum, which is what Labour are proposing. That's one of the reasons I've decided to vote Labour, even though I expect them to win in my constituency anyway.
 

cactustwirly

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I'm conflicted, I do want to vote Lib Dem for national issues, but I also want to vote for my current Tory MP who is very good at campaigning for local issues, especially for improved rail services.
 

Bald Rick

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I wonder if you've ever worked in such a place. I did, some years ago now. Once I'd decided that university wasn't for me, I needed to find a way to earn money for the rent fairly quickly, and I took the first thing that was available. I'll be honest, it was hell, but I don't think I've ever met such a broad cross-section of society in such a small place.

There were students working part-time to earn some extra income, single parents who didn't necessarily have the skills to do anything else, but due to having to bring up kids, didn't have time to go to college to do night classes in order to gain qualifications. We had people who were straight out of school and didn't quite know what to do with themselves, and there were a couple of older guys who were totally demoralised by the rat-race and were happy to do just enough to keep a roof over their heads. Maybe they had enough to live on through savings/pensions etc - I don't know, and it was none of my business to ask. We also had a few people who appeared to have no hope in life and would never progress, but nevertheless they were happy to graft. Nobody was a slacker - it wasn't tolerated.

I managed to get onto the first rung of the ladder (training squad as it was then). The responsibilities ramped up fairly quickly; having to maintain the training cards of other staff was the main one, but you had to do this while still making sure that the punter got their burgers in time. It was also seen as the next step up to FM (Floor Manager) and there was a booklet handed out which was full of technical data concerning cooking time, yields etc. I finally cracked after seeing a fellow team member who clearly had learning difficulties getting fired because he got flustered when dealing with customers; on the grill he was absolutely fine and he was an absolutely diamond bloke that got everything right every time when given the appropriate task.

Not everyone can be a high-flyer. Not everyone wants to be a high-flyer. Some folks just get to the stage where they're happy enough to get by and get their kicks outside of work. It doesn't matter what job you do, if you work hard enough you should be able to at least be able to afford to keep a roof over your head and have a small amount left over to save or just squander on a few pints in the pub. The idea that people deserve low pay because they don't apply themselves is nonsensical.

Brilliant post. I’ve also been there and done that, albeit not with the Golden Arches but in another kitchen (in public service, natch). I was doing 60-70 hour weeks on split shifts.

Well if there was a hung parliament, they would only side with the Tories on the condition of a second referendum with a remain option.

The price of Lib Dem co-operation (in coalition or not) with *any* party, regardless of which one, will be a delay to Br**it and a second referendum to determine it. Similarly, the price of the SNP co-operation with any party will be indyref2. In both cases I think it will be easier for Labour to accept the terms than the Conservatives. This is why the outcome of the election will be interesting, as it will come down to a very fine margin in a handful of seats. I confidently predict that the next government, and the future of Br**it, will be decided by fewer than a hundred thousand voters in perhaps 30 seats. Which is why it is important that everyone who can votes, and votes intelligently.

I'm conflicted, I do want to vote Lib Dem for national issues, but I also want to vote for my current Tory MP who is very good at campaigning for local issues, especially for improved rail services.

How successful has he/she been in getting those rail services, and if so, was it a direct result of the campaigning?

My Conservative candidate (and sitting MP*) is claiming, and I quote: “I’ve secured more regular trains between St Albans and London and the introduction of Contactless payments.” I don’t remember her sitting in the timetabling meetings between 3-7 years ago where the Thameslink timetables were discussed and decided. Nor any mention of her desire to see ‘more regular trains’. It certainly wasn’t used as criteria in the decision making process.

She’s also “been working hard to help those impacted by severe noise pollution from Luton Airport... (and) ... will continue to campaign for a full review and change to the disasatrous RNAV flight path.” That will be the RNAV flight path, introduced several years ago, that standardised the flight arrival and departure flight paths such that the number of her constituents directly overflown by aircraft (under 10,000 feet) to or from Luton has been reduced from tens of thousands to precisely zero. Meanwhile heavies and super heavies from Heathrow head directly overhead at 5-6000 feet, and no doubt she supports Heathrow expansion, being very good at toeing the Government line.

You couldn’t make it up. Except she has. Unfortunately there’s a shy majority in St Albans who still vote for her. If only the Labour and Green vote, who have no chance here now, would hold their noses and vote tactically...

*her most publicised contribution to parliamentary debate in her 14 year tenure has been about dog sh*t. You couldn’t make it up. Except she has.
 

najaB

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Last time I checked, disagreeing with a party's policy on a subject which is important to you is a valid reason not to vote for them.
It is. But the policy that you disagree with doesn't "ignore" 17 million voters.
 

507021

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It is. But the policy that you disagree with doesn't "ignore" 17 million voters.

So how do you think those who still wish to leave the EU are going to feel if Article 50 is revoked despite initially being promised the result of the referendum would be implemented? Do you think they're going to feel their wish to leave the EU was listened to?

I completely agree with Caroline Lucas and Norman Lamb. The referendum result has to be acknowledged, regardless of the outcome of this election.
 

AlterEgo

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Because the right-wing establishment* parties have had decades and centuries of experience of encouraging the less well-off to vote against their own interests.

*'Establishment' here is used to encompass both political, economic and other forms of establishment. While The Brexit Party would argue that it is not an 'establishment party', it's leader has been an MEP for 20 years (thus is part of the political establishment), and it is funded by people like Aaron Banks, Richard Tice, and other businessmen, all of whom are part of the economic establishment.

So if someone being an elected representative for 20 years qualifies them to be “part of the establishment”, what does that make Corbyn, McDonnell, Abbott and the like?
 

The Ham

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It is. But the policy that you disagree with doesn't "ignore" 17 million voters.

In the last 3 years a bit over 1.5 million people have died, so probably that 17 million is now closer to 16.5 million (allowing for voting split, turnout and those not eligible to vote).

In another 10 years it will be closer to 15 million. The point being; at what point do you then stop saying that we have to stick by the result as it's the will of the people.
 

najaB

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So how do you think those who still wish to leave the EU are going to feel if Article 50 is revoked despite initially being promised the result of the referendum would be implemented? Do you think they're going to feel their wish to leave the EU was listened to?
To be honest, I don't really care about their hurt feelings.

The results of the referendum were implemented - we invoked Article 50. If a party then runs on a platform of revoking it and wins a majority government then it's perfectly democratic to revoke.

You'd be correct to say that it's a bad policy politically since it alienates people who are in favour of a more controlled exit from or a changed relationship with the EU, but undemocratic it is not.
 

The Ham

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This is a national election on national issues ; local issues are for local government.

Anyone contemplating voting Tory should ask themselves what the Tories have done in the last 9 years of government that has been so great - that is the track record by which they should be judged. Strange that under cheerleading, positivity-whirlpool Johnson, the only reason people seem to be able to find to vote Tory is that they hate Corbyn (and an assumption on how Britain would be under a government of his). Sums up how good the Tories really are.

Sort of although the United Kingdom is a very centralized state meaning that most decisions are made at a national level.

Also certain things like tax cuts or major projects can benefit some areas at the expense of others. In my area a lot of the decisions of the past 9 years by the government has been beneficial to my constituency.

As a case study, local government are cutting school buses using national policy at by DfE.

That policy doesn't require the local government to consider national policy set out by DfT for the assessing of highway schemes. Nor does it need to consider the ability of people to get along the route with a bike (so not allowing that as an option, which is likely to increase carbon emissions by people driving - contrary to government policy) or allow parents to accompany their school aged child with a buggy (which means that younger siblings have to walk too).

Given that it's not uncommon for children aged up to 8 to have a younger sibling not at school, and whilst it's less common for those aged 8 and over it's still not that rare, that's a lot of children not at school being expected to walk up to 2 miles (siblings of those under 8) or up to 3 miles (siblings of those over 8).

The system is so messed up that although DfE encourage local educational authorities to have children from the September before they turn 5, but definitely from the start of term before they turn 5, free school transport doesn't have to be provided until the child is 5.

The result being a "safe" walking routes which are far from for for purpose, councils approving spending to improve the routes even though:
a) there is no way of assessing of the traffic volumes in the future will grow so that crossing points are then deemed unsafe, which could mean that the money is spent but not enough savings are produced before either more spending is required or the buses are reinstated
b) the DfE's consultation on the assessment of safe walking routes had just finished and it could well be that even small changes in the policy could render the improvements not suitable, meaning zero savings before the buses are reinstated.

Add to the mix a local MP who has upset a significant number of people on this matter, including those without children as any extra traffic created by children being driven to school will add to the congestion of a motorway junction which a lot of local people use.

As such local issues are important and are influenced by national policy, so are valid to vote on at a national election.
 

dosxuk

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The results of the referendum were implemented - we invoked Article 50. If a party then runs on a platform of revoking it and wins a majority government then it's perfectly democratic to revoke.

You'd be correct to say that it's a bad policy politically since it alienates people who are in favour of a more controlled exit from or a changed relationship with the EU, but undemocratic it is not.

It doesn't take much thought to realise what this "policy" is about. The Lib Dem's know full well they have zero chance of getting a majority in this election, so their policies for "if we get a majority" are not going to be implemented.

However, if they end up in a coalition, they can use what they had in their manifesto to negotiate with the other parties. It doesn't take much of a leap to take a promise to revoke to become a compromise of a second referendum in order to support another party who didn't have a revoke or second referendum on their manifesto.
 

Esker-pades

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So if someone being an elected representative for 20 years qualifies them to be “part of the establishment”, what does that make Corbyn, McDonnell, Abbott and the like?
That makes them part of an establishment.
It certainly means that claims to be 'an outsider' from Farage et Al are false.

Couple of things to note:
1. Being part of the establishment isn't necessarily bad
2. I specified right-wing earlier, so this is slightly irrelevant
 

ComUtoR

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The results of the referendum were implemented - we invoked Article 50.

The referendum result has not been implemented. The question was Remain in the EU or Leave. We haven't left yet. Article 50 is the start of the process to leave. I will concede the rest of your point.
 

Dave1987

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So you like automation and machinery then, as the report states - it’s actually a good idea? You’ve changed your tune.

Actually I’ve been a firm believer in decent quality jobs for a while. Not the BS “jobs” created by the likes of Uber and Deliveroo. I’ve been saying that people in this country need to be upskilled for a while. I believe Labour are promising free adult education courses to enable adults to upskill themselves ready for more productive employment. The current UK economy is purely based on rubbish dead end service sector work where the aim is purely to get people off the dole queue statistics.
 

433N

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As a case study, local government are cutting school buses using national policy at by DfE.

That policy doesn't require the local government to consider national policy set out by DfT for the assessing of highway schemes. Nor does it need to consider the ability of people to get along the route with a bike (so not allowing that as an option, which is likely to increase carbon emissions by people driving - contrary to government policy) or allow parents to accompany their school aged child with a buggy (which means that younger siblings have to walk too).

Given that it's not uncommon for children aged up to 8 to have a younger sibling not at school, and whilst it's less common for those aged 8 and over it's still not that rare, that's a lot of children not at school being expected to walk up to 2 miles (siblings of those under 8) or up to 3 miles (siblings of those over 8).

The system is so messed up that although DfE encourage local educational authorities to have children from the September before they turn 5, but definitely from the start of term before they turn 5, free school transport doesn't have to be provided until the child is 5.

The result being a "safe" walking routes which are far from for for purpose, councils approving spending to improve the routes even though:
a) there is no way of assessing of the traffic volumes in the future will grow so that crossing points are then deemed unsafe, which could mean that the money is spent but not enough savings are produced before either more spending is required or the buses are reinstated
b) the DfE's consultation on the assessment of safe walking routes had just finished and it could well be that even small changes in the policy could render the improvements not suitable, meaning zero savings before the buses are reinstated.

Add to the mix a local MP who has upset a significant number of people on this matter, including those without children as any extra traffic created by children being driven to school will add to the congestion of a motorway junction which a lot of local people use.

As such local issues are important and are influenced by national policy, so are valid to vote on at a national election.

Well, you can choose who you vote for in the GE on the basis of local school bus practicalities, but personally I'll be looking at the bigger picture.
 

edwin_m

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In the last 3 years a bit over 1.5 million people have died, so probably that 17 million is now closer to 16.5 million (allowing for voting split, turnout and those not eligible to vote).

In another 10 years it will be closer to 15 million. The point being; at what point do you then stop saying that we have to stick by the result as it's the will of the people.
As I keep pointing out, opinion polls over the last couple of years have averaged about 53% for remaining.
 

507021

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To be honest, I don't really care about their hurt feelings.

And that's exactly what the policy is: "I don't care".

The results of the referendum were implemented - we invoked Article 50.

No it wasn't, we haven't left the EU.

You'd be correct to say that it's a bad policy politically since it alienates people who are in favour of a more controlled exit from or a changed relationship with the EU, but undemocratic it is not.

I must have missed it, but can you please show me where I said "I'm not voting for Liberal Democrats because the policy I disagree with is undemocratic"? I didn't say it was undemocratic, I quite clearly said I don't agree with the policy because I think it is a poor one.

You've previously said you don't think the policy ignores those who voted to leave, and now you've just said it would alienate leave voters. Make your mind up.
 

edwin_m

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I agree it's actually democratic but not good politics, but that's a minor issue compared to some of the policies of the other parties. Not least Brexit itself where the electorate was basically hoodwinked and what we get, if we get it, will bear no resemblance to what a narrow majority of those voted were led to believe.
 
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