Given that that Cotswold Line, where the busiest stations have has shorter journey times to Paddington (and railcards and ticket types are on offer that are not available further west) does not generate huge volumes of off-peak passengers and has had a reasonably frequent off-peak service since 1993 - that has generated steady but not spectacular growth over that time - then the likes of Stroud, Gloucester and Cheltenham are not likely to start generating hundreds and hundreds of extra passengers all through the day any time soon.
And of course one service on the Sunday between Christmas and New Year - when a lot of people are still on an extended break and won't be back at work until Thursday, so are not following typical travel patterns - is an entirely representative one on which to base claims about what rolling stock is needed.
In technical terms, if someone will pay to build them, it is as simple as adding extra coaches all the way up to maximum train length of 312m* (ie 12-car) formations. The ability of infrastructure at stations and depots to accommodate such long trains is, of course, a different manner.
*From page 22 of the IEP technical specification
https://assets.publishing.service.g...s/attachment_data/file/82840/tts-redacted.pdf
Hitachi have not said a thing about how long they may be able to build more IET coaches or trains and their A-Train platform has been around in various forms since the 1990s, so future production/further development of the UK variant is perfectly possible. Alstom built more Pendolino coaches and complete trains for Virgin a decade after the first order and BR built the TGS coaches for HSTs four years after they entered service, while the Mk3bs for West Coast services were built at Derby a decade after the Mk3a order.
Do you mean all or not?
First you say all of GWR's 800 and 802s should be nine-cars - that's 93 sets and 93 nine-car trains will never ever be viable to operate, even in magic moneytree land. Then you say that that another type of bi-mode should have been ordered (so much for simplifying the train fleet after years of random HSTs, 180s and Turbos on the Oxford/Cotswold trains) for 'more regional' routes, as these are not 'main expresses', while 'even Cheltenham' should have nine-car trains.
You clearly know little or nothing about traffic between Oxford and London (a route that has had two FGW/GWR fast trains per hour since 2006) compared with Cheltenham (a route that has had, er, an HST every couple of hours outside the peaks*, with a dmu shuttle to and from Swindon in between the HSTs), never mind all the passengers along the Cotswold Line beyond Oxford, who can do a decent job of filling a nine-car IET in the peaks all by themselves. Which is why the route's peak trains are allocated nine-car sets - so where does that leave your 'more appropriate amount of carriages'?
*And when GWR had all 14 180s on its books up to 2008, they worked many of the off-peak Cheltenham route trains, which is a bit of a clue as to the volume of traffic there.
No, see above. The key factor in the decision on formations was that in terms of seating capacity 2x5 or 1x9 are pretty much the same.
And you, and certain others, don't get what is being said here, and was said elsewhere over and over previously.
Irishrail's constant argument is that lots of places (by now we've pretty much worked through every GWR express service you care to mention, apart from the West Country) do not actually need nine-car trains much of time, despite the far greater volumes of traffic they see all day, every day, pretty much year-round.
As opposed to the situation in Cornwall - good luck finding a single quote where anyone has stated in any thread on this forum that trains in Cornwall do not get busy in the summer, to back up your allegation.
It has been pointed out I don't know how many times that the rolling stock allocations for the summer period are different (just the same as they were in the past - do you think the stock for the London-Newquay trains appear like magic every summer?) and Clarence Yard keeps trying to tell you that an additional nine-car set is available for several months in the middle of the year.
Maybe you should come on a peak train to Great Malvern and see why GWR diagrams a nine-car IET on them - because all the nine-car sets on off-peak Cotswold Line trains that irishrail keeps going on about (so much for no one mentioning them) scarcely existed before the timetable change and they don't exist now, as the diagrams changed the other week, as the timetable is no longer based in large part on what HSTs used to do.
About three-quarters of Cotswold Line services are five-car and guess when the other 25%, worked by nine-cars, are running - weekday peaks and the busiest times at weekends. Amazing, who'd have thought that...
Some of us have enough common sense not to demand laughable over-provision of seating capacity at times of the day when it is not needed - again, just show me a single quote from this forum where anyone has ever demanded nine-car trains all day on most services or every service running west of Oxford.
The only people interested in gold-plating are the ones demanding that trains between London and Cornwall should have nine cars all the way, all day. And please don't give us the 'we don't mean all of the trains' line yet again - work though the diagrams and a train that is quiet one way pr part of the way is likely to be very busy going in the other direction.
'To be fair...'
You are joking, aren't you?
No one has ever said that the Cotswold Line needed nine-car trains all day, or most of the day, or anything like that, have they?
You were told by me months ago (because I actually did the maths, instead of spraying around unfounded claims) that even under the interim way of operating, with IETs taking over the HST/180/Turbo-based timetable, that over 60% of Cotswold Line services were already worked by five-car IETs. You were also told that figure would go up to at least 70% come December, and a few late changes to allocations have pushed that to about 75% now.
Which "few morning ones off Penzance" do you mean? None of the IET departures from Penzance before 9am is worked by a set that comes from Plymouth, so far as I can see. And the trains then have to work back from London in the other direction. Guess what times the early trains up from Penzance return from Paddington, unless they all are all being sent straight to the depot to be replaced by a fresh formation out of North Pole? That's right, the 10.04, 12.04 and 14.04 departures. While the late-morning trains from the South West then work back in the late afternoon...
So all those trains from London in late afternoon and early evening the previous day down to Cornwall and all the early trains they form back out out of Penzance would have to be nine-car sets in order for those trains in the middle of the day from London to be nine-car - so much for some nine-cars, or a few nine-cars.
Work through the whole day's timetable and the only thing there would be few of would be trains between Paddington and Penzance not worked by a nine-car set.