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Eurostar St Pancras bedlam: solution could be to start some trains at Ebbsfleet or Ashford

Failed Unit

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I think you might be underestimating the cost of taking a vehicle across the Channel
I am not sure what the costs are myself, but recently a family of 4 I knew drove across London - Paris because it was significantly cheaper. Granted it was relatively late booking, but Eurostar is expensive now, I could have flown for significantly less - I just don't like the air industry treatment of customers so am happy to pay a premium to avoid it (Eurostar are hardly beacons of customer service)
 
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paul1609

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I think you might be underestimating the cost of taking a vehicle across the Channel
i think you may be over estimating it!
For my Toyota Pickup the public fares departing on any remaining train today are:
Day/overnight return £100
5 day return £156.
This includes up to 9 passengers (not sure how Id fit them in
I get a discount as an account holder.
Avoiding a few peak weekends theres always cheap fares if you go overnight.
I dont use the ferries but they advertise £44 day overnight returns.

Good point. I know Eurostar are not very customer focused anyway, but it would be very interesting to know how many of the passengers at St Pancras would prefer to get on somewhere else if the option was available. When I think about Stratford, the walk between Stratford and Stratford international isn't the best with lots of luggage, which will add to the expense of using it.

Would I be correct in saying that the Stratford stop was originally for North of London Eurostars (which never happened hence why it never opened)
The original North of London service was scheduled to run via Kensington Olympia and the West London Line.
By the time CTRL phase 2 went ahead NoL was long since dead and buried.
The HS1/ NLL link was some sort of future proofing for northern politicians. Not only was such a service never likely to be financially viable, it was totally impractical, can you imagine a Eurostar slinking its way between the NLL frequent all stations service with flat crossings at either end?
 
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Meerkat

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I would envisage the marketing pushing the Ebbsfleet and Ashford tickets as not being for those wanting London - emphasising the parking etc.
There must be a decent sized market of folk with a combination of not wanting to negotiate their baggage/kids/less mobile around the underground/train connections,live an easy driving distance from Ebbsfleet, don’t live near a station to get to London etc etc. Particularly if they want an early train - piling into the car on your drive at 5am is a much better prospect than trying to find public transport.
Crossing London on the underground isn’t a great start to a romantic trip to Paris…..
 

The Prisoner

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Not sure if anyone is really saying reverse them there, just say having the following from St Pancras (in principle)

x00 - Paris (Non-Stop) - Every hour
x15 - Paris (Stratford, Ebbsfleet and Ashford) - Alternate house.
x33 - Brussels / Amsterdam Every hour.

If the x15 and x33 are flighted in the channel tunnel, they some of the Brussels services could leave at x15 and then continue to Brussels after after the tunnel.

However, I don't know what capacity is like on HS2, so not sure if having a stopping services would cause choas for South Eastern. People for Paris would probably chose the fast service anyway, but as many say you might as well start from St Pancras as realistically you would need to run the train empty anyway. So you get more operation flexibility .
The OP was saying start and end some there
 

mike57

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The OP was saying start and end some there
Which because border controls need staffing is only going to work if there is an hourly service, it wouldn't be cost effective for an occasional service (hence why Marne-le-Vallee was dropped). So that means you have to pick one from Stratford, Ebbsfleet or Ashford as your second terminus, and then you need to get decent loadings on those hourly services. I agree there is a market for those driving or living south or south east of London, but I doubt its a full train per hour.

For a lot St Pancras is a convenient starting point, so to get those people to swap you have to offer a cheaper option, and find a price point where the less convenient service is attractive to people. I think Ashford would probably make most sense, but could current South Eastern high speed services cope with say half a Eurostars worth of passengers and luggage per hour?

And seeing this is a speculative thread, in a parallel universe if HS1 and HS2 had been properly linked, to allow through services I could see an hourly (Somewhere north of Birmingham?) - Birmingham - OOC - Stratford - Ebbsfleet - Ashford high speed connecting service being a possibility, as this would help to ease the load at St Pancras. Offering through ticketing for international passengers. Timings could have been arranged to allow through passengers to be processed and loaded onto cross channel services without too much of a wait. BUT.. that bird has well and truly flown, however I think future generations will be highly critical of the way the two are lines are so close, but not linked, and at some point way in the future a very expensive project to link the two will be undertaken.

Its also worth looking at this from a Eurostar point of view, they have a popular service, for which they can charge top dollar, why divert resources away from this. Its really up to a competitor to come in and try carve a niche, as well as rail competition maybe there is a market for flights without the downsides of current low cost operators, with a higher initial ticket cost (but cheaper than Eurostar) and without all the catches and 'upgrades' that the current low cost operators then use to make the operation profitable.
 

MarkyT

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Which because border controls need staffing is only going to work if there is an hourly service, it wouldn't be cost effective for an occasional service (hence why Marne-le-Vallee was dropped). So that means you have to pick one from Stratford, Ebbsfleet or Ashford as your second terminus, and then you need to get decent loadings on those hourly services. I agree there is a market for those driving or living south or south east of London, but I doubt its a full train per hour.
For a lot St Pancras is a convenient starting point, so to get those people to swap you have to offer a cheaper option, and find a price point where the less convenient service is attractive to people. I think Ashford would probably make most sense, but could current South Eastern high speed services cope with say half a Eurostars worth of passengers and luggage per hour?
Ashford would also be my preference. I would stop most London Eurostars there too for its connections, with just a few non-stops at peak times to keep the headline journey time down in publicity.
And seeing this is a speculative thread, in a parallel universe if HS1 and HS2 had been properly linked, to allow through services I could see an hourly (Somewhere north of Birmingham?) - Birmingham - OOC - Stratford - Ebbsfleet - Ashford high speed connecting service being a possibility, as this would help to ease the load at St Pancras. Offering through ticketing for international passengers. Timings could have been arranged to allow through passengers to be processed and loaded onto cross channel services without too much of a wait. BUT.. that bird has well and truly flown, however I think future generations will be highly critical of the way the two are lines are so close, but not linked, and at some point way in the future a very expensive project to link the two will be undertaken.
More practical to run a cross-London domestic service along the WCML to the Midlands from Ashford, using some capacity on the fasts released by HS2. That could serve major stops en route; Watford, Milton Keynes, Rugby etc. It's technically possible now, but you've got to weave across from the slows on the flat today so some infrastructure intervention in the London area might be considered to grade separate that.
Its also worth looking at this from a Eurostar point of view, they have a popular service, for which they can charge top dollar, why divert resources away from this. Its really up to a competitor to come in and try carve a niche, as well as rail competition maybe there is a market for flights without the downsides of current low cost operators, with a higher initial ticket cost (but cheaper than Eurostar) and without all the catches and 'upgrades' that the current low cost operators then use to make the operation profitable.
Eurotunnel are courting new operators I think. I don't think we should be advocating diversion of existing cross-channel rail traffic to airlines of whatever flavour or pricing policy. Airports will also be facing difficulties implementing the new border procedures but at least they usually have the space to expand, or can create it more easily, in terminals.
 

WesternBiker

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One solution to the St Pancras problem would be to reduce the time people are in the waiting area, and increase border control facilities there so that people can be processed and loaded on to trains more quickly. Maybe let them up on to the platform 10 mins before doors open, so that people can find their right carriage, this would reduce people in the waiting area.
I agree: Is there any reason why the doors can't be opened sooner as well? There's always an unseemly scrum when the platform is announced, and then the waiting area empties out.
 

ShadowKnight

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Ashford would also be my preference. I would stop most London Eurostars there too for its connections, with just a few non-stops at peak times to keep the headline journey time down in publicity.

More practical to run a cross-London domestic service along the WCML to the Midlands from Ashford, using some capacity on the fasts released by HS2. That could serve major stops en route; Watford, Milton Keynes, Rugby etc. It's technically possible now, but you've got to weave across from the slows on the flat today so some infrastructure intervention in the London area might be considered to grade separate that.

Eurotunnel are courting new operators I think. I don't think we should be advocating diversion of existing cross-channel rail traffic to airlines of whatever flavour or pricing policy. Airports will also be facing difficulties implementing the new border procedures but at least they usually have the space to expand, or can create it more easily, in terminals.
I mean the WCML/Ashford domestic services could travel via HS1 through the NNL / HS1 link to provide a cross London service pretty minimally. However the lack of an obvious central London station may hinder it.
Perhaps an expanded Camden road station where the proposed high line is could suffice
 

30907

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I agree: Is there any reason why the doors can't be opened sooner as well? There's always an unseemly scrum when the platform is announced, and then the waiting area empties out.
Aka unnecessary, as everyone has allocated seats and 20min is ample time for boarding.
Possible reasons: train cleaning, restocking, allowing staff breaks. It is common but not invariable for trains to turn round in an hour, which isn't overlong for a train taking 900 plus baggage.
 

MarkyT

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... However the lack of an obvious central London station may hinder it. Perhaps an expanded Camden road station where the proposed high line is could suffice
Difficult and controversial to expand this, even just to add an extra track over the road bridge to the west of the station across Kentish Town Rd, let alone provide platforms and suitable passenger facilities. There's no direct tube interchange there either. This area was a problem for the original HS1-HS2 link proposal I recall. Post HS2, I'd look at providing extra platforms at Willesden Junction on the WCML slows for certain, and maybe also on the fasts, with a people mover shuttle over to the Old Oak superhub. I suggest the Midlands-Kent service could stop there if the platforms existed, and that could provide comprehensive connections to Underground, Overground, Elizabeth Line via people-mover, etc.
 

paul1609

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I mean the WCML/Ashford domestic services could travel via HS1 through the NNL / HS1 link to provide a cross London service pretty minimally. However the lack of an obvious central London station may hinder it.
Perhaps an expanded Camden road station where the proposed high line is could suffice
I dont think the hs1/nll link is actually signalled to passenger standards. The tracks dont appear to have been used for sometime. and i think it has only ever been used for engineering vehicles under possesion.
It would require some very specialist passenger vehicles able to run on br ac/hs1 ac/dc plus all the signalling systems.
 

MarkyT

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I dont think the hs1/nll link is actually signalled to passenger standards. The tracks dont appear to have been used for sometime. and i think it has only ever been used for engineering vehicles under possesion.
It would require some very specialist passenger vehicles able to run on br ac/hs1 ac/dc plus all the signalling systems.
I'm certain some work would be needed, albeit relatively minor compared to constructing an entirely new link through an urban area! Signalling plans I've seen show the link having passenger-compliant overlaps at the conventionally signalled junctions and all point machines have been supplied with the FPLs or equivalents required for passenger trains for decades now apart from special trailable ones only used in depots and yards. The transition between signalling protection system at the boundary could be a significant issue I agree as this never had to be properly completed before for routine passenger use and the trains would need to be able to support whatever tech standards and procedures were settled on. The SE cl.395s already have TVM, KVB, TPWS and AWS systems onboard I think so all the ingredients are probably there. The viaduct and trackbed between HS1 and the NLL junctions were built for a double track but only ever equipped with a single line so with some layout alterations the link could plausibly accommodate a train in either direction between the networks simultaneously. I don't know if any traction system changes would be required. As you imply running a new Midlands route in addition to the existing SE Javelin services means additional trains. They might be additional 395s, best for fleet flexibility, or a revised derivative rather than exactly the same train.
 

LocoForLocos

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Not much point using Ebbsfleet as all passengers would have to travel there on Southeastern HS which are already usually full. Ashford could work, but would have to be offered as a budget service in the Ouigo style. You'd have to stack 'em high, sell 'em cheap and offer bargain basement fares with longer check in times.

Stratford would be a better option for standard Eurostars (maybe offered at a fractionally cheaper price) as it's well connected to Central London. Space was built there for border checks, and there are two unused platforms where services could start and end.
 

LBMPSB

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Not much point using Ebbsfleet as all passengers would have to travel there on Southeastern HS which are already usually full. Ashford could work, but would have to be offered as a budget service in the Ouigo style. You'd have to stack 'em high, sell 'em cheap and offer bargain basement fares with longer check in times.

Stratford would be a better option for standard Eurostars (maybe offered at a fractionally cheaper price) as it's well connected to Central London. Space was built there for border checks, and there are two unused platforms where services could start and end.
If you do not mind dragging suitcases through Westmill Shopping Centre whilst changing trains.
 

paul1609

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Not much point using Ebbsfleet as all passengers would have to travel there on Southeastern HS which are already usually full. Ashford could work, but would have to be offered as a budget service in the Ouigo style. You'd have to stack 'em high, sell 'em cheap and offer bargain basement fares with longer check in times.

Stratford would be a better option for standard Eurostars (maybe offered at a fractionally cheaper price) as it's well connected to Central London. Space was built there for border checks, and there are two unused platforms where services could start and end.
Neither Ebbsfleet or Stratford are big enough stations to terminate start a full Eurostar from. They would also need to run ECS to/from St Pancras to reverse.
 

ShadowKnight

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Neither Ebbsfleet or Stratford are big enough stations to terminate start a full Eurostar from. They would also need to run ECS to/from St Pancras to reverse.
Well you couldddd use ripple lane sidings in Dagenham for any ebbsfleet reversing. I guess it's physically possible. Signalling wise I don't know
 

paul1609

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I'm certain some work would be needed, albeit relatively minor compared to constructing an entirely new link through an urban area! Signalling plans I've seen show the link having passenger-compliant overlaps at the conventionally signalled junctions and all point machines have been supplied with the FPLs or equivalents required for passenger trains for decades now apart from special trailable ones only used in depots and yards. The transition between signalling protection system at the boundary could be a significant issue I agree as this never had to be properly completed before for routine passenger use and the trains would need to be able to support whatever tech standards and procedures were settled on. The SE cl.395s already have TVM, KVB, TPWS and AWS systems onboard I think so all the ingredients are probably there. The viaduct and trackbed between HS1 and the NLL junctions were built for a double track but only ever equipped with a single line so with some layout alterations the link could plausibly accommodate a train in either direction between the networks simultaneously. I don't know if any traction system changes would be required. As you imply running a new Midlands route in addition to the existing SE Javelin services means additional trains. They might be additional 395s, best for fleet flexibility, or a revised derivative rather than exactly the same train.
I'm told by a reputable source that the link as is was put in as a tick box exercise on the hs1 contract and that when it was originally planned that a major rebuild of the nll and Camden Road Station would have been required to enable passenger trains to have run through. This I think was the responsibility of br/ rail track but never progressed due to the lack of services. It's some time since I had the conversation but I think the crux of the matter was that the connection to the ECML needed to have an Independant line joining the nnl from the hs1 link to provide sufficient overlaps. I believe as a result there's no signalling interface at all between br and hs1 here. I think the catenary on hs1 is at a different height and tension to br so you need at least different settings. I believe only the nol Eurostar and 92s had this but I'll ask a 395 driver when I see one in my heritage duties!
I believe that one of the rail freight companies has as a consequence a caveat on their SMS that allows them to operate engineering trains over the link with no train protection but that such movements are few and far between.
 

Bald Rick

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Stratford would be a better option for standard Eurostars (maybe offered at a fractionally cheaper price) as it's well connected to Central London. Space was built there for border checks, and there are two unused platforms where services could start and end.

The space for security / border control etc at Stratford was built for around 200 people max IIRC.


here. I think the catenary on hs1 is at a different height and tension to br so you need at least different settings. I believe only the nol Eurostar and 92s had this but I'll ask a 395 driver when I see one in my heritage duties!

Yep, HS1 has level contact wire. I fairly sure that the 395s have pantographs for this that can‘t be used on standard UK OLE as a result, but happy to be corrected.
 

MarkyT

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I'm told by a reputable source that the link as is was put in as a tick box exercise on the hs1 contract and that when it was originally planned that a major rebuild of the nll and Camden Road Station would have been required to enable passenger trains to have run through. This I think was the responsibility of br/ rail track but never progressed due to the lack of services. It's some time since I had the conversation but I think the crux of the matter was that the connection to the ECML needed to have an Independant line joining the nnl from the hs1 link to provide sufficient overlaps. I believe as a result there's no signalling interface at all between br and hs1 here. I think the catenary on hs1 is at a different height and tension to br so you need at least different settings. I believe only the nol Eurostar and 92s had this but I'll ask a 395 driver when I see one in my heritage duties!
I believe that one of the rail freight companies has as a consequence a caveat on their SMS that allows them to operate engineering trains over the link with no train protection but that such movements are few and far between.
I agree the absolute minimum track layout was built to form a basic connection suitable for occasional movements such as engineering trains, but it is a fully interlocked interface and the signals on the connection in both directions have AWS and TPWS. Operationally the NLL incline is difficult in terms of length and also when travelling from Camden to the ECML the overlap goes through the junction at the bottom of the incline (a safety measure as there was a perceived risk of overrun with an overlap spur going to a stop block with the outcome of smashing into the Copenhagen tunnel portal) so you can't approach the protecting signal at the same time as a train out of Kings Cross or Thameslink is passing on the Down Slow. Here's a diagram I found from this document: https://railway-news.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/signalling-at-the-st-pancrasctrl-terminal.pdf
1708076634991.png
 

Meerkat

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Not much point using Ebbsfleet as all passengers would have to travel there on Southeastern HS which are already usually full.
If the passengers wanted to go to London they would get a Eurostar service that went there - you would deliberately market the Ebbsfleet stop at driving and parking.
They would also need to run ECS to/from St Pancras to reverse.
Is that a problem - there are loads of paths spare aren't there? Obviously it will look a bit crap having empty trains going in and out but if it means more services.
 

MarkyT

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I have found the HS1 sectional appendix, or at least a version from 2013.


The revision history states:
"May 2013 - Table A diagrams updated to refer to HS1 where appropriate and that the signalling on the North London Line Connection and Silo Curve is commissioned."
Table A states:
"A8 002 North London Line (NLL) Connection and Silo Curve now available for use. Class 4 & 6 freight trains permitted to use the North London Line Connection."
"A9 003 North London Line (NLL) Connection now available for use."
 

MCR247

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If this ambition of stopping at Stratford and Ebbfleet was aimed solely at reducing pressure at St Pancras, Eurostar would presumably want to charge around the same fares from Ashford to Europe as they do from London to avoid losing revenue. That, plus paying for parking could be dissuade some of this potential driving market
 

Mountain Man

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Not just living in Kent. Having dropped off people at St Pancras with a 2 hour journey, it is quicker and cheaper for me to drive to Ashford from Wiltshire. ULEZ and congestion charges.
The Kent only line of argument is flawed.
I'd suggest the number who drive to St Pancras is a tiny proportion.
 

LBMPSB

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I'd suggest the number who drive to St Pancras is a tiny proportion.
I agree. As a regular who passes through St Pancras & Kings Cross, there is not that many private cars that pull up dropping people off. I would have no idea if people drove into London and parked up where they would find a suitable long stay carpark. If there had been sufficient passenger flows through Ebbsfleet and Ashford previously, I would have thought Eurostar would have revisited the option before now and opened them up. If they were to reopen said locations to have trains call rather than terminate there, the fare would be the same as for direct from London because they would have empty seats between London & Ebbsfleet/Ashford reserved for people joining at Ashford/Ebbsfleet, so loss of revenue would occur if tickets were cheaper from Ashford/Ebbsfleet.(Of course viceversa coming from Europe)
 

richardm

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Much as I would love to see Eurostar return to Ashford, the reality sadly is that this is unlikely ever to happen. Ditto Ebbsfleet. The good burghers of Kent cooked their goose when they voted for Brexit, and Covid was the final nail in the coffin.

The economics were long marginal, based on a small number of 'capitals' trains and an overspill for the leisure services to the Alps, Disney and South of France. That business model has gone. The post-Brexit logistics rule against the leisure services, while more generally it actually costs money to stop the other trains there.

Eurostar has a long history of abandoning or never using multi-billion pound assets (Waterloo International, Stratford International, North of London services, Nightstar services and so on) so won't care about Ashford and Ebbsfleet joining the list.

Politically it will keep saying it will review on an annual basis for the next few years, but don't expect anything to come of it.

If you do what you did, you get what you got...
 

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