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Leading costs are subjective though, if you're paying 50% more in leading costs but 30% less in maintenance and fuel costs and getting 30% more seats (so staff costs on a per seat basis falls) then the maths may well work to justify the extra capacity.
The other thing to consider is that the track access charges for the HST's are much higher than they are for most of the 22x's, as although each coach in less the two locos are much higher.
A 9 coach (if one exists) 221M would have a lease cost of 218.79p/m
A 8+2 HS2 is 193.68p/m
However change that to a 9 coach 222 (151.38p/m) or a 9 coach 221 (149.22p/m) or even a 221HB/M (166.14p/m) and the track access charges are lower.
I've not found track access charges for the 80x's however to be in a par with a 8+2 HST when running as a 10 coach then the per coach cost would need to be 19.37p/m which is fairly high, especially given that not all coaches have engines in then (the 390T's are quite a bit less than this even though the 390M's are higher).
Also, whoevers running the franchise will have to cough up the money for other things such as crew training and potentially higher leasing costs.
Leading costs are subjective though, if you're paying 50% more in leading costs but 30% less in maintenance and fuel costs and getting 30% more seats (so staff costs on a per seat basis falls) then the maths may well work to justify the extra capacity.
The other thing to consider is that the track access charges for the HST's are much higher than they are for most of the 22x's, as although each coach in less the two locos are much higher.
A 9 coach (if one exists) 221M would have a lease cost of 218.79p/m
A 8+2 HS2 is 193.68p/m
However change that to a 9 coach 222 (151.38p/m) or a 9 coach 221 (149.22p/m) or even a 221HB/M (166.14p/m) and the track access charges are lower.
I've not found track access charges for the 80x's however to be in a par with a 8+2 HST when running as a 10 coach then the per coach cost would need to be 19.37p/m which is fairly high, especially given that not all coaches have engines in then (the 390T's are quite a bit less than this even though the 390M's are higher).
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