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EU Referendum: The result and aftermath...

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burneside

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Clearly the anger still in place over the referendum shows that it was undemocratic. A large number of people are very upgappy to be outvoted by them, probably because the change is irreversible - unlike with normal parliamentary elections where the damage can be fixed after 5 years, leaving the EU is a one way leap, driven by lies and ignorance.

Of course the decision is reversible at some point in the future. We joined the EEC/EC/EU 43 years ago and have now reversed that decision. I personally think there won't be an EU to rejoin in the not too distant future.
 
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najaB

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I thought that the rule is the person who can command the support of the majority of MPs...
Indeed. While there is no specific statute convention is that the Monarch invites the person who commands the confidence of the largest body of MPs to form a government.
 

Howardh

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In theory, no. There's nothing in our current system to say that any member of either house couldn't become PM, provided of course that (s)he be able to command a majority of the majority of the House of Commons. Of course, it's highly unlikely that anyone other than the leader of the largest party will become PM (although it potentially could be the second largest party if they got the support from a smaller third party).

If the election ended up with SNP on 50, and the others couldn't get better than 100 seats, then hello Mr. Salmond PM!!
Queen Nicola and PM Alex.
Not sure whether that's less or more frightening than Corbyn/Nuttal.
On the other hand, pass me a kilt...
 

miami

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Since 1911 the law has required an election not less frequently than every five years. The only exceptions have been during world wars. The coalition government of 2010-15 changed this so that, additionally, an election won't normally occur less than five years after the previous one. The next one is due in 2020.

Correct, however the current government did not form in 2015, it formed in 2016, so 5 years after that would be July 2021.

The government may well last longer than July 2021 - certainly if Labour carry on their existing path. HM The Queen asked Theresa May to form a government on July 13th 2016, I believe that government will stand until HM The Queen asks someone else to form a government.

But that's all technicalities.

It is literally true that no PM has been voted out of office by the general public, because we vote for someone to be the MP in our constituency and not for the PM - though we obviously have the likely person very much in mind. But when a PM, e.g. Major, finds that his party no longer has a majority in the House of Commons, he knows he will be unable to continue in office and resigns. The Queen invites the leader of the party with a majority to form a government. In effect the public did vote Major out by taking away the majority that he'd need in order to continue. It was more complicated in 2010 because no party gained an overall majority, and Brown remained in office for a week till it was clear that Cameron could form a government with Lib Dem support, when the Queen asked him to form it and Brown resigned. Ex-PMs can if they wish remain in Parliament as back-benchers (if they've retained their seat), as Heath and many others did in the past, but these days they mostly decide to move on to something else.

And the same happens with the EU commission, when the commissioner lacks the support of the parliament (which is changed via a vote) then a new commissioner is appointed by said parliament. There's no Queen to do the actual pomp and circumstance, but the effect is the same.
 

me123

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If the election ended up with SNP on 50, and the others couldn't get better than 100 seats, then hello Mr. Salmond PM!!

:D

Works well for me!

(Except Alex Salmond is now just a R&F member of the party, it would be Angus Robertson who would be our new PM).
 

miami

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Of course the decision is reversible at some point in the future. We joined the EEC/EC/EU 43 years ago and have now reversed that decision. I personally think there won't be an EU to rejoin in the not too distant future.

Not with the same benefits that we have now though (vetos, opt outs, rebates etc). Unless we find Article 50 is reversible before departure we've flushed our benefits away.
 

Domh245

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Correct, however the current government did not form in 2015, it formed in 2016, so 5 years after that would be July 2021.

The government may well last longer than July 2021 - certainly if Labour carry on their existing path. HM The Queen asked Theresa May to form a government on July 13th 2016, I believe that government will stand until HM The Queen asks someone else to form a government.

But that's all technicalities.

Technically, the FTPA (section 1(3)) says that the next election shall occur on the first Thursday in May, 5 years after the last, so whilst the current Government was formed in July 2016, the next election will be the 7th of May 2020 (assuming that we don't have an election in the mean time as a result of anything else)
 

miami

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The Fixed Term Parliaments Act 2011 doesn't make any reference to the formation of a government, only to the date of the previous election.

I am fully aware of this, I was replying to the statement

"The British government can be overthrown every four years in its entirety, sometimes sooner"

Which is wrong on two fronts (it's every 5 years, and it doesn't co-incide with the formation of the government)
 

meridian2

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I am fully aware of this, I was replying to the statement

"The British government can be overthrown every four years in its entirety, sometimes sooner"

Which is wrong on two fronts (it's every 5 years, and it doesn't co-incide with the formation of the government)
Military grade pedantry does not make for good debate. The exact life of a parliament is neither here nor there in a discussion about Britain's decision to leave the EU. You could try a line of argument that my momentary lapse is a sign of intellectual degeneracy which proves all EU doubters have low IQs, but the Darwinian angle on the vote has been done to death. If you believe the French or Germans are genetically smarter, I can recommend a few towns that may give you pause for thought.
 

NSEFAN

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Military grade pedantry does not make for good debate. The exact life of a parliament is neither here nor there in a discussion about Britain's decision to leave the EU. You could try a line of argument that my momentary lapse is a sign of intellectual degeneracy which proves all EU doubters have low IQs, but the Darwinian angle on the vote has been done to death. If you believe the French or Germans are genetically smarter, I can recommend a few towns that may give you pause for thought.
There's still the actual point though, which is that saying that the UK government can be overthrown every 4 years is too simplistic. We could surprise them all next time by voting en masse for independent candidates, but this is basically never going to happen. Given there is now no "credible" alternative to the Conservatives, the party is well established and can basically do what it likes. Heck, even if the Conservatives are voted out, a lot of people involved in running the country and informing the decision making will continue to work for the government: look at how much we complain on RailUK about the DfT, whose bad decisions span across multiple governments.

If we want to talk about how undemocratic or shambolic the EU is, our own system of government is not a very good counter example.
 

furnessvale

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I thought that the rule is the person who can command the support of the majority of MPs, so a situation where conservative MPs rallied around Clegg instead of Cameron, leading to PM Clegg would have been possible, if not highly unlikely.

Which is what I effectively said in my second sentence.

For Mickey Mouse, substitute Clegg...............then again maybe not, same difference!
 

meridian2

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There's still the actual point though, which is that saying that the UK government can be overthrown every 4 years is too simplistic. We could surprise them all next time by voting en masse for independent candidates, but this is basically never going to happen. Given there is now no "credible" alternative to the Conservatives, the party is well established and can basically do what it likes. Heck, even if the Conservatives are voted out, a lot of people involved in running the country and informing the decision making will continue to work for the government: look at how much we complain on RailUK about the DfT, whose bad decisions span across multiple governments.

If we want to talk about how undemocratic or shambolic the EU is, our own system of government is not a very good counter example.
Good point. I'm not saying our electoral system is an exemplar of democracy - it's mostly about vote whoring in a few swing seats. My point is that one of the existing parliaments is sidelined, if not redundant. I prefer the immediacy of self government by a small nation state, dodgy and self serving as it is, than a supranational body of Eurocrat chair polishers, mainly because I neither know nor trust what their notion of Europe represents.

At heart I think it's a quarrel between people who believe they do it better, all the time and whatever it is, and people who believe sovereignty is worth a light.
 
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bramling

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leaving the EU is a one way leap, driven by lies and ignorance.

In your opinion.

I happened to study the EU as part of my degree, so I don't consider myself to be at all ignorant about the EU, and I voted leave. Strangely enough, I haven't changed my mind since - and even more strangely I don't know anyone else who has either. At my work location we did a straw-poll and something like 90% of people were planning to vote Brexit, and a few weeks ago we did another whip-round poll to see if anyone had changed their mind, and in fact two people who voted Remain have subsequently changed their minds.
 

bramling

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until we started all this lunacy, we were a powerful member of the EU. Powerful enough to veto plans we didn't like such as that.

Okay, assuming Britain had voted remain, how could we stop or alter Britain's involvement in free movement of people, the EU position on which seems to have been one contributory factor behind the referendum result?
 

Busaholic

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In your opinion.

I happened to study the EU as part of my degree, so I don't consider myself to be at all ignorant about the EU, and I voted leave. Strangely enough, I haven't changed my mind since - and even more strangely I don't know anyone else who has either. At my work location we did a straw-poll and something like 90% of people were planning to vote Brexit, and a few weeks ago we did another whip-round poll to see if anyone had changed their mind, and in fact two people who voted Remain have subsequently changed their minds.

I know three people who voted leave who now regret their vote, though, strangely, I've not come across any who voted remain and wish they'd voted the other way.
 

najaB

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Okay, assuming Britain had voted remain, how could we stop or alter Britain's involvement in free movement of people, the EU position on which seems to have been one contributory factor behind the referendum result?
Not wanting to rehash the pre-referendum debate but many people seem to forget that free movement works both ways. There are three million plus Brits taking advantage of it and working in Europe.
 

Johnuk123

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In your opinion.

I happened to study the EU as part of my degree, so I don't consider myself to be at all ignorant about the EU, and I voted leave. Strangely enough, I haven't changed my mind since - and even more strangely I don't know anyone else who has either. At my work location we did a straw-poll and something like 90% of people were planning to vote Brexit, and a few weeks ago we did another whip-round poll to see if anyone had changed their mind, and in fact two people who voted Remain have subsequently changed their minds.

There is no evidence that anyone has changed their mind in any meaningful numbers despite what the BBC and the Guardian might say.
I think there was a poll on here a few days ago saying things haven't changed, I certainly haven't seen any polls saying people have changed their mind.
Doesn't matter anyway because you can't keep having votes until you get the answer you want unless of course the EU is running it.
 

Barn

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There are three million plus Brits taking advantage of it and working in Europe.

Where do you get that figure from? It is much higher than other figures I have seen. The UN, IPPR, BBC all say 1.2 million, and that includes retirees, children and other non-workers.
 

najaB

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Where do you get that figure from? It is much higher than other figures I have seen. The UN, IPPR, BBC all say 1.2 million, and that includes retirees, children and other non-workers.
Indeed you are correct - I was thinking of the three million EU citizens in the UK. UK in the EU is closer to 1.5 million.
 
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bramling

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Indeed you are correct - I was thinking of the three million EU citizens in the UK. UK in the EU is closer to 1.5 million.

Never mind the numbers, or even whether it might be in Britain's interest to change or not. *Assume* Britain did not want to be bound by this EU policy, how could we opt out of it? Is there any definite way we could opt out without being at the mercy of Europe's institutions?
 

najaB

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*Assume* Britain did not want to be bound by this EU policy, how could we opt out of it? Is there any definite way we could opt out without being at the mercy of Europe's institutions?
It would be very difficult since it's easier to not sign up to an agreement than it is to get out of it once in. I think the best we would be able to manage - assuming again that we didn't want out of the free market - would be to make it unattractive for people to move here speculatively.
 

Domh245

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The news that the Lords has added an amendment to the Brexit Bill that aims to guarantee the rights of EU nationals living in the UK to remain in the UK (by 358 to 256) seems to have gone unreported on here.

The government has been defeated after the House of Lords said ministers should guarantee EU nationals' right to stay in the UK after Brexit.

However, MPs will be able to remove their changes when the bill returns to the House of Commons.

Ministers say the issue is a priority but must be part of a deal protecting UK expats overseas.

The bill will give Theresa May the authority to trigger Brexit under Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty and begin official negotiations.

The amendment backed by the Lords requires the government to introduce proposals within three months of Article 50 to ensure EU citizens in the UK have the same residence rights after Brexit.

Wailing and gnashing of teeth from the Government incoming, and no doubt calls from the Daily Mail to abolish the House of Lords.
 

Trog

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Something and nothing, the government can have parliament knock it off again and bat it back to the Lords. Or if the amendment is literally what it says it is, the government could introduce proposals but not act on them.
 

bramling

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It would be very difficult since it's easier to not sign up to an agreement than it is to get out of it once in. I think the best we would be able to manage - assuming again that we didn't want out of the free market - would be to make it unattractive for people to move here speculatively.

There we go. One good reason why many voted leave.
 

najaB

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There we go. One good reason why many voted leave.
True. But that was based on the (arguably*) false premise that free movement of people does more harm than good.

*I believe that it does more good than harm but others are entitled to disagree.
 

najaB

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Why is it a good reason?
If you ascribe to the notion that free movement of people is harmful to the UK, then it follows that the inability to apply restrictions while in the EU is a reason to leave.
 

NSEFAN

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There we go. One good reason why many voted leave.
Again, we run into the same problems that have been described above with our own method of government which, being pragmatic, is not going to change any time soon. The arguments being made above are also used to justify Scottish independence, that Parliament in London is holding the Scots back and meddling in Scottish affairs, yet this wasn't enough to split up the UK when push came to shove.

I don't get why people enjoy being divisive, when the whole point of these governmental systems is to provide a level of management for making laws which are mutually beneficial, and working out compromises where needed. Democracy can't work if people don't engage with it; how many people in the UK have voted for an MEP, for example?
 
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