The 2019 General Election Result and Aftermath

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by ainsworth74, 12 Dec 2019.

  1. bussnapperwm

    bussnapperwm Member

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    LAB Hold Liverpool Walton + Sefton Central + St Helens S + Ealing Southall + Rotherham + Nottingham East
    SNP GAIN Ochil and Perthshire S from CON
    CON Hold Suffolk West + Lichfield + Pendle + Newton Abbot + Scarborough + Norfolk Mid
    SNP Hold Perth and Perthshire N
    CON GAIN Burnley + Ipswich from LAB

    LAB Hold Preston + Luton South + Pontypridd + Newport East
    CON Hold Torbay + South Ribble + Ashford + Baisingstoke
    CON GAIN West Bromwich West + Ynys Mon + Bishop Auckland from LAB

    Ah well, turkeys vote for Christmas, going to get burned
     
    Last edited: 13 Dec 2019
  2. bramling

    bramling Established Member

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    In a twisted sort of way it is partly about Brexit, in that there’s a youthful London-centric membership who couldn’t stomach Brexit, set against an electorate elsewhere in the country with a completely different view. This structural divide is going to prove very difficult to reconcile, as Brexit isn’t the only issue where there’s differences - immigration is another one. This is why we now have a London versus rest of England situation playing out going forward.

    I don’t think Labour are going to easily get those voters back, in the same way I don’t think the Conservatives are going to get the London votes back. Fortunately or unfortunately depending on one’s viewpoint one group outnumbers the other.

    Utterly shocking to see places like Wrexham and Redcar go blue. For sure they’d been thinking about it, but they’ve *actually* voted that way. That certainly is a significant change.
     
    Last edited: 13 Dec 2019
  3. TrafficEng

    TrafficEng Member

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    The BBC currently have the Conservatives on 65 to Labour's 61.

    I usually sit up into the early hours, but I don't remember the last time I went to bed with Labour trailing the Conservatives in seats declared so far.

    Some very high turnouts in key seats like St Albans, so it will be a long night for some people.
     
  4. bussnapperwm

    bussnapperwm Member

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    I've got 82/68 on sky
    --
    LAB Hold Liverpool W Derby + Leeds East + Bolton SE + Merthyr Tydfil + Wirral W
    CON Hold Wealden + Aldridge Brownhills + Wokingham + Bedfordshire SW + Brentwood + Telford
    SNP Hold Ayrshire N
     
  5. bb21

    bb21 Forum Staff Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Labour typically lead early on as urban votes are quickly counted.

    Those are some very valid points I can only agree.
     
  6. AlterEgo

    AlterEgo Veteran Member

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    Hahahahaha, you still don’t realise people are voting against this kind of smug and self-satisfied rhetoric. When will people learn?
     
  7. bussnapperwm

    bussnapperwm Member

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    CON Hold New Forest West + Cities of London and Westminster + Stevenage + Hornchurch and Upminster + Redditch + Middlesborough S + Forest of Dean + Gosport + Gloucester + South Holland + Clwyd West
    LAB Hold Torfaen + Edmonton + Liverpool Watertree + Wallasey Mitcham and Moreden + Newport W + Luton N
    CON GAIN Wolverhampton SW + Heywood and Middleton from LAB
    LD Hold Twickenham + Bath
    SF Hold Belfast W + Mid Ulster
    SF GAIN Belfast North from DUP
    SNP GAIN East Lothian from LAB
    CON GAIN Eastbourne from LD

    Tory holds over 100 seats
     
    Last edited: 13 Dec 2019
  8. AlterEgo

    AlterEgo Veteran Member

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    Nigel Dodds unseated by Sinn Fein. Brilliant night. Brilliant.
     
  9. bussnapperwm

    bussnapperwm Member

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    NI certainly have long memories when it comes to betrayal by the Brits
    --
    LAB Hold Tooting + Sheffield Brightside + Wolverhampton SE + Neath + Islington S + Hammersmith + Hull E + Lancashire W
    CON Hold Romford + Bedfordshire Mid + Sevenoaks + Chelsea and Fulham + Wyre Forest + Leicestershire NW + Witney + Watford
    DUP Hold Londonderry E
    PC Hold Carmarthen East

    CON GAIN West Brom E from LAB
    SNP Gain Renfreshire E from CON
     
    Last edited: 13 Dec 2019
  10. TrafficEng

    TrafficEng Member

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    Exactly my point. Labour normally race ahead and the Conservatives close the gap as dawn breaks.

    This feels very strange. Not just because it is December, and dawn will be much later than normal.
     
  11. bussnapperwm

    bussnapperwm Member

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    Sky Forecast is imminent

    Remember the exit poll showed a CON majority of 86
    --
    Sky predict....

    ... CON win 358-368 seats, LAB 192 - 202 seats. Possible majority of between 66-86
     
  12. AlterEgo

    AlterEgo Veteran Member

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    Swinson is at the count in East Dunbartonshire. Always fun to watch a party leader lose their seat.
     
  13. TrafficEng

    TrafficEng Member

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    The BBC have an analysis of party vote share changes by region. Labour are losing share in every region, even London where they are currently down 4.5%.

    LibDems gaining share in every region.
     
  14. bussnapperwm

    bussnapperwm Member

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    Dominic Raab retains his seat with Baron Badger of the Loonies getting 326

    LAB Hold Portsmouth S + Erith and Thamesmede + Oxford E
    CON Hold Derbyshire S + Worcestershire W

    LD Gain Richmond Park from CON

    LAB Reaches 100 Seats
    LAB Hold Hull North + Durham N + Eltham + Hayes and Harlington (with a fight breaking out at the latter)
    CON Hold Amber Valley + Hampshire East
     
  15. GRALISTAIR

    GRALISTAIR Established Member

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    Outstanding
     
  16. TrafficEng

    TrafficEng Member

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    It would almost be worth the £154.50 to be able to watch that one live.
     
  17. bussnapperwm

    bussnapperwm Member

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    CON GAIN High Peak + Barrow and Furness from LAB
    CON Hold Surrey East + Reigate + Moray + Yorkshire East + Staffordshire Moorlands
    LAB Hold Islington North despite Nick Brick from the Loonies, James Clark from the CONs and Yosef David from Brexit (Loonies and Brexit Party losing their deposits) challenging the seat
    SNP Hold Aberdeen North

    SNP GAIN Stirling from CON
     
  18. AlterEgo

    AlterEgo Veteran Member

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    Follow it on Twitter for free. I’m on Indonesian Airport WiFi hoping they call the result before I have to board my plane.
     
  19. bussnapperwm

    bussnapperwm Member

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    The leader of the babbling bumbling band of baboons has arrived to his count (0321hrs)

    LAB hold B'ham Selly Oak + Easington + Worsley and Eccles S + Bristol NW
    CON Hold Bury St Edmunds + Huntingdon + Sutton Coldfield + Hazel Grove + Hertfordshire NE + Harrow East + Cambridgeshire S + The Wrekin
    CON Gain Bolton NE + Delyn from LAB
    SNP Hold Cumbernauld
    DUP Hold Antrim East
    PC Hold Ceredigion

    RECOUNT AT COVENTRY SOUTH
     
  20. bramling

    bramling Established Member

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    Meanwhile a rather vindictive speech from Corbyn as I write this. This very chip-on-shoulder politics is what has been comprehensively rejected.
     
  21. 507021

    507021 Established Member

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    Corbyn has said he's standing down.
     
  22. bussnapperwm

    bussnapperwm Member

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    Tony Blair's old seat has gone to CON.

    I think i may head to bed as these ciders have got to me :( trying to drown my sorrows
     
  23. TrafficEng

    TrafficEng Member

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    I had a look, but couldn't see a video feed anywhere.

    In other news, Chuka Umunna fails to win by 4000 votes.
     
  24. AlterEgo

    AlterEgo Veteran Member

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    Corbyn reported as resigning by Britain Elects. Yes. In the bin.

    He hasn’t said a word since the polls closed. He’s dead meat.
     
  25. GRALISTAIR

    GRALISTAIR Established Member

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    Thank god for small mercies
     
  26. AlterEgo

    AlterEgo Veteran Member

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    Haven’t heard or read it, but no surprise. He’s been vanquished, and I’m pleased.
     
  27. 43066

    43066 Member

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    You’ll be flying back to a far better country.
     
  28. AlterEgo

    AlterEgo Veteran Member

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    Perhaps not immediately. But I hope the election provides the mainstream parties for some reflection and appraisal. Johnson was a dreadful, dreadful candidate, and has absolutely walked this election with his eyes closed.
     
  29. bb21

    bb21 Forum Staff Staff Member Global Moderator

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    A totally bewildering result returning a Brexit candidate in a strongly pro-remain area. Remain votes nicely split down the middle between Labour and Lib Dem to the benefit of Tories.
     
  30. GRALISTAIR

    GRALISTAIR Established Member

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    Totally agree
     

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