Except that if the DfT call the extra year on the GWR franchise, the "Angel 12" (cars) get their lease on GWR automatically extended until 2020 under the terms of the existing GWR lease with Angel.
Surely the leasing agreement can't be as simple as that, otherwise all the Angel 150s would have automatically had their leases extended to 2019 when the direct award was made and yet some of them are off-lease this year and some are off-lease next year.
If you said the franchise has the option of extending the lease if they want to, then that would sound more plausible.
Angel are said to be a bit embarrassed about all this and the DfT are now looking for a solution to sort out the potential shortfall for either franchise.
I would imagine Angel or any other ROSCO would have thought the GWR direct award had a generous enough extension to prevent the need for any further extension.
Having a quick look at the franchise agreement it's 3 x 2 car 150s and 2 x 3 car 150s due to transfer in 2019 (12 carriages.) Also worth noting an additional 36 carriages equivalent in quality and performance to 170s have to be secured by 2022 and all but 1 of the Anglia 170s come off-lease in 2019. Perhaps a solution is for Northern to get some of their additional '170s or equivalents' early and some of their 150s late? It might cause a few issues in diagramming with some services which which were due to get 3 car 150s retaining 2 car DMUs for a bit longer but it would be better than Northern being 5 units short.
There does seem to be a trend of GWR units due to transfer to Northern being delayed - it happened in 2007, it's happened again this year and maybe will happen again in 2019. Doesn't happen when TPE units are due to transfer to Chiltern though. :mad: