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Proposed new Liverpool & Manchester Railway

eldomtom2

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I must admit feeling frustrated by all the negative comments about the new LMR. Why come to this forum if you're against railway infrastructure? In the hopes of finding out about cancelled projects to celebrate?

I am not quoting any particular post as I am mainly venting and not interested in any back and forth, which seems to always end up being a debate about cars vs rail (transport forum equivalent of Godwins Law).

There's a 60 page report linked earlier in this thread but it's as if only a single data point is used to argue against the scheme: the fastest journey times taken in isolation. The project is transformational for existing routes and connections due to the current mixing of stopping patterns. The new scheme only has a few stops in order to be fast and reliable, but crucially, all existing stations outside the scheme will benefit. A few screenshots attached on this point.
I'm a bit confused. If there's currently 2tph fast and 1tph local on the CLC line, and the proposal to keep the 2tph fast on the CLC, where do the extra 2-3tph local trains come from? Does that mean the capacity for them is there already?

Looking at Japanese service patterns I'm continually impressed by how much they squeeze out of two-track lines with small terminuses. I wonder if the UK could learn from them.
 
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Shaw S Hunter

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The Chat Moss route used to be four track all the way from Eccles Station Junction out to the edge of the Manchester conurbation. It could be three or four-tracked again relatively easily with minimal disruption, leaving only a short tunnel needed to get under the river and into Central Manchester.
Except that for timetabling/pathing purposes additional tracks would be much more useful towards the middle of the route. A new line with an independent route in/out of Manchester also avoids it's timetable having to fit in with the Manchester tangle that currently causes so many problems.

We need more capacity (and not just in Manchester) and separated new tracks are a very efficient way of providing it be they high speed or not. Terminal capacity is another matter of course.
 

Grimsby town

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The Chat Moss route used to be four track all the way from Eccles Station Junction out to the edge of the Manchester conurbation. It could be three or four-tracked again relatively easily with minimal disruption, leaving only a short tunnel needed to get under the river and bypass Castlefield to get to Piccadilly and on to the Guide Bridge corridor.
It definitely isn't a four track alignment to east of Patricroft. It's clearly been built over. It'd be very disruptive to four track too. Look at TRU to the east of Huddersfield. Deighton is going to be closed for over a year to be rebuilt and tracks added. Is closing Eccles for that long acceptable? It's significantly busier than Deigton and likely to get even more so in the coming years from the additional high rise residential buildings.
 

HSTEd

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Thus wholly missing the point of a new line.

If it was purely about speed, a new line would be unnecessary. It's in effect four-tracking both the CLC and Chat Moss.
In order for the line to be acceptable to the public, it has to be more attractive than the status quo.

We have to be able to beat the status quo by at least a few minutes or the public will simply not support the project.
"You want to spend many billions to leave me with a worse journey than I had before" is a pretty damaging argument.

Even if the line is aimed at capacity, it still has to beat the fastest journey possible today, at least by a small amount.
 
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Zomboid

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It only has to match the existing really, given that the point is to allow many more stopping trains on the existing routes. The proposed route also improves journey times between Warrington/ Liverpool and the airport.
 

Brubulus

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This is a backdoor for 2b - don't think about it as anything else. Something that could be done to reduce journey times (by a few minutes at most) would be to follow the Fiddlers Ferry route to Dunham Massey and curve north towards Carrington, with a station just off the A6144, enabling a shorter tunnel, no real increase in HS2 journey times and slightly shorter journeys between Liverpool and Manchester.

However the reduction in costs is likely undone by all the new design work required.
 

HSTEd

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Given how the rest of HS2 is gone, I am not sure reusing design work is a good idea if you want the project to be finished at reasonable cost and schedule.

The same issues in specification etc that have caused such damage on earlier phases will be present in the Phase 2b work too.

Indeed the perception of reusing the work alone is probably damaging to chances of actually getting this scheme underway.

EDIT:

You will have to junk most of the existing work to accomodate the proposed underground station in any case.
 
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LNW-GW Joint

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Please tell me what to put in the National Rail journey planner then?
Manchester Airport to Liverpool Lime Street shown in the attached...
I think you might have the Sunday times there, with fewer trains and longer connections in Manchester (the direct train is very similar to weekday times).
I was quoting the weekday times (using fastjp which gives you times but not fares).
 

WAO

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Its not direct unless you smash through the end of Headbolt Lane.
...but it was supposed to have passive provision for a through service. Its failings (and virtues) deserve a topic on their own.

No one is interested in what occurred pre nationalisation, and I don't understand why people need to use a name for an air base that hasn't existed since 1957 according to Google.
The Victorians established routes through the best geography available; since then populations and settlements alongside their lines have mostly ballooned, hence the need for their increased use and enhancement

The problem with airports is that they give headline grabbing glamour (and so may be given pretentious new names, as with Speke and Shoreham), distorting for politicians, the transport aim of the greatest good for the greatest number.

WAO
 

Zomboid

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Given how the rest of HS2 is gone, I am not sure reusing design work is a good idea if you want the project to be finished at reasonable cost and schedule.

The same issues in specification etc that have caused such damage on earlier phases will be present in the Phase 2b work too.

Indeed the perception of reusing the work alone is probably damaging to chances of actually getting this scheme underway.

EDIT:

You will have to junk most of the existing work to accomodate the proposed underground station in any case.
The specification for the Manchester spur was more of a 200-230km route, so perhaps wouldn't be "over specified" in the way that one might suggest the trunk was. And even if it's only the alignment, a load of work will have been done showing that it's suitable, which won't have been done for a different route (which may turn out the not be useable anyhow).
 

Bletchleyite

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We have to be able to beat the status quo by at least a few minutes or the public will simply not support the project.
"You want to spend many billions to leave me with a worse journey than I had before" is a pretty damaging argument.

By this argument Merseyrail would never have been built because it had an adverse effect on the Liverpool-Preston-Scotland fast service.

Now, I'm well known for having issues with the way Merseyrail is operated at times, but a 4tph "S-bahn" style metro service is without doubt a benefit. Bringing this to the CLC and Chat Moss should sell it on its own rather than concentrating on tiny, irrelevant improvements in journey time for Liverpool-Manchester fast passengers.

"Creating an Elizabeth Line for east Liverpool and west Manchester and more punctual and reliable intercity journeys" (the former on the CLC and Chat Moss) is surely an excellent selling point on its own?

If of course this isn't the plan it's an utter waste of money and should be dropped - but it really *should* be the plan - a Merseyrail style 4tph EMU service on the whole set of City Lines has been overdue since the Northern and Wirral Lines first opened. Though of course a start would be reinstating the second stopper per hour on Chat Moss which does fit the timetable and is just missing because Northern/DfT can't be bothered.
 

LNW-GW Joint

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The Chat Moss route used to be four track all the way from Eccles Station Junction out to the edge of the Manchester conurbation. It could be three or four-tracked again relatively easily with minimal disruption, leaving only a short tunnel needed to get under the river and bypass Castlefield to get to Piccadilly and on to the Guide Bridge corridor.
The Chat Moss line was never more than 2 tracks through Newton le Willows, Earlestown and across the Sankey Brook viaduct.
That would be very disruptive to quadruple (with 4 current junctions plus a new one for the Parkside freight terminal).
The route through Rainhill was only 2-track.
Quadrupling over Chat Moss would be "interesting".

Most of the former 4-tracking west of Patricroft was short lengths for goods only (and the M60/62 bridges are only 2-track).
The Olive Mount formation (former fast lines) has been built on, including new signalling and OHLE masts as well as M62 encroachment.

The CLC route had even less 4-tracking, and the straight route through Warrington has been demolished and redeveloped.
The L&Y route via Atherton was fast and straight, mostly 4-track and with a Wigan by-pass, but is now unusable as a through route.
 

Bletchleyite

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The CLC route had even less 4-tracking, and the straight route through Warrington has been demolished and redeveloped.
The L&Y route via Atherton was fast and straight, mostly 4-track and with a Wigan by-pass, but is now unusable as a through route.

Of course there's no way you'd miss out Warrington or Wigan on any such line, so neither of the bypasses matter.

Like HS2 the extra two tracks fit better elsewhere - in this case on the Fiddlers Ferry route.
 

The Planner

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...but it was supposed to have passive provision for a through service. Its failings (and virtues) deserve a topic on their own.


The Victorians established routes through the best geography available; since then populations and settlements alongside their lines have mostly ballooned, hence the need for their increased use and enhancement

The problem with airports is that they give headline grabbing glamour (and so may be given pretentious new names, as with Speke and Shoreham), distorting for politicians, the transport aim of the greatest good for the greatest number.

WAO
Only for a Skelmersdale service. The route has never been intended as a Liverpool Manchester route. Its too slow for a start and would run in to Merseyrail services at one end. How anyone can accuse Manchester Airport as having headline grabbing glamour is beyond me.
 

may032

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Of course there's no way you'd miss out Warrington or Wigan on any such line, so neither of the bypasses matter.

Like HS2 the extra two tracks fit better elsewhere - in this case on the Fiddlers Ferry route.
There are so many HS2 parallels it’s slightly unnerving. Capacity being the requirement yet speed being the focus, no room for 4-tracking existing routes, the route being seemingly contentious (IMO the great being the enemy of the good), affordability concerns…
 

Bletchleyite

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There are so many HS2 parallels it’s slightly unnerving. Capacity being the requirement yet speed being the focus, no room for 4-tracking existing routes, the route being seemingly contentious (IMO the great being the enemy of the good), affordability concerns…

That might well be because half of it is actually a veiled HS2 2B.
 

Topological

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Only for a Skelmersdale service. The route has never been intended as a Liverpool Manchester route. Its too slow for a start and would run in to Merseyrail services at one end. How anyone can accuse Manchester Airport as having headline grabbing glamour is beyond me.
I think some people just do not want to accept that the economic geography has changed greatly from when the railways were built.

The following from Hansard expresses why Liverpool would want a fast train to the airport:

Manchester airport is a core part of Greater Manchester’s economy. It employs 25,000 people directly on site and 76,000 indirectly, generating £4.5 billion for the local economy. It has links to 210 destinations—more than any other UK airport—and is an international gateway for trade and travel, acting as a major draw for investment and development in Greater Manchester, giving our region a huge competitive advantage. For example, in the past two years its direct route to China has helped to grow export values in the north by 41%, bringing with it £250 million to the visitor economy.
Link to Hansard from 2020

The more recent reports comissioned by the airport show the value to be much larger. It stands to reason Liverpool would want to be connected to that investment draw.

Airports are not just holidaymakers.
 

Bletchleyite

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Only for a Skelmersdale service.

Or Wigan Wallgate (which is probably more likely). But certainly not beyond. Connecting Merseyrail to Manchester or inter-running anything going to Manchester with it* would be disastrous for punctuality.

* Aside from the negligible tens of metres of overlap around Hunts Cross and Southport.
 

Senex

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The Chat Moss route used to be four track all the way from Eccles Station Junction out to the edge of the Manchester conurbation. It could be three or four-tracked again relatively easily with minimal disruption, leaving only a short tunnel needed to get under the river and bypass Castlefield to get to Piccadilly and on to the Guide Bridge corridor.
To a little west of Patricroft, in fact — look at the horrible kink at Patricroft resulting from the way the quadrupling was done. How much real commuter and local traffic is there on the Chat Moss line except at the Liverpool end, where a significant element of quadrupling has already been restored? Give the Chat Moss line the sort of improvements at the Liverpool and Manchester ends suggested for the new schemes and you'd have a time unbeatable by a new-build glorified inter-urban-area-with-airport-deviation line even if you spent a lot of money easing those very tight curves at Warrington and raising the line above possible future flood level. And (east of the Liverpool quad track) do what the LNER did between York and Scarborough in the 1930s and just close the intermediate stations. There'd be plenty of capacity for fast trains then!

As for the CLC, what a pity it's not still in competition for speed. It was a very fast railway with its original approaches to the two cities and the Straight Line at Warrington.
 

Bletchleyite

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As for the CLC, what a pity it's not still in competition for speed. It was a very fast railway with its original approaches to the two cities and the Straight Line at Warrington.

That might be its history, but its large number of largely usefully located* local stations make it much more suited to a local service. At least Chat Moss only has Patricroft and Eccles (with the latter having a tram too) on the Manchester side.

* Yes, Glazebrook - but as mentioned above that would make a great New Town/ecovillage bolted on the side of Cadishead.
 

daodao

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IF a 30mins intercity 4tph Liverpool- Manchester service is provided, can a 'slow' service be accommodated with it?
There is already a 4tph Liverpool to Manchester intercity service, with 2tph to Victoria and 2tph to Oxford Rd/Piccadilly. The Victoria service time can easily be cut to 30 minutes by removing the intermediate stop, and an 8-10 coach train could be used. The CLC line service time can be reduced to 35-40 minutes by electrification and reduction in the number of intermediate stops. There should also be capacity for a 2tph stopping service on each line, provided emus are used, with 2tph extending non-stop from Piccadilly to Manchester Airport.

I remain to be convinced that these service improvements, which would be much less costly, would be inadequate for the next 20-25 years at least.
 

Farnborough

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I think you might have the Sunday times there, with fewer trains and longer connections in Manchester (the direct train is very similar to weekday times).
I was quoting the weekday times (using fastjp which gives you times but not fares).
Yes... but the direct train is still 1:30
 
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may032

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I remain to be convinced that these service improvements, which would be much less costly, would be inadequate for the next 20-25 years at least.
Given the full route isn’t expected to be operational until the mid-2040s, what would you propose as an alternative solution for 20-25 years time?
 

AlastairFraser

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The old soap factory closed in 2020, so the whole site is up for redevelopment. I think the low-level tracks are too low at only 4m above sea level right next to a tidal river. Taking advantage of the land availability, I'd consider rebuilding at a higher level, passing over the WCML tracks, which are themselves only 9m above sea level. A straighter alignment on viaduct might be constructed through this area, which would also avoid the tight curves and level crossings on the old route, rejoining the existing route around Fidlers Ferry.
Perhaps. The only issue with a higher viaduct is that you then have to get back to ground level before the bridge over the Mersey east of Arpley sidings, unless you replace the Wilderspool Causeway road overbridge as well.
There will likely be a tunnel portal not long after the Wilderspool Causeway bridge too, so it doesn't make sense to replace with a rail over road overbridge there.
The Chat Moss route used to be four track all the way from Eccles Station Junction out to the edge of the Manchester conurbation.
The M602 running alongside until Regent Road Roundabout will make that quite difficult, and west of Patricroft the alignment isn't exactly stable enough for more than 90mph. You'd need at least a nearly 7 mile long tunnel from near the Brookhouse estate to Piccadilly to make it work (which would pass quite close to the Guardian telephone exchange, with a huge network of underground tunnels radiating away from the site).
Quadrupling over Chat Moss would be "interesting".

Most of the former 4-tracking west of Patricroft was short lengths for goods only (and the M60/62 bridges are only 2-track).
Precisely.
In passenger numbers, Manchester airport is the UKs third busiest, similar but just ahead or Stansted. Stansted just beats Manchester however in aircraft movements.
Makes sense. I imagine it's because Stansted has a higher percentage of narrowbody aircraft takeoffs operated by low cost carriers, and Manchester has more full service carrier widebodies on average year round.
 

MarkyT

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Perhaps. The only issue with a higher viaduct is that you then have to get back to ground level before the bridge over the Mersey east of Arpley sidings, unless you replace the Wilderspool Causeway road overbridge as well.
That's precisely what I'd do; drop the road to ground level and build the new rail alignment over it. The steel truss Arpley Bridge, crossing the Mersey at a very low level would also be replaced by the new elevated route. Slutyers Lane overbridge would also be removed with the road dropping to ground level.
There will likely be a tunnel portal not long after the Wilderspool Causeway bridge too, so it doesn't make sense to replace with a rail over road overbridge there.
Not sure why a tunnel would be necessary there. I think the route would more likely follow the old surface alignment, gradually climbing through Latchford, then crossing the ship canal via the old viaduct (no doubt at least partially renewed).
Makes sense. I imagine it's because Stansted has a higher percentage of narrowbody aircraft takeoffs operated by low cost carriers, and Manchester has more full service carrier widebodies on average year round.
Makes sense. More pax per flight at Manchester.
 
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Brubulus

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Given the full route isn’t expected to be operational until the mid-2040s, what would you propose as an alternative solution for 20-25 years time?
Moving all fast trains onto the Chat Moss route, and introducing a 4 fast, 2 semi fast and 2 from Chester schedule that just about enables all stations to have 2tph. Then extending the Hunts Cross trains all the way to Oxford Road.

It doesn't solve any long term problems, and introduces a truly horrible stopping pattern, but it's the best solution we've got.
 

Xenophon PCDGS

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Let it not be forgotten that the HS2 original Y-axis plans north of Birmingham that had attracted much in the way of website postings of discussion was then decided against by a Government in power.

As this is a Speculative Discussion thread, who is to say that the current programme under discussion will not meet the same fate if a future Governmental change should occur.
 

daodao

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Given the full route isn’t expected to be operational until the mid-2040s, what would you propose as an alternative solution for 20-25 years time?
I would make my suggested improvements by 2030 and then monitor the situation for 5 years to 2035. If traffic growth was high at that time, suggesting the need for major new infrastructure in due course, a new line would need to be considered, but I would keep its alignment as short as possible and thus entirely north of the River Mersey.

It should be noted that the excellent fast rail services between the 2 cities pre WW1, with 3 hourly regular interval services each taking only 40-45 minutes, suggests that there has been minimal rail traffic growth over the last 115 years. Only the service over the Chat Moss line is now better, with electrification and then an increase in frequency to 2tph as recently as December 2024.
 

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