
Early signs that Covid may be rising in parts of the UK
Official estimates suggest there has been a small increase in infections in England and Northern Ireland.

The headline is misleading; Covid19 was the name given to a disease which was caused by a novel Coronavirus in an immunologically naive population.There are early signs of a possible increase in the number of people testing positive for Covid in England and Northern Ireland, officials from the Office for National Statistics say.
Their report suggests the small rise is likely to be driven by the BA.4 and BA.5 variants of Omicron.
Studies show these variants may be able to spread slightly more easily than "older" Omicron variants.
The latest estimates suggest around 990,000 people in the UK have Covid.
That is about 1.5% of the population (roughly one in 65 people) - up from about one in 70 the week before.
The latest data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) covers the week ending 2 June.
The situation now is very different; the vast majority of the population has good immunity against the virus, Sars-CoV-2, and very few people are immunologically naive. In order to have the best possible immunity, vaccination alone isn't enough and we do need exposure to the full virus. This is inevitable and the majority of people have had at least one exposure. Multiple exposures may be necessary to fully downgrade the virus to a similar status to the 4 well established human Coronaviruses.
The virus is also adapting to humans; this process, which is through natural selection and is entirely unavoidable and inevitable, is occurring in line with expectations. The fact it has adapted to become even fitter recently is of absolutely no surprise and this will continue to happen. Nothing unexpected is happening in this regard.
Interestingly, the Zoe Covid study used to be the first to predict rises. However their data (2 June) shows no increase up to that date and indeed shows a decrease up to that date, with an increase being very slight and more recently than that:


Latest Daily UK COVID-19 Data: Vaccines, Cases, Trends | ZOE
COVID infection & vaccination rates in the UK today, based on public data and reports from millions of users of the ZOE Health Study app

This does cover the whole of the UK though and no separate breakdown is available for England. It is also noteworthy that cases are higher in Scotland, still (probably as a result of a catchup in infections, from when cases were lower in Scotland than they were in England)
Maybe the Zoe Covid data is no longer a useful indicator and is no longer leading the way? I would imagine most people who used the app at the height of the pandemic would probably no longer feel it's relevant now. I've had a feeling they were losing their ability to predict increases as long as a year ago, so this should perhaps be of no surprise. Also the Zoe Covid data is based on symptoms but vast numbers of infections are asymptomatic these days.
I thought it was worth posting here because some media outlets will be wanting to push this story and the usual pro-restriction suspects and so called "experts" will no doubt want to engage in their usual fearmongering. Dubious attention-seeking individuals such Susan Michie, Eric Feigl-Ding, Christina Pagel, Trish Greenhalgh and their ilk will no doubt be desperately trying to remain relevant and try to get themselves yet more nonsense. They should be ignored.
I see hard left and authoritarian restriction activists are desperately trying to push the #CovidIsNotOver hashtag on Twitter; such odious individuals lack the intelligence to understand even basic concepts. They argue for restrictions in order to keep cases down, but any restrictions only serve to delay infections, not prevent them. Our regular exposure to Sars-CoV-2 throughout our lives is entirely expected, predicted, and unavoidable.
Sars-CoV-2 will be with us forever; it will never be "over" if the bar is set that the virus has to be eliminated or forever only circulating at low levels, as that simply will not happen.
We can expect to see many occurrences of a rise in infections and this will occur for as long as we are testing and measuring these infections. At some point this will no longer be deemed newsworthy. That day really should have happened by now, but the media are unlikely to want their Covid gravy train to come to a stop any time soon.