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Should Avanti services continue north from Manchester Piccadilly?

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Philip

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I've noticed that none of the proposals have the inclusion of extending a London service northwards to Bolton, even as a token service, despite the idea being there for some time. Is this just because it is up to Avanti to decide rather than the taskforce planners?
 
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Bletchleyite

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I've noticed that none of the proposals have the inclusion of extending a London service northwards to Bolton, even as a token service, despite the idea being there for some time. Is this just because it is up to Avanti to decide rather than the taskforce planners?

The taskforce is about removing trains from Castlefield to make it work, why would any option add a train, in particular a long one with end doors which will require a long stop at 13/14?

And can you imagine a full Pendolino's worth standing waiting on 13 for London? It'd be dangerous.
 

Philip

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The taskforce is about removing trains from Castlefield to make it work, why would any option add a train, in particular a long one with end doors which will require a long stop at 13/14?

And can you imagine a full Pendolino's worth standing waiting on 13 for London? It'd be dangerous.

There has been mention a few times of an early morning southbound token service and the evening return northbound. This wouldn't cause as much of a problem at platforms 13/14, because it'd be at a quieter time. And with trains removed from Castlefield it'd make it easier to path a London train through there.
 

Bletchleyite

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There has been mention a few times of an early morning southbound token service and the evening return northbound. This wouldn't cause as much of a problem at platforms 13/14, because it'd be at a quieter time. And with trains removed from Castlefield it'd make it easier to path a London train through there.

Here we go again. Can we not resist?

Empty paths are a virtue.

No, no, no and a million times no.
 

BayPaul

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Here we go again. Can we not resist?

Empty paths are a virtue.

No, no, no and a million times no.
I couldn't agree more. One of the really nice things about plan C in particular is it simplifies the rail network in Manchester so much, with nice regular times to the same station from each destination. Driving a token Pendolino through platforms 13/14 is ridiculous, even outside of the peak. Bolton gets a very nice regular service from Picadillly, with good changes onto the London service, that is a much, much better plan for the meantime. Once HS2 phase 2B, or other significant improvements appear in Manchester, that's the right time to be looking at new services like this.
 

py_megapixel

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Here we go again. Can we not resist?

Empty paths are a virtue.

No, no, no and a million times no.
I couldn't agree more. One of the really nice things about plan C in particular is it simplifies the rail network in Manchester so much, with nice regular times to the same station from each destination. Driving a token Pendolino through platforms 13/14 is ridiculous, even outside of the peak. Bolton gets a very nice regular service from Picadillly, with good changes onto the London service, that is a much, much better plan for the meantime. Once HS2 phase 2B, or other significant improvements appear in Manchester, that's the right time to be looking at new services like this.
If it replaced both one of the existing Manchester-London services and the TPE Scotland service - thereby providing connections to Scotland for Stockport and one of Wilmslow or Macclesfield, and freeing up an Airport path, (which would allow the introduction of a second hourly stopper and therefore facilitate the removal of the random stops from the Northern and TfW fasts, simplifying the timetable significantly), all without needing more paths than currently - then I'd certainly be in favour of it.

But as an additional service - no, it's not needed.
 

BayPaul

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If it replaced both one of the existing Manchester-London services and the TPE Scotland service - thereby providing connections to Scotland for Stockport and one of Wilmslow or Macclesfield, and freeing up an Airport path, (which would allow the introduction of a second hourly stopper and therefore facilitate the removal of the random stops from the Northern and TfW fasts, simplifying the timetable significantly), all without needing more paths than currently - then I'd certainly be in favour of it.

But as an additional service - no, it's not needed.
Even then, though, say 90% of its passengers would be Manchester bound, and rather than having a nice long leisurely turnaround in the main shed at Piccadilly, it would get 90 seconds on platform 13/14 to tip out or load 11 carriages of passengers from a slow door cycle Pendolino, and southbound would have that many waiting on a cramped platform. Doesn't sound like a recipe for success...
 

Philip

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Even then, though, say 90% of its passengers would be Manchester bound, and rather than having a nice long leisurely turnaround in the main shed at Piccadilly, it would get 90 seconds on platform 13/14 to tip out or load 11 carriages of passengers from a slow door cycle Pendolino, and southbound would have that many waiting on a cramped platform. Doesn't sound like a recipe for success...

This is only a problem because currently so many trains are diagrammed into these platforms, meaning most trains can only afford to be waiting at the platform for a couple minutes or less, before it delays the next arrival. With other services being diverted away from platforms 13/14, it will create bigger windows to potentially put a London service (such as the London-Manchester-Scotland idea mentioned above) through there and path it to wait the necessary few minutes for loading/unloading.
 

BayPaul

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This is only a problem because currently so many trains are diagrammed into these platforms, meaning most trains can only afford to be waiting at the platform for a couple minutes or less, before it delays the next arrival. With other services being diverted away from platforms 13/14, it will create bigger windows to potentially put a London service (such as the London-Manchester-Scotland idea mentioned above) through there and path it to wait the necessary few minutes for loading/unloading.
But the bigger windows are being put in because the current service doesn't work. Filling them up again just takes us back where we were before.
HS2 and Northern Powerhouse Rail in full (which would shift the role of Castlefield a bit), I'd say. But it has been proposed that the Euston-Brum-Scotland service would, in HS2 phase 2b when there's an HS2 Brum-Scotland, be replaced with a Euston-Manchester-Scotland which would replace the present TPE service. That may well be viable because all you're doing is matching up existing paths either side of Manchester, and few would use this as a Manchester-Euston service.
Yes, that's the sort of thing I was thinking of - linking up a semi-fast London service south of Manchester to a Scotland (or even Windermere) service to the north.
 

Glenn1969

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Anyone would take a direct service over a change. Especially if the change is in the scrum that currently is Piccadilly 13/14. Why such a large station was built with only 2 through platforms in the first place has always been beyond me
 

Watershed

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Why such a large station was built with only 2 through platforms in the first place has always been beyond me
Because, until the Windsor Link was opened in 1988, the Castlefield corridor predominantly had an intensive 'metro' service, with electric trains from Crewe, Hazel Grove, Wilmslow etc. running to Altrincham, on the line now taken over by the Metrolink.

The Windsor Link suddenly opened up the corridor to traffic from 2 new lines (Atherton and Bolton), which was fine with the services of the time (particularly after Metrolink took over the Altrincham line). But, particularly now the Ordsall Chord has been built, it has grown unwieldy now that every man and his dog demands a direct train to the Airport, as well as due to trains becoming longer and more frequent.
 
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Bletchleyite

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Anyone would take a direct service over a change. Especially if the change is in the scrum that currently is Piccadilly 13/14. Why such a large station was built with only 2 through platforms in the first place has always been beyond me

No, they wouldn't. People make their own decisions based on what their priorities are. HS2 will be much faster than a classic WCML service, so the change will save time. As a result, those for whom time is a priority will change.

Why was it built like that? Because the Windsor Link didn't exist, so only local services used it. It was the building of the Windsor Link in the 80s/90s (I forget) joining the lines north west of Manchester to Castlefield, with a view to concentrating all long-distance service at Piccadilly rather than Victoria, that caused it to start being an issue. Then the addition of Ordsall tipped it over the edge.
 

Glenn1969

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Depends how reliable the connection is and where it is. So definitely not Piccadilly 13/14. Not for me anyway. Plus if this is true why have GC Sunderland and West Riding and HT Hull substantially grown their markets? I would say it is because for the most part people don't want the inconvenience of having to change trains if it can be avoided
 

Bletchleyite

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Depends how reliable the connection is and where it is.

Bolton has 4tph to Manchester, and if you miss your connection due to the railway's doing you can use the next train. That seems decent to me.

Plus if this is true why have GC Sunderland and West Riding and HT Hull substantially grown their markets? I would say it is because for the most part people don't want the inconvenience of having to change trains if it can be avoided

I would say it's primarily because they are cheap - if it was purely about connections the OAOs would be making a packet from charging the same fares as LNER or even a higher one taking into account a direct service being a premium thing - but they're not. Clearly some do value a direct service over all else, but not everyone does.

Direct flights are typically more expensive than connectional ones, but changing flights involves far, far more faff than changing trains, even involving Castlefield.
 

Ianno87

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Depends how reliable the connection is and where it is. So definitely not Piccadilly 13/14. Not for me anyway. Plus if this is true why have GC Sunderland and West Riding and HT Hull substantially grown their markets? I would say it is because for the most part people don't want the inconvenience of having to change trains if it can be avoided

It's very reliable, mainly because if you miss one train, it's not long to the next, and "over the bridge" at Piccadilly is relatively quick (plus cross-platform at Stockport in some services).

Loads of people do it today, it really doesn't suppress demand for journeys like Bolton-London.
 

Starmill

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I would say it's primarily because they are cheap
I would dispute the suggestion that Hull Trains has ever been cheap. They are more aggressive than LNER, which means that they regularly charged more in good trading conditions, which they were well able to do because they served so many places without a suitable alternative London train. They're also more willing to pick up the bargain market where they can. Grand Central were different in the early days but nowadays again aren't really trading on low prices, but on convenience and service (not things I rate from their offer, but others certainly do). West Midlands Trains and Northern could be considered budget or 'no frills', but not Hull Trains or Grand Central. I'd suggest this is going well off topic however.
 

RHolmes

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Would a Pendolino fit the platforms at Oxford Road if such a service did start?
They’re not even permitted to stop at platform 13/14 at Piccadilly anymore due to dwell times of boarding and the platform curve requiring several dispatch staff

The largest platforms at Oxford Rd can only accommodate a 6 carriage train due to the platform length as well as signal and points positions
 

southern442

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No, they wouldn't. People make their own decisions based on what their priorities are. HS2 will be much faster than a classic WCML service, so the change will save time. As a result, those for whom time is a priority will change.

Why was it built like that? Because the Windsor Link didn't exist, so only local services used it. It was the building of the Windsor Link in the 80s/90s (I forget) joining the lines north west of Manchester to Castlefield, with a view to concentrating all long-distance service at Piccadilly rather than Victoria, that caused it to start being an issue. Then the addition of Ordsall tipped it over the edge.
I very much agree with this sentiment that the Ordsall Chord was a waste of money in the end. Again, just because one physically could create new connections, doesn't mean they necessarily should. Whilst in London there is crossrail and thameslink, there are plenty of connections that don't exist that people are perfectly happy making via the tube, and the same goes with Central/Queen Street in Glasgow, New Street and Moor Street in Birmingham, etc. There is no reason why I wouldn't change at Victoria for a tram to Piccadilly if I was heading to the airport, for example.

I am also of the belief that suburban services in particular should be as self-contained as possible for efficiency, and whilst Manchester and the north's rail services are still woefully inadequate, perhaps certain groups who are calling for genuine and robust improvements to existing services have somewhere down the line been conflated with over-ambitious campaigners getting ahead of themselves.
 

Hey 3

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Because, until the Windsor Link was opened in 1988, the Castlefield corridor predominantly had an intensive 'metro' service, with electric trains from Crewe, Hazel Grove, Wilmslow etc. running to Altrincham, on the line now taken over by the Metrolink.

The Windsor Link suddenly opened up the corridor to traffic from 3 new lines (Chat Moss, Atherton, Bolton), which was fine with the services of the time (particularly after Metrolink took over the Altrincham line). But it has grown unwieldy now that every man and his dog demands a direct train to the Airport, as well as due to trains becoming longer and more frequent.
Chat Moss already had a connection to Castlefield for like 2 centurys
 

Hey 3

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Moderator note: Split from https://www.railforums.co.uk/thread...inue-north-from-manchester-piccadilly.211756/

I think Avanti West Coast services should continue north of Manchester Piccadilly post NPR and HS2 and be combined with the Transpennine Express Manchester Airport to Scotland service(dropping the Ringway stop bar 1tpd for route knowledge)
So my calling pattern
London Euston, Watford Junction, Milton Keynes Central, Northampton, Rugby, Coventry, B'ham Intl, B'ham New St, Sandwell and Dudley, Wolverhampton, Stafford, Stoke-on-Trent, Congleton(1tp2h), Macclesfield, Stockport, Manchester Piccadilly, Manchester Oxford Road, Deansgate(1tp2h), Wigan North Western, Preston, Lancaster, Oxenholme Lake District(1tp2h), Penrith North Lakes(1tp2h), Carlisle then alternate to Glasgow and Edinburgh
Glasgow Central portion
Motherwell, Glasgow Central
Edinburgh Waverley
Edinburgh Haymarket, Edinburgh Waverley
Diversion of 1tpd via Crewe, Airport, Bolton and Chorley
Calling pattern
Crewe, Wilmslow, Manchester Airport, East Didsbury, Manchester Piccadilly, Manchester Oxford Road, Deansgate, Salford Crescent, Bolton, Chorley , Preston and then as above
 
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The Planner

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I think Avanti West Coast services should continue north of Manchester Piccadilly post NPR and HS2 and be combined with the Transpennine Express Manchester Airport to Scotland service(dropping the Ringway stop bar 1tpd for route knowledge)
So my calling pattern
London Euston, Watford Junction, Milton Keynes Central, Northampton, Rugby, Coventry, B'ham Intl, B'ham New St, Sandwell and Dudley, Wolverhampton, Stafford, Stoke-on-Trent, Congleton(1tp2h), Macclesfield, Stockport, Manchester Piccadilly, Manchester Oxford Road, Deansgate(1tp2h), Wigan North Western, Preston, Lancaster, Oxenholme Lake District(1tp2h), Penrith North Lakes(1tp2h), Carlisle then alternate to Glasgow and Edinburgh
Glasgow Central portion
Motherwell, Glasgow Central
Edinburgh Waverley
Edinburgh Haymarket, Edinburgh Waverley
Diversion of 1tpd via Crewe, Airport, Bolton and Chorley
Calling pattern
Crewe, Wilmslow, Manchester Airport, East Didsbury, Manchester Piccadilly, Manchester Oxford Road, Deansgate, Salford Crescent, Bolton, Chorley , Preston and then as above
Good luck stopping a Pendo at East Didsbury, Congleton, Oxford Road and Deansgate....
 

Scotrail314209

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Good luck stopping a Pendo at East Didsbury, Congleton, Oxford Road and Deansgate....

Would you even be able to fit one at the Airport?

I think Avanti West Coast services should continue north of Manchester Piccadilly post NPR and HS2 and be combined with the Transpennine Express Manchester Airport to Scotland service(dropping the Ringway stop bar 1tpd for route knowledge)
So my calling pattern
London Euston, Watford Junction, Milton Keynes Central, Northampton, Rugby, Coventry, B'ham Intl, B'ham New St, Sandwell and Dudley, Wolverhampton, Stafford, Stoke-on-Trent, Congleton(1tp2h), Macclesfield, Stockport, Manchester Piccadilly, Manchester Oxford Road, Deansgate(1tp2h), Wigan North Western, Preston, Lancaster, Oxenholme Lake District(1tp2h), Penrith North Lakes(1tp2h), Carlisle then alternate to Glasgow and Edinburgh
Glasgow Central portion
Motherwell, Glasgow Central
Edinburgh Waverley
Edinburgh Haymarket, Edinburgh Waverley
Diversion of 1tpd via Crewe, Airport, Bolton and Chorley
Calling pattern
Crewe, Wilmslow, Manchester Airport, East Didsbury, Manchester Piccadilly, Manchester Oxford Road, Deansgate, Salford Crescent, Bolton, Chorley , Preston and then as above

This suggestion is a little bit ludicrous as that would take way too long to complete and wouldn't really be viable for anybody. The current TPE service works fine. Good luck finding space to run a 390 via Northampton.
 

jfollows

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Good luck stopping a Pendo at East Didsbury, Congleton, Oxford Road and Deansgate....
Pre-privatisation there was a daily morning up and evening down call at Congleton on Manchester-London services (1A17 08.09 up and 1H21 19.55 down, for example) ..... but I'm not sure that's likely to get reinstated today of course. Up platform 171m/187y, down platform 151m/165y, so definitely not long enough!

EDIT - my discussion of Pendolino lengths used to be earlier in this thread, but now this thread has been split off. I said "9-car 217.5m, 11-car 265.3m" in https://www.railforums.co.uk/thread...om-manchester-piccadilly.211756/#post-4885010

Would you even be able to fit one at the Airport?
Platform 1: 196 metres (214 yards)
Platform 2: 197m/216y
Platform 3: 200m/219y
Platform 4: 201m/220y

So, no.
 
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ChrisC

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Why was it built like that? Because the Windsor Link didn't exist, so only local services used it. It was the building of the Windsor Link in the 80s/90s (I forget) joining the lines north west of Manchester to Castlefield, with a view to concentrating all long-distance service at Piccadilly rather than Victoria, that caused it to start being an issue. Then the addition of Ordsall tipped it over the edge.
The Windsor Link has certainly been very useful in providing easier journey opportunities for travel between destinations north and south of Manchester. It has made a journey such as Sheffield to Blackpool so much easier with just one change at Piccadilly. It was such a inconvenience before then to have to walk across Manchester between Piccadilly and Victoria as part of many journeys via Manchester.

I think there was a general feeling before and during the construction of the Windsor Link that this would enable longer distance through trains to be able to use it as part of their journey through Manchester. For example during the years immediately before the Windsor Link was built the 3 daily trains from Nottingham to Scotland were diverted from the Settle to Carlisle route to run via Manchester. There were also a couple of East Anglia to the North West trains each day which also ran via Manchester. These trains took a very slow route into Manchester from Sheffield to reach Victoria. I think there were a lot of people from South Yorkshire and the East Midlands who thought that the Windsor Link would greatly speed up the passage of these trains through Manchester and also believed that there would perhaps be even a more regular service started between Nottingham/Sheffield and destinations in the North West via the Windsor Link. This never happened. Just as the Windsor Link opened the Nottingham to Scotland services were withdrawn and all services from the Sheffield direction. Including those from East Anglia, were routed to either Liverpool via Warrington Central or to Manchester Airport.

Whether what has happened has been for the best I don’t know. I don’t find it too much of a problem when I occasionally travel from Nottingham to Preston to have to change at Piccadilly but must add that large number of people get off the EMR train at Piccadilly each hour and wait for the Blackpool service.
I think that from memory I have most of the facts correct.
 
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Hey 3

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Good luck stopping a Pendo at East Didsbury, Congleton, Oxford Road and Deansgate....
E Didsbury is only getting 1tpd in my plans(the Styal line is a viaduct from Manchester to Gatley so lengthening would be relatively easy, Oxford Road can be sorted under the old Northern Hub plans, Ringway may need remodeling for lengthening the platforms and I do not think Congleton may need work(I do not know the area so please correct me if I am wrong)
 

BayPaul

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E Didsbury is only getting 1tpd in my plans(the Styal line is a viaduct from Manchester to Gatley so lengthening would be relatively easy, Oxford Road can be sorted under the old Northern Hub plans, Ringway may need remodeling for lengthening the platforms and I do not think Congleton may need work(I do not know the area so please correct me if I am wrong)
Why would anyone do massive remodelling of stations for 1tpd?
 

quantinghome

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What transport need is this proposal serving? None as far as I can see. The only reason you'd combine these services would be for operational convenience, and it certainly isn't that.
 
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