What makes you think that an estimate put together in a couple of paragraphs on a public forum is more practical, or more accurate, than one developed after months of study by a team of railway engineering professionals?
Let’s not forget the £15m/mile for Borders is largely single track, at outturn prices when constructed, and by a distance the cheapest per mile of any all new railway in this country for 20 years.
Let’s also not forget that the Okehampton branch is fit for 50mph for a couple of sprinters a week. I doubt very much that it could cope with longer / heavier trains on a regular basis without a complete rebuild from the formation up. Mel don viaduct will have had maintenance sufficient to stop it collapsing, again I doubt it has had maintenance sufficient for a regular service of passenger trains. And what’s the signalling like from Crediton?
I left the West Country in 1968 to move north for a year, met my wife and stayed so don't know what the remains of the LSWR are like now but do you agree Plymouth-Bere Alston is a fit-for-purpose railway? I assume it is worked as tokenless block or even "one engine in steam" as I assume Crediton-Okehampton is.
What is the difference in axle weights between a Sprinter and a Voyager/800 IEP which will be the diverted trains? Three short tons per axle and they can all run at SP speeds so are light as far as axle loading goes. I'm surprised Sprinters can even travel at 50mph with passengers to Okehampton. I was expecting someone to say 25mph. CliveBlackpool has just confirmed 55 mph., even better.
We all know that engineers cost a job on the safe side. A "Rolls Royce job" and then add optimism bias whjch is now 60% I hear. NR is more expensive than that even. I was looking at the bare minimum that is there already and functioning.
But Borders Rail had the complete formation rebuilt for double track although only single track was put down in places. Single track still had to have cuttings and embankments drained to prevent slips and linear drains placed.
Borders Rail is 31 miles long with just under 10 miles of double track,5 high speed, 1 slow speed point ends and 7 stations, 3 of them double platforms.
The gap in LSWR is 20 miles of double track, no point ends, one double platform and 5 miles likely to be paid for by a developer. 18 miles of single track east of Okehampton will need upgrading to 90mph over a period of time and high speed points at the ends of single line for non stop diversions.
A single track viaduct as long as Meldon was built at Hardengreen over the A7 all in the same price so a replacement double track alongside Meldon would cost very little more.
Comparing with Borders Rail £340m, will this line really cost £2billion as professionally costed for just over 20 miles of new railway? That works out at £100m per mile. Barking even in 2018.
The whole Borders Rail was signalled with control from Edinburgh within the cost