MackTen
Member
Which of these two possible futures seems more science fiction than realistic objective right now....
* A return to Speedfreight/Speedlink type freight traffic, taking advantage of driverles trains, automated shunting and routing, with the last 20 or so miles done by human powered road monkeys.
* Widesrprad adoption of driverless road freight.
Absent all the usual obstacles, namely unions, a visionless DfT, and the awful planning system, I see the first option to be highly achievable, potentially capturing a huge market share by firstly undercutting the non-automated freight sector, and then further benefitting as the roads just get more and more clogged up for well established reasons.
Automated trucks apparently have a hard time sensing road markings and generally dealing with unexpected errors in the bagging human crush barrier area, and it could take another decade to get that right, neither of which pose much problem to railways. By contrast, control of a train, collision avoidance, shunting and pathing, are all easily achievable with today's technology, and specifically, only vehicle mounted technology.
Obviously the system has to be fast, really fast, since even with all the gains of automation, you've got to make up the time lost in the load/unload. So we're looking at possibly the highest speeds ever seen on a freight railway, perhaps even with priority over certain passenger services.
It would have to be a state run monopoly or a 50 billion year franchise, if only to maximize the gains from return loads, which presents certain legal issues. But now we're not under the yoke of the European Union, we can presumably be as dementedly socialist in the way we facilitate our capitalist thirst as we like, as long as the network isn't carrying French cheese or Syrian refugees.
* A return to Speedfreight/Speedlink type freight traffic, taking advantage of driverles trains, automated shunting and routing, with the last 20 or so miles done by human powered road monkeys.
* Widesrprad adoption of driverless road freight.
Absent all the usual obstacles, namely unions, a visionless DfT, and the awful planning system, I see the first option to be highly achievable, potentially capturing a huge market share by firstly undercutting the non-automated freight sector, and then further benefitting as the roads just get more and more clogged up for well established reasons.
Automated trucks apparently have a hard time sensing road markings and generally dealing with unexpected errors in the bagging human crush barrier area, and it could take another decade to get that right, neither of which pose much problem to railways. By contrast, control of a train, collision avoidance, shunting and pathing, are all easily achievable with today's technology, and specifically, only vehicle mounted technology.
Obviously the system has to be fast, really fast, since even with all the gains of automation, you've got to make up the time lost in the load/unload. So we're looking at possibly the highest speeds ever seen on a freight railway, perhaps even with priority over certain passenger services.
It would have to be a state run monopoly or a 50 billion year franchise, if only to maximize the gains from return loads, which presents certain legal issues. But now we're not under the yoke of the European Union, we can presumably be as dementedly socialist in the way we facilitate our capitalist thirst as we like, as long as the network isn't carrying French cheese or Syrian refugees.