I doubt the residents of Birmingham (albeit servied by Virgin), , Cheltenham, Bristol and Plymouth would appreciate losng their through services to the North and Scotland.
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I disagree, I like having trains from the southwest to Scotland and the northeast.
What about those from Burton, Derby, Sheffield and Wakefield who rely on XC to provide direct services to Scotland and the rest of the East Midlands with one change at Sheffield every hour to reach Scotland?
What is the market from Burton to "Scotland"? Or from Cheltenham?
Whilst knowing that two places hundreds of miles apart are linked by a direct service is appealing, I think that the bigger priority for Burton/ Cheltenham etc would be extra capacity on services to central Birmingham, since this is the kind of journey that many people make each day (before we worry about esoteric links).
If all XC trains were terminated at Newcastle would that give any scope to restoring any sections of routes that were culled during Operation Princess?
I don't know what links you have in mind.
The Southern Region will be pretty full up, in terms of Brighton/ Plymouth/ Weymouth.
Maybe Cardiff/ Swansea, but is a Voyager running under the wires going to be a great use of resources (since the GWML will be electrified before we are in any realistic position to start reintroducing old links)?
Putting Liverpool back on the XC map would presumably mean reducing the current through services from Manchester to Bristol/ Reading (since any Liverpool service beyond Birmingham will have to come at the expense of a current through service from somewhere else).
Maybe if XC aren't running to Scotland then that frees up the possibility of some Hull services (though of course Hull was never on the Princess map).
Beyond that, I can't think of anything.
Why would XC trains terminate at Newcastle if they pulled out of Scotland - surely the core route ends at Leeds or York. Beyond, it represents duplication - indeed you could argue that an concentrating the network on an X ending at York/Leeds, Manchester, Bristol and Reading is probably all that is really needed.
If GWR are going to be running an hourly service from Bristol to Plymouth (?) then that covers much of that leg.
I think that the best use of the resources we have at the moment would be to focus on the core that you've mentioned (maybe with the "via Doncaster" service continuing to run to Newcastle), with the kind of early/late services beyond to maintain some token through link (like BR's three a day from Edinburgh down the ECML in the morning and three back up in the evening).
In Theory, you could have the Aberdeen and Dundee trains still run as per normal.
Example:
Southbound in the mornings from Newcastle in order
1V83 0625 NCL - RDG
1V48 0645 NCL - PLY
1O84 0725 NCL - SOU
1V50 0606 EDB - PLY (HST)
1V85 0625 EDB - RDG
1V52 0601 GLC - PLY
1O86 0935 NCL - SOU
1V54 0632 DEE - PLY (HST)
1V87 1035 NCL - RDG
1V56 1042 NCL - PLY
1O88 1135 NCL - SOU
1V58 1144 NCL - PZN
1V89 1235 NCL - RDG
1V60 0820 ABD - PZN (9 car set from NCL to PLY)
1O40 1335 NCL - GLD
1V62 1343 NCL - PZN
1V91 1435 NCL - RDG
1V64 1442 NCL - PLY
1V96 1535 NCL - RDG
1V66 1541 NCL - PLY
1V93 1635 NCL - RDG
1V68 1641 NCL - PLY
1O94 1735 NCL - SOU
1V70 1741 NCL - BRI
1M72 1835 NCL- BHM
1V71 1843 NCL - BRI
1M76 1935 NCL - BHM
1M00 1942 NCL - BHM
Northbound arriving at Newcastle
1E34 Ex Derby arr 0838 forms 1O86
1S31 Ex BHM arr 0927 forms 1V87
1E38 Ex BHM arr 0947 forms 1V56
1S33 Ex BHM arr 1030 forms 1O88
1E42 Ex BHM arr 1045 forms 1V58
1S35 Ex BTH arr 1129 forms 1V89
1E79 Ex GLD arr 1145 combines with 1V60 to form a double set as far as PLY
1S37 Ex PLY arr 1229 forms 1O40
1E82 Ex RDG arr 1245 forms 1V62
1S39 Ex PLY arr 1329 forms 1V91
1E86 Ex WIN arr 1345 forms 1V64
1S41 Ex PLY arr 1429 forms 1V96
1E32 Ex RDG arr 1445 forms 1V66
1S43 Ex PZN arr 1529 forms 1V93
1E36 Ex SOU arr 1545 forms 1V68
1S45 Ex PLY arr 1625 splits, with front portion departing for ABD at 1637, rear portion forms 1V96
1E40 Ex RDG arr 1645 forms 1V70
1S47 Ex PZN arr 1725 forms 1M72
1E44 Ex SOU arr 1745 forms 1V71
1S49 Ex PLY arr 1833 splits. Front portion to DEE dep 1840, rear portion forms 1M76
1E48 Ex RDG arr 1845 forms 1M00
1S51 Ex PLY arr 1932 dep 1935 to GLC (HST)
1S52 Ex SOU arr 2001 (Terminates)
1S53 Ex PLY arr 2032 dep 2035 to EDB (HST)
1E56 Ex RDG arr 2042 (Terminates)
1S55 Ex PLY arr 2128 dep 2135 to EDB
1E60 Ex SOU arr 2144 (Terminates)
1E64 Ex RDG (Terminates)
That should work, leaving enough spare sets to double sets up through the core, while the off peak daytime traffic North of Newcastle is handled by VTEC and TPX. HST diagrams unaffected. Aberdeen and Dundee runs plus one Glasgow run per day each way also unaffected
Codes:
NCL = Newcastle Central
EDB = Edinburgh
RDG = Reading
PLY = Plymouth
SOU = Southampton
GLC = Glasgow Central
DEE = Dundee
PZN = Penzance
ABD = Aberdeen
BRI = Bristol Temple Meads
BHM = Birmingham New Street
BTH = Bath Spa
WIN = Winchester
GLD - Guildford
I like that.
I like that a lot.
Surely a lot of the issue with XC is that they need to manage demand because their trains are so damn small. I pretty much avoid XC like the plague when making long intercity journeys and have at times made 50% savings doing so.
Would an increase in train capacity (allowing more doubled-up core services) allow for a greater number of lower cost advance tickets, or even non-Advances?
Whilst it'd probably be naïve to assume price cuts on normal tickets, I'd like to think that if XC had more capacity to accommodate more passengers then they'd price their tickets much more competitively.
I know they are expensive, but the current franchise is stick with the short trains of the previous franchise - pricing people off the route is how BR would have done it.