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Brecon and Radnorshire recall petition

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PR1Berske

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There is likely to be a recall petition in the marginal constituency of Brecon and Radnorshire following the conviction of its MP for expenses related charges.

Source: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-politics-47694734


Quote from source:
A Tory MP convicted for making a false expenses claim is facing a petition that could see him lose his seat.

Commons speaker John Bercow will ask officials to open a recall petition once Chris Davies is sentenced, with a by-election to be held if 10% of the MP's constituents sign it.

The Brecon and Radnorshire MP was convicted last Friday.

Davies, 51, admitted to two charges relating to creating false invoices for £700 worth of photographs


The issue is whether a snap election in the meantime overrides this. In any case, the fact that this is the third use of recall legislation suggests that it is sadly very necessary .

(Quote ends)

I wonder if it is a good thing that MPs are being "caught", where once they may have escaped justice, or if it's all rather a depressing truth about the Commons!
 
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edwin_m

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The link says a general election in the meantime would cancel the recall. But presumably he'd be able to stand again, which doesn't make much sense.
 

PR1Berske

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The link says a general election in the meantime would cancel the recall. But presumably he'd be able to stand again, which doesn't make much sense.
Yeah, I think you've just stumbled across a loophole. MPs who do lose their seats through Recall are permitted to stand in the resulting by-elections BUT, as you have pointed out, if a general election does get called, he could stand as a candidate (though, I guess, not for the Conservatives).
 

DynamicSpirit

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I wonder if it is a good thing that MPs are being "caught", where once they may have escaped justice, or if it's all rather a depressing truth about the Commons!

Obviously it's a good thing when anyone who's done something wrong gets caught, whatever job they do.

In terms of, depressing truth about the Commons - No, not really. People love to think ill of MPs, but there are 650 MPs, three of whom have faced recalls due to doing something wrong. I would imagine if you take any random group of 650 people, you'd find rather more than a couple amongst them who are dishonest. So 3 MPs getting recalled isn't really going to be statistically significant in terms of making out that there's something intrinsically bad about the Commons - although it's obviously a bad reflection on those particular MPs. And of course, to a large extent the publicity and the recall reflects that MPs (rightly) face far greater scrutiny than most of the population.

Also worth bearing in mind: Of the three MPs, Chris Davies and Fiona Onasanya have clearly committed crimes. Ian Paisley's recall was due to his having failed to declare that he had received hospitality from the Sri Lankan Government. That's misconduct as far as Parliamentary rules are concerned, but wasn't a crime. And in quite a few other occupations outside politics, and outside public service, that would probably pass almost unnoticed. I'm not particularly trying to defend him - as obviously what he did was unethical and fell below the standards expected of MPs. But to some extent that's because MPs are held to much higher standards than the rest of us. I think that's worth bearing in mind before you conclude that this episode shows that MPs are somehow inherently bad.
 

edwin_m

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Yeah, I think you've just stumbled across a loophole. MPs who do lose their seats through Recall are permitted to stand in the resulting by-elections BUT, as you have pointed out, if a general election does get called, he could stand as a candidate (though, I guess, not for the Conservatives).
I guess the logic is that if there's a general election the voters have a chance to express a verdict on their MP in the same way is if there was a recall. So they don't get the censure of being recalled, they do get the practical result of being voted out (assuming that's what the voters do). But if that happened the news would be drowned out by all the rest of the election so they would escape the widespread bad publicity of being voted out in a by-election.
 

DarloRich

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Obviously it's a good thing when anyone who's done something wrong gets caught, whatever job they do.

In terms of, depressing truth about the Commons - No, not really. People love to think ill of MPs, but there are 650 MPs, three of whom have faced recalls due to doing something wrong. I would imagine if you take any random group of 650 people, you'd find rather more than a couple amongst them who are dishonest. So 3 MPs getting recalled isn't really going to be statistically significant in terms of making out that there's something intrinsically bad about the Commons - although it's obviously a bad reflection on those particular MPs. And of course, to a large extent the publicity and the recall reflects that MPs (rightly) face far greater scrutiny than most of the population.

Also worth bearing in mind: Of the three MPs, Chris Davies and Fiona Onasanya have clearly committed crimes. Ian Paisley's recall was due to his having failed to declare that he had received hospitality from the Sri Lankan Government. That's misconduct as far as Parliamentary rules are concerned, but wasn't a crime. And in quite a few other occupations outside politics, and outside public service, that would probably pass almost unnoticed. I'm not particularly trying to defend him - as obviously what he did was unethical and fell below the standards expected of MPs. But to some extent that's because MPs are held to much higher standards than the rest of us. I think that's worth bearing in mind before you conclude that this episode shows that MPs are somehow inherently bad.


that is a very good post.
 

radamfi

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Is this likely to mean a different party being elected? If not, this is of little consequence.
 

edwin_m

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According to Wikipedia he's an ERG member and reluctant supporter of May's deal, having beaten a LibDem in 2015 in a constituency which voted in the referendum exactly in line with the national result. If the recall succeeds, it will be interesting to see if the party supports him and if not who else they may put up.
 

PR1Berske

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Is this likely to mean a different party being elected? If not, this is of little consequence.
It might if the recall petition passes (10% of the current electorate must sign it) AND the by-election is a gain.

"Of little consequence" is a valid view if the recall petition does not pass, I admit. But this is only the third such petition in UK history so there are no solid statistics behind whether the system works.
 

PR1Berske

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Today he has received £1500 fine, costs and 50 hours community service.

The Speaker of The Commons will now write to Powys Council to start a recall petition, the third since they were introduced.
 

PR1Berske

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The recall petition was successful, so there will now be a by-election.

Report below from the BBC with most of the details

Source:
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-politics-48720176

A by-election will be held in Brecon and Radnorshire after 10,005 people signed a petition to remove the constituency's Tory MP, Chris Davies.

Mr Davies was convicted of a false expenses claim in March .

A total of 19% of the constituency's electorate signed the petition - the threshold is 10%.

Confirming his intention to stand again, Mr Davies said he "looked forward to regaining" the trust of Brecon and Radnorshire.

"I am naturally disappointed with the result," he said.

"What happened was my fault and no one else's."

Mr Davies is the third MP to have faced a recall petition and the second to be unseated through the process .

Tory leadership candidate Jeremy Hunt said : "Whatever the rights and wrongs of his expenses claim, I have only ever known Chris Davies as a decent and honest man and a very diligent local MP."

The recall petition was triggered after Mr Davies's conviction for an offence relating to how photographs for his constituency office were invoiced.

He had tried to split the cost of £700 worth of pictures between two office budgets by creating fake invoices, when he could have claimed the amount by other means.

The politician made an "unreserved apology" following his sentencing at Southwark Crown Court in April, whenhe was fined £1,500 and told to carry out 50 hours of community service .
 

PR1Berske

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The Liberal Democrats have gained Brecon and Radnorshire.

The Liberal Democrats have won the Brecon and Radnorshire by-election, leaving new PM Boris Johnson with a Commons working majority of just one.

Jane Dodds overturned an 8,038 majority to beat incumbent Conservative Chris Davies by 1,425 votes.

Mr Davies decided to stand again after being unseated by a petition following his conviction for a false expenses claim.

It was the first electoral test for Mr Johnson since becoming prime minister.

Now, with a particularly wafer-thin working majority, he will have to rely heavily on the support of his own MPs and his confidence-and-supply partners the DUP to get any legislation passed in key votes.

It was also a bad night for Labour, whose vote share dropped by 12.4% as they were beaten into fourth place by the Brexit Party.

Source: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-49200636


Posters "of an age" will doubtlessly know that the LibDems have a history of gaining constituencies at by-elections, and this is another example. Whatever happens because of this result, though, Boris keeps assuring us that "Brexit means Brexit" so we are still set to leave in October.....

Fans of by-elections might like to know that there could be one coming up in Sheffield Hallam but I'll leave off starting a thread on that for now....
 

Typhoon

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The Liberal Democrats have gained Brecon and Radnorshire.

Source: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-49200636
With respect to the BBC
Mr Davies decided to stand again after being unseated by a petition following his conviction for a false expenses claim.
is a little misleading, Mr Davies put himself forward for reselection and it was the local Conservative Association that reselected him. Possibly not the wisest move in the circumstances!
 

Alistair G.

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As stated above Sheffield Hallam is due to have a bi election soon and I think that’s another seat going the Lib Dem way. Sadly (I guess depending on your political persuasion) it is currently a labour seat so won’t turn over the working majority of 1 if my prediction did come to fruition.

A working majority of 1 cannot be good for any PM though..... there will always be rebel’s. An “interesting” time for British politics just got that little bit more interesting
 

edwin_m

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Shows the importance of parties with similar views on the main issue of the day co-operating in our unfair electoral system. In this case it was the Remain side that got their act together, but it could easily be the other way round elsewhere especially while Labour remains ambiguous on Brexit.
 

dosxuk

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On the bright side, it was nice to see the monster raving loonies beating UKIP.
 
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As stated above Sheffield Hallam is due to have a bi election soon and I think that’s another seat going the Lib Dem way. Sadly (I guess depending on your political persuasion) it is currently a labour seat so won’t turn over the working majority of 1 if my prediction did come to fruition.
Sheffield has historically been a Lib Dem seat. They only lost it to Labour in 2017 because the electorate wanted to punish Nick Clegg, and even then he only lost it by a 3.8% difference.

So as fun as it is to have a by-election (which is another thing that the Lib Dems seem to be very good at winning), the Liberals winning Hallam won't directly take another seat from Boris. But you never know. There could always be another recall petition, resignation, defection or death between now and the end of October.
 

EM2

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Shows the importance of parties with similar views on the main issue of the day co-operating in our unfair electoral system. In this case it was the Remain side that got their act together, but it could easily be the other way round elsewhere especially while Labour remains ambiguous on Brexit.
I saw James Cleverly (nominative non-determinism?) on the BBC this morning decrying the 'dirty back room deal' done by the LibDems, Plaid and Greens in Brecon.
Bearing in mind that his Government is only in power because of the support of ten DUP MPs (a party that polled less than than 300,000 votes), a well-known phrase relating to stones and glass houses came to mind.
 

edwin_m

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Sheffield has historically been a Lib Dem seat. They only lost it to Labour in 2017 because the electorate wanted to punish Nick Clegg, and even then he only lost it by a 3.8% difference.

So as fun as it is to have a by-election (which is another thing that the Lib Dems seem to be very good at winning), the Liberals winning Hallam won't directly take another seat from Boris. But you never know. There could always be another recall petition, resignation, defection or death between now and the end of October.
Possibly also the character of Jared O'Mara appealed to an electorate that has a lot of students, although he seems to have undergone some kind of mental health meltdown.

Charlie Elphicke (Dover, Conservative whip withdrawn) is pending trial for sexual assault which I guess could lead to another recall. Not sure what the timescales are for that though, probably not before November.
 

thejuggler

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I saw James Cleverly (nominative non-determinism?) on the BBC this morning decrying the 'dirty back room deal' done by the LibDems, Plaid and Greens in Brecon.
Bearing in mind that his Government is only in power because of the support of ten DUP MPs (a party that polled less than than 300,000 votes), a well-known phrase relating to stones and glass houses came to mind.

The James 'I'm not that' Clever (ly). He's thick as mince if that's his defence.
 
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