Recent content by brad465

  1. brad465

    22nd February - Roadmap out of the pandemic, lifting of restrictions.

    Now add the ONS to the bank who continue to talk about a decline, and even reckon the effects of the over 70s being vaccinated is taking effect: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56292039
  2. brad465

    Media misreporting of Sars-CoV-2 variants (are they variants or scariants?)

    Now we can add another variant to the whole saga: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56284155 My overall take on this whole variants thing is this is a demonstration of how technology is driving human exceptionalism down a very dangerous/costly path. We seem to think that because the...
  3. brad465

    22nd February - Roadmap out of the pandemic, lifting of restrictions.

    They'll cook up their own things, or the Government will throw endless dead cat stories, to continue divide and rule on the population at a guess. Hopefully this time though it will be so blatant people catch onto what our poisonous oligarchy-run media has been doing to this country and rebel...
  4. brad465

    What would you like to see announced in this year’s March budget?

    US Fed Chair Powell gave a speech today that seemed very naïve to inflation fears in the markets recently, suggesting patience in withdrawing Fed support and keep money policy loose despite economy improvements and possible rises in inflation. He triggered a sudden sell-off in long-term US...
  5. brad465

    22nd February - Roadmap out of the pandemic, lifting of restrictions.

    Agreed, even if reporting style was ignored and one only focused on the data methodology, it's ironically the least reactive study of the lot, as this graph that Tim Spector recently published shows comparing surveys: https://twitter.com/timspector/status/1362716762823929858/photo/1
  6. brad465

    22nd February - Roadmap out of the pandemic, lifting of restrictions.

    Oh look, the worst infection study of them all (not just because it's run by pessimists at Imperial but because less modelling and data collection takes place compared to the ONS and ZOE studies), saying infection declines are slowing. We would expect that under exponential decay, and now the...
  7. brad465

    The "And in other news..." thread

    Not sure this story quite merits its own thread despite being a rail one (I can't see it being covered elsewhere so apologies if I've missed it), but here's a story of trying to get a cat off a Pendolino at Euston: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-56271478
  8. brad465

    What would you like to see announced in this year’s March budget?

    Unfortunately there isn't much optimism/belief inflation will stay low, with markets and bond yields behaving recently in the belief inflation will pickup soon. How long a rise might last for though is unknown, but if it does go up the money printing certainly won't have helped.
  9. brad465

    What would you like to see announced in this year’s March budget?

    Corporation tax is going up to 25% from 2023, although small businesses will keep the 19% rate, but no change for two years by the looks of things. The income tax threshold rises to £12,570 but then freezes until 2026, plus all the standard extensions to support speculated...
  10. brad465

    22nd February - Roadmap out of the pandemic, lifting of restrictions.

    Yes this is my thinking too. Elsewhere the Texas state Governor is announcing a lifting of all restrictions in the state next week, including its mask mandate and all currently closed businesses reopening. I believe this has some relevance here because it will be a good test to find out how...
  11. brad465

    22nd February - Roadmap out of the pandemic, lifting of restrictions.

    It should be pointed out that in July employers will have to contribute 10% and from 1st August 20%, so it's not the full 80% in taxpayer money for the extension period. Given this will be case, expect those on furlough with no jobs to go back to be laid off at the end of June if all...
  12. brad465

    22nd February - Roadmap out of the pandemic, lifting of restrictions.

    I don't think end of September means restrictions will last longer than June 21st, especially if stats are very good and immense pressure is applied. I think this is more likely to have political means behind it, in the sense that I imagine in the eyes of the Government its better to put this...
  13. brad465

    22nd February - Roadmap out of the pandemic, lifting of restrictions.

    It's not just what Boris Johnson thinks is the most liked decision, it what he thinks will get him to tomorrow, without thinking any further ahead. This has also applied with Brexit and practically every other policy he's been involved in. Elsewhere with 343 deaths today, a relatively low value...
  14. brad465

    Class 376 refurbishment?

    I suspect capacity issues (both in refurb work space and loss of stock from revenue operations) prevented the following, but the 4 year extension in 2014 should have seen more conditions towards refurbishment set out for the whole fleet, including getting the 376s done better. They refurbished...
  15. brad465

    Prince Phillip hospitalised - Feb 2021

    Yes the BBC are now reporting the same, I've heard before this transfer he was already on his longest single hospital stay.

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