I think they'd just about manage to keep the Swansea schedules. Typically five to seven minutes faster to Cardiff now but the HSTs used to wait time for several minutes at Bristol Parkway, typically arriving at XX02 and departing at XX09 once the Voyager crossed in front of it.
Have the 800s been uprated? During the changeover period they were usually slower than the HSTs, I mean in terms of point to point timings rather than maximum speed. Of course the drivers will be more familiar with them now which will make a difference.
Comparing pre-2019 (2015 as it's the WTT I have to hand) 1142 Paddington Swansea with current-day 1148 Paddington to Swansea
In 2015 the 1142 was timed 2h06m to Cardiff
In 2021 the 1148 is timed 1h53½m to Cardiff
Same calling pattern, similar dwells (3m total longer dwell across the 2015 schedule as far as Cardiff)
Even if you excused 5 minutes at Bristol Parkway for that regulation against the Northbound Voyager (which isn't allowed for in the WTT) we're still talking 4-5 minutes difference.
On diesel, yes HST and IET performance is similar – this isn't a coincidence, it was intentional; as such they're pretty evenly matched Cardiff to Swansea, IET makes up ground by being able to achieve shorter dwells. But an HST couldn't keep to IET electric timings; heck it would barely keep to the timings the 110mph Bristol Parkway 387s achieve. We're talking 2-3m faster Paddington to Reading, another 2-3m Reading to Swindon, another minute to Bristol Parkway. Yes, a top driver, engine fresh off exam and hard driving might come
close – but you could do such astonishing antics with the IET as well and beat the timetabled times by some margin; as has been proven on various "speed runs" since IET introduction.