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  1. Justin Smith

    How much longer will social distancing go on for in the UK?

    I would agree with you because this country is very open and many people do travel including long haul. We're also a bolshy lot who don't like doing what we're told (some more than others I grant you) so draconian lockdowns were never going to work. I was surprised it was as well adhered to as...
  2. Justin Smith

    How much longer will social distancing go on for in the UK?

    And then be shut down again for all these local lockdowns, and having to quarantine everyone who comes into this country. We may have a relatively high death rate, but at least (in my opinion) that means we are well on the way to herd immunity. We are not as dependent on a vaccine as, say, NZ or...
  3. Justin Smith

    Media Coverage of COVID -19

    Typical BBC bias...... I have just seen on "Breaking news" (on BBC News 24) Where to start with this ? Well, on the one hand they have said "people who tested positive for Covid", as opposed to "people have died from Covid". A very important distinction, but possibly lost on many people...
  4. Justin Smith

    How much longer will social distancing go on for in the UK?

    The graphs do NOT show that social distancing and lockdowns have worked. I cannot understand how you can conclude that. To recap, as the lockdowns were unwound, including the reduction in the social distancing "rule" from 2m to 1m and the opening of pubs (and I've been into a few pubs and social...
  5. Justin Smith

    How much longer will social distancing go on for in the UK?

    Not sure what you mean, other than an increased infection rate could be down to increased testing. But I think people can get too hung up on the infection rate, it is essentially irrelevant other than as a possible predictor of the death rate a few weeks down the line. However, that link appears...
  6. Justin Smith

    How much longer will social distancing go on for in the UK?

    But the point is, if it'd been a BLM protest Or some other Politically Correct* one (like gay rights or similar) would the organiser have been prosecuted ? I think not. I do know for a fact that the demo would have been on the BBC news...... * Gordon Bennet I sound like I read the soddin'...
  7. Justin Smith

    How much longer will social distancing go on for in the UK?

    What does that mean, objectively speaking ?
  8. Justin Smith

    How much longer will social distancing go on for in the UK?

    This graphic might be if interest. People's adherence to the lockdown actually started easing off within a few weeks but it is not easily quantifiable (other than traffic density, does anyone know where to get those stats ?). I worked right through this Covid episode (so was "out and about")...
  9. Justin Smith

    How much longer will social distancing go on for in the UK?

    I've got a question, or more accurately two questions (with a follow up question), for those on here who think we should be continuing with all this social distancing and face masks and intermittent local lockdowns. 1 - If no vaccine or effective drug treatment is found for Covid, how long do...
  10. Justin Smith

    How much longer will social distancing go on for in the UK?

    How many of the organisers of the BLM protests were arrested ?
  11. Justin Smith

    Media Coverage of COVID -19

    And there is lots of good news about Covid out there, the govt just don't want us to hear it because they want everyone to be permanently "alert" (i.e. scared). They can Eff Off*.... * Eff Off is officially not swearing, David Cameron used it in the 2014 Scottish independence referendum campaign !
  12. Justin Smith

    Media Coverage of COVID -19

    As far as Covid is concerned we are in a post rational world......
  13. Justin Smith

    Media Coverage of COVID -19

    "Professor Neil Ferguson OBE" has just been interviewed on R4's Today. It was a very frustrating experience. They gave him a very easy time and never asked him any awkward questions, or pointed out the fact many of his previous predictions had been wide of the mark. So, the BBC give him fawning...
  14. Justin Smith

    Covid : Infection rates v death rates and a possible second wave

    I'd just like to clarify something. I have repeatedly said there will be "no second wave" in any country with a death rate above 500 per million, particularly any European country. I am referring to deaths not infections. TBH, I'm only really bothered about how many people die from this virus...
  15. Justin Smith

    Class 40 hauling ETH (air con) stock ? ! ?

    If it had been a sunny warm day (and it was late May) I hate to think how hot it got in those coaches. At least the door windows dropped down, these days it'd be even worse as hardly any coaching stock has drop down door windows.
  16. Justin Smith

    Class 40 hauling ETH (air con) stock ? ! ?

    That's a double negative, I assume you mean they were never ETH fitted ! Have you any idea how a non ETH loco can be hauling an air conditioned train in the summer ?
  17. Justin Smith

    Class 40 hauling ETH (air con) stock ? ! ?

    In one of my books about the ECML there is a picture of 40 117 hauling a 10 coach train (the 08.05 from York to KX) south through Grantham. It was on the 24 May 1980, and the fact it was Summer is relevant because the train is made up of MkII air con stock. But I didn't think class 40s were ever...
  18. Justin Smith

    How low would the (average) death rate for Covid have to fall for us to totally get back to normal ?

    What we are interested in is the average death rate for those infected with Covid. I fully agree that determining that is very difficult unless everyone in the country is tested every day (although that did not stop "experts" claiming, at the start of this back in March, that the average death...
  19. Justin Smith

    How low would the (average) death rate for Covid have to fall for us to totally get back to normal ?

    Of course I understand that people can have a different opinion to me, and in this case there is no right and wrong answer. But there is provable inconsistency. Some people have a high risk aversion, but they still drive (or get driven), so, for whatever reason, they are being highly...
  20. Justin Smith

    UK face coverings discussion

    Are you being ironic ? The problem with forums is you can't always tell..... I'll take your answer seriously, after all some people (in this post rational world of ours probably do think that) the problem we have is too much fear and too little understanding of risk probability......

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