Which is a good thing, because it avoids the risk of a passenger deciding that they've got time for one last pint but being caught out by the train making up some time.
As you’ll be aware yourself, even as a guard, not giving passengers ‘hope’ reduces frustration dramatically when that ‘hope’ doesn’t come to fruition so I agree that the system should be somewhat reserved to ensure people make appropriate plans.
Any such system would also need to know if there were loops or multi-track sections where one train could be overtaken by another, whether such loops or facilities were or were not already occupied by another train, or blocked for some other reason, and whether Signallers and/or Control decided to use that facility, depending on likely delay to the first train. Not quite as simple as it first appears!
Yes it’s much less simple than some may believe.
Getting this information from Absolute block signalling areas may be impossible and difficult from PSB’s.
If someone truly wanted to make this system, then perhaps using the Cambrian would make a lot of sense. One digital signalling system centre at Machynlleth controls the whole of the Cambrian and as it uses ERTMS the train sends regular position reports to the RBC (Radio Block Centre) when it passes over balises.
Further to that, when the signaller sets a route the ‘movement authority’ is sent to the train directly.
The Cambrian is single track so if one train picks up a delay, it will directly delay the train going the other direction, and so on and so on.
On the mainline for example there are 5 passing loops 3 of which are used to pass trains in service for the hourly service. So there are 2 places where on time trains can be kept moving on time whilst let’s say for example the ‘down’ service is on time whilst the ‘up’ service is 15 mins late. They’re booked to cross at Welshpool which has an almost 3 mile long passing loop.
It’s about 12 minutes from the end of the Welshpool loop to Newtown.
The decision has to be made wether or not to delay the down train almost 15 minutes at the Welshpool loop or to send it to Newtown and delay the already delayed train about another 10-15 minutes, the system could then pick up on whether or not the on time train is given a movement authority onto the single line or not. If not then could show it as delayed by the same amount it’s booked cross is delayed. If it is given an MA onto the single line then it would continue to show on time and the. The system could do a simple calculation of working out how long the delayed train will end up waiting at Newtown which is just, the sectional running time of 12 minutes minutes how many minutes it gets to Newtown after the on time train enters the single line.
I appreciate that I say ‘oh it’s simple’ but even that would be a lot of work. But by using the ERTMS system and an area where the track lay out it is simple and the number of variables are reduced it could allow a working base system to be made which can then be built upon as ERTMS is rolled out to other more complex areas such as the ECML.