FWIW, it may also prove cheaper to scrap 150s and do 769-style conversions (not that those are going well). OK, that gives you a 4 rather than 2-car unit, but the call for 2-car units is reducing all the time with growing passenger numbers, and it's much easier to provide a 750VDC generator/rectifier/battery set than a rotating shaft in precisely the right place with precisely the right speed/torque.
I think there is still very much a use case for a cheap+cheerful 153/pacer replacement.There are still a significant amount of lines (mostly rural) ,where there needs to be at least some coverage...you know it will be loss making, but it will be about keeping connectivity while keeping losses to a minimum.
So it would need to be lightweight,reasonable capacity,have PRM access and go-anywhere route availability,faster than a pacer/sprinter, and end-gangwayed would also be a bonus.
CAF unit's can't do it.....to heavy,too long and 100mph not necessary.
150's...ok, but 50% more on access charges than a 153
230's, limited to 60mph, no good for a rural line that has a few miles blast up a mainline for connections.
I'd certainly agree that a modular power plant(diesel/fuel cell/NG/Hydrogen -battery etc)-electric unit looks like the way to go.
I think the closest to that spec looks like bombardier talent.
17m body, 60T for 2 car set+90mph capable fits the bill,but would need some engine and body mods.
can drop in an extra trailer carriage pretty easily so :
2 car set=1.5 *153 capacity+ wheelchair/bike space and useable bogs.
3 car set= just over 156 capacity(51m v 46m)
seems pretty ideal,and gives you about 15% seats extra on present pacer loadings to boot.
for power plant/transmission you'd maybe go for cummins L9 around 300BHP per car (maybe even a b6.7 at a push),and ZF ecoworld box.
Going by truck specs the L9 should routinely cope with 35-40 Tonne loads on the road,can go up to 45T.B6.7 is not quite as robust and can take 30T as standard and 35T gross vehicle weight.
That should net you a very decent rural unit with some scope for good mainline bursts (75mph+ up to 90mph looking at power to weight ratio..and seeing as it's a bo-2-bo or bo-2-2-bo unit),so as not to block traffic.And at 30T a car should keep the running costs down.
I have no idea of L/HR fuel consumption figures for a new stage V cummins L9 versus The pacer LTA10/sprinter NT855 but I would think that it should still be a 20% saving, even despite much more horsepower and torque.