The government has clearly stated that it wants to ban all diesel trains by 2040, but to do so would require hundreds more miles of overhead electrification to be built, and in the looming economic crisis I’m not sure that this would be feasible in a 20-year timeframe. The other issue is that new diesel-only rolling stock such as the Class 196 and 197 is still in the process of being rolled out, so will be nowhere near life expired by the time 2040 comes along.
I therefore propose that rather than an outright ban on diesel by 2040, we limit it to running on certain lines where no other traction is feasible. My first suggestion would be to ban all production of new diesel-only rolling stock immediately, with diesel only being permitted as part of electric or battery multi-mode stock. That way, electrification can begin on routes which remove the most diesel mileage running under wires.
As more diesel-only units become life expired, their replacements would come in the form of bi or tri-modes, and allow electrification to be prioritised on the busiest routes. Assuming we let stock live to its full life expectancy, I would expect the Express Sprinters and Networkers to go in the mid-2030s, older Turbostars, Voyagers and Coradias in the 2040s, and 185 Desiros and newer Turbostars in the early 2050s, each being replaced with multi-mode units in the process where all-electric running is not possible. This would leave the CAF Civities consigned to running on routes where electrification, battery or hydrogen running has the lowest business case, such as in the Scottish Highlands.
I would expect diesel running under wires to be banned by 2050 but no outright ban on all lines until 2060 (legacy bi-modes would still be permitted but must run on electric or battery power all the time). By then, all of the national network must have been converted to allow electric, battery, hydrogen or other revolutionary carbon-neutral fuel running.
I know my idea is less ambitious but I just can’t see an outright diesel ban by 2040 in the current economic climate.
I therefore propose that rather than an outright ban on diesel by 2040, we limit it to running on certain lines where no other traction is feasible. My first suggestion would be to ban all production of new diesel-only rolling stock immediately, with diesel only being permitted as part of electric or battery multi-mode stock. That way, electrification can begin on routes which remove the most diesel mileage running under wires.
As more diesel-only units become life expired, their replacements would come in the form of bi or tri-modes, and allow electrification to be prioritised on the busiest routes. Assuming we let stock live to its full life expectancy, I would expect the Express Sprinters and Networkers to go in the mid-2030s, older Turbostars, Voyagers and Coradias in the 2040s, and 185 Desiros and newer Turbostars in the early 2050s, each being replaced with multi-mode units in the process where all-electric running is not possible. This would leave the CAF Civities consigned to running on routes where electrification, battery or hydrogen running has the lowest business case, such as in the Scottish Highlands.
I would expect diesel running under wires to be banned by 2050 but no outright ban on all lines until 2060 (legacy bi-modes would still be permitted but must run on electric or battery power all the time). By then, all of the national network must have been converted to allow electric, battery, hydrogen or other revolutionary carbon-neutral fuel running.
I know my idea is less ambitious but I just can’t see an outright diesel ban by 2040 in the current economic climate.
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