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Suggested service pattern for The Marches post MkIV and post HS2

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adrock1976

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In the TfW MkIV thread, a couple of posts had a slight sideways move to timetabling (see below).

Would it not be possible to have the ‘few’ Heart of Wales Line trains extend to Crewe as stoppers or even to Chester as stoppers? This might encourage people from the stops N of Shrewsbury to go for leisure trips along the HoW whilst at the same time serving places such as Gobowen, Ruabon, Wem & Nantwich thus allowing these not be stops for the Mk4 / 197 expresses. Of course, this could be risky being as the HoW trains must run to time to pass at the passing places.

It's certainly possible, indeed the first northbound HoW service continues on to Crewe as it stands. But with the low frequency of the HoW service, you're still going to need units to fill the rest of the gaps. Realistically the aforementioned service more of an operationally convenient move than anything else. Now, where have we heard/seen that before... ;)

The Marches line TT is always going to be a compromise between different markets, a bit like the northern end of the ECML or the western end of the GWML and so on.

This has got me thinking of a suggested service pattern for when the MkIVs are introduced, and moving towards post HS2 as well.

Manchester Pic (main shed) - Swansea/Abertawe

Every 60 minutes calling Stockport (if still routed that way), Wilmslow, Crewe, Shrewsbury, Hereford, Abergavenny, Newport (Gwent), Cardiff Central, Bridgend/Pen-y-Bont, Port Talbot Parkway, Neath/Castle-nedd, and Swansea/Abertawe. Traditional InterCity service with First Class, catering, and complementary refreshments.


Liverpool Lime Street - Bristol Temple Meads, Exeter St Davids, or Plymouth (post HS2)

Every 60 minutes calling South Parkway (for Merseyrail and CLC), Runcorn, Crewe, Shrewsbury, Hereford, Abergavenny, Severn Tunnel Junction, Bristol TM, Taunton, Tiverton Parkway, Exeter St Davids, Newton Abbot, Totnes, and Plymouth if running that far. Traditional InterCity service with First Class, catering, and complementary refreshments. Between Crewe and Abergavenny, this would run in the opposite half hour to the Manchester - Swansea.


Liverpool Lime Street - Cardiff Central via Halton Curve and Wrexham

Every 60 minutes calling South Parkway (for Merseyrail and CLC), Runcorn, Frodsham, Helsby (for Merseyrail if/when extended beyond Ellesmere Port), Chester, then all stations (maybe omitting Pontypool & New Inn and Cwmbran if a Newport or Ebbw Vale - Abergavenny local is introduced). Standard Class only. This would run in the opposite half hour to the Liverpool - Llandudno via Halton Curve, providing a 30 minute frequency between Liverpool and Chester.


Crewe - Shrewsbury local

One train every 2 hours calling all stations, with the opposite hour train omitting the request stops (similar to present day, but with tweaks to make it total clock face). No First Class or catering.


Shrewsbury (or Crewe) - Swansea/Abertawe via Llandovery (Heart of Wales)

Every 2 hours calling all stations. Standard Class with catering trolley. Departure time from Shrewsbury could be the opposite half hour (in every second hour) to the Liverpool - Cardiff via Halton Curve and Wrexham.


The above is what I have thought of as being specific to The Marches route post MkIV and post HS2.
 
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Bletchleyite

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Are there enough Mk4 sets for an hourly service as per your first suggestion? I thought it would only be some trains.

There definitely aren't enough for a Liverpool-Bristol as well.
 

adrock1976

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Are there enough Mk4 sets for an hourly service as per your first suggestion? I thought it would only be some trains.

There definitely aren't enough for a Liverpool-Bristol as well.

Not enough for the Manchester, even if the remaining MkIVs on the London - Leeds were transferred.

I was thinking more along the lines of when wires are installed in the missing section between Chippenham and Bristol (and more routes are eventually wired), the bimodes could transfer elsewhere as that is/was supposed to have been one of the original rationales for bimodes.
 

6Gman

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In the TfW MkIV thread, a couple of posts had a slight sideways move to timetabling (see below).





This has got me thinking of a suggested service pattern for when the MkIVs are introduced, and moving towards post HS2 as well.

Manchester Pic (main shed) - Swansea/Abertawe

Every 60 minutes calling Stockport (if still routed that way), Wilmslow, Crewe, Shrewsbury, Hereford, Abergavenny, Newport (Gwent), Cardiff Central, Bridgend/Pen-y-Bont, Port Talbot Parkway, Neath/Castle-nedd, and Swansea/Abertawe. Traditional InterCity service with First Class, catering, and complementary refreshments.


Liverpool Lime Street - Bristol Temple Meads, Exeter St Davids, or Plymouth (post HS2)

Every 60 minutes calling South Parkway (for Merseyrail and CLC), Runcorn, Crewe, Shrewsbury, Hereford, Abergavenny, Severn Tunnel Junction, Bristol TM, Taunton, Tiverton Parkway, Exeter St Davids, Newton Abbot, Totnes, and Plymouth if running that far. Traditional InterCity service with First Class, catering, and complementary refreshments. Between Crewe and Abergavenny, this would run in the opposite half hour to the Manchester - Swansea.


Liverpool Lime Street - Cardiff Central via Halton Curve and Wrexham

Every 60 minutes calling South Parkway (for Merseyrail and CLC), Runcorn, Frodsham, Helsby (for Merseyrail if/when extended beyond Ellesmere Port), Chester, then all stations (maybe omitting Pontypool & New Inn and Cwmbran if a Newport or Ebbw Vale - Abergavenny local is introduced). Standard Class only. This would run in the opposite half hour to the Liverpool - Llandudno via Halton Curve, providing a 30 minute frequency between Liverpool and Chester.


Crewe - Shrewsbury local

One train every 2 hours calling all stations, with the opposite hour train omitting the request stops (similar to present day, but with tweaks to make it total clock face). No First Class or catering.


Shrewsbury (or Crewe) - Swansea/Abertawe via Llandovery (Heart of Wales)

Every 2 hours calling all stations. Standard Class with catering trolley. Departure time from Shrewsbury could be the opposite half hour (in every second hour) to the Liverpool - Cardiff via Halton Curve and Wrexham.


The above is what I have thought of as being specific to The Marches route post MkIV and post HS2.
This looks like massive over-provision.

And while Abergavenny gets three trains an hour poor old Ludlow gets one, which calls at every gatepost and offers no through service to Crewe or Manchester?
 

anthony263

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Definitely think 2 hourly on the heart of Wales would be a game changer on that route and I think might encourage more usage
 

Caaardiff

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Add in Cardiff - Holyhead (every 2 hours) and at certain points you get a train every 15 mins. Seems overkill for the marches.

I don't see the point of Liverpool - Bristol via the marches. Liverpool - Cardiff and connect at Newport for GWR services to Taunton/Portsmouth makes more sense.
Also who would run the Liverpool - Bristol and South trains? I can't see Transport for Wales wanting to operate a service that only calls at 2 Welsh stations.

The long term plan is for Cardiff - Holyhead every 2 hours, Cardiff - Liverpool (via Wrexham) every 2 hours on the opposite to Holyhead and hourly West Wales/Swansea - Manchester. Creating a half hourly service for stations on the marches.

My suggestion would be:
- Crewe - Shrewsbury local extends to Hereford (Calling all stations en route)
- Ebbw Vale - Newport services extends to Abergavenny with peak services extending to Hereford (Calling all stations en route)
- All South Wales - Manchester services become Mk4's with full first service starting/terminating at Swansea.
- All Cardiff - Holyhead services become 197's with First but run hourly as 5 car and split at Chester with one part continuing to Holyhead (3 car) and the other part continuing to Liverpool (2 car). So there's effectively an hourly Cardiff - Holyhead and Cardiff - Liverpool.
 

adrock1976

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Add in Cardiff - Holyhead (every 2 hours) and at certain points you get a train every 15 mins. Seems overkill for the marches.

I don't see the point of Liverpool - Bristol via the marches. Liverpool - Cardiff and connect at Newport for GWR services to Taunton/Portsmouth makes more sense.
Also who would run the Liverpool - Bristol and South trains? I can't see Transport for Wales wanting to operate a service that only calls at 2 Welsh stations.

The long term plan is for Cardiff - Holyhead every 2 hours, Cardiff - Liverpool (via Wrexham) every 2 hours on the opposite to Holyhead and hourly West Wales/Swansea - Manchester. Creating a half hourly service for stations on the marches.

My suggestion would be:
- Crewe - Shrewsbury local extends to Hereford (Calling all stations en route)
- Ebbw Vale - Newport services extends to Abergavenny with peak services extending to Hereford (Calling all stations en route)
- All South Wales - Manchester services become Mk4's with full first service starting/terminating at Swansea.
- All Cardiff - Holyhead services become 197's with First but run hourly as 5 car and split at Chester with one part continuing to Holyhead (3 car) and the other part continuing to Liverpool (2 car). So there's effectively an hourly Cardiff - Holyhead and Cardiff - Liverpool.

Although it was not mentioned in my opening post, I based this on the Cardiff - Holyhead being broken up and revised to run Holyhead - Crewe (taking over the Chester - Crewe shuttle), and Cardiff - Liverpool via Wrexham and Halton Curve.

The shortest route between Holyhead and Cardiff is by road for those limited number of passengers doing end to end journeys (if ever anyone from Holyhead ever makes trips to Cardiff on a regular basis daily).

Liverpool - Bristol/the South West I would anticipate InterCity Crosscountry. This is for post HS2 though, as the present day InterCity West Coast London - Glasgow/Edinburgh via Birmingham will most likely no longer run in that form (see the Wikipedia page on HS2 service patterns - all mentioned by the DfT) as the Birmingham - Glasgow/Edinburgh via Preston section will transfer over to HS2. This would give scope for London - Liverpool via Birmingham traditional InterCity, with the suggested Liverpool - Bristol/the South West running in the opposite half hour between Liverpool and Crewe.

Regarding the present day InterCity Cross-country and mentioned in a previous thread in this section, post HS2 I anticipate Manchester - Bournemouth to remain as is, with a Blackpool North (or Barrow in Furness) - Reading/Southampton. Also Edinburgh - the South West via Doncaster, and Leeds (or Hull/York) - the South West. Hence the Liverpool - Bristol/the South West via The Marches so as to restore Bristol/the South West - Crewe/the North West links that were lost when the carve up of the former Central Trains franchise happened in 2007.
 

Bletchleyite

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Although it was not mentioned in my opening post, I based this on the Cardiff - Holyhead being broken up and revised to run Holyhead - Crewe (taking over the Chester - Crewe shuttle), and Cardiff - Liverpool via Wrexham and Halton Curve.

Despite the fact that your proposal would more represent the travel needs of the population of North Wales, given that North Wales associates more to Liverpool, Manchester and Chester than to Cardiff (Bristol probably has more to do with Cardiff than Llandudno does), that would be politically impossible. Though Birmingham is a useful destination it is a fairly slow way to get there.

The Chester-Crewe shuttle is a nuisance and exists entirely for political reasons.
 

berneyarms

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The point is that it wouldn't ideally exist, rather the NWC services would go to Crewe and not Cardiff. Sending them to Cardiff is entirely political, through demand is very low.
The Chester-Crewe shuttle operates though to connect into/out of the service to/from Manchester at Chester, which is presumably in a fixed path at Manchester.

The services to/from Wrexham/Birmingham/Marches/South Wales are at the other end of the hour and connect into/out of the direct AWC service to/from Euston at Chester which is also in a fixed path.

So the choice isn’t between the Crewe shuttle and the Birmingham / South Wales services, but rather with the service to/from Manchester. I suspect most people along the coast would prefer to retain the Manchester service.
 
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