This my first thread, hopefully i have put it in the right place.
What do you think the future looks like for air travel taking into account covid-19 and the climate change?
For me i think the 2030's are going to be tough on the industry. Covid-19's fallout has/will cause major cash flow/capacity contraints going forward. We could be looking at new fleets being delayed/cancelled, smaller airlines will likely go bankrupt or be merged into the bigger carriers. In terms of demand im sure there will be a boost after restricitons are lifted but what are we looking at 60%-80% by 2022/23.
After the announcement that the french government had scrapped paris cdg expansion on environmental grounds,i am starting to wonder what this is going to do to future demand. I am concerned about climate change but i do think aviation gets a bad rap from environmentalists. Also i think aviations benefits are largely ignored. Tourism is extremelly importent to many countries, many of them very poor and tourism brings development and economic growth.
I think demand should be contained in the short/medium term and long term fast growth should be allowed once technology has sorted the greenhouse gas problem. Policies i would use would be -
Frequent flyer levy - 2 free return flights a year then increasing rapidly with a cap on number of flights at 12 return flights per year. Some business should be exempt e.g. news media, governement officals, medic teams etc.
Set co2 standards - to push development of alternative fuels/more efficient aircraft.
Ban flights - on direct routes which you could travel by train in 3 hours or less.
Tax - on distance travelled to discourage trips on long haul 4500km+ (perhaps linked to frequent fly levy some how)
Airport capacity - ban new construction unless it can comply with climate standards. So unlikely until the mid 2030's.
I want to see growth in aviation and available to all people but it needs to change first so that growth can be sustainable. What do you think?
What do you think the future looks like for air travel taking into account covid-19 and the climate change?
For me i think the 2030's are going to be tough on the industry. Covid-19's fallout has/will cause major cash flow/capacity contraints going forward. We could be looking at new fleets being delayed/cancelled, smaller airlines will likely go bankrupt or be merged into the bigger carriers. In terms of demand im sure there will be a boost after restricitons are lifted but what are we looking at 60%-80% by 2022/23.
After the announcement that the french government had scrapped paris cdg expansion on environmental grounds,i am starting to wonder what this is going to do to future demand. I am concerned about climate change but i do think aviation gets a bad rap from environmentalists. Also i think aviations benefits are largely ignored. Tourism is extremelly importent to many countries, many of them very poor and tourism brings development and economic growth.
I think demand should be contained in the short/medium term and long term fast growth should be allowed once technology has sorted the greenhouse gas problem. Policies i would use would be -
Frequent flyer levy - 2 free return flights a year then increasing rapidly with a cap on number of flights at 12 return flights per year. Some business should be exempt e.g. news media, governement officals, medic teams etc.
Set co2 standards - to push development of alternative fuels/more efficient aircraft.
Ban flights - on direct routes which you could travel by train in 3 hours or less.
Tax - on distance travelled to discourage trips on long haul 4500km+ (perhaps linked to frequent fly levy some how)
Airport capacity - ban new construction unless it can comply with climate standards. So unlikely until the mid 2030's.
I want to see growth in aviation and available to all people but it needs to change first so that growth can be sustainable. What do you think?
Last edited: