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Elon Musk - the world's "greatest" spiv?

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styles

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Whether or not the substance of that post is true isn't what matters here. It's a major attack in an almighty spat that will have some serious consequences for both parties and several others.
Oh for sure, I think Grok disagreeing with Musk adds to the comedy.
 

Cloud Strife

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Whether or not the substance of that post is true isn't what matters here. It's a major attack in an almighty spat that will have some serious consequences for both parties and several others.

I wouldn't be shocked if Twitter gets shut down on some pretext sooner rather than later. Trump is not going to let Musk abuse him like this on there, although watching those two go at it is absolutely hilarious

For what it's worth, my money is on Trump winning this battle. Musk is way too dependent on state aid for his companies, and I wouldn't be shocked if the grey suits step in to remove him from Tesla after today's meltdown. It's obvious that it's all because Trump's tax bill didn't contain a large bribe for Musk in the form of EV subsidies, though.
 

styles

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I wouldn't be shocked if Twitter gets shut down on some pretext sooner rather than later. Trump is not going to let Musk abuse him like this on there, although watching those two go at it is absolutely hilarious

For what it's worth, my money is on Trump winning this battle. Musk is way too dependent on state aid for his companies, and I wouldn't be shocked if the grey suits step in to remove him from Tesla after today's meltdown. It's obvious that it's all because Trump's tax bill didn't contain a large bribe for Musk in the form of EV subsidies, though.
Nah Trump is many things, but shutting down a social media platform just because he has a spat with the owner isn't him. He'd lose a ridiculous amount of support, among his 'free speech' fan base.

Just bought some TSLA shares though, great value today.
 

Giugiaro

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I would say that Elon Musk is the one in the most fragile position here.

Donald Trump can, in a couple of executive orders, shut down the viability of both Tesla, SpaceX and xAI.
The use of drugs is also a great liability that Elon Musk has under the eyes of the Republican Party.
Then this:


Steve Bannon Says He Told Trump to Investigate Musk as an ‘Illegal Alien’​

In an interview, the former top aide to the president said that Mr. Trump should cancel Elon Musk’s federal contracts.

By Tyler Pager
June 5, 2025

Stephen K. Bannon, one of Elon Musk’s most vocal critics, said he was advising the president to cancel all of the tech billionaire’s contracts and launch several investigations into the world’s richest man.
“They should initiate a formal investigation of his immigration status, because I am of the strong belief that he is an illegal alien, and he should be deported from the country immediately,” Mr. Bannon, the former top aide to President Trump who is now an influential ally and informal adviser, said in an interview.
Mr. Musk and Mr. Trump had a public falling out on Thursday, as each attacked the other on social media. Mr. Musk, who leads the electric car manufacturer Tesla, the rocket company SpaceX and the artificial intelligence start-up xAI, left his role last week as a special government adviser tasked with slashing federal spending.
Mr. Musk’s companies have received billions in federal contracts over the years, and in 2023, his companies were promised $3 billion across nearly 100 different contracts with 17 federal agencies.

Mr. Bannon said the Trump administration should also investigate Mr. Musk’s drug use, as reported by The New York Times, and his effort to get a classified briefing on China from the Pentagon.
Mr. Musk’s security clearance should be suspended during these investigations, he added.
 

takno

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Just bought some TSLA shares though, great value today.
Cheaper than they were last week certainly. They're still trading at a massive multiple of underlying value though, and all of the growth potential that was predicated on has gone up in smoke over the last 4 months. The Stupid Big Bill arguably halves the remaining net income they do have.

It's a meme stock at this point, trading entirely on the perceived willingness of others to continue buying it irrespective of value.

Might be a bargain, or might just be the start of a long slide to a massive loss.
 

styles

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Cheaper than they were last week certainly. They're still trading at a massive multiple of underlying value though, and all of the growth potential that was predicated on has gone up in smoke over the last 4 months. The Stupid Big Bill arguably halves the remaining net income they do have.

It's a meme stock at this point, trading entirely on the perceived willingness of others to continue buying it irrespective of value.

Might be a bargain, or might just be the start of a long slide to a massive loss.
I've turned £800 into just shy of £1500 since October buying and selling Tesla shares. I'm no Warren Buffett but doing well riding the absurdity of Musk.

Tesla shares will go back up, just not to their December price any time soon

I'm waiting for the day he decides to run for Congress.
 

Harpo

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Musk v The American State can only have one winner. Musk is now extra-toxic for any US brand.
 

DelW

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Cheaper than they were last week certainly. They're still trading at a massive multiple of underlying value though, and all of the growth potential that was predicated on has gone up in smoke over the last 4 months. The Stupid Big Bill arguably halves the remaining net income they do have.

It's a meme stock at this point, trading entirely on the perceived willingness of others to continue buying it irrespective of value.

Might be a bargain, or might just be the start of a long slide to a massive loss.
As a car company (as opposed to an AI or robotics company, which Musk would like it to be), Tesla has some big problems.

The Cybertruck is a sales disaster. The production line was set up for 125k to 250k per year (depending whom you believe) but is selling just a few thousand a quarter (Tesla groups them with other models so it's impossible to be precise). YouTube has videos of parking lots full of them - Tesla says they've been sold and are awaiting delivery, but many are dust covered and appear not to have been moved for some time.

The robotaxi is supposed to finally be released into trial service imminently. I suspect one of the reasons for Musk's enthusiasm for DOGE was because he hoped to emasculate the safety and regulatory bodies that oversee his companies. If the fallout with Trump becomes permanent, the scrutiny of Tesla robotaxis may instead become more rather than less rigorous. Tesla's camera-only sensor system may be less effective than its competitors' - and Cruise's self driving taxis were ultimately withdrawn after a single serious pedestrian accident (admittedly contributed to by other failings).

All that is on top of the drop in sales inside and outside of the US as a result of political disdain (to put it mildly) for his toxic political views. Even though the Take Down Tesla campaign has quietened down lately, Musk is widely despised and distrusted, and rightly or wrongly, that reflects on people's opinions of Tesla cars. I certainly wouldn't buy one, but then I never liked their "everything via menus on a touchscreen" controls anyway.
 

gg1

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Two of the nastiest people in the world tearing chunks out of each other in public, what's not to like?
It was inevitable as it is entertaining.

The best part is they both have the resources to damage the other and are petty and vindictive enough to do so.
 

brad465

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Just in case there was any doubt:


US President Donald Trump has said his relationship with Elon Musk is over.
"I would assume so, yeah," Trump told NBC News on Saturday, when asked if he thought the pair's close relationship had ended. He replied "No" when asked if he wished to mend the damaged ties.
The comments were Trump's latest since the epic fallout between him and Musk unravelled on social media.
It came after the tech billionaire - who donated millions to Trump's election campaign and became a White House aide - publicly criticised the president's tax and spending bill, a key domestic policy.
A majority of Republicans have fallen in line behind the president. Vice-President JD Vance said that Musk had "gone so nuclear" and may never be welcomed back into the fold.
Vance told podcaster Theo Von that it was a "big mistake" for the Tesla and SpaceX CEO to attack the president.
For weeks, Musk had been criticising Trump's signature legislation - dubbed the "Big Beautiful Bill" - as it made its way through Congress.
He said that, if passed, the bill would add trillions of dollars to the national deficit and "undermine" the work he did as the head of Doge, the Department of Government Efficiency, and its efforts to cut government spending.
Shortly after leaving Doge after 129 days in the job, Musk posted on his social media site X that the bill was a "disgusting abomination" - but did not criticise Trump directly.
On Thursday, however, Trump told reporters he was "disappointed" with Musk's behaviour.
Musk responded with a flurry of posts on X, saying that Trump would have lost the election without him and accusing Trump of being implicated in files of Jeffrey Epstein, the disgraced financier who died in jail awaiting sex trafficking charges.
He has since deleted the post and Epstein's lawyer has come out denying the accusations.
Trump responded on his social media platform Truth Social, saying that Musk had gone "crazy". In one post, he threatened to cut Musk's contracts with the federal government.
In his interview with NBC News on Saturday, Trump said Musk had been "disrespectful to the office of the president".
"I think it's a very bad thing, because he's very disrespectful. You could not disrespect the office of the president," Trump said.
Musk, the world's richest man, who donated roughly $250m to Trump's presidential campaign, suggested during the social media feud that he might back some of Trump's opponents during next year's midterm elections, throwing his support behind challengers to the lawmakers who supported Trump's tax bill.
When asked about the prospect of Musk backing Democratic candidates that run against Republicans, Trump said he would face "serious consequences".
 

SuspectUsual

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Just in case there was any doubt:

I wouldn’t be so sure. What this does is position it so that if there is any change in the future and they do rekindle their relationship, Trump can then say he was right all along and Musk came crawling back apologising
 

styles

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As a car company (as opposed to an AI or robotics company, which Musk would like it to be), Tesla has some big problems.

The Cybertruck is a sales disaster. The production line was set up for 125k to 250k per year (depending whom you believe) but is selling just a few thousand a quarter (Tesla groups them with other models so it's impossible to be precise). YouTube has videos of parking lots full of them - Tesla says they've been sold and are awaiting delivery, but many are dust covered and appear not to have been moved for some time.

The robotaxi is supposed to finally be released into trial service imminently. I suspect one of the reasons for Musk's enthusiasm for DOGE was because he hoped to emasculate the safety and regulatory bodies that oversee his companies. If the fallout with Trump becomes permanent, the scrutiny of Tesla robotaxis may instead become more rather than less rigorous. Tesla's camera-only sensor system may be less effective than its competitors' - and Cruise's self driving taxis were ultimately withdrawn after a single serious pedestrian accident (admittedly contributed to by other failings).

All that is on top of the drop in sales inside and outside of the US as a result of political disdain (to put it mildly) for his toxic political views. Even though the Take Down Tesla campaign has quietened down lately, Musk is widely despised and distrusted, and rightly or wrongly, that reflects on people's opinions of Tesla cars. I certainly wouldn't buy one, but then I never liked their "everything via menus on a touchscreen" controls anyway.
I mean this is just what happens when you are an edgelord and try and make your companies follow an edgelord brand.

Tesla was doing fine before CyberTruck. Their cars were market leading EVs with features and performance often not seen by any competitors.

CyberTruck was a result of Musk's own daft persona. He just wants to be edgy and different and non-compliant. So he made a car which was edgy and different and non-compliant (in a literal legal compliance sense in much of Europe).

Yes you'll sell some of your dumb trucks to your die-hard supporters. But most people, understandably, do not want a massive truck with sharp edges, which leaks, traps people's fingers, and doesn't perform anywhere near as well as actual off-road designed pickup trucks. Also you attract undesirable attention.

Things like having a department to look at government efficiencies aren't actually terrible ideas, but calling it that just to spell out DOGE is cringe, and most sensible voters realise it's cringe. Spending hours every day tweeting memes, insulting people, getting into public rows and having your followers pile-on your opponent just isn't what people want. Eventually you transcend from being somebody challenging the status quo into this edgelord status and people get bored of it pretty quickly, apart from your regular 4chan/b base.
 

DelW

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Another firework display from Musk's SpaceX, testing "Starship 36" by firing all six engines in a static ground test. I think it can safely be said that it didn't go to plan, and it won't be making its scheduled flight. One report said that Musk classified the outcome as an anomaly, but it looks more like (in an earlier phrase) a rapid unscheduled disassembly. The size of the explosions and subsequent fireball suggest it probably disassembled most of the test facility as well. The good thing is that no one was hurt, though the environmental damage hasn't yet been reported on.

One of the less sensational videos here, with multiple angles:
(YouTube video of the test results)
 

brad465

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I'm a firm believer in failure being the key to eventual success. However, I can't help but think this particular enterprise isn't really getting anywhere and either needs abandoning or a serious drawing board overhaul.
 

DerekC

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I think there is a real problem with safety critical systems being designed by software geeks who spent their previous lives on web apps. They use the approach of - try it out - if it breaks modify it a bit - repeat cycle until the level of complaints is acceptable and the money starts rolling in. Building a spaceship that way is inclined to be spectacular! At least they haven't killed anyone - yet. I wonder if Musk has heard of SIL4/IEC61508. Oh - he's probably defunded it!
 
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JamesT

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I think there is a real problem with safety critical systems being designed by software geeks who spent their previous lives on web apps. They use the approach of - try it out - if it breaks modify it a bit - repeat cycle until the level of complaints is acceptable and the money starts rolling in. Building a spaceship that way is inclined to be spectacular! At least they haven't killed anyone - yet. I wonder if Musk has heard of SIL4/IEC61508. Oh - he's probably defunded it!
The iterative approach is also what they used on the Falcon rockets, which are now enormously successful.
Failing like this used to be the norm, when new rocket series were being designed. But NASA has become overly cautious and bureaucratic, hence the Space Launch System has managed only one launch after over a decade of development, reusing old Space Shuttle technology.
 

danielnez1

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I'm on the side that he is a (lucky) conman. His wealth comes from his family wealth from Apartheid era South Africa and cashing in on when PayPal boomed (after he was sacked). You just need to listen to him for a few minutes to realise he makes no coherent sense.
 

sor

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The iterative approach is also what they used on the Falcon rockets, which are now enormously successful.
Failing like this used to be the norm, when new rocket series were being designed. But NASA has become overly cautious and bureaucratic, hence the Space Launch System has managed only one launch after over a decade of development, reusing old Space Shuttle technology.
The Falcon was also designed by people who knew what they were doing, and was largely a conventional design (except for the bits required for reuse). Starship meanwhile is going backwards. It has never achieved the actual goal of launching anything to orbit, and now they can't even keep the thing on the ground without it exploding. At least they didn't have to close wide swathes of the US airspace or litter the caribbean with rocket parts this time!

Intentional failure was more common back when we actually had to learn this stuff from first principles, but it hasn't been the case for decades. Ariane 6 didn't require endless failed flight tests to get right, and before you say "just as bureaucratic as NASA", neither did Blue Origin or Vulcan Centaur.

In a way there are very strong parallels to what's going on at Tesla and the cybertruck. It is well known that both firms try to keep Musk from making any actual decisions, and both Starship and Cybertruck are examples of when he manages to get involved.
 

TheTTTEGeek

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what does Spiv mean? please understand i am very confused & looking it up on google is giving me no results (probably because I'm not in the UK)
 

Giugiaro

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I'm a firm believer in failure being the key to eventual success. However, I can't help but think this particular enterprise isn't really getting anywhere and either needs abandoning or a serious drawing board overhaul.

You are to expect that, whatever failures arise, they do so progressively in later stages of flight with greater successes back in the earlier stages of flight. This continuously as the progress is eventually achieved throughout the whole mission.

Instead, SpaceX seems to be going backwards, and now their ships blow up during the static test phase.

I guess that double Nazi salute Musk gave brought his company back to Test Stand VII, in Peenemünde.
 

Cloud Strife

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And so he returns:


Elon Musk has vowed to unseat lawmakers who support Donald Trump’s sweeping budget bill, which he has criticized because it would increase the country’s deficit by $3.3tn.

“Every member of Congress who campaigned on reducing government spending and then immediately voted for the biggest debt increase in history should hang their head in shame! And they will lose their primary next year if it is the last thing I do on this Earth,” he wrote on his social media platform, X.

A few hours later he added that if “insane spending bill passes, the America Party will be formed the next day”.

This will have quite a few minor Republicans feeling the heat, especially those in districts where a split between Musk and Trump will result in a Democrat walkover. Whether Musk will be able to actually finance such a serious challenge is another question.
 

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