The aspiration is credible. Achievement of practical operational railway links for such an airport with few guaranteed flights overlooks a lot of practical difficulties before a financial case is even attempted.
Look at maps. Consider impact on existing rail services. Lots of very wishful thinking needed to justify the massive amounts of construction and attendant costs involved.
Gatwick receives very frequent direct bus and train connections from a wide area. 44% of travellers use public transport. They are struggling to get that figure higher to back their second runway proposal.
Thanks to RAF needs attempts at commercialisation are 70 years too late. Diverting railway lines enough to make it more attractive just throw more cash into a bottomless financial pit.
The DfT reviewed the proposal for an ECML ‘loop’ down the Doncaster-Lincoln line and then back to the ECML via DSA with cost estimates at circa £300 million in 2019 money. Was thrown out due lack of value for money and low passenger throughput at the airport. There’s a common belief that building rail links to an airport isn’t going to see an ROI until the airport hits 10mppa. DSA will never even reach half that if it does reopen.
I’ve covered this before but the airport failed not due to lack of rail links or appetite to continue by Peel (some believe they purposefully ran it into the ground, but this is tosh), it failed because it’s in an area of intense competition. The propensity to fly in the area for which it is most convenient is lower than the national average. The little industry there is is served by the KLM at Humberside and people in Sheffield can quite easily get to Manchester or East Midlands which offers more choice. There is no commercial or strategic benefit to airlines investing, we saw during Peels tenure them literally paying airlines to fly from there, easyJet, Ryanair, Flybe and all of them failed to gain any market share so pulled out. Wizzair also dropped their base when they couldn’t sell enough seats to keep two aircraft busy and the one aircraft base wasn’t profitable.
Jet2 and Ryanair have both said they aren’t interested, easyJet have remained silent for now but appear to be building up a presence at LBA with a view to eventually opening a base. Without that core volume traffic the airport as a passenger facility just will not be able to pay its way.
MAI are on the payroll of Doncaster Council to the tune of £40,000 per month. No idea what they’re paying FP airports, nor do I understand what they’re bringing to the table as their only aviation interests is reopening Plymouth Airport which is, alas, still closed…
This is as has been mentioned by ainsworth74, nothing more than a useful tool for political capital. I understand the other mayoral candidates have been kept out of the loop so as to be able to pledge that Ros Jones will be the only one capable of reopening the airport. SYMCA mayor has sent the plans for a review by independent financial advisors and doesn’t expect to hear from that until ‘the summer’. The Doncaster Councils own external auditors issued a rare ‘notice of concern’ to the council over this project. Conveniently though the summer is after the local mayoral election which his party colleague will be hoping for reelection in.
This is only going to go one way, I just hope someone has the sense to put the brakes on before the ‘sunk cost fallacy’ kicks in and we start seeing the site being perennially bailed out by the local tax payer, as that’s an inevitability.