Can DfT/ORR delay/revoke the authorisation for Lumo’s service?September to Lumo.
Can DfT/ORR delay/revoke the authorisation for Lumo’s service?September to Lumo.
Not only that I seem to recall that the fleet of 27 222s was going to match the replacement of the 25 (was originally 26) HSTs. Thirty vehicles have now been contracted to the First Group (Lumo) as 5 x 6 car units, so the fleet for fleet replacement won't now pan out. In one sense it is a bit of a surprise that FG didn't get offered some ex AWC 221s with their TASS equipment, but they wouldn't have got the sixth cars - unless a deal done with the XC 221s which don't use the tilt capability.As far as I know there is no agreement for ScotRail to take any 222s yet anyway.
Wasn't the whole point of the 222s moving north supposed to be for 10 years coverage whilst Scotland try and get more lines electrified so they can then order new bi-modes? If the 222s aren't going to be available for another 2 years (more like 3-4 when you factor in training etc), they might as well forget them and just order a new fleet now and stick with the HSTs until 2030! They should have just gone new build when they stuck their tender out to be honest - a debacle like this was always going to happen!
Not only that I seem to recall that the fleet of 27 222s was going to match the replacement of the 25 (was originally 26) HSTs. Thirty vehicles have now been contracted to the First Group (Lumo) as 5 x 6 car units, so the fleet for fleet replacement won't now pan out. In one sense it is a bit of a surprise that FG didn't get offered some ex AWC 221s with their TASS equipment, but they wouldn't have got the sixth cars - unless a deal done with the XC 221s which don't use the tilt capability.
Can DfT/ORR delay/revoke the authorisation for Lumo’s service?
A unit can be given/loaned/hired to EMR that is not up to the correct specifications for driver and crew training (as they did the other months for the train the trainer runs) .If this actually happens, is this genuine progress or a panicked reaction to the fact that 222s are going to start exiting the fleet and exposure to this is a real threat?
The numerous delays have been discussed to death here and elsewhere, no (apparent) 10-car testing has commenced and we’ve now heard that there are major wiring issues. So, to hear that a unit is being handed over in September seems a bit premature given the introduction issues are not insignificant.
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2028?!![]()
Causing an existing non open access service to become unviable might perhaps be considered to be a good reason. Delaying Lumo’s operation by a year or so would be the sensible course of action.DfT have nothing to do with it. Technically ORR could, but they would need a very, very good reason otherwise it would a trip to the High Court.
I stand to be corrected by people with expertise here, however I think the High Court would look at ways that the ORR could mitigate refusing to release the 222s to Lumo.Causing an existing non open access service to become unviable might perhaps be considered to be a good reason. Delaying Lumo’s operation by a year or so would be the sensible course of action.
Win the battle, lose the war. Lumo’s parent is looking to expand their open access operation. Upset the Secretary of State and see what happens. Best to play nicely and wait a year.I stand to be corrected by people with expertise here, however I think the High Court would look at ways that the ORR could mitigate refusing to release the 222s to Lumo.
As much as deploying 170s on mainline services would significantly compromise EMR’s operations (particularly the Regional side), it is nevertheless mitigation - just as hiring in the 180s would be.
As @Bald Rick has stated, the ORR would need a damn good, watertight case proving that every other option were genuinely 100% impossible.
Yeah, Lumo need to treat the SoS with the same kid gloves you treat Trump with !!Win the battle, lose the war. Lumo’s parent is looking to expand their open access operation. Upset the Secretary of State and see what happens. Best to play nicely and wait a year.
Causing an existing non open access service to become unviable might perhaps be considered to be a good reason. Delaying Lumo’s operation by a year or so would be the sensible course of action.
ScotRail are under pressure to get rid of HSTs before 2030.As far as I know there is no agreement for ScotRail to take any 222s yet anyway.
Wasn't the whole point of the 222s moving north supposed to be for 10 years coverage whilst Scotland try and get more lines electrified so they can then order new bi-modes? If the 222s aren't going to be available for another 2 years (more like 3-4 when you factor in training etc), they might as well forget them and just order a new fleet now and stick with the HSTs until 2030! They should have just gone new build when they stuck their tender out to be honest - a debacle like this was always going to happen!
Politics will come into this. EMR run a pretty good intercity service, and one that runs into many marginal seats. If that service gets disrupted because of an open access operator then the Secretary of State will take a dim view. She’s already fired warning shots about open access operations in an earlier letter to ORR. (Not connected with the EMR issue). Future open access expansion is entirely in the gift of the DfT, so Lumo’s parent company needs to tread carefully. Having contractual rights and choosing to exercise them are different matters.But it doesnt become ‘unviable’..
Lumo have a contract for paths, and a contract to lease trains. ORR can’t do anythign sbout the train lease. It could do something about the Track Access Agreement, but as I said, it would have to demonstrate that Lumo were not able to operate the service in a safe and efficient manner. It is extremely unlikely.
What is more likely, (in the same way it’s more likely that I will get 4 numbers on the lottery tomorrow than 5) is that DfT instruct EMR to open negotiations with Lumo and the lessor to see how much they want to allow them (EMR) to keep the trains a bilt longer. The words ‘over’ and ‘barrel’ would be adjacent.
Well at the moment, the best they are going to get is to shave 3 years off that, more likely 2 when you factor in moving the stock, training maintenance teams, training crew, appeasing the unions etc. Then they are going to get more "English cast offs" and diesel cast offs at that which won't go down well politically at a time when the SNP are under a mountain of pressure anyway!ScotRail are under pressure to get rid of HSTs before 2030.
So the government can then be accused (quite rightly) of meddling in a private business's affairs?... and what what exactly would 'they' (Lumo/FG) get out of it, beyond damaged brand reputation?Politics will come into this. EMR run a pretty good intercity service, and one that runs into many marginal seats. If that service gets disrupted because of an open access operator then the Secretary of State will take a dim view. She’s already fired warning shots about open access operations in an earlier letter to ORR. (Not connected with the EMR issue). Future open access expansion is entirely in the gift of the DfT, so Lumo’s parent company needs to tread carefully. Having contractual rights and choosing to exercise them are different matters.
Lumo’s parent is looking to introduce more open access routes. The government is luke warm to the concept at the best of times. Now is not the time to antagonise.So the government can then be accused (quite rightly) of interfing in a private business's affairs?... and what what exactly would they (Lumo/FG) get out of it, beyond damaged brand reputation
I mean in this case, Lumo (ScL/WC) have access rights until a specific date... it's not for a set period from when they start operating, to suit EMR/DfT.
Even if they don't antagonise, it doesn't guarantee that it'll improve their fortunes with future applications... so could just be wasted time and money just to benefit DfT/EMRLumo’s parent is looking to introduce more open access routes. The government is luke warm to the concept at the best of times. Now is not the time to antagonise.
Lumo’s parent is looking to introduce more open access routes. The government is luke warm to the concept at the best of times. Now is not the time to antagonise.
EMR still think September but realistically I can see it being well into next year, unless we end up in a similar situation as SWR where only one or two units see service for a long whileWhat’s the latest estimate (no guesses!) for the first 810 being introduced? It can’t be more than a few months, surely?
Also given Eversholt Rail have awarded a £10m contract to Alstom to refurbish the class 222's as part of a £50m train services agreement there are potentially penalties included in that agreement if the 810's aren't in traffic to release them.I can assure you that they are now not remotely bothered what the DfT might think. Lumo will get its first unit on time and the DfT can do nothing about it.
The contract comprises two key components which includes a Train Services Agreement (TSA) with FirstGroup – valued at approximately £40 million (€47.5 million) – to be delivered at Alstom’s Central Rivers facility. From here, Alstom will maintain, overhaul, service and clean the five trains over the next five years.
In addition, the contract includes a fleet modernisation programme with Eversholt Rail – worth around £10 million (almost €12 million)
Yes1. 5 222's will be leaving EMR in September 2025 to go for refurbishment and enter service with Lumo in 2026.
Potentially (either replacement/reduced/170s).2. No replacement rolling stock will be provided to EMR and since the 810's aren't anywhere close to being accepted, a reduced timetable, or 170's going to/from St Pancras, is a realistic possibility.
Unknown.3. 6 221's (221101-221106) sit stored at Derby or Burton with no known future and due to costs+the time it would take to train staff, these units won't be drafted in to EMR temporarily cover the 5 departing 222's.
Yes, not sure if it is specifically related to 10 car operation.4. The 810's have problems with welding, wiring looms catching fire and working in 10 car operation. There has been no public update or transparent communication from either Hitachi or EMR to passengers and staff about the delay, or the problems, or what the solution will be.
5. Thankfully these problems were found testing the units, which is a good example of why testing takes place first before entry into service, but it's currently unknown if Hitachi have a solution for these problems.
Yes6. If Hitachi do have a fix for the problems, EMR are expecting to accept their first unit for driver+staff training in September 2025.
In what way is the ROSCO setup to blame for Hitachi’s inability to deliver trains anywhere near to the contracted delivery schedule? Because that is the root cause.If there was ever an argument for an actual unified, comprehensive rolling stock procurement strategy and an end to ROSCOs, it's this sorry state of affairs.
Thats makes sense given they are going for a refurb first and i guess Widnes will only be resourced to deal with 1-2 units at a time. So are they taking one 7 car and one 5 to make 2 x six cars or is that detail not yet decided?I believe the release to Lumo has always been a phased release, not all at once in September - unless something has changed very recently.
Indeed. Though one would expect EMR's contract comes with some damages for late delivery of the product. Not that this would necessarily cover the difference.The words ‘over’ and ‘barrel’ would be adjacent.