po8crg
Member
- Joined
- 6 Feb 2014
- Messages
- 559
In terms of selling HS2 politically, it might be a good idea to commit any unspent contingency to extensions to the network and to kick off route studies, BCRs, etc. now in anticipation.
The schemes I can see making sense to look at are:
* Curzon Street-New Street and electrification of Bristol-Birmingham, so Cross Country services can use HS2 for part of their journey.
* Liverpool Spur
* York-Newcastle
* TransPennine
* Heathrow-Gatwick
* Hull Spur
[I'd expect that the last two wouldn't make an adequate business case, but the others would]
If it was clear that these were being seriously looked at, then a load of MPs would see their constituencies potentially gaining and be more inclined to vote for. Politically, you don't actually get the schemes detailed enough to annoy voters who live along the routes (ie, you don't actually announce routes). Since it's only a commitment of the unspent contingency, you're not spending any new money - just saying that if there's any left in the kitty, this is what you'll do with it rather than returning it to the treasury. That means it won't add many opponents to HS2, but it should add quite a lot of supporters.
It also means that when HS2 ends, there's a bunch of schemes with solid business cases and local political support ready to start building - whether there's actually contingency left or not won't be decisive in the political context of the late 2020s / early 2030s, but don't expect any politician to admit that!
The schemes I can see making sense to look at are:
* Curzon Street-New Street and electrification of Bristol-Birmingham, so Cross Country services can use HS2 for part of their journey.
* Liverpool Spur
* York-Newcastle
* TransPennine
* Heathrow-Gatwick
* Hull Spur
[I'd expect that the last two wouldn't make an adequate business case, but the others would]
If it was clear that these were being seriously looked at, then a load of MPs would see their constituencies potentially gaining and be more inclined to vote for. Politically, you don't actually get the schemes detailed enough to annoy voters who live along the routes (ie, you don't actually announce routes). Since it's only a commitment of the unspent contingency, you're not spending any new money - just saying that if there's any left in the kitty, this is what you'll do with it rather than returning it to the treasury. That means it won't add many opponents to HS2, but it should add quite a lot of supporters.
It also means that when HS2 ends, there's a bunch of schemes with solid business cases and local political support ready to start building - whether there's actually contingency left or not won't be decisive in the political context of the late 2020s / early 2030s, but don't expect any politician to admit that!