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East Coast Timetable Dec 24

Nicholas Lewis

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The current impasse seems to arise because the various train and freight operating companies have competing rights which are unable to be timetabled given the current infrastructure on the East Coast Main Line. So I thought it might be useful to go back in history to look at the decision to grant those rights.

In 2016 the Office of Rail and Road approved the current track access rights for the East Coast after detailed analysis of the various competing claims.

In a letter of 24 March 2016 ORR set out their understanding of the various capacity constraints existing at that time and the services that could be possibly delivered following an all parties meeting earlier that month.

Looking at this it would appear that the expectations for infrastructure improvements have not been achieved (such as at Woodwalton).




In ORR's decisions letter of 12 May 2016 there was an additional comment about the uncertainty of DfT financing. https://www.orr.gov.uk/sites/default/files/om/2016-05-12-ecml-decision-letter.pdf
Given that you have to wonder why there have now been two abortive attempts to revamp the timetable especially the most recent attempt. My guess is the current timetable will now stay until Trans Pennine Upgrade is completed.
 
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swt_passenger

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The current impasse seems to arise because the various train and freight operating companies have competing rights which are unable to be timetabled given the current infrastructure on the East Coast Main Line. So I thought it might be useful to go back in history to look at the decision to grant those rights.

In 2016 the Office of Rail and Road approved the current track access rights for the East Coast after detailed analysis of the various competing claims.

In a letter of 24 March 2016 ORR set out their understanding of the various capacity constraints existing at that time and the services that could be possibly delivered following an all parties meeting earlier that month.

Looking at this it would appear that the expectations for infrastructure improvements have not been achieved (such as at Woodwalton).




In ORR's decisions letter of 12 May 2016 there was an additional comment about the uncertainty of DfT financing. https://www.orr.gov.uk/sites/default/files/om/2016-05-12-ecml-decision-letter.pdf
I made the very same point last month, post #119, that the 2016 list of infrastructure changes, (including for example at Woodwalton), had not all been completed, but I think it got lost in the general discussion.
 

The Planner

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Given that you have to wonder why there have now been two abortive attempts to revamp the timetable especially the most recent attempt. My guess is the current timetable will now stay until Trans Pennine Upgrade is completed.
Thats a long way away, a solution or variant will be found before then.
 
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Informed Sources in Modern Railways June 2024 indicates again that it will be impossible to deliver the abandoned December 2024 East Coast Mainline timetable change unless and until Woodwalton Junction to Huntingdon is made four track reinstating the Up Slow Line.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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Informed Sources in Modern Railways June 2024 indicates again that it will be impossible to deliver the abandoned December 2024 East Coast Mainline timetable change unless and until Woodwalton Junction to Huntingdon is made four track reinstating the Up Slow Line.
beggars belief why they ever embarked on a 2nd major rewrite then when that is an underlying issue. looks like the current arrangement will be perpetuated for many years yet despite all the hype. Would be better now that LNER give the units they would have used for the third train to Newcastle to Lumo so they can run double sets and increase capacity that way.
 

800001

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beggars belief why they ever embarked on a 2nd major rewrite then when that is an underlying issue. looks like the current arrangement will be perpetuated for many years yet despite all the hype. Would be better now that LNER give the units they would have used for the third train to Newcastle to Lumo so they can run double sets and increase capacity that way.
Why would LNER give units to a private company?
 

Austriantrain

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beggars belief why they ever embarked on a 2nd major rewrite then when that is an underlying issue. looks like the current arrangement will be perpetuated for many years yet despite all the hype. Would be better now that LNER give the units they would have used for the third train to Newcastle to Lumo so they can run double sets and increase capacity that way.

Thumps up for the Swiss approach to first design the timetable to run and then build the requisite infrastructure.
 

Manutd1999

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December 2024 East Coast Mainline timetable change unless and until Woodwalton Junction to Huntingdon is made four track reinstating the Up Slow Line.
Was this included in the initial plans to enable 8ph fast services? If it was and DfT just ignored it, then it's not really Network Rail's fault.

But if wasn't included then the entire Kings Cross upgrade programme was 'sold' based on incorrect assumptions and NR should be held to account.

Either way it shows how incompetent the DfT/NR combination has become.....
 

Bald Rick

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Informed Sources in Modern Railways June 2024 indicates again that it will be impossible to deliver the abandoned December 2024 East Coast Mainline timetable change unless and until Woodwalton Junction to Huntingdon is made four track reinstating the Up Slow Line.

The article does not say that.

And the timetable is not abandoned. It‘s not happening in December 2024, granted.
 

swt_passenger

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Was this included in the initial plans to enable 8ph fast services? If it was and DfT just ignored it, then it's not really Network Rail's fault.

But if wasn't included then the entire Kings Cross upgrade programme was 'sold' based on incorrect assumptions and NR should be held to account.

Either way it shows how incompetent the DfT/NR combination has become.....
The Kings Cross station work itself wasn’t part of the original list of required upgrades, oddly enough. I posted the list of pre-requisite projects in post #119:

Huntingdon – Woodwalton 4-tracking
Peterborough Down Slow Upgrade
Werrington Junction Grade Separation
York Station North Throat
Freight Improvements North of York
Doncaster – enhancements
 

Nicholas Lewis

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Why would LNER give units to a private company?
OK would have to be a sub lease but this is only short term way of boosting demand. It also improves LNERs bottom line although i suspect First dont pay as much per unit as the poor deal that DafT negotiated.
 

TT-ONR-NRN

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beggars belief why they ever embarked on a 2nd major rewrite then when that is an underlying issue. looks like the current arrangement will be perpetuated for many years yet despite all the hype. Would be better now that LNER give the units they would have used for the third train to Newcastle to Lumo so they can run double sets and increase capacity that way.
If LNER had a comfortable enough stock situation to do that, they would not still have a small fleet of IC225s.
 

800001

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OK would have to be a sub lease but this is only short term way of boosting demand. It also improves LNERs bottom line although i suspect First dont pay as much per unit as the poor deal that DafT negotiated.
There is no spare units. The trains they will use to run the additional Newcastle service is by utilising the stand by spares they have now incase of unit fault. They would have been increasing the use of what they have now.

As it is, most days now Hitachi do not deliver the required amount of units to LNER.

If LNER had a comfortable enough stock situation to do that, they would not still have a small fleet of IC225s.
Exactly this^^
 

Nicholas Lewis

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There is no spare units. The trains they will use to run the additional Newcastle service is by utilising the stand by spares they have now incase of unit fault. They would have been increasing the use of what they have now.

As it is, most days now Hitachi do not deliver the required amount of units to LNER.
So the Dec 24 timetable had another potential flaw in its deliverability!
 

Bald Rick

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So the Dec 24 timetable had another potential flaw in its deliverability!

The extra services were to be resourced from teo ‘sources’.

1) with the fast edinburghs running, err, fast, stock was freed up
2) using more of the contracted diagrams available - LNER currently need rather fewer each day than they are contracted to use.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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The extra services were to be resourced from teo ‘sources’.

1) with the fast edinburghs running, err, fast, stock was freed up
2) using more of the contracted diagrams available - LNER currently need rather fewer each day than they are contracted to use.
So LNER are presumably having to pay for those units, as long as Hitachi deliver them, so if the enhanced timetable is now parked for sometime they ought sub-lease them to the other operators on the route so they can lengthen trains and increase capacity that way. Of course they wont i know because they don't want more competition as it risks revenue abstraction but that doesn't help the passenger.
 

YorksLad12

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So LNER are presumably having to pay for those units, as long as Hitachi deliver them, so if the enhanced timetable is now parked for sometime they ought sub-lease them to the other operators on the route so they can lengthen trains and increase capacity that way. Of course they wont i know because they don't want more competition as it risks revenue abstraction but that doesn't help the passenger.
Wouldn't sub-leasing require an amendment to the IEP contract?
 

Bald Rick

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So LNER are presumably having to pay for those units, as long as Hitachi deliver them, so if the enhanced timetable is now parked for sometime they ought sub-lease them to the other operators on the route so they can lengthen trains and increase capacity that way. Of course they wont i know because they don't want more competition as it risks revenue abstraction but that doesn't help the passenger.

Sorry i didn’t make myself clear. LNER don’t need that many more units in service each day (only 1 AIUI). It is the better efficiency of the new timetbale that frees up most of them. But as that new timetable isn’t happening (yet), then the units arent spare.
 

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