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Northern Tender for up to 450 units

RailWonderer

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2 fleets is fine tbh, Northern is big enough that neither would be a microfleet.
The DfT will purchase the bare minimum of stock needed, 323s and 333s can easily be replaced with newer cascaded EMUs so for the foreseeable it will be the new fleet, 195s, 323s, 331s and 333s most likely. 5 train types isn't unmanageable.
 
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Xenophon PCDGS

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The DfT will purchase the bare minimum of stock needed, 323s and 333s can easily be replaced with newer cascaded EMUs so for the foreseeable it will be the new fleet, 195s, 323s, 331s and 333s most likely. 5 train types isn't unmanageable.
Perhaps my memory serves me false, as in years gone by the word "Northern" always seem to attract the word "cascaded" in discussions, as it was seen to be the very franchise to send older stock that were being replaced by newer rolling stock from other TOC. (Speaking as the person who first coined the phrase "Newton Heath's Finest" in discussions concerning the Class 142 Pacers).
 

Snow1964

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The DfT will purchase the bare minimum of stock needed, 323s and 333s can easily be replaced with newer cascaded EMUs so for the foreseeable it will be the new fleet, 195s, 323s, 331s and 333s most likely. 5 train types isn't unmanageable.
Sensibly it has been proposed as a framework agreement with duration of nearer 10 years. This means they can order a base quantity, and add to it later if and when funds are forthcoming.

There are 3 possible things which will happen :
1) no bids (unlikely when could end up nearer 1000 vehicles)
2) bids are close, with lots of priced options and takes months to evaluate
3) Clear winner that can deliver at price that is acceptable to DfT

It is not going to look good for election candidates in north if discussed that they don't want to replace 1980s trains
 

Nottingham59

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Sensibly it has been proposed as a framework agreement with duration of nearer 10 years. This means they can order a base quantity, and add to it later if and when funds are forthcoming.
That sort of flexibilty adds to the manufacturer's costs
ensure all requisite tooling would be kept for that time period by the manufactuing body?
Including locking up their capital for a decade
 

Snow1964

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Would this "nearer 10 years" requirement ensure all requisite tooling would be kept for that time period by the manufactuing body?

There are multiple reasons, and many European railways are doing the same. Firstly new train designs need lot of testing and validation these days, so not changing spec means follow on batches should be able to go into service almost immediately.

The other main reason is it simplifies operation and maintenance, crews need to learn less, and maintenance staff get familiar with quirks and need fewer spare parts if less types.

For the manufacturer there is a trade off of having efficient standard production lines (which allows them to offer a more competitive price to win business), vs capital tied up and being uncompetitive if another manufacturer launches some sort of step change cheaper wonder train.
 
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Stephen42

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Would this "nearer 10 years" requirement ensure all requisite tooling would be kept for that time period by the manufactuing body?
Yes, though it's unlikely a manufacturer would destroy their ability to produce units within 8 years if they knew future orders were likely anyway. They don't need to keep the production line rolling and the requirements will aim for manufacturers to offer their existing product lines rather than creation of something new. The framework agreement could contain incentives for additional phases being timed to give a consistent stream of work.

Separately there are agreements around spares which I'd expect to cover the serviceable lives of the produced units to avoid some of the challenges around spares existing fleets are facing.

None of this is going to be wrapped up quickly, with this being the early stages of the formal process. The procurement for the financing phase 1 alone is likely to take many months and that will only be issued once the first phase order size and approximate price is known. That will require a notice to the market so will give a public indication of when the process is nearing the end and further information about the first phase order.
 

Xenophon PCDGS

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It is all well and good to talk of minimum numbers of units from a train manufacturer, but from the view of the train manufacturer, dependent upon the size of their manufacturing operations, they need to be building a certain number of units to keep operational costs at a commercially acceptable level, with production of other orders from different sources.
 

stan claire

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745s to replace the 323s/333s and 755s (if they make a battery variant) to replace the older DMUs/769s would be an interesting idea but probably wouldn't be cheap enough for the DfT's liking (talking to CAF with their velcro PASCOMs)

Because they are already in service with GA it'll be a much shorter and smoother (hopefully) process getting them into service without having to test them as intensively as they would with a new unit
 

Mamorin

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CAF would need to design a new Bi-Mode for the UK gauge and that would require a lot of testing.

Would going with 745s and 755s would be cheeper given any time spent testing 745s and 755s would be quicker than with a new design from CAF?

I know flirts are not cheep though.
 

Trainbike46

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CAF would need to design a new Bi-Mode for the UK gauge and that would require a lot of testing.

Would going with 745s and 755s would be cheeper given any time spent testing 745s and 755s would be quicker than with a new design from CAF?

I know flirts are not cheep though.
Don't forget that there is the 756 trimodes (and 231 DMUs) from Wales as well, as part of the FLIRT family in the UK
 

Mamorin

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I had forgotten about those, Northern don't want DMUs, can't remember if the ITT mentioned Tri-modes.

Even if it did the 756s are still on test right now so its better to look at what Flirts are already in service that are what Northern is looking for which leaves just the 745s and 755s.

With so many Flirts built for the UK and with level boarding/gap filling it does give Stadler a good chance at winning this tender.

However this tender may not become an order, which would be a shame if that was the case but would not surprise me given the DFT wants to cut costs.
 

stan claire

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I had forgotten about those, Northern don't want DMUs, can't remember if the ITT mentioned Tri-modes.

Even if it did the 756s are still on test right now so its better to look at what Flirts are already in service that are what Northern is looking for which leaves just the 745s and 755s.
If I'm correct, they wanted BEMUs, bi-modes and I think the tri-mode option that the 756 does have. If the tender did become an order then the FLIRT platform would be the best option to have them in service the soonest, and hopefully the 756 should be well in service by the time they arrive.
 

Mamorin

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I think the only difference between the flirts already in service and any flirts Northern were to order would be the Northern bi-mode and Tri-mode flirts would have end gangways.

Not that this difference would change anything testing wise since the order would still be a version of the flirt family already in service in the UK just with end gangways.

Again this is all if this tender becomes an order and flirts get ordered.

I can see end gangways being part of Northern's spec for Bi-mode and Tri-modes, since Northern do couple up unit on their services these days where possible. EMUs would depend on how long they are 3 cars with End gangways, 4 cars without end gangways.

756s may enter service next year (ment to enter service this year but not sure if that will happen now), so 756s might be in service by the time a decision is made on wether to make this tender and order or not.
 

Chester1

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A 10 year framework agreement is a good idea. I can't see the treasury paying to replace the 158s until the 2030s.

My preferred approach for Northern stock, alongside new stock would be to grab as many TfW 158s as possible to send some 156s to the scrapyard. TfW 150s have 2+2 seating and a lot of them might be worth taking for a short period to enable the worst 150s to be scrapped early. It will take years to replace all the 150, 156 and 156s with new build.
 

HSTEd

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The DfT will purchase the bare minimum of stock needed, 323s and 333s can easily be replaced with newer cascaded EMUs so for the foreseeable it will be the new fleet, 195s, 323s, 331s and 333s most likely. 5 train types isn't unmanageable.
Newer cascaded EMUs may not be cheaper than using new builds, as the mess with the 707s can attest.

None of those EMU or DMU fleets are particularly large and the 323s are rapidly hurtling towards end-of-life.

And given ever-escalating railway staff costs anything that increases staff efficiency is going to look good on the business case.
 

Anonymous10

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Newer cascaded EMUs may not be cheaper than using new builds, as the mess with the 707s can attest.

None of those EMU or DMU fleets are particularly large and the 323s are rapidly hurtling towards end-of-life.

And given ever-escalating railway staff costs anything that increases staff efficiency is going to look good on the business case.
And if you ordered the 323 replacement alongside the 158 replacement that'd likely mean they'd be ready when they reach 40 or so years old.
 

JonathanH

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Seems to have gone quiet on the tender?
Take it the ideas went in the shredder again, bout right that.
You can't expect a running commentary, and equally can't expect there to be news on a constant basis. It doesn't work like that.
 

skyhigh

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Seems to have gone quiet on the tender?
Take it the ideas went in the shredder again, bout right that.
As above it is a commercial exercise. When there is news, it will be shared. Just because nothing has been announced doesn't mean there's nothing happening, it just means there's nothing new that is for public consumption.
 

Energy

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Everyone seems these days to see 24-hour news as being the norm.
For context for the Intercity Express Programe the ITT was published 16th November 2007 and Agility Trains announced as the preferred bidder on 12th February 2009. 1-2 years is consistent with the crossrail and thameslink rolling stock orders.

While I expect Northern to be less than this it isn't going to be a few weeks.
 

The exile

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My preferred approach for Northern stock, alongside new stock would be to grab as many TfW 158s as possible to send some 156s to the scrapyard. TfW 150s have 2+2 seating and a lot of them might be worth taking for a short period to enable the worst 150s to be scrapped early. It will take years to replace all the 150, 156 and 156s with new build.
There may well be competition for these from that other bastion of the cascade - GWR West.
 

hooverboy

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It is all well and good to talk of minimum numbers of units from a train manufacturer, but from the view of the train manufacturer, dependent upon the size of their manufacturing operations, they need to be building a certain number of units to keep operational costs at a commercially acceptable level, with production of other orders from different sources.
I wouldn't disagree.
Northern looking at replacing the 150's/769's and prospectively old "pacer" routes, I would be having a wager on some 20m stock being ordered.End gangways as per 150/2, and powered centre cars if they decide to have them in a 3/4 car formation.

With PRM,capacity is reduced considerably.a high density 150 can take about 140 passengers. PRM capable reduces that to about 110,which is a substantial drop.
not to mention,there are quite a few places that are limited to 2*20m vehicles.The pacers were a decent shoe-in for a budget route,so I would have thought northern will be wanting to keep their operating costs down.Sprinters are ok but given they are nearly 40 years old,there are definitely efficiencies to be had with better power plants and so on.
It doesn't have to be a 100mph rocket ship working on a branch line.Enough grunt to do a 0-60 repeatedly and back to 0 ,on a hard thrash duty cycle, and a few stints at 90 or so not to hold up mainline traffic is enough.
Some lightweight stock with easy splits/reconnects,and low running costs would work fine.
 

3RDGEN

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Seems to have gone quiet on the tender?
Take it the ideas went in the shredder again, bout right that.
The August document at the start of this thread was for expressions of interest only, as per section IV.2.3 selected candidates will be issued with an ITT which was estimated for 26th Oct;

"IV.2.3) Estimated date of dispatch of invitations to tender or to participate to selected candidates 26 October 2023".

Not seen any update on that or the ITT being sent out, however the government has had other priorities in the last month. Once that ITT goes out your looking at a year before a preferred bidder/contract would be announced, although any announcement will be affected by the General Election date. Northern have already said the first units in passenger service is 2028.
 

stan claire

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CAF would need to design a new Bi-Mode for the UK gauge and that would require a lot of testing.
Coming back to this, CAF have won the LNER tri-mode tender for their 225 replacement. They have this design based on the 397 so a 331/195-based design surely can’t be too much work? If they do order from CAF (and a potential additional 331/1 order) it’ll be the same fleet throughout and far less of an inconvenience for training and driver shortages
 

JonathanH

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Coming back to this, CAF have won the LNER tri-mode tender for their 225 replacement. They have this design based on the 397 so a 331/195-based design surely can’t be too much work? If they do order from CAF (and a potential additional 331/1 order) it’ll be the same fleet throughout and far less of an inconvenience for training and driver shortages
There is a discussion on just that point here. The synopsis seems to be 'not necessarily'.
 

Mamorin

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Ok so update on Northern's specification from a technological point of view.

According to an article in the latest issue of Modern Railways (Issue 903) dynamic charging of batteries via overhead wires is not part of the specification for Northern's ITT.

There is more to the article but none of it relates to new information regarding the specification for Northern's ITT.

Want this ITT to become and order now, not just because new trains are nice but also because the specification is getting interesting.
 
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