Based on current experience, vanilla double track OHLE will cost something like £9m per route kilometre. It will get very expensive very quickly.
Do you have a source for that? I know electrification is expensive, but that is a lot higher than numbers I have seen elsewhere
I doubt truncating the Metropolitan Line to Rickmansworth and dumping people into Marylebone (a markedly inferior terminus to Baker Street is almost all ways, let alone through trains to Aldgate) will be particularly popular with the user base either.
Chorleywood, for example, has far more traffic on LU than it does on the Chiltern.
Fully agreed here, enforcing changes will make the railway less attractive, so is best avoided
If the Metropolitan Line extends to AVP then Chiltern operation would be restricted to a single platform at Aylesbury for the rump service via Princes Risborough.
There would be little need for it to to share platforms.
If sharing platforms/lines was necessary, it still wouldn't be a major problem, as 4th rail makes isolating the return currents of the two electrification systems much easier - same applies to if EWR makes it to Aylesbury
I'd say, even if it is unlikely, there is considerably more chance of the Met extending to Aylesbury than the Chiltern Main line receiving the well over billion pounds it would take to electrify.
Or the couple hundred million pounds required for reelectrification to Aylesbury via Amersham.
It will require a fleet of dual voltage rolling stock to be provided which would otherwise not be required.
This will require additional maintenance work that would not be required otherwise, and place restrictions on diagramming that would not exist otherwise.
In addition, it would require electrical work on the LU to convert the line from four rail to de-facto third rail operation.
This is not true, you could order dual-voltage OHLE (25kV AC) and 630V DC (4th rail, +420V and -210V, giving 630V total) and retain the 4th rail system as is, rather than changing it to 4th rail
All vaguely new 3rd rail units and many ohle units (class 701, 707, 387, etc.) are in fact dual voltage units, so the extra cost can't be that major - you could even decide to simply fit the whole chiltern fleet for both systems, reducing the number of restrictions that places.
Which isn't to say that extending the met couldn't be the preferred solution, but it isn't as though the only 2 options are to either dual-electrify the shared stretch or extend the metropolitan - dual-voltage EMUs are certainly an option.
You could do anything with an unlimited supply of money. That's why threads like this one, whilst being speculative and entertaining are ultimately rather pointless.
Part of the reason for starting this thread was to avoid the chiltern new fleet tender thread being filled up with (speculative) messages about electrification by providing an alternative (better) place for it. That thread has been linked back to at least twice already.
On top of, diesel is unlikely to stay around forever - Full or partial electrification is by far the most likely alternative that keeps the railway open.
It was de-scoped to save money and yet according to this thread there would be funding in place to electrify the Chilterns which would be infinitely more difficult and expensive than wiring a brand new railway.
I'm sure you're aware that politicians have a bit of a history of making decisions that don't necessarily make sense from a financial perspective. Deciding not to electrify EWR from the start (which was the wrong decision in my view, but that is beside the point), does not mean they won't electrify the Chiltern railway (or any other route for that matter)