I can see reform making big inroads here in wales, bear in mind we have had labour since 1999 ish, and the country is worse for it. to be fair it wasn't too bad till 2015 ish
Reform is likely to attract people to vote for them, however by my maths of the last 26 years 15 if then weren't too bad, it's only the last 10 which have been when things appear to have got worse.
Personally I think that's the same wherever you live and it's potentially more to do with austerity set by the national government than what had been set by regional or local governments (although they often get the blame for having to cut services due to their budgets being cut).
, but soon as covid hit. it has got worse with very strict lockdowns (we were stopped from buying stuff in shops as he thought it was non essential but he has no right to dictate)
A fair point, but then there were criticisms of the UK government being too lax (easy out to help out), it wasn't an easy call to make either way.
, obsession with climate change,
Can I ask you a question, would you rather that we did nothing and then find out that it was a problem too late or do something and find out that it wasn't a thing?
Bearing in mind that a lot of the changes have secondary benefits. For example when we no longer gave ICE cars air quality in towns and cities will have improved, when we are less reliant on gas we no longer have to bankroll countries who may not align with our ideals (for example Russia), and that by having solar panels individuals don't have to buy as much of the electricity that they use.
and massive war on motorists.
Hardly, and anyway anyone who likes driving should actually want as few other people as possible driving.
As if car use fell by 10% the roads would be far less congested (typically like the scum holidays but in term time)
plus other things as well. Plaid are just obsessed with independence which will not happen.
The thing with political parties is there's always going to be some areas where people disagree with them - Plaid are at least up front about their main reason for existing.
The tourist tax is plaid as they don't want people in their little villages and anti english sentiment in certain parts of wales (namely mid and north west wales)
Would you rather:
1) tourists paid a few pounds each night they stayed somewhere
2) there were more cuts to services
3) you paid extra taxes
4) another valid option, however the above the are likely the main ones
I have voted conservative myself previously but willing to give reform a chance. Reform are uniting both labour and conservative voters. I work up the valleys and alot of my work mates who were staunch labour supporters are now voting reform. Wales needs change.
If you look at the English local election results as a whole the losses by the Tories broadly equals the gains by Reform, whilst the gains by other parties (Greens and Lib Dems) broadly equals the losses from Labour and independent councillors.
Whilst that's not denying that were certainly shifts from Labour to Reform and from Conservatives to Lib Dems, the overall picture isn't necessarily one of a massive swing from left to right. It appears to be a shift within the normal voting patterns.
Greens and Lib Dems did well because the Tories have shifted further to the right than they were and have left some of their voters behind in trying to chase Reform voters.
Reform did well because:
- people are still upset with the Tories for the last 14 years they were in power
- the previous time these seats came up was during the "vaccine bounce" where the fact the UK got a lot of vaccine early helped the Tories
- the amount of focus the press are giving them and issues they are interested in is perhaps higher than it should be*
*For example the Lib Dems got more than 50% of the number of seats as Reform, however if you do a Google news search for the party names counting the number of news stories:
12 for the Lib Dems in the last 7 days across 4 search pages (10 results per page, so the likelihood of finding more was starting to reduce significantly)
24 for Reform in the last 2 days across 3 search pages
45 for Reform in the last 7 days across 10 search pages (if I kept going I'd have found more but that's enough to prove my point)
It'll be interesting to see just how much change Reform can bring about in the councils they control (I suspect not a lot), whilst they will likely blame the national government (which may gain them some votes) that's going to be an issue and the bottom line is they would only be able to improve things with more money - given they want to cut taxes in not sure how that's going to work out.
Likewise without maintaining a reasonable working population size, I'm not sure how they plan to fund the fact we have an aging population with the percentage of total population being those over 65 continuing to rise (which typically means a greater amount of the tax take being needed for pensions, health, social care, etc.).
There's 4 options:
- Increase taxes
- have immigration
- Cut pensions
- Grow the economy
Given they definitely want to cut the first two, that leaves the last two needing to do even more than if the first two were left as they are.
They want people to have more children, however they won't help for at least 20 years, if that was the plan that needed to happen under Gordon Brown if not earlier. Not when the number of children is already falling in primary schools (up until now it was slightly hidden by the fact that the number of children was rising, just much, much slower than the increase in the population).
When you look at two factors on the e need for more housing one accounts for 60% whilst the other accounts for 40%. One is the total population increase and one is the size of households.
Given the tone of the rest of this post, you may be unsurprised to read that faking household sizes since 1980 is the 60% factor (even if there perception of many is that it "should" be due to increased population size).
A lot of the falls in household size is liked to the fact that not many people over 65 have families living at home and given that those over 65 now make up a larger percentage of the total population then that's a factor.
To put this in perspective in 1981 the census data says that the number of the population over 65 was 8.3 million that's now risen to 12.7 million (plus 53%, which compares with the total population increasing by 22% in the same timeframe).
Of course many voters (and not just Reform voters) won't look at the bigger picture when it comes to things like immigration (even if their thought process is more nuanced than I like people like me and I don't like people not like me) and even if they were to see information like the above will ignore it because it doesn't fit their worldview.