To take the OPs question at face value, the answer is that services from Manchester Airport should be at a frequency appropriate to the passenger numbers on the branch and should go to the kind of places where the most regular passenger demand is likely to be.
Whilst Im sure people have anecdotes about folk travelling all the way from Barrow/ Cleethorpes (etc) who might use the Airport once a year, Id be more interested in the everyday travel to work area. That means places like Stoke and Warrington.
Im sure a day trip to Durham/ Windermere would be nice for those with free parking at the Airport, but the reality is that demand for direct services to these places is occasional rather than frequent.
Realistically, the passenger loadings at the Airport are only around 10% of capacity (the average train has thirty three passengers alighting or boarding at Manchester Airport thirty three passengers - consider against the number of seats on all of those 185s/323s as well as 350/4s and doubled up units would you justify nine services an hour with such passenger numbers and would you justify a tenth or even more services on that line when plenty of other lines are short of seats?).
So Id suggest that frequency should be roughly four or five an hour in future (still only around sixty passengers per train, a 153 could comfortably cope with most departures!), which would free up a number of units for other services. Maybe two an hour from the Ordsall Chord and two an hour from the Salford line? Were talking under three hundred passengers in a typical hour after all.
However most debates about Manchester Airport tend to get distracted by whether it has superior flights compared to other airports like Liverpool/ Newcastle or sniffy responses along the lines of oh, I suppose youd scrap all services and force people to use other Airports. The range of flights is irrelevant the number of railway passengers is what matters.
For example, the range/ frequency of flights from Manchester is exponentially better than what you get from Robin Hood Airport (outside Doncaster) or Humberside Airport (near Scunthorpe/ Grimsby), but if there are only a handful of people travelling from Doncaster/ Scunthorpe/ Grimsby all the way to Manchester Airport on a typical day then its hard to justify retention of a direct service every hour.
If you want a Crayonista option then one service unmentioned so far is the Trent Valley Stopper from Euston to Crewe extending it to the Airport (possibly to replace existing Northern service from Crewe to the Airport). Places like Stoke, Stafford, Tamworth and Nuneaton arent *that* far from Manchester Airport (compared to all of the debate about further away places like Edinburgh/ Durham etc) so may see more regular demand not sure why we only tend to debate Manchester Airport in terms of places in the north and ignore the millions in the Midlands? The current track layout at Crewe means any service onto the Shrewsbury/ Chester lines are probably a non-starter though (dunno if HS2 will help this?).
The impact of running Manchester Airport trains can ripple out in consequences for many miles beyond the airport itself
Agreed running services from Edinburgh/ Barrow/ Middlesbrough/ Cleethorpes (etc) over the busy flat junction at Slade Lane and along a congested line (nine trains per hour) to serve the Airport carries the risk of disrupting services all over northern England I dont think it is always worth that risk.
Given the significant investment being put into expanding the capacity and throughput of Manchester's railways, including new lines and platforms, I would hope that this is going to be put to better use than just pumping their own airport station full of trains.
Agreed. There seems too much focus on services to Manchester Airport rather than services through Manchester.
It's all adding up to low frequencies between major cities, and sub-optimal interchange options
Agreed.
The obsession with everywhere having a direct hourly service to the Airport has created a Gordian Knot of a timetable across northern England, with many awkwardly co-ordinated services remaining (because the need to slot into a certain path to/from the Airport constrains the whole timetable).
There's a big difference between the thousands of people who will want to travel to/from a city, versus the handful that will want to travel to an airport. Is the national railway really to be run to prioritise the comfort of these few?
Did you know that in London taking luggage on the tube is not uncommon? That changing lines is not uncommon? And that getting a cab when you have lots of heavy items is not uncommon?
What makes manchester airport so special that all lines must lead there, even when it costs other cities services? Ending many national rail services at Manchester airport defies logic even for airport connectivity itself.
Agreed again.
Sadly, we have the tail (the handful of passengers continuing to the Airport) wagging the dog (the bulk of passengers getting off in central Manchester).
Personally, I'm of the opinion that an hourly service to the Airport from somewhere like Warrington (which is within a commutable distance of the Airport) is more important than an hourly service from Carlisle. A commuter can make over 200 return trips per year, a holiday maker may just make 1 return trip per year.
I say in my opinion saying towns within a commutable distance of the Airport should have priority for direct Airport links, giving Warrington as an example, in a thread discussing "Which trains should serve Manchester Airport?"
Agreed.
The Airports employment catchment area is places like Stoke and Warrington (which have virtually no direct services, despite the fact that someone working at the Airport may live there) and not places like Durham/ Windermere/ Barrow/ Cleethorpes.
Are you basically saying you wants 2 trains per hour to the airport from Warrington?
The people of Preston, Lancaster and further afield like these connections to.
You can't base service patterns on a whim
The people of places like Warrington are more likely to commute to the Airport than those of Preston/ Lancaster/ further afield, therefore there are people in Warrington who might make a couple of hundred journeys a year to the Airport, compared to people in Lancaster who might find a direct service handy once a year for a holiday.
In that case, a Warrington link is more important. Whether people like direct services matters less than in what number theyd actually use them.
I have been arguing on other threads arguing for Cross Country services to be extended to both Gatwick and Heathrow Airports
The idea of a Birmingham Birmingham Airport Milton Keynes Watford West London Line Gatwick Brighton service is one I keep coming back to shame itll never get off the ground (for various reasons).
I think that it is a fair comment that if you have luggage and/or are travelling with children, every time that a change of train is added into the equation it makes the journey less appealing and people will use the car.
Is that a good thing?
Its *true*, but how many passengers are we talking about in a typical day?
Its also true to say that a family considering a holiday in Blackpool would be more likely to use the train for all of their luggage/ children if there were a direct service, but nobody is demanding a direct train every hour from Glasgow/ Newcastle/ Sheffield/ Chester etc to Blackpool.
(see also people in Rotherham wanting a holiday at Cleethorpes/ people in Bradford wanting a holiday in Scarborough etc)
Is extending the hourly service from Cleethorpes beyond Piccadilly to the Airport (at the cost of one additional DMU) worthwhile for the number of people whod use it in a typical hour (who wouldnt be prepared to change at Piccadilly)? Were not talking about extending a handful of services a year to the Airport to coincide with school holidays (when theres a jump in the number of families with children getting flights).
You would also make the Ordsall Chord something of a white elephant.
No reason why *everything* on the new chord would have to go to the Airport. We could see Calder Valley Victoria Piccadilly New Mills/ Buxton services, we could see Todmorden Chord Victoria Piccadilly Knutsford/ Chester services...
...youd get a Victoria Piccadilly with those trains too (and therefore improve connections in Greater Manchester).
East Lancashire needs direct services to the airport, so extending the Clitheroe trains or some of the forthcoming Todmorden circulars would be good
East Lancashire *needs* direct services to the airport? Okay then, tell me who should lose out to accommodate this, so that we can run DMUs on the electrified line to the Airport?
Or should your East Lancashire services be in addition to the existing nine services an hour from Piccadilly, two Calder Valley services extended via the Ordsall Chord, the new Liverpool via Warrington service, the increase in Barrow services...?
I might remind you that Manchester Airport is actually a useful destination for many people, including me, and I'm based in Durham
Actually my argument wasn't centred on that at all. It couldn't have been because, as others have pointed out, Durham has already lost that service. I was simply pointing out that I used to find that service useful, both for the airport, south Manchester and connections from Piccadilly, to challenge your assertion that there wasn't much demand for it
Youre mistaking personal anecdote for data.
Liverpool is being prioritised for service level improvements. That's why, as I understand it, it'll see an extra train per hour over the Chat Moss. This is the maximum I think is required or can be offered without adversely affecting stopping services. If that still isn't enough capacity, I would suggest lengthening trains would be a better option than adding more services
So the Airport is getting more and more services over the next few years (despite the thousands of empty seats heading there each hour already) but Liverpool should be grateful for just one extra service per hour?
Is it not the case that many of the services that run to the airport do so as much for operational convenience as anything else? Or would you terminate everything in the Mayfield loop?
If you're going to serve Piccadilly, you might as well go on to the airport
as I have said numerous times, the airport service is as much, if not more, to serve Piccadilly, as it is to serve the airport. It makes sense to make the short hop to the airport if you're going to Piccadilly anyway
Extending services beyond Piccadilly to the Airport comes at the cost of additional units.
For example the 14:02 arrival from Cleethorpes/ Sheffield into Piccadilly could form the 14:20 departure for Sheffield/ Cleethorpes, but instead reverses to the Airport, gets there at 14:33... leaves at 14:55 and gets to Piccadilly in time to form the 15:20 i.e. one extra diagram required to serve that one extra station. Whos paying for that extra unit/ driver/ guard? Thirty three passengers?
Reduce those nine services an hour to something more appropriate (say five trains per hour? Still a turn up and go frequency) and you could save three or four units for use on other busier routes.
Pretending that running so many trains to the Airport is as simple as laying over at Mayfield is disingenuous, sorry, especially as most Airport services currently depart from the main shed at Piccadilly (the half hourly stoppers, the Middlesbrough service, the York service and the Cleethorpes service), compared to those using 13/14 (the Scottish service, the Blackpool service, the Southport service and the Liverpool service), so theyre certainly not *all* coming from the west anyway.
If you want to avoid terminating services at Piccadilly then why arent we talking about things like Cleethorpes Southport? Contrary to Received Wisdom on here, the answer doesnt always have to be run a through service to Manchester Airport every hour...
for the record, the airport station is used by more passengers than many other stations that TransPennine Express serve
Many other stations served by TPE get significantly fewer than ten departures an hour though (nine to Manchester, one to Crewe)...
I had a horrendous journey from Manchester to Edinburgh several years ago - due to bad traffic congestion in South Manchester I would have missed my planned through train from Piccadilly (then a diesel unit run by Virgin) so I went to Oxford Road, only to have it confirmed that it didn't stop there. I jumped on the next train to Bolton only to find that the Edinburgh train again trundled through the platform at five miles per hour without stopping. Damage limitation time - with no through train for several hours I caught the next train to Preston and didn't have too long to wait for a Glasgow train, although this was a bit delayed.
Now I recall the eminently sensible practice of splitting Anglo-Scottish trains at Carstairs, but under the bearded wonder this practice had ceased so still no Edinburgh connection but the train guard was on the ball - rather than travel all the way into Glasgow he advised me to decamp at Motherwell and await a connection on the newly electrified GNER Glasgow-Edinburgh-London route
I dont know when this journey was, but if you are talking about Virgin running units rather than loco hauled/ HSTs (and Beardie / GNER) then itd have been a few years since the Carstairs Edinburgh line was newly electrified?
Still, worth remembering that for a few years under Virgin, there were no direct services from Manchester Airport to Carlisle/ Glasgow/ Edinburgh (Manchester Edinburgh/ Glasgow services were an extension of Bristol/ Reading - Birmingham Manchester services) and most people seemed to cope okay.