On the Saturday 127 -
There's still a lot of 'if' here.
I don't think any of us here know whether Carousel might or might not want to run a Saturday service on a commercial basis. If they did, there's nothing to stop them registering it, whether there's an existing contracted service or not.
I also don't think any of us here know exactly what the status of existing Wokingham Council contract/s are (I don't - anything I have said is speculation based on having handled contracted services both at local authorities and bus operators, but elsewhere.)
Any contract will probably have an early termination clause, rather than it being absolutely guaranteed for the full 5 - 7 year life - a 3 month notice period is not unusual, but I don't think there's any law specifying it. Although if councils get in to the habit of terminating contracts early for no good reason, then operators will not be very happy, and are likely to increase their future prices to allow for this risk, as it may in turn louse up their vehicle or premises leasing agreements.
Also, while councils have a 'duty not to inhibit competition' I don't think the precise meaning of this has ever been tested in court. While it would not be right for councils to run tendered services wholly against commercial services, it gets more of a grey area if a commercial service runs direct from A to D, but council wants a service that goes via B and C.
Or where there's a long established contracted service and an operator registers a speculative commercial route over all or part of it, which might be under notice of variation or termination before the 3 month notice period on the existing contract is up.
How much public money would be spent on an early termination, the cost of running a tender exercise, and almost inevitably a higher cost for the new contract compared with how much would be spent keeping the existing contract running, albeit with more overlap with a new commercial route? (and how much more still if it's all done hastily and the commercial route disappears again and needs replacing with a new contracted service?)
It's also a grey area how far a council can change an existing contract without re-tendering the whole thing. Again, I don't think there's any detailed rule, and it may depend on a council's own procedures and standing orders. There are many circumstances where it would be a nonsense for council to insist on no change at all to what's been tendered during a contract - obvious examples would be changing journeys to connect with a new train timetable, or if a school opens / closes / changes its times, or changes of route brought about by highway network changes. Usually these can be done within the existing contract resources / cost, or with a bit of negotiation if it adds to or reduces mileage / vehicle hours.
If (and we're still in the realms of 'if' here) Carousel wanted to run a commercial Saturday 127, then it might be possible for Wokingham to negotiate a change to the existing contract, either to reduce Saturday resources (removing the existing tendered journeys might or might not save a whole bus / driver duty for the day, depending on how it inter-works with other routes. And as it wouldn't save a weekday bus, it's only got the potential to save the direct costs of Saturday journeys.) Alternatively, it might be practical to divert the existing resources to cover bits that wouldn't be on the new commercial route and / or enhance Saturday services elsewhere on the tendered network.
On the (0)1 -
I hope that RBWM have agreed the change of operator with His Majesty - the operator must need permission to use the private roads in Windsor Great Park.
While I'm aware that White Bus changed ownership from the Jeatt family a few years ago, there can't be many routes left that have been with their original independent operator since before the 1930 Transport Act. Obviously this isn't a factor that councils can take in to account when awarding contracts.
I must try and decide whether to go and travel on it again before the change (last time I did, White Bus had recently acquired an Optare Delta or two for the route...)