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Grant Shapps letter etc to Select Committee published

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GRALISTAIR

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I see the response to select committee questions has been published.

https://www.parliament.uk/documents...e-session-on-dft-priorities-23102019.docx.pdf

A brief extract of what I liked:

You told us (Q37) that we could expect to see greater use of electrification on the railways. Can you provide some more detail on your plans to make greater use of electrification?

The Rail Industry Decarbonisation Taskforce has been clear that greater use of electrification, alongside deployment of newer technology, will be needed. Electrification will play a significant role in our programme to achieve our Net Zero 2050 objective.

Network Rail’s ongoing work will inform decisions about whether electrification or new technologies are the better option for each individual section of the network where diesel trains currently run and considers both passenger and freight services.

I will consider the case for exploring some electrification schemes more quickly as development of the strategy progresses. In deciding which early schemes to take forward, we will be considering the environmental impact as well as factors such as affordability; readiness of a scheme to proceed; deliverability; the disruption that might be experienced by passengers or freight operators during works; and availability of suitable rolling stock. We have noted the helpful work undertaken by the Railway Industry Association about the cost of electrification and will ensure that lessons are learnt from previous electrification schemes and those currently underway, including in Scotland and Wales. We will continue to ensure that new schemes deliver value for money for taxpayers and that the industry is able to deliver a decarbonisation programme in a sustainable way.
 
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td97

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Let's see how much substance he brings to next week's budget
 

nlogax

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Agreed. To use an American expression "I want to see him walk the walk and not just talk the talk"

Reading that I'm optimistic for the chances of more electrification. Hell..may as well be optimistic about something in this day and age. We're hardly spoilt for choice. Chippenham > Bath > Bristol TM for the first 'quick win'?

(go on, chuck this in the speculation subforum ;) )
 

LNW-GW Joint

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It's all very well, but "show us the money"...

I see tonight that the National Infrastructure Strategy, which was supposed to be published with the budget next week, has been postponed until "May".
With the virus emergency, government priorities are in danger of shifting away from mundane things like rail.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-51760507
The strategy, which foresees spending of £100bn over this parliament, will contain vital funding projections for transport, local growth and digital infrastructure.
 

jagardner1984

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I suppose the gamble they are taking is that with historically low interest rates and near full employment, the tax take is healthy and they can afford to rewrite “the fiscal framework” (or some other tabloid friendly jargon) to allow them to get onto governmental Quickquid and borrow some more to pay for said electrification (amongst other things).

If either of those initial premises starts to falter, then the economics of borrowing more at the exact moment when we are making tax earning trade more difficult and a good chunk of the workforce expected to deliver “the people’s priorities” made to feel unwelcome or threatened, look increasingly risky, and you can bet Mr Shapps’ admirable desire to dispatch electrification contractors to the furthest reaches of his Newfoundland north of Cambridge will quickly drop down the list.

If I was a ROSCO with a large stock of lovely smelly 30 year old Diesels, I wouldn’t be worried just yet.
 

edwin_m

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Reading that I'm optimistic for the chances of more electrification. Hell..may as well be optimistic about something in this day and age. We're hardly spoilt for choice. Chippenham > Bath > Bristol TM for the first 'quick win'?

(go on, chuck this in the speculation subforum ;) )
Market Harborough ought to be at the head of the queue, considering design work was authorized a year ago and construction teams will shortly be wrapping up the Bedford-Corby electrification just down the line, with costs coming out well below GWML according to the RIA report. It also has the political advantage of benefitting the Midlands and North.

Any design that's been done for Oxford and Bristol will probably need looking at again to take out any overspecification, so isn't really shovel-ready. Between those two I'd expect Oxford to get priority, as it's a smaller scheme and can eliminate some DMU workings. The Bristol routes can't be finished until the Temple Meads East re-modelling is done.
 
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joebassman

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Er, I'm sure I heard the doyen of the Home Office recently state that >8,000,000 people in the UK were "economically inactive"?

Which includes people who are retired, sick, disabled, students and home carers. There was something like 1.7 million I think, but I cant remember the exact amount, who were actually actively available for work
 

ChiefPlanner

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Market Harborough ought to be at the head of the queue, considering design work was authorized a year ago and construction teams will shortly be wrapping up the Bedford-Corby electrification just down the line, with costs coming out well below GWML according to the RIA report. It also has the political advantage of benefitting the Midlands and North.

Any design that's been done for Oxford and Bristol will probably need looking at again to take out any overspecification, so isn't really shovel-ready. Between those two I'd expect Oxford to get priority, as it's a smaller scheme and can eliminate some DMU workings. The Bristol routes can't be finished until the Temple Meads East re-modelling is done.


The level of costs coming out at the right level is very encouraging. Motivated by the MML thread I took myself out to Leicester today on the 1202 off St Pancras to have a look in this lovely sunshine , and I have to say it looks very , very good. ......the stabling sidings at Kettering need doing , but there is plenty of activity seemingly going on.
 

jimm

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Market Harborough ought to be at the head of the queue, considering design work was authorized a year ago and construction teams will shortly be wrapping up the Bedford-Corby electrification just down the line, with costs coming out well below GWML according to the RIA report. It also has the political advantage of benefitting the Midlands and North.

Any design that's been done for Oxford and Bristol will probably need looking at again to take out any overspecification, so isn't really shovel-ready. Between those two I'd expect Oxford to get priority, as it's a smaller scheme and can eliminate some DMU workings. The Bristol routes can't be finished until the Temple Meads East re-modelling is done.

What overspecification? Work on the Oxford section simply consists of stringing up wires on the triangle lines at Didcot, the line from Didcot to Oxford, the station and the carriage sidings - plus the section to Oxford North junction and part of the way towards Wolvercote will need wires as well, to connect into a substation up there.

And the scope here has already been cut back, as the wires were initially intended to go all the way up to Wolvercote Junction, where the Cotswold Line diverges, so all the tricky/expensive to wire bits of infrastructure and junctions around Oxford would already have been dealt with, ahead of any potential extension of electrification to Banbury etc and to Bletchley.
 

mwmbwls

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Which includes people who are retired, sick, disabled, students and home carers. There was something like 1.7 million I think, but I cant remember the exact amount, who were actually actively available for work
Approximately 800,000.
 

Domh245

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What overspecification? Work on the Oxford section simply consists of stringing up wires on the triangle lines at Didcot, the line from Didcot to Oxford, the station and the carriage sidings - plus the section to Oxford North junction and part of the way towards Wolvercote will need wires as well, to connect into a substation up there.

And the scope here has already been cut back, as the wires were initially intended to go all the way up to Wolvercote Junction, where the Cotswold Line diverges, so all the tricky/expensive to wire bits of infrastructure and junctions around Oxford would already have been dealt with, ahead of any potential extension of electrification to Banbury etc and to Bletchley.

Presumably in this case it would be rationalising the Oxford design from Series 1 (which is notoriously overengineered/overspecified and expensive as a result!) to UKMS as used on MML. The scope would presumably remain the same, but the detail design would be altered to reduce the cost
 

jimm

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Presumably in this case it would be rationalising the Oxford design from Series 1 (which is notoriously overengineered/overspecified and expensive as a result!) to UKMS as used on MML. The scope would presumably remain the same, but the detail design would be altered to reduce the cost

The kit used will be different from what was installed on the GWML but the fact of the matter is that unless Network Rail going to just abandon all the piles that were put in place several years ago for twin-track cantilever overhead supports - pretty much the whole way from Didcot to Kennington junction at the southern edge of Oxford - then the existing plans will remain the basis for what happens on much of this section anyway.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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What overspecification? Work on the Oxford section simply consists of stringing up wires on the triangle lines at Didcot, the line from Didcot to Oxford, the station and the carriage sidings - plus the section to Oxford North junction and part of the way towards Wolvercote will need wires as well, to connect into a substation up there.

And the scope here has already been cut back, as the wires were initially intended to go all the way up to Wolvercote Junction, where the Cotswold Line diverges, so all the tricky/expensive to wire bits of infrastructure and junctions around Oxford would already have been dealt with, ahead of any potential extension of electrification to Banbury etc and to Bletchley.
Not much point now the IEP all have diesels engines. MML needs to be priority then the new trains can be bought as electrics only to fit in with government policy on eliminating diesels.
 

swt_passenger

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Not much point now the IEP all have diesels engines. MML needs to be priority then the new trains can be bought as electrics only to fit in with government policy on eliminating diesels.
New MML stock will have already been ordered as bi-mode. It’ll almost certainly arrive many years before any wiring gets extended. They still have to modify the existing wiring to allow for the full speed of the 810s...
 

hwl

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Not much point now the IEP all have diesels engines. MML needs to be priority then the new trains can be bought as electrics only to fit in with government policy on eliminating diesels.
Lots of point as it get rid of local DMUs and enables the the stopper to run Oxford - Reading again. (+ various proposal to rejig things post full Crossrail to address future Reading platform utilisation issues). The local DMU service is pretty much the limiting factor on performance ont he Corridor with delays radiating outwards.

The MML won't be wired in time, there are several problem locations and the diversionary routes were never going to be done hence MML needs bimodes.
 

AlastairFraser

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What overspecification? Work on the Oxford section simply consists of stringing up wires on the triangle lines at Didcot, the line from Didcot to Oxford, the station and the carriage sidings - plus the section to Oxford North junction and part of the way towards Wolvercote will need wires as well, to connect into a substation up there.

And the scope here has already been cut back, as the wires were initially intended to go all the way up to Wolvercote Junction, where the Cotswold Line diverges, so all the tricky/expensive to wire bits of infrastructure and junctions around Oxford would already have been dealt with, ahead of any potential extension of electrification to Banbury etc and to Bletchley.
It's probably sensible to wait for or rebuild Oxford station at the same time, to future proof the electrification i.e a 6 platform 8 track station with 2 platforms for up Cherwell Valley Services,2 tracks between for non-stopper fasts, 2 platforms for down Cherwell Valley platforms and 2 platforms for Chiltern services (Marylebone to Oxford and Kassam Stadium services.) All through platforms. Should be electrified that way because otherwise it will cost more in the future.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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The MML won't be wired in time, there are several problem locations and the diversionary routes were never going to be done hence MML needs bimodes.
Agree thats the reality based on where we were but if the government is serious about climate change then it shouldn't be buying anything with diesels and it should have revoked Graylings decision and pushed on with electrification of the route. This would allow the existing teams to be retained as well as using it as an opportunity to train up further teams to be deployed around the country.

Overall though disjointed decisions are being taken as a result of the continuing dither and dallying by the Department of Transport over what the Williams review is recommending and what the new vision for rail is going to be.
 

hwl

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It's probably sensible to wait for or rebuild Oxford station at the same time, to future proof the electrification i.e a 6 platform 8 track station with 2 platforms for up Cherwell Valley Services,2 tracks between for non-stopper fasts, 2 platforms for down Cherwell Valley platforms and 2 platforms for Chiltern services (Marylebone to Oxford and Kassam Stadium services.) All through platforms. Should be electrified that way because otherwise it will cost more in the future.
The electrification design is future proofed for the rest of the planned Oxford rebuild, no need to wait.
One of the main previous reason for deferral of electrification was that it needed the recent phases of the station rebuild and resignal to have been completed which they now have been.
 

AlastairFraser

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The electrification design is future proofed for the rest of the planned Oxford rebuild, no need to wait.
One of the main previous reason for deferral of electrification was that it needed the recent phases of the station rebuild and resignal to have been completed which they now have been.
Is that just the modification of the station for new Chiltern services enabled by the Evergreen 3 services or the entire rebuild of Oxford station in the pipeline due to traffic levels? It would probably be a waste of time and money to electrify the station and Cherwell Valley Line now when that section would have to be comprenhensibly rebuilt later when the new Oxford station is funded and rebuilt.
 

Pete_uk

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I would like to see around two electrification projects going at once for a decade or more. Do the MML, once finished, do Exeter (or something that way) to Birmingham while Manchester and the Pennines are done, once that's finished.... Etc
 

swt_passenger

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Is that just the modification of the station for new Chiltern services enabled by the Evergreen 3 services or the entire rebuild of Oxford station in the pipeline due to traffic levels? It would probably be a waste of time and money to electrify the station and Cherwell Valley Line now when that section would have to be comprenhensibly rebuilt later when the new Oxford station is funded and rebuilt.
I’m pretty sure, (from previous discussions), that what @hwl means is that the only foreseeable modifications, such as the additional P5 on the down side, or converting P2 into a through platform, are already accounted for in the re-signalling and track changes in 2018.
 
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AlastairFraser

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I’m pretty sure, (from previous discussions), that what @hwl means is that the only foreseeable modifications, such as the additional P5 on the down side, or converting P2 into a through platform, are already accounted for in the re-signalling and track changes in 2018.
Ah OK, that makes sense thanks. My point is that it would be stupid to electrify and remodel the station and then waste all that infrastructure and money for it to be replaced in a station rebuild 10 years down the line. I think Oxford's going to need the extra capacity for the new services in the pipeline down the old Wycombe Railway/GWR line to the Kassam Stadium/Cowley.
 

InTheEastMids

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The MML won't be wired in time, there are several problem locations and the diversionary routes were never going to be done hence MML needs bimodes

The bimodes will be diesel under the wires if the Market Harborough extension and modifications South of Bedford aren't done, otherwise there won't be enough power and/or they won't be able to travel at 125mph and keep time. So in this case I think they're just waiting for the right moment to re-announce it.

The test of this government is not only what more they sign off beyond this, but also whether it is a good balance between ambition and deliverability
 

deltic08

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Market Harborough ought to be at the head of the queue, considering design work was authorized a year ago and construction teams will shortly be wrapping up the Bedford-Corby electrification just down the line, with costs coming out well below GWML according to the RIA report. It also has the political advantage of benefitting the Midlands and North.

Any design that's been done for Oxford and Bristol will probably need looking at again to take out any overspecification, so isn't really shovel-ready. Between those two I'd expect Oxford to get priority, as it's a smaller scheme and can eliminate some DMU workings. The Bristol routes can't be finished until the Temple Meads East re-modelling is done.
But they can move west towards Bristol as far as Bath or even just short of East Junction on both routes surely?
 
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