Greybeard33
Established Member
Thinking further on this;
- if we assume that restricted capacity westwards from Piccadilly will be sorted - one way or another - in association with HS2.
Then the issue of restricted cross-town capacity for tram-train services really only arises due to TfGM's aspiration to link tram-train from Wigan/Atherton to Glossop/Hadfield.
But otherwise, tram-train from Glossop/Hadfield could link into existing lines; one being ther Trafford Park line (as you say above). But another might be to run tram-train from Piccadilly through Market Street and on to Shaw. Which would satisfy Oldham's expressed desire for a direct link into Piccadilly, and would increase capacity on the busier bits of the Oldham/Rochdale line. Maybe split five and five?
It was not my intention to suggest that tram-trains should run to the Trafford centre, or indeed any other specific cross-city service pattern. Just that, arithmetically, if there are to be an additional 5tph into St Peter's Square from the east, there must also be 5tph more from the west. Current plans are for only 5tph to the Trafford Centre, whereas the Didsbury, Airport, Altrincham and MCUK/Eccles lines are all planned to have 10tph. So the Trafford Park line seems to be the obvious candidate for a future increase in frequency, should it prove successful.
I should think tram-trains would be best suited to the ex-heavy rail lines, so I would envisage a change in cross-city patterns such that the tram-trains from Piccadilly maybe form both Altrincham services or one Altrincham and one E Didsbury, with the additional Trafford Centre service taking over Bury or Rochdale.
I agree it would be attractive instead to increase the Picc-Vic frequency to 10tph (although if the Bury-Picc service changes from a single M5000 to a tram-train, that will double capacity). However, I doubt that the Shaw turnback could reliably cope with 10tph (tram-train plus the existing E Didsbury service), with a 5tph through service to Rochdale. And this would double the current capacity between Vic and Shaw - is traffic growth likely to be enough to justify that?
I also doubt that the Newton Heath single line section could reliably handle 15tph each way (unless the GMWDA depot is relocated to enable the line to be redoubled). The Bury line will already have 15tph once the Trafford Centre to Crumpsall service is added.
Regarding the Atherton line, it may be more realistic to increase capacity by means of longer, electric, metro-style trains running on the existing surface lines through Salford Central to Victoria (and on to Rochdale or Stalybridge), rather than by constructing a costly "3CC" tunnel from Salford Crescent to Piccadilly to enable increased frequency. Underground metros inevitably incur higher operating costs than surface light rail, because of the safety and security systems and station staffing requirements. So it might be hard to demonstrate that the capital cost of a tunnel could be funded from future savings in operating subsidy.