Like it or not, a sizeable proportion of the electorate only vote in General Elections, and a sizeable proportion of them will vote on who they think will be the best leader for the country, not necessarily for party policies. And like it or not, there’s not many people who think Corbyn would be best leader for the country (not even in the Labour Party).
If a General Election happens on 14 October (I rate it 50:50, but the bookies are close to ‘dead cert’ territory) then a lot will depend on what Farage does. If he puts up candidates in marginal Conservative seats, then he will win a few and put a dent in the chances of a Conservative minority government. The Conservatives are already pretty certain to lose a few seats in remain areas to the Lib Dems.
The Lib Dems and SNP may well get the opportunity to be kingmakers, and the price of that will be a delay to Brexit, a second referendum on Europe, and a second independence referendum in Scotland.
Finally if Labour don’t have a good showing, as seems likely, Corbyn will surely have to hang up his cap. This would leave a clear field for Kier Starmer, who might well be able to reunite the party and capitalise on the Tories’ self destruction.
It is sure to be an interesting few months, but it does rely on sufficient Conservative MPs to be willing to make a stand this week.