If things get that critical there will be a derogation against the PRM requirements and deferment until W&B can bring their fleet up to spec. The Welsh Assembley won’t allow W&B to halve their fleet overnight just because of some accessibility issues. Yeah, not great for equality but bottom line the railways are there to love people. If it comes to serving 1000s of passengers and keeping trains in service beyond the deadline or removing otherwise perfectly good trains from service because they don’t meet the accessibility requirements of less than 1% of their passenger base; they will serve the many over the few. To do otherwise would likely be more destructive to the equality movement than just pushing the deadline back.
If ATW are releasing more trains than they can afford to for these mods - even as it became apparent many months ago that Porterbrook’s proposes timescales were way off - that’s not Porterbrook’s problem. Projects run late; and should have adequate contingency. It appears ATW hadn’t put any form of contingency in place; and blindly ploughed on with their PRM mods programmes; without any care for the passengers those decisions would afflict.
ATW are just doing what they've been told. ATW were under no obligation to do anything about PRM mods as their franchise ends in a few weeks. Welsh Govt are in charge of the Welsh PRM program. If ATW hadn't started sending 150s and 158s away for mods in June, Wales wouldn't have stood any hope at all of meeting the 2020 deadline. As things stand, it still doesn't stand much chance.
Things are critical now. Halving the capacity on peak time trains means inevitably passengers will be left behind on platforms, not being able to get to or home from work. ATW's fleet is stretched when it's running at full capacity - there is no slack at all to allow for only a few trains to be away for mods at a time without cover, without there being consequences. Hence why the 769s were ordered as they were sold to Welsh Govt as a quick way to get extra DMUs into service.
Look at ATW twitter. Last night there was the bizarre spectacle of Rhymney, Aberdare and Treherbert passengers arguing with ATW over who deserved the most carriages, as peak Rhymney trains have now been halved in capacity.
Peak time morning trains are being cancelled due to not enough trains being available thanks to "trains away for accessibility upgrades and needing repairs".
And yet some passengers honestly believe on 15th October, with ATW gone, the land of milk and honey will arrive.
Posters from outside of Wales fail to grasp how much Welsh Govt has riding on the new Transport for Wales franchise. Welsh Govt have publicly committed to eradicting Pacers from Wales by 2020. They won't risk the reputational damage of renegaging on that promise.
Personally I think the 2020 PRM deadline should be put back to 2022, I gather EMT have similar difficulties in meeting the 2020 deadline due to being a franchise that expires next year.