Bletchleyite
Veteran Member
I live on top of a steep hill. It is rarely ever faster to cycle in the homeward-bound direction, unless I skew the start by, e.g., starting a few minutes after one bus has left on the Sunday 20 minute frequency. I don't think you can evidence that is is "almost always" quicker to cycle outside of your specific - highly planned - location.
I think living at the top of a steep hill is a bit "RUK standard minority" to be honest. Most people do not live at the top of a steep hill.
Is there any evidence that journeys on conductor operated routes were faster than driver-only operation over common sections of route at the same time period?
If you can't see that this is obviously the case then you're going to struggle to get it - perhaps UK provincial bus operators suffer the same myopia while the rest of the world gets it*? But pre-Oyster it was indeed easy to see because there were plenty of places where both types of operation existed in common, e.g. Oxford Street and the Euston Road. There were even experiments with conductor operation on modern buses, though these largely didn't succeed because people expected to pay the driver when they saw a modern bus, and so the faffing about as each one asked for a ticket and wasn't sold one and couldn't understand why didn't make things much quicker.
Some cash paying passengers may almost be as quick as Oyster - the ones who have the correct fare in their hand, drop it while saying "two quid please" and take their ticket without even breaking stride (though the trend towards stating the destination and the driver having to find it has added extra delay). But by and large that isn't how people are.
* For example I recall Hamburg very reluctantly introducing the requirement to show your ticket *at all* on buses - it was previously fully open all-door boarding - they were honest and open that it would slow things down but said that with rising evasion the cost of that had exceeded the cost of the slowdown - that's an operator that "gets it". Of course Oyster and the likes offer you that speed (or close to it, there's always some muppet who doesn't get that they should have their card in their hand ready before stepping aboard) without that revenue loss. And the £2 scheme could have offered it as an experiment for them too!