I don't know, nearly every First service listed in the changes leaflet sees the first couple of morning services and the last evening service canned. This is something that First have been doing for several years; the last buses used to be at or just after 11pm, now many are barely after 10pm, with evening frequencies cut right back.
At every timetable change they seem to be cutting evening services on a route "due to low use", which isn't a surprise when most last buses are now before last orders at the pub or, more importantly, before an 8pm cinema screening ends. If you can't get home from the cinema on the bus you won't go to the cinema on the bus.
I know that I've said this before but it's part of a wider problem. We have a number of social challenges and changes (and bus services exist and are affected in that world):
- You can buy 8 cans for a fiver in a supermarket so why go to the pub? No surprise that there are fewer passengers with fewer pubs
- We relaxed licensing hours so instead of concentrating the evening trade, it was fragmented/diluted
- The continued move of cinemas etc from "in town" central locations to peripheral "out of town" locations
As an example, I know a driver who has worked for some time for what is now an Arriva subsidiary. They worked an evening service that on Mon-Wed was fairly quiet (run under CC subsidy) but washed its face on the other nights. Moreover, the late run back (at 2300 Fri and Sat) was often very busy with 30 passengers on a vinyl seated National.
Now that service never changed for years from c.1981 until 2011. No messing around with times and whilst the rolling stock aged (with the hiatus on new vehicles at dereg), it did get new stock in the early 1990s. Yet in 25 years, the trade declined markedly. Why?
Well, arguably the cost of fares (but remember this was before ENCTS had the impact of hiking single fares). Instead, it was an area money is tight and people going to the pub just couldn't afford it, and for those that could, the number of places staying open later meant what volume was concentrated in a small time window just got spread over a longer period.
I would point out that conversely, Sunday trading now sees many services with much, much better levels of service than was ever experienced in the past