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Possible combination of HS2 phase 2 with "rail north'

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daikilo

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During the prime minister's address to parlement on 11/02 he appeared to suggests that some sort of combination of phase 2B and possibly part of phase 2A with what I think he called "rail north" would be looked at. I think he avoided using the term HS3.

Anyone any idea whether it was just words or whether something concrete is already being planned.
 
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ruaival

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During the prime minister's address to parlement on 11/02 he appeared to suggests that some sort of combination of phase 2B and possibly part of phase 2A with what I think he called "rail north" would be looked at. I think he avoided using the term HS3.

Anyone any idea whether it was just words or whether something concrete is already being planned.

BBC Radio 4 "World at One" programme today carried a relevant interview ... (available on BBC Sounds about 25:20 from the start) ... in which Henri Murison a director of Northern Powerhouse Rail described the engineering sense in bringing together the North-South line building (currently in HS2) and West-East line building (currently in NPR) to design align the two and then delivery as one project; if I heard it correctly.
 

Chris 76

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Wouldn't be surprised if there's some politically motivated rebranding going on. Northern Powerhouse Rail (NPR) is the spawn of the Cameron-Osborne government, so Johnson probably wants to put his own stamp on the evolving plans for transpennine high speed rail. HS3 doesn't sound an easy sell given HS2's political and financial baggage.
 

CdBrux

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How HS2 and NPR (and maybe also Midland Engine / Connect) best work together. Good example being Manchester Piccadilly station where the ideal needs of HS2 and NPR are not particularly complimentary
 

Chester1

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How HS2 and NPR (and maybe also Midland Engine / Connect) best work together. Good example being Manchester Piccadilly station where the ideal needs of HS2 and NPR are not particularly complimentary

Through platforms on level 1 of a double deck Piccadilly extension or below ground level but next to HS2 terminal platforms.
 

WatcherZero

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During the prime minister's address to parlement on 11/02 he appeared to suggests that some sort of combination of phase 2B and possibly part of phase 2A with what I think he called "rail north" would be looked at. I think he avoided using the term HS3.

Anyone any idea whether it was just words or whether something concrete is already being planned.

To break it down:
He gave final approval for phase 1 and 2a and spades should be hitting ground in April.
He announced a review into phase 2b, not on whether it should proceed but in to possible savings and better integration into NPR by the National Infrastructure Commission.
A dedicated HS2 rail minister.
He announced a review into the delivery agency (HS2 Ltd) and delivery agencies in general to find ways they could be improved and made more efficient with faster decision making and cheaper delivery. Essentially looking to learn lessons from HS2 Ltd initial delivery so the same mistakes aren't repeated in phase 2B/NPR.
He announced he was stripping responsibility for delivering Euston station and phase 2b from HS2 Ltd and giving them to a new delivery agency saying it would allow the agencies to provide closer scrutiny if it was broken down into smaller more manageable chunks.
 
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hwl

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To break it down:
He gave final approval for phase 1 and 2a and spades should be hitting ground in April.
He announced a review into phase 2b, not on whether it should proceed but in to possible savings and better integration into NPR, that review would possibly be done by a Northern agency.
He announced a review into the delivery agency (HS2 Ltd) and delivery agencies in general to find ways they could be improved and made more efficient with faster decision making and cheaper delivery. Essentially looking to learn lessons from HS2 Ltd initial delivery so the same mistakes aren't repeated in phase 2B/NPR.
He announced he was stripping responsibility for delivering Euston station and phase 2b from HS2 Ltd and giving them to a new delivery agency saying it would allow the agencies to provide closer scrutiny if it was broken down into smaller more manageable chunks.

The Euston station design is ok but the grade separated throat design still isn't sorted (and a lot of unhappy locals in very expensive houses with subsidence worries) hence still not spade ready and subject to further delay so needs some detailed focus.
The HS2 Euston station design is also fairly poorly integrated into the current NR station and also what NR might need to address in the next 20/30 years.
HS2 also very poor at including NR HS2 costs in the total HS2 costs.

BoJo's dad also lives/lived up the road...
 

td97

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Anyone any idea whether it was just words or whether something concrete is already being planned.
It has been in development for several years under the Northern Powerhouse Rail "NPR" banner.
The Ph2b review is welcome as it will enable more connectivity options to be looked at which weren't present, say 5-10 years ago, when NPR didn't exist but HS2 did.
Beneficial examples which could be considered include better HS2 connectivity to Liverpool by using NPR tracks or better inter-connectivity at Manchester Airport "Parkway" and Piccadilly between the 2 schemes.
Also sharing of plant, TBMs, and other general resources will be looked at to increase efficiency.
 

Bletchleyite

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It might be easier to sell NPR if they called it "the great north capacity project" or something. Like the south WCML, capacity is direly needed.

I'm not sure that even mentioning "high speed" in either project has helped at all; all that's achieved is to draw attention to the relatively small speed gains for the high cost and hidden the real benefit which is capacity (longer trains and line capacity). In concept it's quite like a German or Swiss Neubaustrecke - they just call them "new build lines" without going into the speed issue.
 

duffield

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It seems very sensible to get a coherent plan for HS2/HS3/NPR whatever at Manchester Piccadilly, before it seemed like the HS2 plans might conflict with HS3/NPR.

I can see a possible option where HS Manchester to Leeds might get built *instead of* rather than as well as the HS2 East Midlands/Sheffield/Leeds leg, with the East Midlands given the sop of full electrification and some further speed upgrades of the MML, and maybe Derby to Birmingham electrification and speed upgrades. As an East Midlands resident I don't *like* the idea of us being somewhat sidelined again but in the bigger picture it might make sense.
 

R G NOW.

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After reading some of the posts on here, is HS3 the bit that they showed in blue on the map in the BBC news at 18:00
 

Bald Rick

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So we’re all clear, there is no such thing as HS3.

Northern Powerhouse Rail is a proposal for increased capacity across the Pennines, which could be a combination of existing routes, upgrade to existing routes, and all new alignment. No decisions have been taken on what it will be; for new routes, no decisions have been made on where they might go - indeed they can’t have been, because they have not been put to the public for consultation (for similar examples, see the east west rail thread).
 

AM9

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It seems very sensible to get a coherent plan for HS2/HS3/NPR whatever at Manchester Piccadilly, before it seemed like the HS2 plans might conflict with HS3/NPR.

I can see a possible option where HS Manchester to Leeds might get built *instead of* rather than as well as the HS2 East Midlands/Sheffield/Leeds leg, with the East Midlands given the sop of full electrification and some further speed upgrades of the MML, and maybe Derby to Birmingham electrification and speed upgrades. As an East Midlands resident I don't *like* the idea of us being somewhat sidelined again but in the bigger picture it might make sense.
That would be some reward for Sheffield insisting that diversion into the city centre was built.
 

Eddd

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Wouldn't be surprised if there's some politically motivated rebranding going on. Northern Powerhouse Rail (NPR) is the spawn of the Cameron-Osborne government, so Johnson probably wants to put his own stamp on the evolving plans for transpennine high speed rail. HS3 doesn't sound an easy sell given HS2's political and financial baggage.
Johnson has history for renaming. It'll be the Dambusters Line calling at the new Bradford Churchill Station or something
 

NotATrainspott

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It seems very sensible to get a coherent plan for HS2/HS3/NPR whatever at Manchester Piccadilly, before it seemed like the HS2 plans might conflict with HS3/NPR.

I can see a possible option where HS Manchester to Leeds might get built *instead of* rather than as well as the HS2 East Midlands/Sheffield/Leeds leg, with the East Midlands given the sop of full electrification and some further speed upgrades of the MML, and maybe Derby to Birmingham electrification and speed upgrades. As an East Midlands resident I don't *like* the idea of us being somewhat sidelined again but in the bigger picture it might make sense.

This option has been looked at to death, and still doesn't make sense even if NPR and Phase 2b are now one project. The fundamental problem is that any east-west line is going to be very different in nature to the north-south line that HS2 provides. That means running north-south trains like London-Newcastle over it would involve serious compromises. You'd end up with worse north-south and worse east-west trains and for relatively little benefit.

The basis of north-south journeys is end-to-end city/region pair routes which can largely fill up their own trains. By the time a train passes south of Birmingham Interchange it'll be full so that its path on the most expensive and congested section is the most valuable possible. Some trains will be full further north than that. A Newcastle train will probably be full after picking up passengers from Darlington and York; a Leeds train will probably fill up with the East Midlands and possible Yorkshire Parkway stations. Once a train is full, there's no value in doing anything other than sending it the direct way to its destination. That's how the via-Manchester idea falls down: a Newcastle train will already be full, so it shouldn't stop in Manchester or Leeds as it'll just slow down Newcastle/NE passengers while not providing any more seats for people from Manchester or Leeds. Building an east-west line that doesn't slow the Newcastle passengers down would mean big sweeping curves (presumably in tunnel) under both the cities and a station or station bypass capable of high speed running. These are really not what would make it easier to do east-west journeys.

For east-west journeys there aren't as many city pairs that can reliably fill entire trains on their own, and that's entirely fine. Frequency, reliability and capacity are more important than headline city pair journey speeds for most east-west journeys. A 6tph express service from Liverpool to Leeds, stopping in Manchester, would be a hell of a lot more useful for most people than one which can maybe go a few minutes faster by not calling at Manchester while being a lot less frequent in return.

The actual trains themselves should probably be quite different for north-south and east-west services. North-south needs 200m sets designed to double up for the stretch to London which can run at 360km/h or so to make the most of the high speed non-stop running capabilities of HS2. A future Scotland-London train should, once there is a dedicated line all the way, be able to run non-stop at 330km/h+ all the way from the Glasgow/Edinburgh junction in Lanarkshire all the way to the Ruislip tunnels on approach to OOC. East-west trains won't ever spend as long cruising at high speeds since average journey lengths are far shorter. The longest possible stretch of higher-speed running would be on the existing ECML from Darlington to York! That means a top speed of 230km/h or so should be more than sufficient. The trains themselves also probably need to be 200m at maximum, and would benefit far more from being universally classic-compatible so that they can easily run off any new lines into existing stations and further-flung points on the network. The difference would essentially be the same as on HS1 between the long-distance Eurostar services and the shorter-distance Javelins. It's possible the NPR Javelin-style trains might be specced up to slightly higher speeds - maybe 249km/h to keep below the TSI compatibility threshold - so that they have an easier time being pathed alongside north-south services on any longer stretches of HS2.
 

camflyer

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So we’re all clear, there is no such thing as HS3.

Northern Powerhouse Rail is a proposal for increased capacity across the Pennines, which could be a combination of existing routes, upgrade to existing routes, and all new alignment. No decisions have been taken on what it will be; for new routes, no decisions have been made on where they might go - indeed they can’t have been, because they have not been put to the public for consultation (for similar examples, see the east west rail thread).

Indeed - the "NPR" planning has got little past the crayon stage so it's at least 10 years away from having a shovel in the ground.

Though it does seem that NPR and HS2 Phase 2b are being combined and rebranded "High Speed North" which is a slightly better name (and will undoubtedly annoy George Osborne...)
 

Bald Rick

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Indeed - the "NPR" planning has got little past the crayon stage so it's at least 10 years away from having a shovel in the ground.

Though it does seem that NPR and HS2 Phase 2b are being combined and rebranded "High Speed North" which is a slightly better name (and will undoubtedly annoy George Osborne...)

I’d say it’s a bit more than Crayon stage, but about 5 years behind Ph2b.

George Osborne seems to quite like the ‘High Speed North’ idea in his paper’s editorial tonight...
 

edwin_m

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Another issue for the Leeds via Manchester, as I've posted on another thread that is also discussing it, is that the section from the Airport junction to Piccadilly would be carrying all London-Manchester, London-Leeds, London-Newcastle, Birmingham-Manchester and Birmingham-Newcastle HS2 services plus NPR. That's probably more than it will have capacity to handle, and through-routing at Piccadilly doesn't reduce the number by much (probably only the Birminghams could be combined).
 

daikilo

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Another issue for the Leeds via Manchester, as I've posted on another thread that is also discussing it, is that the section from the Airport junction to Piccadilly would be carrying all London-Manchester, London-Leeds, London-Newcastle, Birmingham-Manchester and Birmingham-Newcastle HS2 services plus NPR. That's probably more than it will have capacity to handle, and through-routing at Piccadilly doesn't reduce the number by much (probably only the Birminghams could be combined).

I can't see why that itself would be an issue as frequency will presumably not exceed that of phase1. However, creating a through HS station at Piccadilly will certainly be a challenge leading me to think that the Leeds branch may split at the airport and run up the eastern side of Manchester probably with a new station somewhere. Grade separation will be needed for any HS junction around Manchester.
 

LM93

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It's mentioned in the Oakervee report that HS2 has been developed as an isolated system, but with recent changes making NPR integrate with it, it says it needs to be looked at again as an integrated system, taking into account the NPR addition and whether the current option is the best with both projects taken into account. This is the source of the change essentially.
 

edwin_m

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I can't see why that itself would be an issue as frequency will presumably not exceed that of phase1. However, creating a through HS station at Piccadilly will certainly be a challenge leading me to think that the Leeds branch may split at the airport and run up the eastern side of Manchester probably with a new station somewhere. Grade separation will be needed for any HS junction around Manchester.
I think the latest HS2 service pattern includes something like:
  • London-Manchester: 3TPH
  • Birmingham-Manchester: 2TPH
  • London-Leeds: 3TPH
  • Birmingham-Leeds: 2TPH
  • London-Newcastle: 2TPH
  • Birmingham-Newcastle: 2TPH
Total of the above: 14TPH. Adding in Liverpool-Leeds brings it to 17-18TPH, which is what phase 1 has been planned for but Oakervee is suggesting reducing it to 14TPH. Also if the HS2 timetable is planned starting on the busiest section out of London it's very possible that all these different services won't fit together neatly in Manchester, leading to some longer gaps and less capacity.

You might be able to combine Birmingham-Manchester and Birmingham-Leeds as a 400m coupled set, but you couldn't combine Birmingham-Newcastle as the likely layout at Leeds means trains continuing north would have to use the existing station, where the platforms are too short - as they probably also are further north.

Even the basic proposal would need a bigger station at the Airport, perhaps as many as six platforms like Old Oak Common. Splitting the line there adds even more complication, and there is also the double-track section between there and the split for Liverpool or Crewe. So you'd actually end up with four tracks all the way from that junction to the vicinity of Piccadilly, and some very complicated junctions to switch the various Leeds and beyond trains onto the right tracks whether they are NPR calling at Piccadilly or HS2 avoiding it.
 

td97

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No decisions have been taken on what it will be;
Indeed - the "NPR" planning has got little past the crayon stage so it's at least 10 years away from having a shovel in the ground.
Incorrect. Decisions on what it will be are mired behind NDAs. Just because you haven't heard about it doesn't mean nothing is happening.
 

edwin_m

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They have to be very careful about releasing any detailed maps because as soon as they do that they blight any nearby properties and have to have some sort of compensation in place.
 

Meerkat

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Another issue for the Leeds via Manchester, as I've posted on another thread that is also discussing it, is that the section from the Airport junction to Piccadilly would be carrying all London-Manchester, London-Leeds, London-Newcastle, Birmingham-Manchester and Birmingham-Newcastle HS2 services plus NPR. That's probably more than it will have capacity to handle, and through-routing at Piccadilly doesn't reduce the number by much (probably only the Birminghams could be combined).

Calling it High Speed North is good politics as it makes anything north of Crewe sound like a northern project.
As for concerns about the capacity - will it need to go to max capacity straight away anyway?
A 400m train that went Euston-Birmingham Interchange-Manchester-Leeds-Newcastle would be an initial service that would later be split into city pairs as demand builds.
Re Leeds - there isn’t capacity to put NPR through the station as is is there? Won’t new platforms or a completely new station be needed anyway?
 

quantinghome

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Re Leeds - there isn’t capacity to put NPR through the station as is is there? Won’t new platforms or a completely new station be needed anyway?

It depends if NPR is additional to or replacing current services. Probably additional as Huddersfield and Calderdale lines will continue to be served after NPR, albeit with more regional and commuter services.

Anyway, the plan with Leeds so far is to build more terminating platforms north of current platform 1, about four more. Add the HS2 platforms and that frees up enough through platforms for NPR.
 

si404

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I think the latest HS2 service pattern includes something like:
  • London-Manchester: 3TPH
  • Birmingham-Manchester: 2TPH
  • London-Leeds: 3TPH
  • Birmingham-Leeds: 2TPH
  • London-Newcastle: 2TPH
  • Birmingham-Newcastle: 2TPH
Total of the above: 14TPH. Adding in Liverpool-Leeds brings it to 17-18TPH, which is what phase 1 has been planned for but Oakervee is suggesting reducing it to 14TPH.
the 14tph limit is for past a single point only. Ie out of London. It's not a total figure.

The previous 17tph plan was
2 Liverpool
1 or 2 Lancashire
2 Scotland
3 Manchester
3 Birmingham
2 Sheffield
3 Leeds
1 York
2 Newcastle
1 Stafford-Stoke-Macclesfield

Liverpool and Lancs were merged (split at Crewe). Sheffield would split from York/Leeds in that plan.

I'd imagine the 14 per Oakervee as being similar, but no Macclesfield (the junctions won't be built)
2 Newcastle/Sheffield
1 Leeds/York
1 Leeds/Manchester
1 Leeds/Leeds
2 Manchester/Manchester
3 Birmingham/Birmingham
2 Glasgow/Edinburgh
2 Liverpool/Lancs

Services North from Birmingham Curzon Street have been planned as
1 Scotland
2 Manchester
2 Leeds
1 Newcastle
Add in the 1 Birmingham-Nottingham and the Leeds-Bedford from Midland Connect plan, and 2 Birmingham-Liverpool if there's new tracks.

NPR as was had (on relevant corridors) 6 Liverpool-Manchester, 6 Manchester-Leeds, 6 Sheffield-Leeds.

I made that 6+3+2=11 through Manchester Interchange per the current plans of E-W and N-S services sharing tracks there. And 6+2+1+1=10 between the junction North of Sheffield and the junction south of Leeds.
 

edwin_m

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the 14tph limit is for past a single point only. Ie out of London. It's not a total figure.
I know that, which is why I ignored everything except the Airport-Manchester link. Applying that filter to your post...
NPR as was had (on relevant corridors) 6 Liverpool-Manchester, 6 Manchester-Leeds, 6 Sheffield-Leeds.

I made that 6+3+2=11 through Manchester Interchange per the current plans of E-W and N-S services sharing tracks there
But if you add in the Leeds, York and Newcastle trains, as the post I was responding to suggested, then you are well over 14 even if a few of them can be combined.
As for concerns about the capacity - will it need to go to max capacity straight away anyway?
It might not, but it would be foolish not to build for long-term capacity or at least make it so it can be quickly upgraded. Running Leeds trains via Manchester, the only way to cope with growth on the Airport-Manchester link would be to reinstate most or all of the eastern HS2 section via Toton. If that section is scrapped then bringing it back would take at least a decade.
 
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