Noticed these ‘Rail Demand Assumptions’ on pages 123-125 of the Zero Emission Energy for Transport Report published last month:
The scenarios referred to are on pages 60-62.
Here’s a link to the report: https://www.transport.gov.scot/medi...nd-forecasts-for-electricity-and-hydrogen.pdf2023
Electrification Complete: Glasgow Central to Barrhead
2024
Electrification Complete: Glasgow Central to East Kilbride
Service Introductions and Rolling Stock Notes: Glasgow Central to Barrhead Using existing EMUs - Class 156 units withdrawn
2025
Service Introductions and Rolling Stock Notes: Glasgow Central to East Kilbride Some services use existing EMUs - Class 156 units withdrawn
2026
Electrification Complete: Edinburgh to Tweedbank
Service Introductions and Rolling Stock Notes: Edinburgh to Tweedbank (Battery Electric for Scenarios 4 and 5) Class 158 units transferred to West Highland lines; all Class 156 units withdrawn from West Highland
2027
Electrification Complete: Fife Circle / Dundee / Perth; and Barrhead to Kilmarnock
Service Introductions and Rolling Stock Notes: Edinburgh / Glasgow to Perth / Dundee and Fife Circle (Battery Electric for scenarios 4 and 5) Class 158 units transferred to South West Scotland; all Class 156 units withdrawn from South West Scotland
2028
Service Introductions and Rolling Stock Notes: In 2028 it is assumed that all Diesel Multiple Units running under overhead electric wires are removed from Glasgow Queen Street to Cumbernauld, Falkirk, Alloa and Dunblane and from Edinburgh Waverley to Dunblane. Inverness to Wick / Thurso (hydrogen in all Scenarios) - Class 158 units withdrawn
2029
Electrification Complete: Glasgow Queen Street / Edinburgh Waverley to Perth / Dundee / Arbroath
Service Introductions and Rolling Stock Notes: In 2029 it is assumed that all Diesel Multiple Units running under overhead electric wires are removed from Edinburgh to Glasgow, North Electrics, South Electrics, Argyle Line, Paisley Canal, Inverclyde, Glasgow Central to Ardrossan, Largs and Ayr and Edinburgh Waverley to North Berwick and Dunbar.
Glasgow Queen Street / Edinburgh Waverley to Dundee / Arbroath (Battery Electric for Scenarios 4 and 5) - Some Class 158 units withdrawn / Class 170 units cascaded north Glasgow Queen Street to Anniesland (Battery Electric for Scenarios 4 and 5) - Class 158 units withdrawn
Inverness to Kyle of Lochalsh (hydrogen in all Scenarios) - Class 158 units withdrawn
2030
Electrification complete: Montrose to Aberdeen
Service Introductions and Rolling Stock Notes: Aberdeen to Montrose (Battery Electric for Scenarios 4 and 5) – Class 158 units withdrawn / 170 units cascaded to Southwest Scotland Glasgow Queen Street / Edinburgh Waverley to Aberdeen (Battery Electric for Scenarios 4 and 5) - HST Fleet Withdrawn / Class 170 units cascaded north West Highland Line (hydrogen in all Scenarios) - Class 158 units withdrawn
2035
Electrification Complete: Perth to Inverness; Ayr to Girvan & Kilmarnock to Carlisle via Dumfries
Service Introductions and Rolling Stock Notes: Glasgow Queen Street / Edinburgh Waverley to Aberdeen / Inverness (Battery Electric for Scenarios 4 and 5) - Class 170 units withdrawn Glasgow Central to Stranraer, Dumfries and Carlisle via Kilmarnock - Remaining Class 158 and Class 170 units withdrawn
The scenarios referred to are on pages 60-62.