So to update this further and faced with the situation of having no last train back from London Bridge to my local station on a weekday this week, next week and quite possibly for several weeks or months after (although I think its likely that most of the services that normally run in to and out of London Victoria rather than London Bridge on a Saturday based timetable will do so again after January 17th) today I decided to visit both Horsham and Dorking stations (both of which represent legitimate routing paths from a London Terminus to travel back to Ockley Station) and ask both for their opinion on how long this much reduced xmas week service might last and on what would happen if a passenger with a legitimate return ticket from Ockley to a London terminus arrived at their station and found themselves unable to reach Ockley station at a time when train services permitting them to do so would still normally be running.
So for various reasons including train timings I traveled first from Ockley to Horsham station, which both due to both higher passenger numbers than Dorking (2.8 million passengers per year pre pandemic vs 1.1 million for Dorking) and due to its important function in splitting and joining fast and slow trains travelling up and down the Arun Valley line and further along the coast (eg to Portsmouth Harbour and Southampton) both has a proper station manager (who is also station manager of at least 9 surrounding stations including Dorking and Crawley) and seems to have a peak daytime staffing complement of up to about 10 members of staff compared to an apparent maximum complement of 4 staff members at Dorking.
So at Horsham I encountered a very good attitude from the staff who were hugely sympathetic to the issue of the three stations between Dorking and Horsham being deprived of their usual level of weekday evening service and they told me that it was only because of lobbying by their own station's staff, including the station manager, that a first service of the day to Dorking, Leatherhead (including the important connection at Leatherhead to Guildford) and Epsom at 8.14am from Horsham (the normal Saturday service timetable start time) was not adequate for the needs of those going to work that a decision had been made to convert a train leaving Horsham at 5.50am that normally runs empty up to London anyway on a Saturday in to a passenger train, even though there was then a gap of 2 hours and 24 minutes until the next direct service to Dorking and northwards. So I said taking that point wasn't there also a counterpart train back from London Bridge in the evening that ran empty out of service to Horsham from Dorking and couldn't that also be made in to a passenger service at minimal extra cost. They said that this point had also been made by staff at their station but the GoVia train management response was to claim that the 15 or so extra minutes it might take the 2326 from London Bridge to continue south of Dorking to Horsham (which it still runs to anyway but empty) would put the driver crew over their maximum hours. I have to say I am unconvinced that answer by management is a truthful one and I think the real reason is because Southern train management staff have an ingrained prejudice against running any train services that have a frequency of less than hourly, even though that arrangement ran quite happily for over 14 years in respect of the 2326 weekday service from London Victoria to Horsham via Leatherhead and Dorking. And only once during this period did I narrowly miss the 1920 service to Ockley and so have to wait another 4 hours and 6 minutes to catch my next train home.
They then suggested to me (rather than vica versa) that if I was to turn up at Horsham Station at the customer service and train management desk on Platforms 3 and 4 with a valid return ticket from Ockley in the evening saying I was unable to get home as the temporary Omicron driver shortage Saturday Service based timetable had removed my normal last weekday train that they would happily use the Southern taxi account to call me a taxi to take me to Ockley Station (which happens to be 0.75 miles after the taxi passes right by the entrance to the road I live in so with any luck the taxi driver would drop me off there). They did however say that it would of course depend on who was on duty when I got there and they couldn't guarantee everyone on duty would call me a taxi and also that I might have to wait quite some time at a busy time of night for the taxi to arrive. The one point I didn't broach with them was the normal last possible train to reach Ockley northbound on the regular timetable leaves Horsham at 2114, whereas the last last train from Dorking station to Ockley on the regular timetable is at 0026. So going via Horsham and being offered a taxi home would probably only get me back just under 3 hours later than the last train out of London Bridge to Horsham. Better than a last train home from London at 1725 but still not good enough to be able to go out in London for the evening.
However since it would clearly be much better to have the option of travelling to Dorking on the last service from London Bridge at 2326 reaching Dorking at 0030 I then got on the train up to Dorking to pose the same question where I met a very different reaction indeed. Dorking does not have a station manager as it is managed by the Horsham Station Manger (but actually I wasn't talking to the station manager at Horsham but only one of the supervisors as the station manager was not there this afternoon) but it does have a supervisor and the gentleman there tonight in the station control room could only be described as both inscrutable and something of a customer hater all at the same time. So his response re whether he thought it was reasonable that the last train of the day on a weekday from London Bridge to Ockley was 1725 on this extended Christmas timetable was one of "no comment" (which he refused to budge from) and then when I asked if I turned up on the last train from London Bridge reaching Dorking at 00.30 would he call me a taxi to Ockley his reply was definitely not. I then wandered around to the barriers where there was a barrier operator/ticket collector staff member but also coming back from his break some kind of No.2 to the Station Supervisor. This guy was not what I would call a hardened customer hater or cruncher (which the station supervisor definitely did seem to be) and was genuinely sympathetic to the problem of the vastly reduced weekday evening service south of Dorking. However he made it clear ultimately the decision on a taxi was not his call but that of the station supervisor and it was clear that the supervisor I met tonight would definitely not call me a taxi if arriving back on the last Southern train of the night to Dorking.
So it seems that if I catch the 2000 train from London Bridge that gets to Horsham at 2109 on the current weekday timetable that there is a pretty fair chance the station supervisor there would call a taxi to take me to Ockley station but I doubt this would happen if I arrived at Horsham on the 2300 from London Bridge arriving at 0005 or even the 2343 arriving at 0049 because their argument could obviously be that the last connecting train on that routing to Ockley left Horsham at 2114.
So I think clearly work to be done here in corresponding with Southern management highlighting the major discrepancy in the policy position of the Dorking and Horsham station supervisors this afternoon and suggesting that as the regular latest possible journey to Ockley on a weekday on the normal timetable is the 2325 reaching Dorking at 0026 and Ockley at 0038 that the station supervisor there should be instructed to call a taxi for anyone arriving at Dorking with a valid ticket to Ockley on that train or on any earlier train after the final 1725 service of the day from London Bridge to Ockley has departed Dorking at 1830, some five hours before the normal last service to Ockley of the day from Dorking on a weekday.
Clearly its very unsatisfactory that whether or not one might be called a taxi to make up for Southern's ridiculous early termination of through services south of Dorking on a weekday should depend on the personality of the station supervisor and instead some kind of firm guidance on this question from Southern senior management is needed so that passenger can be sure that they will still get home at a time of day when through train services as far as Dorking are still available........
Long essay I will agree but I think there was a lot of ground to cover there and I think its worthwhile when its more than possible that this no trains south of Dorking on a weekday after the 1725 service from London Bridge or London Victoria (I'm guessing that trains will be re-timetabled to run from London Victoria after Jan 17th but only running on a Saturday timetable service base) situation might continue until the summer timetable in May if not indefinitely. Although I'm hoping that all of this won't be necessary and that Southern management will come to its senses and realise its totally unreasonable that passengers south of Dorking can't get home at all in the evening and hence that they will agree to convert the 2326 currently running from London Bridge (and probably soon from London Victoria) that runs out of service from Dorking to Horsham anyway back in to a passenger train. In addition I think its completely unreasonable for the final early evening service of the day to Horsham via Dorking from London on a weekday to be at 1725 so I think that services should also be provided at 1825 and 1925 and probably also 2125. However if that really isn't possible with the driver resource that Southern will have available after Jan 17th then the 2325 service definitely should still be made a passenger train given that it runs anyway but empty after Dorking on this timetable so making it a passenger train south of Dorking requires negligible extra staff resource other than the additional on board supervisor required to run in passenger service (who at this time of night would come up by taxi from Horsham to Dorking and then travel on the train from Dorking back to Horsham).
Clearly battle will now ensue between those who seem to be on my side here and those who have been loud and eloquent (a number of whom I strongly suspect either live in large towns with frequent train services or may even be under cover members of Southern or GoVia's train planning team given one poster's extraordinarily detailed knowledge of the history and characteristics of the line from Dorking to Horsham) in essentially arguing that the line from Dorking to Horsham ought to have closed down at the time of the Beeching Report and who therefore claim that I'm lucky to still have any trains at all, no matter how slow, infreqent or early terminating in nature that service might be......................