• Our booking engine at tickets.railforums.co.uk (powered by TrainSplit) helps support the running of the forum with every ticket purchase! Find out more and ask any questions/give us feedback in this thread!

More Delay for HS2, and how should we proceed?

Status
Not open for further replies.
Sponsor Post - registered members do not see these adverts; click here to register, or click here to log in
R

RailUK Forums

Energy

Established Member
Joined
29 Dec 2018
Messages
4,592
I despair...
Its a shame that catching a bus or cycling is still seen as something you do because you can't drive by many despite getting the train into London or Manchester is seen as normal. In fact around me driving into central London rather than catching the train would be considered a bit odd unless their was a rail strike or you were taking something large.

Driving to Manchester Interchange and getting the train is still better than driving all of the way. Cycling infrastructure in big cities should help change the idea of cycling to be a normal, cheap way to get around but that will take time.

Alternatively they will just take the 8 minute train to Piccadilly and change there.
 

tomuk

Established Member
Joined
15 May 2010
Messages
1,953
The "9 miles hop along the motorway" between Stockport and the Airport involves the bottleneck of the 2-lane Sharston Link between the M60 and M56. Delays of up to an hour are not uncommon in the peaks.

But passengers between Stockport and London will be able to use Piccadilly HS station (8 minutes rail journey, plus interchange time) rather than travel by road to/from the Airport HS station.
They have got to get to the station first. The majority of the users of Stockport and Wilmslow stations don't live on the stations' doorstep.
 

matacaster

On Moderation
Joined
19 Jan 2013
Messages
1,606
Its a shame that catching a bus or cycling is still seen as something you do because you can't drive by many despite getting the train into London or Manchester is seen as normal. In fact around me driving into central London rather than catching the train would be considered a bit odd unless their was a rail strike or you were taking something large.

Driving to Manchester Interchange and getting the train is still better than driving all of the way. Cycling infrastructure in big cities should help change the idea of cycling to be a normal, cheap way to get around but that will take time.

Alternatively they will just take the 8 minute train to Piccadilly and change there.
Cycling in London, Cambridge etc is fine as it's mostly flat, lots of young people. Now try Huddersfield - there are some cycle lanes, but only ever used by lycra boys for pleasure. Cycle lanes simply cause traffic bottlenecks in our part of the woods, with dodo spotting being more likely to succeed than cyclists going to work. No one in their right mind is going to travel to work and back up and down very steep hills pretty much wherever you go. The amount of rain and lower temperatures doesn't help either. Cyclists round these parts do it for fun and exercise, not for essential journeys. Bus services tend to be hourly in the evening if they can be bothered to turn up.
 

josh-j

Member
Joined
14 Sep 2013
Messages
199
Getting off topic but the feasibility of cycling and bus travel is down to how good the service provision is. Electric bikes make hills into nothing. Cycle lanes would actually be good for people who need to drive if they are sufficiently well segregated that they draw people away from driving.

As for buses, yes an infrequent bus service is pretty rubbish. So fund better bus services. Which again, takes care off the road which is good for everybody including those who still need to drive.

It isn't an us vs them thing. Active travel and public transport are good for everybody, including those who don't use them.

The same applies to rail projects like HS2. Provide a better service and fewer people will choose to drive. It isn't about telling people to stop driving, it's about providing better alternatives. So let's do the same across the board, rail bus cycling and all.
 

slowroad

Member
Joined
23 Jul 2021
Messages
132
Location
Wales
Getting off topic but the feasibility of cycling and bus travel is down to how good the service provision is. Electric bikes make hills into nothing. Cycle lanes would actually be good for people who need to drive if they are sufficiently well segregated that they draw people away from driving.

As for buses, yes an infrequent bus service is pretty rubbish. So fund better bus services. Which again, takes care off the road which is good for everybody including those who still need to drive.

It isn't an us vs them thing. Active travel and public transport are good for everybody, including those who don't use them.

The same applies to rail projects like HS2. Provide a better service and fewer people will choose to drive. It isn't about telling people to stop driving, it's about providing better alternatives. So let's do the same across the board, rail bus cycling and all.
Trouble is, improving other modes costs a lot but produces negligible modal shift. Bike travel by distance accounts for such a small share that even it was doubled the effect would be barely noticeable. The cutting of bus services followed the decline in use, rather than caused it: people chose cars as their incomes rose. Road traffic levels in the Netherlands are similar to UK. As far as I am aware, no developed country has yet achieved measurable modal shift away from cars over time.
 

josh-j

Member
Joined
14 Sep 2013
Messages
199
Roads also cost a hell of a lot of money, though. Not just in construction and maintenance but in health service costs, whether accidents or air quality causing poor health and so on.

I think it's worth spending the money to build proper transit systems. Plus, bus services aren't that expensive to provide and are quick to roll out - a good place to start.
 

eldomtom2

On Moderation
Joined
6 Oct 2018
Messages
1,573
Yes, fair point. But a spiral is not reversible if the dominant force is downward.
Well understanding if it is reversible means actually looking into the factors that drive modal shift to cars instead of just blindly assuming that people will always prefer driving.
 

tomuk

Established Member
Joined
15 May 2010
Messages
1,953
Well understanding if it is reversible means actually looking into the factors that drive modal shift to cars instead of just blindly assuming that people will always prefer driving.
Cars are more convenient. Where they aren't people use other modes.
 

tomuk

Established Member
Joined
15 May 2010
Messages
1,953
"Convenient" is a very vague word that encompasses a lot of factors.
Cheaper, faster, more comfortable, carry more luggage\equipment amongst other reasons encompassed by convenience. It's why people used trains instead of horses and stagecoaches. Progress.
 

AlbertBeale

Established Member
Joined
16 Jun 2019
Messages
2,914
Location
London
Cars are more convenient. Where they aren't people use other modes.

Cheaper, faster, more comfortable, carry more luggage\equipment amongst other reasons encompassed by convenience. It's why people used trains instead of horses and stagecoaches. Progress.


Personal convenience is far from the only factor behind people's choices - plenty of people have less selfish concerns, thank goodness. "Progress", referred to above, is rather subjective - viz arguments over HS2 right here.
 

tomuk

Established Member
Joined
15 May 2010
Messages
1,953
Personal convenience is far from the only factor behind people's choices - plenty of people have less selfish concerns, thank goodness.
Unless you are living in a cave eating grubs and berries you have chosen personal convenience over less selfish concerns.
"Progress", referred to above, is rather subjective
No it is the reality of existence.
 

Mag_seven

Forum Staff
Staff Member
Global Moderator
Joined
1 Sep 2014
Messages
10,107
Location
here to eternity
I've moved some posts that were discussing the Eastern leg (new report issued) to this thread (now reopened)

 

eldomtom2

On Moderation
Joined
6 Oct 2018
Messages
1,573
Cheaper, faster, more comfortable, carry more luggage\equipment amongst other reasons encompassed by convenience. It's why people used trains instead of horses and stagecoaches. Progress.
So in other words, it does encompass a wide variety of unrelated factors - e.g. a train may be more expensive than a car but faster, and depending on the person and the reason for their journey they will value one more than the other. Therefore I don't think talking of "convenience" is very helpful.
 

quantinghome

Established Member
Joined
1 Jun 2013
Messages
2,265
Trouble is, improving other modes costs a lot but produces negligible modal shift. Bike travel by distance accounts for such a small share that even it was doubled the effect would be barely noticeable. The cutting of bus services followed the decline in use, rather than caused it: people chose cars as their incomes rose. Road traffic levels in the Netherlands are similar to UK. As far as I am aware, no developed country has yet achieved measurable modal shift away from cars over time.
You could probably push road traffic down to 60 or 70% from the current 90% in the absolute best case scenario of world leading public transport in all conurbations and excellent inter-regional and inter-city rail. So maybe, maybe you could reduce road traffic levels by a third. But even that's pushing it.
 
Last edited:

AndrewE

Established Member
Joined
9 Nov 2015
Messages
5,166
You could probably push road traffic down to 60 or 70% from the current 90% in the absolute best case scenario of world leading public transport in all conurbations and excellent inter-regional and inter-city rail. So maybe, maybe you could reduce road traffic levels by a third. But even that's pushing it.
so a third of the 40% of energy we currently use on transport sounds good to me, even if we only halve the energy used on that 40%...
Don't forget all the other benefits that active transport brings as well, improved health not being the least.
 

slowroad

Member
Joined
23 Jul 2021
Messages
132
Location
Wales
so a third of the 40% of energy we currently use on transport sounds good to me, even if we only halve the energy used on that 40%...
Don't forget all the other benefits that active transport brings as well, improved health not being the least.
A glance at fig 4 in this, which shows what other European countries have achieved, suggests a big shift ain’t gonna happen. (Active travel is not included but too small in terms of distance travelled to matter.)

 

stuu

Established Member
Joined
2 Sep 2011
Messages
2,848
Journeys is the more rational metric, passenger km is obviously skewed towards longer journeys. That has a dramatic effect on proportions, although not good for rail
 

slowroad

Member
Joined
23 Jul 2021
Messages
132
Location
Wales
Journeys is the more rational metric, passenger km is obviously skewed towards longer journeys. That has a dramatic effect on proportions, although not good for rail
It’s not a more rational metric if you are concerned with energy use, road congestion or pollution, all of which will be more closely associated with distance traveled than number of trips.
 

eldomtom2

On Moderation
Joined
6 Oct 2018
Messages
1,573
It’s not a more rational metric if you are concerned with energy use, road congestion or pollution, all of which will be more closely associated with distance traveled than number of trips.
Arguably it makes some sense for energy use/pollution, though it ignores things like how many people are travelling per train (which obviously has a big impact on pollution per passenger), but road congestion? Which road do you think is more congested, the 100km road with one car or the 1km road with 100 cars?
 

stuu

Established Member
Joined
2 Sep 2011
Messages
2,848
It’s not a more rational metric if you are concerned with energy use, road congestion or pollution, all of which will be more closely associated with distance traveled than number of trips.
For modal share it makes more sense, which was the original point
 

BRX

Established Member
Joined
20 Oct 2008
Messages
3,703
Modal shift has to start in urban areas, where the lowest hanging fruit are, and then gradually work outwards.

There's plenty of precedent for it being achieved in urban areas and there's a fair bit of it happening just now, including in places where it's part of a decades long battle to get there.

Who knows how optimistic we can be about it being achieved in significant degree outside of urban areas (and inter-city travel) but just because nowhere has really cracked it yet doesn't mean that it can't happen. And there are quite a few fast moving technological developments that might influence things in a number of ways we can't quite predict.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Top