Do you work for National Express (or worse, the DFT) as you have a very downbeat view on what could be a fantastic service? The more you cut back to "core" routes then that makes sense that is what passengers will use the most as thats all thats on offer. Price is prohibitive to most people wanting to travel long distance on this network, forcing people to use alternatives. Then people lke yourselves and the DaFT say "no need for longer, more useful services, lets cut back to the core, run short trains, pack them in and charge them the earth" - that is not the answer for XC. This service needs to offer longer, more comfortable trains at reasonable prices to more destinations. Yes I can hear all the blinkered people saying "who's going to fund that?" - well if the DAFT can waste over £100 billion of our money building a new railway line between London and Birmingham (which most people don't want) then I'm sure that money could be better spent enhancing XC and other services, more electrification, better stations, new lines, would you not agree with that? Franchising is an outdated model and is no longer fit for purpose to run our railways, which is why its been scrutinised at the moment and alternatives being considered. Lets put the passenger first and the money grabbers 2nd for a change. Public Transport is meant to provide a decent public service as an alternative to the car, not a plaything for profiteers,
I think there’s
a lot of “strawman” going on here.
Nobody is against the idea of “longer trains” / “more comfortable trains”/ electrification / “better stations” / "reasonable prices" or "putting passengers ahead of money grabbers" per se
(though "new lines" is often just an excuse to re-open some failed route to a rural village/town that is a particular obsession of a certain type of enthusiast, rather than a rational assessment of places in need of being served better).
But for all the bluff and bluster there's no getting away from the facts:
The majority of rail journeys (including a huge amount of First Class travel - i.e. the more lucrative fares that can be the difference between a service being viable or not) are to London/ from London/ wholly inside London/ via London (so not relevant to Cross Country)
- Of the journeys outside London, most are under ninety minutes (sure, people might travel hundreds of miles for their annual holiday but most day-to-day demand is for much shorter distances)
- There are currently a finite number of trains capable of matching Voyager timings (self powered trains with fast acceleration, capable of 125mph top speed) – you can try for the cascaded Voyagers/ Meridians – you can run “fun size” HSTs if you can get Wabtec to upgrade them – but both of these are probably a couple of years away right now - which is why I'm trying to focus Voyagers on the XC "core"
- The current XC network interacts with lots of different TOCs and is therefore fairly limited to fixed paths (e.g. C2C/ ScotRail could potentially recast their timetable to accommodate slower trains because they have a lot more freedom, but XC are restricted)
- There are a small number of paths through New Street that XC have to play with (currently two on the Wolverhampton corridor, four on the Tamworth corridor, two on the Nuneaton corridor, one on the Coventry corridor, one on the Solihull corridor and three on the Bromsgrove corridor) – so it becomes a Zero Sum Game (i.e. any Portsmouth - Birmingham service comes at the expense of a Southampton - Birmingham service, and a Liverpool – Bristol service would be instead of a Manchester – Bristol service).
- Splitting/joining services works okay on “metro” networks (South Central) and on leisurely long distance services (Far North) but it’d have to be *very* carefully managed before anyone suggests something wacky like a complicated arrangement where the Bournemouth/ Portsmouth/ Brighton services join at Reading and split at Crewe to form portions for Liverpool/ Manchester/ Glasgow. I wouldn’t be confident about that working every hour.
- Just based on the post-privatisation version of “Cross Country”, there are probably six southern destinations to serve (Cardiff/ Penzance/ Paignton/ Bournemouth/ Portsmouth/ Brighton). However I could add Newquay/ Swindon/ Ramsgate/ Paddington to that list as they have all been post privatisation destinations for XC services running south of Birmingham. To the north there are at least six routes (Liverpool/ Nottingham / Manchester/ “via Leeds”/ “via Doncaster”/ “via Wigan”, complicated by the fact that some of these services are now with other TOCs (and there are different ways of serving Aberdeen/ Edinburgh/ Glasgow to Birmingham – plus XC currently include Stansted). And some large places that were never on the XC map (Bradford, Hull - presumably there's some demand from Bradford/Hull to far flung destinations too - how many places are you trying to tie together in this messy network?).
Looking at my local station (Sheffield), the majority of Cross Country customers aren't going beyond York (to the north) and Birmingham (to the south). There is *some* demand from Sheffield to Cornwall/ Hampshire/ Aberdeenshire but that's a tiny amount of overall passengers. So, as long as Sheffield has a good service towards York and Birmingham (inc Leeds/ Doncaster/ Derby/ Chesterfield etc) the majority of passengers will still have a good service, that's the market to focus more on.
If there's a through service beyond York/Birmingham to Aberdeen/ Penzance/ Southampton then that's great but I don't think that the long distance market is significant enough to make much of a difference to whether the services through Sheffield have as a southern termini. It’s more an operational convenience.
Same will apply to other stations – e.g. the majority of Bristol passengers won’t be travelling much beyond Birmingham/ Exeter, the majority of Stoke passengers won’t be travelling much beyond Manchester/ Birmingham, the majority of Exeter passengers won’t be travelling much beyond Bristol/ Plymouth.
The way I’d approach XC is to have a half hourly service on the main routes out of Birmingham (Manchester/ Sheffield/ Reading/ Bristol) – not including the ex Central Trains routes.
Maybe even simplify things to have a half hourly Manchester – Reading corridor and a half hourly York – Bristol corridor (with various extensions to Bournemouth/ Edinburgh/ Plymouth etc).
I’m not saying “don’t have any medium/long distance services”, just that any medium/long distance services would be better if they were simpler and more reliable and focussed more resources on the busier sections (e.g. given that there are several other trains each hour from York to Newcastle/ Edinburgh).
We can’t link everywhere to everywhere (e.g. I can argue that Leeds to Birmingham warrants an hourly service but I don’t think the market for Leeds to have a daily direct service to each of Cardiff/ Penzance/ Paignton/ Bournemouth/ Portsmouth/ Brighton is large enough.
If the services (either side of Birmingham) happen to match up so that Linda in Leeds has a through train to visit Brenda in Bournemouth but no through train to visit Trevor in Truro then that’s just good luck/ bad luck. I don’t think that any one flow between places 100+ miles apart is worth worrying about.
Maybe some people will think that I’m trying to discourage people from train travel, but the opposite is true. I’m trying to encourage people to use trains by having better services over the kind of distances that most actually people travel (instead of some “nice to have” where we tie up capacity trying to link everywhere to everywhere for those once-a-year journeys).
In BR days, more of the “Cross Country” passengers were doing long distance journeys, because the irregular services were pretty useless for doing an everyday journey like Sheffield to Leeds. (which was roughly every couple of hours but not clockface, and with the complication of some “box ticking” services taking the slow route via Doncaster to get to Leeds).
Virgin changed that – they introduced simple routes, simple timetables. All of a sudden people could rely on XC, they had a straightforward half hourly service on the main corridors, you didn’t need a timetable. And the passengers used to using local TOCs suddenly found that these modern silver trains provided a much better service than before, so switched from the likes of Northern Spirit.
So if you have a plan for XC then you need to deal with the reality that most passengers are doing journeys of under ninety minutes. Maybe you’d prefer the BR days when it was a service exclusively for small numbers of longer distance passengers who had all day to wait for the one direct service between far flung cities, but we are where we are – any attempt to create the kind of “Bournemouth to Glasgow” links has to deal with the limited number of paths through Birmingham and the complications of other bottlenecks.
If you want a long distance “express” service that doesn’t bother with the “smaller” places then how are you going to serve the intermediate towns (since there probably isn’t going to be space in the timetable to run a “city only” version of XC as well as the existing one that stops at Berwick/ Darlington/ Chesterfield/ Tamworth/ Cheltenham/ Bristol Parkway etc)?
Got to deal with the reality of how things are, rather than some high minded ideal about connecting everywhere to everywhere.
If you research and read fiscal reports on HS2 you will see that estimated costs are now in excess of £100 BILLION - Fact, not fiction. No concept of what it will bring? A huge debt and a fast railway line between Birmingham and London, thats what it will bring (as I very much doubt the rest of it will get built anytime soon)
Okay, here's the deal. You can complain about HS2 only going as far as Birmingham, or you can complain about the "hundred billion" cost. Either may be valid reasons to criticise the project. But you can't take the overall cost of a project hundreds of miles long and pretend that this will only deliver the first phase (which is under half the total costs). I don't mind which side you want to attack it from, but at least be consistant, rather than trying to bolster your weak argument by having it both ways.