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Overspeeding incident at Grantham South Junction (RAIB investigation) -- 25/2/25

Nicholas Lewis

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TPWS would not really be effective in these cases. How far back from the junction do the arming and trigger loops go? At that point the train would be travelling at a lower speed anyway. Using the Grantham incident as an example, it could be that the train might only be travelling at 40mph over the loops, does it need to be tripped then? The loops cant tell whether the train is already braking or in this case still accelerating.

I know of an incident at West London Junction where a train went over a crossing at 40mph (crossing speed 15mph). The distance between signal and junction was not that far but the acceleration of trains these days makes incidents like this more likely and perhaps more dangerous.

What will convince them? Perhaps only a derailment and loss of life?
Im surmising this is another example where the driver has a green aspect with the junction indicator alight but the actual point of divergence some distance away. It would seem more appropriate to have a restricted aspect in these cases and only step up the signal beyond the point of divergence once the train was actually detected on the points. The other aspect here is acceleration rate of modern trains is significantly above what had been built by BR.
 
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Is the railway incapable of smoothing out some of these turn outs to increase speed, space permitting, as and when track in the area is due for renewal or adjustments are being made to signalling? Really dont understand why we have 25mph turnouts from mains to slows on ECML unless space is the constraining factor.
 

edwin_m

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Is the railway incapable of smoothing out some of these turn outs to increase speed, space permitting, as and when track in the area is due for renewal or adjustments are being made to signalling? Really dont understand why we have 25mph turnouts from mains to slows on ECML unless space is the constraining factor.
Faster turnouts cost more but also take up a lot more space, the length from switch to crossing being approximately proportional to the turnout speed. I think some of the turnouts at Spital Junction (site of the two previous similar incidents) are planned to have their speeds increased when next due for renewal, but this isn't always possible everywhere.
 

IanXC

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Im surmising this is another example where the driver has a green aspect with the junction indicator alight but the actual point of divergence some distance away. It would seem more appropriate to have a restricted aspect in these cases and only step up the signal beyond the point of divergence once the train was actually detected on the points. The other aspect here is acceleration rate of modern trains is significantly above what had been built by BR.

Given that there are only 3 signals on the slow itself, a double yellow when the route indicator is on would only be pulling back one aspect - and I'm guessing the turnout from the Slow back onto the Fast is also not particularly fast? Seems like the logical answer to me. Even if the driver misses the route indicator then driving to a double yellow means the overspeed over the points at the divergence will be much lower than would be the case if they were driving to a Green aspect. May well be the answer that needs implementing more widely for these circumstances too.
 

plugwash

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Again relating this to railways, the safety system is not automatic train control, it just sits there looking at a few simple parameters, in railway terms speed, location and signal state and will initiate a shutdown, i.e. remove power and apply brakes.
The fundamental problem is that while "speed" is a "simple parameter" for a safety system installed in a train cab "location and signal state" are very much not.
 

zwk500

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Is the railway incapable of smoothing out some of these turn outs to increase speed, space permitting, as and when track in the area is due for renewal or adjustments are being made to signalling? Really dont understand why we have 25mph turnouts from mains to slows on ECML unless space is the constraining factor.
Money is a fairly important factor.
 

transportphoto

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I'm guessing the turnout from the Slow back onto the Fast is also not particularly fast?
The Slow to Highdyke Junction is 40mph. I’m not sure whether this changes at the junction itself.
 

midland1

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The Slow to Highdyke Junction is 40mph. I’m not sure whether this changes at the junction itself.
The slow to fast at Highdyke Jn. is 40mph I checked with the appendix. As the slow is only 40mph and he took the 25mph points doing 55mph looked like the driver forgot he was to go on the slow.
 

rmHawk765

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That makes it all the more eye-raising that no physical measures have been taken to either stop or at least the mitigate the consequences of overspeeds at these junctions under such circumstances.

I'm equally fairly certain a weak excuse will be given. If Spital I and Spital II weren't enough to convince the powers that be that a more active form of prevention is required, what will convince them? TPWS would at least be reasonably quick to implement while we await ETCS.
TPWS is very difficult to implement for anything other than just plain signals at Danger. It's an unfortunate side effect of how it was designed to be cheap and the fact that it's a 'dumb' system, i.e there is no computer in the cab actually giving the driver real time information in advance, e.g PZB. For these sorts of low speed approaches, it is technically possible to release the signal from Danger later than usual and place the OSS loops closer together but it's difficult to time everything correctly.

We should have just not cheaped out and installed ATP or at least a cost optimised version that has the exact same safety benefits, not something that is '70% the same' or whatever nonsense they use to refer to TPWS.

Also I find it ridiculous when people say that ATP would have been very expensive. We never actually got a finalised version and by referring to ATP you are effectively referring to two experimental schemes that wouldn't have become the final product. Any nationwide version would have been considerably more refined and cost effective. TPWS has been quite effective at just preventing collisions from SPADs but its limitations became apparent very quickly and now we have issues like this that are quite hard to resolve with TPWS, so long term it hasn't even proved to be that cost effective. Here's to hoping they get a move on with nationwide ETCS.
 
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PupCuff

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I'll be honest, I'm not sure I fully understand why it is seen as "too difficult" to install TPWS to mitigate risk in these circumstances.

We already manage to install TPWS overspeed sensors which are suppressed under certain conditions - ie, when the signal is not red - at tens of thousands of locations across the network, so it doesn't seem an unreasonable jump to install loops on approach to a junction where the loops are suppressed for the main routing and active for the diverging routing?

In effect, it is just the principle of a signal OSS adapted to a PSR OSS. Yes, you still have the risk that the train will be under the set speed and still accelerating, but then the train would not be at a dangerously high speed over the junction anyway. Appropriate placing would catch the high risk cases.
 

Tetragon213

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TPWS is very difficult to implement for anything other than just plain signals at Danger. It's an unfortunate side effect of how it was designed to be cheap and the fact that it's a 'dumb' system, i.e there is no computer in the cab actually giving the driver real time information in advance, e.g PZB. For these sorts of low speed approaches, it is technically possible to release the signal from Danger later than usual and place the OSS loops closer together but it's difficult to time everything correctly.

We should have just not cheaped out and installed ATP or at least a cost optimised version that has the exact same safety benefits, not something that is '70% the same' or whatever nonsense they use to refer to TPWS.
TPWS is not as good as full ATP, but ATP is also quite expensive. Surely a pair of TWPS grids which are set to be energised when a diverging route is set can't be that difficult to implement?
I'll be honest, I'm not sure I fully understand why it is seen as "too difficult" to install TPWS to mitigate risk in these circumstances.

We already manage to install TPWS overspeed sensors which are suppressed under certain conditions - ie, when the signal is not red - at tens of thousands of locations across the network, so it doesn't seem an unreasonable jump to install loops on approach to a junction where the loops are suppressed for the main routing and active for the diverging routing?

In effect, it is just the principle of a signal OSS adapted to a PSR OSS. Yes, you still have the risk that the train will be under the set speed and still accelerating, but then the train would not be at a dangerously high speed over the junction anyway. Appropriate placing would catch the high risk cases.
Surely you could have 2 sets of grids, with the second set much closer to the crossover and set for the lower speed, such that if you have a driver who accelerates, they get caught by the 2nd OSS and the brakes get applied? At least they'll be at a much lower speed less likely to fling luggage and laptops from overhead racks onto skulls etc.
 

Railsigns

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Selectively suppressed TPWS overspeed system (OSS) loops to control trains' speed on approach to diverging junctions are nothing new; they have existed for many years.

The difficulty comes with attempting to use TPWS to prevent overspeeding at a junction by trains that accelerated from rest at the junction signal (where the distance from the signal to the junction is unusually long). If the OSS is positioned too close to the junction points, then it can't sufficiently reduce the speed of an overspeeding train before it reaches the junction. Position the OSS too far from the points, and the OSS set speed has to be high enough that it won't interfere with trains that weren't stopped at the junction signal and would therefore pass the OSS at a higher speed while correctly decelerating towards the junction.
 

Tetragon213

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Selectively suppressed TPWS overspeed system (OSS) loops to control trains' speed on approach to diverging junctions are nothing new; they have existed for many years.

The difficulty comes with attempting to use TPWS to prevent overspeeding at a junction by trains that accelerated from rest at the junction signal (where the distance from the signal to the junction is unusually long). If the OSS is positioned too close to the junction points, then it can't sufficiently reduce the speed of an overspeeding train before it reaches the junction. Position the OSS too far from the points, and the OSS set speed has to be high enough that it won't interfere with trains that weren't stopped at the junction signal and would therefore pass the OSS at a higher speed while correctly decelerating towards the junction.
Would it be possible to have 2 sets of loops in this case? I seem to recall that quite a few signals have 2 sets of OSS loops, including rather infamously the signal that Tangmere passed about 10 years ago.
 

zwk500

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Would it be possible to have 2 sets of loops in this case? I seem to recall that quite a few signals have 2 sets of OSS loops, including rather infamously the signal that Tangmere passed about 10 years ago.
At that point you're increasing the complexity to the point where you may as well have just installed any flavour of ATP. TPWS was primarily intended to reduce risk approaching conflicts, and was designed to be simple. For this scenario we're now looking at: 1 set of loops for the main route, 1 set of loops for the diverging route when passing Grantham, and 1 set of loops for the diverging route when stopped at Grantham. Arguably these work as layers, so you wouldn't need to switch off the higher-speed loops if the lowest speed route is set, but you'd still need some form of connection to detect the signals and stopping/non-stopping controls.

If there'd been budget for ATP in the ECML electrification project many of these issues would have been avoided. Hopefully as ETCS rolls out the cost to fit overlay protection will come down without needing to go fully Signals-Away and we can get the ATP benefits.
 

Railsigns

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Would it be possible to have 2 sets of loops in this case? I seem to recall that quite a few signals have 2 sets of OSS loops, including rather infamously the signal that Tangmere passed about 10 years ago.
Yes, but then you'd have two OSSs that are either ineffective at protecting accelerating trains or could interfere with decelerating trains. More TPWS isn't a practicable solution.

A measure that has been implemented in a few such cases is to install a permissible speed warning indicator and suppressible AWS magnet between the junction signal and the point of divergence. This provides a reminder to drivers of all trains routed towards the diverging line irrespective of their speed.

The long-term solution is ETCS.
 

edwin_m

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You just have to look at how long the ETCS programme is taking to see how long it would have taken to fit ATP network-wide starting in the 1990s, only to leave us with something non-standard and probably obsolete by now. The virtual elimination of SPAD-related casualty accidents since TPWS fitment says that something relatively quick and relatively cheap was the way to go.

However, it does seem to me a nonsense that TPWS doesn't fully protect against overspeeds at diverging junctions, when the issue of misinterpretation of junction aspects has been around for decades and has more recently been exacerbated by higher-performance trains. This could be achieved with several loops, only active when the points are set for the turnout, with their trigger speeds set to enforce an approximate 12%g braking curve down to the turnout speed at the switch. That way any accelerating train will trigger at the next loop if it is going too fast to brake down to the turnout speed. These incidents show a considerable overspeed can be tolerated without derailment or severe equipment damage, so there's quite a lot of leeway to prevent something really serious without risking false activations.
 

43066

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Selectively suppressed TPWS overspeed system (OSS) loops to control trains' speed on approach to diverging junctions are nothing new; they have existed for many years.

The difficulty comes with attempting to use TPWS to prevent overspeeding at a junction by trains that accelerated from rest at the junction signal (where the distance from the signal to the junction is unusually long). If the OSS is positioned too close to the junction points, then it can't sufficiently reduce the speed of an overspeeding train before it reaches the junction. Position the OSS too far from the points, and the OSS set speed has to be high enough that it won't interfere with trains that weren't stopped at the junction signal and would therefore pass the OSS at a higher speed while correctly decelerating towards the junction.

This is very well explained.

Of course TPWS activations are disruptive and may result in the driver being relieved of duty immediately even where, upon investigation, the braking curve the train was following was “safe”. So cluttering up the network with too many grids also has a downside in terms of disruption and burden on driver management teams.

You just have to look at how long the ETCS programme is taking to see how long it would have taken to fit ATP network-wide starting in the 1990s, only to leave us with something non-standard and probably obsolete by now. The virtual elimination of SPAD-related casualty accidents since TPWS fitment says that something relatively quick and relatively cheap was the way to go.

Agreed.

However, it does seem to me a nonsense that TPWS doesn't fully protect against overspeeds at diverging junctions, when the issue of misinterpretation of junction aspects has been around for decades and has more recently been exacerbated by higher-performance trains.

It’s just the function of how the system works - a system that, as you note, was designed to a cost and has proved extremely effective at reducing fatal incidents. Historically it has been risk assessed that approach release signalling of the various flavours available is sufficient to mitigate the risk at junctions. Higher performance trains may have slightly altered the calculus in recent years, but not necessarily enough to justify spending huge amounts on interventions prior to ETCS eliminating the issue over time.
 

Stampy

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I'm presuming that ETCS will come into play in the Grantham area when Doncaster PSB goes into York ROC?

All the lines south of Stoke Tunnel (The boundary between Doncaster and the old Peterborough PSB) are now under the control of York ROC.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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It does seem the root problem of these incidents is the location of the junction indicators at a considerable distance from the point of divergence such that any form of approach control has little impact especially on the higher performance trains. Thus perhaps some additional visual reminder could be added lineside similar to a preliminary route indicator to remind the driver with perhaps a magnet.
 

norbitonflyer

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They can get a shift on from a stand I've found.
That's part of the problem, both here and at Peterborough. The signalling was designed when such speeds would not be achievable at the critical point from the standing or rolling start at the previous signal. Modern trains, whether Arterios or Azumas, may have their shortcomings, but their acceleration is phenomenal.

A steam age driver would find it incomprehensible that drivers now have to slow down when they reach the top of Stoke Bank, and for someone to have posted a speed limit - of 100 mph! - through the tunnel at the summit would seem totally unncessary - 75 years ago it was an acheivement to get to the top at all!
 

rheingold103

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Replying to Stampy above...
Lineside signals and TPWS protection would need to remain even in an ETCS Level 2 area if all trains operating in the area aren't ETCS equipped. So this risk remains but, admittedly, is reduced.
 

Bald Rick

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It does seem the root problem of these incidents is the location of the junction indicators at a considerable distance from the point of divergence such that any form of approach control has little impact especially on the higher performance trains. Thus perhaps some additional visual reminder could be added lineside similar to a preliminary route indicator to remind the driver with perhaps a magnet.

Isn‘t it as simple as restricting the proceed aspect that is released after the approach control conditions for the junction signal have been met, to a single yellow? (As has been done at Peterborough 468, AIUI)
 

Pete_uk

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It might be a moot point with ETCS but is there a need to simplify signaling and layouts so the driver doesn't have to remember quite so much?
 

Nicholas Lewis

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Isn‘t it as simple as restricting the proceed aspect that is released after the approach control conditions for the junction signal have been met, to a single yellow? (As has been done at Peterborough 468, AIUI)
That was my suggestion above hold the first loop signal at red until the train activates the the track circuit on the diverging points. However, there is still a risk of forgetting as the point of divergence is so far away from the signal and also a risk you can sight the next main running signal and see its at a green and get false assurance? No solution is elegant like the SPAD signals introduced after Cowden but are a simple fix in advance of resignalling with ETCS.
 

Railperf

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For context. The signal for the turnout is situated at the South end of Platform one at Grantham. The points are just under half a mile south of there.

That's some going from a standing start. I don't know what the acceleration speed is for an Azuma.
An 801 can reach 60mph in 2140 feet, so well under half a mile

That was my suggestion above hold the first loop signal at red until the train activates the the track circuit on the diverging points. However, there is still a risk of forgetting as the point of divergence is so far away from the signal and also a risk you can sight the next main running signal and see its at a green and get false assurance? No solution is elegant like the SPAD signals introduced after Cowden but are a simple fix in advance of resignalling with ETCS.
Once you start introducing that level of control off the main line, the train diverging off will be at a crawl - likely impeding the train behind - which will start to see adverse signals - defeating the object of diverting it out of the way. In that case might it be better to keep the train in front on the main line and diverge off at a better place such as the SL after the tunnel.
Or better still install some 50-60mph turnouts onto the slow line up to Stoke tunnel - which would better suit the Class 80x acceleration profile and increase operational flexibility. I guess those turnouts are designed for EMR 158's which cannot achieve those speeds and are usually routed up the slow line.
 
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zwk500

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It might be a moot point with ETCS but is there a need to simplify signaling and layouts so the driver doesn't have to remember quite so much?
This is considered at complex locations but has to be balanced against restricting the capacity of the railway.

I'm presuming that ETCS will come into play in the Grantham area when Doncaster PSB goes into York ROC?

All the lines south of Stoke Tunnel (The boundary between Doncaster and the old Peterborough PSB) are now under the control of York ROC.
Being moved into the ROC does not automatically meant ETCS will be fitted.
Replying to Stampy above...
Lineside signals and TPWS protection would need to remain even in an ETCS Level 2 area if all trains operating in the area aren't ETCS equipped. So this risk remains but, admittedly, is reduced.
Indeed, although if ETCS L2 is fitted even as an overlay, ETCS fitted train could use it, which in this location will include all stock heading south of Peterborough, i.e.those most at risk of this kind of incident.
 

AJD

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Controversial opinion incoming...While the reference to higher performing trains is a valid one, there are other power settings we can select other than 'Max'

When the Class 800 fleet was new, a lot of drivers at my TOC correctly stated that the speeds out of London that were not attainable by the former fleet would easily be reached or exceeded with the Class 80x if not careful. I couldn't have agreed more, so my solution was to select approx 30-40% power and just let it run until posted line speeds exceed 95mph. Doesn't bust any speed limits or lose time.

When it comes to departing stations, the power stays in the lowest setting until I can be sure the train is clear of the platform. That first notch of power is still quicker than what the previous fleet could achieve from a stand, so there's no detriment to the timetable and it's smoother for all involved. The over-speeding incidents that have recently occurred on our network seem to have come off the back of drivers going straight to full power in situations that really don't warrant it.
 

Bald Rick

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Controversial opinion incoming...While the reference to higher performing trains is a valid one, there are other power settings we can select other than 'Max'

When the Class 800 fleet was new, a lot of drivers at my TOC correctly stated that the speeds out of London that were not attainable by the former fleet would easily be reached or exceeded with the Class 80x if not careful. I couldn't have agreed more, so my solution was to select approx 30-40% power and just let it run until posted line speeds exceed 95mph. Doesn't bust any speed limits or lose time.

When it comes to departing stations, the power stays in the lowest setting until I can be sure the train is clear of the platform. That first notch of power is still quicker than what the previous fleet could achieve from a stand, so there's no detriment to the timetable and it's smoother for all involved. The over-speeding incidents that have recently occurred on our network seem to have come off the back of drivers going straight to full power in situations that really don't warrant it.

If tou are an ECML driver that might be the case now, but won’t be from December. You’ll need to get on with things.
 

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