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Tory MP says bi-modal trains 'second-best'

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455driver

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People’s enthusiasm or apathy is pretty irrelevant if the railway is incapable of delivering. The DfT could be full of Keith Chegwinesque enthusiasm but it wouldn’t change Network Rail’s ability to deliver electrification schemes.

Where were Network Rail supposed to find the thousands of qualified staff to carry out the electrification in the timescale dictated by DaFT?

This is DaFTs problem because they didnt allow NR the time to recruit and train suitable people.
 

455driver

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With considerable regret I agree with Grayling that it was the right thing to stop the electrification, in view of the costs coming through on GW. But he would have sustained less political damage by announcing another indefinite deferment rather than a total cancellation, especially if he had quoted some current versus original cost projections showing that MML and Swansea were also going to be a lot more expensive than first thought. This would also have left some incentive to the industry to get costs down if they wanted any more work. The political damage was compounded by a clumsy attempt to spin it as a positive.

Why were the costs so high on GWR electrification?

Once you answer that question you will see that the actual problem stems from Government/DaFT policy although Network Rail could have said something sooner, but you dont bite the hand that feeds you do you?
 

DarloRich

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and the cost of not doing it in a world where the current comfortable oil structure is gone?

The USA will not be fighting any Middle Eastern Wars worrying over world oil supply once there no longer dependent on oil so much.

but that isnt a problem for today is it? That is an issue for another government. Cash challenges are an issue for today. Anyway Fracking will sort it all out all our oil and gas needs ;)
 

tbtc

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Since July 20 Grayling has been talking about them precisely as the new wonder discovery that solves all problems and renders electrification unnecessary. Sadly a lot of politicians who know no better may believe him.

The DfT Garyling and any other Tory Minister were spinning the line that bi modes were magic new technology and answer to life the universe and everything weren't they? So a bit go honesty wont go a miss

I'm not a fan of Grayling, but the guy is the Transport Secretary. Of course he's going to try to put a positive spin on whatever hand he has been dealt by what has happened.

We don't know what is being said behind closed doors, but the Transport Secretary will always need to sound upbeat about how things are going. Just like the Defence Secretary isn't going to complain about new tanks for the Army being imperfect. Seriously, what do you expect (from any politician/ party)?

Given the plethora of locos and LHCS that could have been purchased at much lower cost than IEP we could have at least had the full benefits of electric trains under the wires. Coupling /uncoupling times were always a red herring as Daft pretended that the time 57's and Pendolinos which were designed as emergency couplers were standard.

Well, we tried 57s and 390s from Crewe to Holyhead and it failed - services frequently cancelled - Virgin gave up... and you want to have 57s coupling and decoupling with 390s at various locations several times an hour (given the complexity of the GWML/ MML and the slow expansion to electrification)?

Plus, a lot of modern stations don't have layouts suited to this kind of manoeuvre. It might have worked in the 1980s but we don't have middle roads and headshunts to accommodate light engines.

Will Daft be proposing bi modes for HS2 & CrossRail 2? If not why not as their magic trains according to the spin.....

Sorry, you are seriously asking whether the DfT will be using diesel trains in a tunnel under London (given that the route from Wimbledon etc is electrified already)?

HS2 will be a lot easier as it'll be brand new, no possessions to worry about - and out of Network Rail's hands - if anything the problems with the GWML strengthen the case for HS2.

The cost of the initial batch of IEP's may have been expensive but later batch have been allegedly obtained at more reasonable prices

That's my understanding too.

Easy to fixate on the high costs on a small batch of new trains (just like with the NB4L) - ignoring that lots of sunk costs that make the first batch seem artificially expensive.

I get the feeling people are reading far too much into this article. Stephen Crabb hasn't suggested that the government should do one thing or another today. His comment on this point is little more than saying that an IEP running on diesel is less good in some way than an IEP running on electric. I believe this is largely correct.

His other point was to criticise Network Rail for the gap between what was promised for electrification (I don't know if he's talking specifically about the GWML, or if it's broader than that) and what has happened since then. Fortunately, there is plenty of blame to go around, so Stephen Crabb and Chris Grayling can also have their share.

Sounds fair.

With considerable regret I agree with Grayling that it was the right thing to stop the electrification, in view of the costs coming through on GW. But he would have sustained less political damage by announcing another indefinite deferment rather than a total cancellation, especially if he had quoted some current versus original cost projections showing that MML and Swansea were also going to be a lot more expensive than first thought. This would also have left some incentive to the industry to get costs down if they wanted any more work. The political damage was compounded by a clumsy attempt to spin it as a positive.

I suppose that Grayling/ Government has decided that there's more political capital to be gained from cancelling it now and then announcing a BIG NEW EXCITING PLAN to electrify the lines in a couple of years, once the dust has settled and NR has got to grips with things.

Not saying it's right, mind, just that they may be hoping that we forget this now, so that they can repackage it as a NEW announcement.

The way that the tide is going, with Jaguar Land Rover being the latest car manufacturer to announce a move from "pure" fossil fuels, the electrification will have to happen in the medium term.

Bi-mode should be a sticking plaster to gain space not a solution

Given that we'd need to order a lot of bi-mode trains to match existing diagrams, and trains are designed to work for thirty five/ forty years, what's your solution? Buy them and scrap them after a couple of years?

At least with 800/801s we can remove the fuel tanks and make them "pure" electric down the line.

When the public sector pay cap still exists, there are constant stories about funding shortages at the NHS and we are still supposedly in a period of austerity it would take an absolute idiot of a politician to plough forward with large scale electrification projects until Network Rail have proved beyond any doubt they can keep costs under control.

True.

I don't think some railway people realise how lucky the railway has been, insulated from the cost cutting that the rest of the public sector has suffered from.
 

daikilo

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I don't think some railway people realise how lucky the railway has been, insulated from the cost cutting that the rest of the public sector has suffered from.
What would you like to cut, track maintenance? Tried that before, sadly. The truth is that the cost-cutting just started earlier, in the 1990s.
 

Dave1987

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I'm not a fan of Grayling, but the guy is the Transport Secretary. Of course he's going to try to put a positive spin on whatever hand he has been dealt by what has happened.

We don't know what is being said behind closed doors, but the Transport Secretary will always need to sound upbeat about how things are going. Just like the Defence Secretary isn't going to complain about new tanks for the Army being imperfect. Seriously, what do you expect (from any politician/ party)?



Well, we tried 57s and 390s from Crewe to Holyhead and it failed - services frequently cancelled - Virgin gave up... and you want to have 57s coupling and decoupling with 390s at various locations several times an hour (given the complexity of the GWML/ MML and the slow expansion to electrification)?

Plus, a lot of modern stations don't have layouts suited to this kind of manoeuvre. It might have worked in the 1980s but we don't have middle roads and headshunts to accommodate light engines.



Sorry, you are seriously asking whether the DfT will be using diesel trains in a tunnel under London (given that the route from Wimbledon etc is electrified already)?

HS2 will be a lot easier as it'll be brand new, no possessions to worry about - and out of Network Rail's hands - if anything the problems with the GWML strengthen the case for HS2.



That's my understanding too.

Easy to fixate on the high costs on a small batch of new trains (just like with the NB4L) - ignoring that lots of sunk costs that make the first batch seem artificially expensive.



Sounds fair.



I suppose that Grayling/ Government has decided that there's more political capital to be gained from cancelling it now and then announcing a BIG NEW EXCITING PLAN to electrify the lines in a couple of years, once the dust has settled and NR has got to grips with things.

Not saying it's right, mind, just that they may be hoping that we forget this now, so that they can repackage it as a NEW announcement.

The way that the tide is going, with Jaguar Land Rover being the latest car manufacturer to announce a move from "pure" fossil fuels, the electrification will have to happen in the medium term.



Given that we'd need to order a lot of bi-mode trains to match existing diagrams, and trains are designed to work for thirty five/ forty years, what's your solution? Buy them and scrap them after a couple of years?

At least with 800/801s we can remove the fuel tanks and make them "pure" electric down the line.



True.

I don't think some railway people realise how lucky the railway has been, insulated from the cost cutting that the rest of the public sector has suffered from.

And here by the ultimate fan of bi-modes tries to justify the unjustifiable....

Well you have got your wish. Your beloved bi-modes have killed electrification dead. Hope you are happy. I've been told that bi-modes are now the answer to everything and god help anyone who tries to push forward any further electrification.
 

squizzler

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And here by the ultimate fan of bi-modes tries to justify the unjustifiable....

Well you have got your wish. Your beloved bi-modes have killed electrification dead. Hope you are happy. I've been told that bi-modes are now the answer to everything and god help anyone who tries to push forward any further electrification.

Hyperbole perhaps? For my part I disagree bi-mode trains have killed electrification dead. No more than cellphones have killed telecoms dead. After all with a cell phone you don't need to run wires to everywhere people might wish to phone from and in theory there is no need to have a landline anymore...
 
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mpthomson

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And here by the ultimate fan of bi-modes tries to justify the unjustifiable....

Well you have got your wish. Your beloved bi-modes have killed electrification dead. Hope you are happy. I've been told that bi-modes are now the answer to everything and god help anyone who tries to push forward any further electrification.

Nothing's killed electrification dead, and that's not the point he was making either. The DfT have, sadly but sensibly in reality, looked at the current cost overruns and decided that all that was planned/promised can't be afforded or delivered because NR can't project manage effectively.

If it was all completed what would you cut from the total government budget to make it affordable? Healthcare, education, justice, benefits, defence, other transport projects? More importantly for the government (and this isn't a party political point, it applies equally to any party in this position) what's least likely to make people vote for another party? Calling a halt for now to a horrifically over budget and badly managed electrification scheme or making cuts elsewhere, as listed above, to pay for it?

In reality it's a 'for now' decision, and may well be revisited in the future, allowing the government of whichever flavour to announce that new electrification is on its way, rather than just delayed, massively over budget electrification staggering on.
 
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Sceptre

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Sorry, you are seriously asking whether the DfT will be using diesel trains in a tunnel under London (given that the route from Wimbledon etc is electrified already)?

Well, we know Crossrail 2 has an eye-watering price tag of £30bn, and electrification has the potential for massive cost overruns. Surely, the way to keep down costs is to run bi-modes through Central London.

What's good for the Northern Labour-voting goose is good for the Tory MP for Epsom gander.
 

The Ham

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And here by the ultimate fan of bi-modes tries to justify the unjustifiable....

Well you have got your wish. Your beloved bi-modes have killed electrification dead. Hope you are happy. I've been told that bi-modes are now the answer to everything and god help anyone who tries to push forward any further electrification.

Bimodal trains aren't the answer to everything, they are a good solution to several problems that we have at the moment.

Bimodal trains will likely be more expensive to run and lease than pure EMU's so there will be cost savings from electrification of lines.

Excluding the 80x's there are currently something like 50 units on order, which means unless these numbers grow significantly (there's something like 140 Pacers, 500 sprinters, 97 Turbos, 195 Turbostar and then others) Bimodal trains will make up a small percentage of all rail services.

Granted, chances are we'll see very few major electrification projects (akin to the GWML) for some time, however there'll be lots of smaller projects enabling this new service or that DMU service to be run by an EMU or to allow that TOC to only have EMU's.

The problem is that the TOC's which will need the most new trains over the next 20 years are likely to be ones with the most DMU's. As such there'll be pressure soon enough to get back on with electrification so that we're not stuck with DMU's well beyond when they are needed. As well as remember that the current situation is that there is a significant shortage of DMU's with little scope for new DMU's to be built in the numbers required to cover for this.

Bimodal trains are still limited in what they can do, which is probably why SWR opted to keep their 15x's rather than replace them, even though that would have solved several other problems. Yet chances are the next franchise will have to do something about them.

However you also have to bear in mind, even if the electrification of the GWML and MML were due to be finished to the maximum extent planned for by 2022 there still wouldn't have been enough electrification completed to remove the need for bimodals nor the numbers of DMU's which are on order.

In fact there's an argument that by focusing on the long distance lines for electrification that we are not getting the best returns for the electrification that we are doing. As such, by cutting the IC electrification, we will be able to replace older DMU's in much greater numbers.

Chances are if you focus on putting a the wires up around Leeds, Manchester, Birmingham and the like; and therefore be able to run several short services by EMU's
As such, having put up half the wires needed for the MML you could have replaced twice as many coaches by EMU's
 

HSTEd

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Bi-modes have killed any further electrification in the near future.

The new sums on how much it costs mean that almost any route that can actually justify electrification will already have been electrified once the current tranche of projects is completed.

The work is done - end of game.
There is no benefit to electrifying lightly used lines any more because the network effect has been killed by relatively inexpensive diesel engines that fit underneath electric trains.

If you want to get more electrification I'm afraid you either have to cut costs drastically [hence my interest in third rail which has the potential to be substantially cheaper] or increase traffic drastically.
A lot of people seem to be in denial, with this idea that the only reason projects have been axed is to free space in the programme - I very much doubt any of these schemes will ever be revived.
 
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The Ham

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Well, we know Crossrail 2 has an eye-watering price tag of £30bn, and electrification has the potential for massive cost overruns. Surely, the way to keep down costs is to run bi-modes through Central London.

What's good for the Northern Labour-voting goose is good for the Tory MP for Epsom gander.

Let's think what was the reason for the cost overruns on the GWML and will that be a problem for new build line?

The problem was due to not knowing where the signal cables were when adding in the electrification equipment, then the costs of having to fix the signals so that the trains could carry on running. As such a new build line would not have that problem, as the would be no need fix anything as everything would be being built at the same time and there'd be no need to run trains whilst doing the works.

Even if there was a problem it could be fixed slowly with little risk of delaying passengers.
 

LNW-GW Joint

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Network Rail may have "learned the lessons" from current electrification projects, but there is no sign that they have a new "proposition" that produces results at lower cost/timescales.
Mark Carne's answer (no commitments until all the dependencies are resolved and costs bottomed out) is highly risk averse and will prevent many new projects.
HS2 and East-West Rail have been taken out of their hands, and will be "new-build" projects anyway.

TP electrification will be an opportunity for them to propose new designs and methods (it will come back into focus when the Northern Powerhouse Rail reports come out later this year).
Then there's the Uckfield proposition by Chris Gibb, which might just get an NR "in-fill" electrification programme back on track if done efficiently.
But not if it is 3rd rail, which wouldn't advance the technology at all.

Meanwhile, NR are still in the dunce's corner, and are currently having to rebuild the unused new platforms they built at Roby and Huyton for the Liverpool-Manchester scheme only 3 years ago, before they can be brought into service.

Bi-modes have saved the DfT's (and several others') bacon, but the next critical issue will be the reliability of the electric/diesel systems in intensive mode on GWR/VTEC.
Grayling's magic cure still has to prove itself in real operation.
And IEP still needs its safety certification to run on Series 1 wiring.
 

HSTEd

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Then there's the Uckfield proposition by Chris Gibb, which might just get an NR "in-fill" electrification programme back on track if done efficiently.
But not if it is 3rd rail, which wouldn't advance the technology at all.

It wouldn't advance 25kV technology at all.
It would be an opportunity to take advantage of 20+ years of advances in power electronics in an infrastructure sense.

Right now I will take any low cost electrification I can get.
 

kieron

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It would have worked by GWR retaining 16x's for Oxford services, which would have meant that more stock for around Bristol and the West County branch lines which could have been strengthened by Northern's 75mph units.

As I implied it wouldn't go down well, but then not would any of the options.
Taking away trains Northern don't have now, you mean? I suppose that would have led to more 319 conversions for someone. They may turn out to be dreadful trains, but they're doing quite well at getting ministers out of holes for the time being.
 

158756

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What would you like to cut, track maintenance? Tried that before, sadly. The truth is that the cost-cutting just started earlier, in the 1990s.

If the government wanted railways to take a bigger slice of the austerity pie you could easily axe all funding for upgrades, and if trains were treated in the same way as buses, dozens of rural lines would have closed and evening and weekend trains would be confined to the busiest routes. Actually it they were treated the same as buses most lines (subsidised) would have closed.
 

fowler9

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Well, yes, of course they aren't ideal compared to electrifying every line (or even every line that "the railway" was committed to electrifying in this Control Period).

But, as "the railway" cannot deliver all of this (for various well documented reasons) then we need some kind of compromise.

In the absence of a magic wand, what do you suggest? Cancel through services and force passengers to change from an EMU to a DMU at Cardiff? Run diesel trains hundreds of miles under the wires on several services (which means that the expensive disruptive electrification east of Cardiff won't bring so many benefits)?

I don't think that anyone is pretending that bi-modes are *perfect*, but they do seem the best compromise (or "least worst" option), given the railway's failure to electrify on budget and on time.

In a perfect world everything would have been electrified when it was expected to be, at the original price. We can complain about bi-modes not being ideal or we can deal with the reality of the situation and find something that works in the circumstances.

I don't get your point. The politician called them second best, you called them the least worst or best compromise. You should go in to politics for saying exactly the same thing thinking it sounded better. Some people would probably vote for you. Have a think about it.
 
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fowler9

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I don't really believe labour would have done much different. The 'specialist advisers' in the DfT would still be completely apathetic towards electrification of their railway...

Ah blimey. A random Tory saying they don't think Labour would have done anything different. If we are doing mad generalisations I bet you think Jeremy Corbyn wants to turn the UK in to North Korea at the same time as pulling us out of the EU as quick as possible to turn us in to a Neo Liberal paradise.
 

ashworth

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In the case of GW electrification i'm sure there must be a strong case for being able to get EMU's into Oxford at some point, and electric only IEP's to Bristol as originally planned, but Cardiff Swansea wasn't on the original plan and maybe there are other routes with a stronger case for electrification at the moment

A few weeks ago I did a week travelling to various destinations out of Paddington using a 7 Day Thames Rover. It gave me a good opportunity of seeing how the electrification work was proceeding. I can certainly see a case for electrification to Oxford but I hadn't realised that electrification was also taking place to Newbury. I can see some reasons for it, but even after electrification Hungerford and Bedwyn are still going to have to be served by diesels.

I do, however, wonder if instead of electrifying to Newbury there would have been a better case for doing Kettering to Leicester on the MML. It does make you wonder if even Nottingham could have been reached if they had also left Corby as a diesel connection from Kettering. I certainly don't think passenger numbers between Kettering and Corby requires anything more than a 2 car 156 or even a single 153 during a large part of the day. Electrification to Newbury just seems an expensive luxury when large cities like Leicester and Nottingham etc are not now going to see electrification.
 

Gareth Marston

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A few weeks ago I did a week travelling to various destinations out of Paddington using a 7 Day Thames Rover. It gave me a good opportunity of seeing how the electrification work was proceeding. I can certainly see a case for electrification to Oxford but I hadn't realised that electrification was also taking place to Newbury. I can see some reasons for it, but even after electrification Hungerford and Bedwyn are still going to have to be served by diesels.

I do, however, wonder if instead of electrifying to Newbury there would have been a better case for doing Kettering to Leicester on the MML. It does make you wonder if even Nottingham could have been reached if they had also left Corby as a diesel connection from Kettering. I certainly don't think passenger numbers between Kettering and Corby requires anything more than a 2 car 156 or even a single 153 during a large part of the day. Electrification to Newbury just seems an expensive luxury when large cities like Leicester and Nottingham etc are not now going to see electrification.

We have to remember that the original thinking was political. Britain has 11 defined Metropolitan areas outside London. HS2 is going to connect 8 of them to London. Of the 3 "missing out on HS2" The South Hampshire (Portsmouth/Southampton) services are already electrified on 3rd rail. The remaining two Cardiff and Bristol weren't. Hence why GWML was selected.
 

47802

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A few weeks ago I did a week travelling to various destinations out of Paddington using a 7 Day Thames Rover. It gave me a good opportunity of seeing how the electrification work was proceeding. I can certainly see a case for electrification to Oxford but I hadn't realised that electrification was also taking place to Newbury. I can see some reasons for it, but even after electrification Hungerford and Bedwyn are still going to have to be served by diesels.

I do, however, wonder if instead of electrifying to Newbury there would have been a better case for doing Kettering to Leicester on the MML. It does make you wonder if even Nottingham could have been reached if they had also left Corby as a diesel connection from Kettering. I certainly don't think passenger numbers between Kettering and Corby requires anything more than a 2 car 156 or even a single 153 during a large part of the day. Electrification to Newbury just seems an expensive luxury when large cities like Leicester and Nottingham etc are not now going to see electrification.

The point of the half hourly electric Corby Service is that it becomes the main service for stations between Kettering and Bedford, this will allow stops to be omitted and capacity freed up for the longer distance trains.

Reading to Newbury is relatively short section it will allow some working to go over to EMU operation, the South West Bi-modes can use Electric to Newbury and I believe a few working beyond Newbury will utilise the additional 800's that were ordered, so I think there should be reasonably good utilisation of the wires to Newbury.
 
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Gareth Marston

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and the Elephant in the room is Electric Vehicles - there introduction will distort the ecomic model for oil production and supply across the world as demand will fall. The railway cant be held ransom to a "declining mode of propulsion fuel".

Apologies for quoting my own post but just read Rail Engineer and there's an article on he recent IMechE Conference on Electrification the last paragraph is as follows

"Major Cities are banning diesels how long before that ban is complete 30 years? That is less than the life span of a single train fleet. Sniff the air in a HST front coach or on a platform when a class 66 hauls past and wonder when the public backlash will surface. If we kill off electrification what will our response be?"
 

D365

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Since July 20 Grayling has been talking about them precisely as the new wonder discovery that solves all problems and renders electrification unnecessary. Sadly a lot of politicians who know no better may believe him.

This post sums up my entire feeling about the man. Complete bluster.
 

47802

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Apologies for quoting my own post but just read Rail Engineer and there's an article on he recent IMechE Conference on Electrification the last paragraph is as follows

"Major Cities are banning diesels how long before that ban is complete 30 years? That is less than the life span of a single train fleet. Sniff the air in a HST front coach or on a platform when a class 66 hauls past and wonder when the public backlash will surface. If we kill off electrification what will our response be?"

Not really 30 years is certainly the life span of most trains from a financial viewpoint except some train enthusiast who think they last forever and if you buy Bi-modes then its less of an issue.

There have been some announcements of late which seems to have sent some people into a frenzy but I expect Petrol and Diesel vehicles will be around for some time yet along with Diesel Trains. There was the big announcement the other day that Jaguar Landrover will make electric and hybrid cars only, but of course the key word there is hybrid and I suspect the majority they will sell for a good few years yet will be hybrid and still contain a Petrol or Diesel Engine. A taxi ride the other day in a Petrol hybrid and the Taxi driver was complaining about the fuel economy compared to his previous Diesel, plus if everybody switched to an electric vehicle overnight we would not have enough electrical power generating capacity, added to which the Electric Cars still don't have enough range for long distance/high mileage drivers.

Plus of course the Electrification and IEP as currently planned is going to make significant reductions in Diesel Emissions on the ECML and GWML, and even If Electrification was progressing as originally planned the elimination of the self powered train would still be a long way off and of course the new Diesel stock is complying with newer Diesel Emission regulations.
 
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Mikey C

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Apologies for quoting my own post but just read Rail Engineer and there's an article on he recent IMechE Conference on Electrification the last paragraph is as follows

"Major Cities are banning diesels how long before that ban is complete 30 years? That is less than the life span of a single train fleet. Sniff the air in a HST front coach or on a platform when a class 66 hauls past and wonder when the public backlash will surface. If we kill off electrification what will our response be?"

I think emissions WILL become an issue, but only in urban areas. Maybe the track around major stations will be electrified so that bi-modes can run in electric mode in urban areas, then switch to diesel once in more rural areas, if the whole line can't be done?
 

Chris M

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I think emissions WILL become an issue, but only in urban areas. Maybe the track around major stations will be electrified so that bi-modes can run in electric mode in urban areas, then switch to diesel once in more rural areas, if the whole line can't be done?

Possible, but I suspect that in general its the rural areas that are simple and relatively cheap to electrify compared to the cities. The latter generally have more long stretches of plain line with spacious formations with fewer very high/deep/long embankments, viaducts, cuttings, tunnels, etc. Station throats in urban areas would be my guess at the most complex layouts to electrify. If this is true, then you might as well do the bits between urban areas at the same time.
 

Gareth Marston

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I think emissions WILL become an issue, but only in urban areas. Maybe the track around major stations will be electrified so that bi-modes can run in electric mode in urban areas, then switch to diesel once in more rural areas, if the whole line can't be done?

Theirs c64 trains per hour through central Birmingham as it currently stands over half of them are diesel..... All 18 tph through Snow Hill/Moor St and 18 out of 46 through New St.
 

Gareth Marston

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Newtown Montgomeryshire
Not really 30 years is certainly the life span of most trains from a financial viewpoint except some train enthusiast who think they last forever and if you buy Bi-modes then its less of an issue.

There have been some announcements of late which seems to have sent some people into a frenzy but I expect Petrol and Diesel vehicles will be around for some time yet along with Diesel Trains. There was the big announcement the other day that Jaguar Landrover will make electric and hybrid cars only, but of course the key word there is hybrid and I suspect the majority they will sell for a good few years yet will be hybrid and still contain a Petrol or Diesel Engine. A taxi ride the other day in a Petrol hybrid and the Taxi driver was complaining about the fuel economy compared to his previous Diesel, plus if everybody switched to an electric vehicle overnight we would not have enough electrical power generating capacity, added to which the Electric Cars still don't have enough range for long distance/high mileage drivers.

The process will be gradual not a big bang it will "creep up" on the railway at the speed decisions are currently made and then it will be too late. The railway needed a long term propulsion plan yesterday. Instead Government has run away and buried its head in the sand hoping Bi Modes have got them out of a short term hole which is to a large degree is one of there own making.

For the record there are a number of applications for a Regional Bi Mode fleet (such as the GA Stadler order) especially where electrification is discontinuous or in the process of being rolled out. They are not for mainstream urban commuting networks or mainstream InterCity services.(They might be for one off applications to Medium sized towns off the electrified network that need a handful of direct trains a day to London).

There are 11 Metropolitan areas (with One million plus populations) plus London in the UK we really should be aiming to get their commuter services (roughly 25-30 miles from the centre out) and the Mainlines between them wired.
 

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The process will be gradual not a big bang it will "creep up" on the railway at the speed decisions are currently made and then it will be too late. The railway needed a long term propulsion plan yesterday. Instead Government has run away and buried its head in the sand hoping Bi Modes have got them out of a short term hole which is to a large degree is one of there own making.

For the record there are a number of applications for a Regional Bi Mode fleet (such as the GA Stadler order) especially where electrification is discontinuous or in the process of being rolled out. They are not for mainstream urban commuting networks or mainstream InterCity services.(They might be for one off applications to Medium sized towns off the electrified network that need a handful of direct trains a day to London).

There are 11 Metropolitan areas (with One million plus populations) plus London in the UK we really should be aiming to get their commuter services (roughly 25-30 miles from the centre out) and the Mainlines between them wired.

But we come back to point that the Government doesn't have a bottomless pit of money and Network Rail didn't just Blow the budget it tore to shreds.

In terms of future Projects it strikes me that the Cardiff Valleys is probably a better priority than Cardiff Swansea.
 
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