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Class 379 updates (all are OFF LEASE)

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dk1

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Maybe the DfT should send them to Northern, who allegedly need more DMUs/bi-modes to eliminate 769s, and kill two birds with one stone.
But then we are back to micro-fleets again.
Sending them anywhere other than Cardiff is basically of no use as any maintenance depot they are based at would require a multi-million pound upgrade as almost all the gubbins are roof rather than underfloor mounted. Add that to the sheer cost of traincrew & artisan training for such a micro-fleet & the costs would be huge. Only possible option would be for GA to take over or work with EMR on the Norwich-Nottingham route at some point.
 
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RealTrains07

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Uniform fleet a far better option.
Maybe for operator convenience and internal finances but 379s have only been in service 10 years meaning if GTR dont take them it becomes another modern fleet from the 2010s costing millions upon millions wasted.
 

D365

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Maybe for operator convenience and internal finances but 379s have only been in service 10 years meaning if GTR dont take them it becomes another modern fleet from the 2010s costing millions upon millions wasted.
That’s the ROSCO’s problem though.
 

dk1

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Maybe for operator convenience and internal finances but 379s have only been in service 10 years meaning if GTR dont take them it becomes another modern fleet from the 2010s costing millions upon millions wasted.
Unfortunately so. Hopefully somebody might snap them up. Rumours abound but unconfirmed connecting GN & a couple of years back South Africa.
 

RealTrains07

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That’s the ROSCO’s problem though.
Still. It should not be happening otherwise whats the point in ordering new trains in the first place like the 379s if they are not gonna last
 

JonathanH

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Still. It should not be happening otherwise whats the point in ordering new trains in the first place like the 379s if they are not gonna last
They were needed and no longer are. There are office blocks built which aren't needed any more. It happens. All investment is in some way a gamble. There is nothing special about trains, relative to other things people can invest in, that they should be guaranteed use for their full lifetime.
 

dk1

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Still. It should not be happening otherwise whats the point in ordering new trains in the first place like the 379s if they are not gonna last
National Express East Anglia would’ve had no idea of that however in the late 2000s when the 379s where procured.
 

bramling

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They were needed and no longer are. There are office blocks built which aren't needed any more. It happens. All investment is in some way a gamble. There is nothing special about trains, relative to other things people can invest in, that they should be guaranteed use for their full lifetime.

The problem with that is the risk gets factored into the lease cost of new trains, making them considerably more expensive.

It might be the ROSCO’s problem now, but over time it will be the whole industry’s problem.
 

D365

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The problem with that is the risk gets factored into the lease cost of new trains, making them considerably more expensive.
With the diverse array of rolling stock financiers now available - the former ”big three” ROSCOs can’t afford to overcharge.
 

43096

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With the diverse array of rolling stock financiers now available - the former ”big three” ROSCOs can’t afford to overcharge.
The 379s aren't owned by one of the big three that came out of privatisation. Via various acquisitions, they are Akiem owned.

The new entrants will be watching the market as well and be well aware now that what they thought was a "safe bet" may not actually be. They will see the 379s displaced and the 707s and be wondering if that could be them when leases come up for renewal. That will get factored in to future bids.
 

bramling

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With the diverse array of rolling stock financiers now available - the former ”big three” ROSCOs can’t afford to overcharge.

But who else is going to want to finance rolling stock if it can be ditched simply because the industry fancies something different, and there’s a proven track record of the industry doing exactly that?

The only exception would be where there’s a government-backed guarantee that stock will be used by a particular TOC long-term.

It will be interesting to see what happens with the 707s at the point when the Networkers are up for replacement. If small non-standard fleets are such a problem then it would seem they won’t last long on Southeastern.
 

JonathanH

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While the airport is quiet surely it would make sense to put the 317s on Stanex services and the 745s on Cambridge services and the 755/4s on Harwich and Walton branch services.
The airport services are also the "fast" at Harlow and Bishops Stortford and 12-car trains aren't useful for the stops on the Cambridge line so it makes sense to leave the 745s where they are. Trying to get to 100% 720 operation as soon as possible is a reasonable aim.
 

43102EMR

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The timetable cuts make a bit more sense suddenly. While the airport is quiet surely it would make sense to put the 317s on Stanex services and the 745s on Cambridge services and the 755/4s on Harwich and Walton branch services.
Though obviously there will be a perfectly rational explanation as to why it's a bad idea
They’ll focus the 720s more on the Cambridge’s I would imagine - the takeover is almost fully complete on GE suburbans, so makes sense to start introducing more on the West Anglia side now.
 

Bald Rick

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So WAML customers are going to experience a drop in reliability due to the Class 379s (25,000 - 25k- miles per technical incident - MTIN) going off lease early and leaving behind a mixture of Class 317s (9k MTIN) and 720/5's 5(5.7k MTIN). That's great progress!!! And a service reduction too from Monday 10th!

to be fair, the 379s should have gone a year ago.
 

adrock1976

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What's it called? It's called Cumbernauld
They’ll focus the 720s more on the Cambridge’s I would imagine - the takeover is almost fully complete on GE suburbans, so makes sense to start introducing more on the West Anglia side now.

Could you or somebody else explain if what is referred to as the West Anglia side is the line from Liverpool Street/Stratford to Cambridge/Kings Lynn via Bishops Stortford?

If that is so, I find it a bit odd that it is given the West Anglia moniker, as when I was at primary school many years ago, Hertfordshire, Essex, and Cambridgeshire west of the River Cam were never part of the former Kingdom of the East Angles/Anglia (which contained Norfolk, Suffolk, and the eastern side of Cambridgeshire east of the River Cam).

Or did I have a rubbish geography teacher back then?
 

JonathanH

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Could you or somebody else explain if what is referred to as the West Anglia side is the line from Liverpool Street/Stratford to Cambridge/Kings Lynn via Bishops Stortford?
Yes, that is the one. Five main service patterns:

Liverpool Street to Stansted Airport
Liverpool Street to Cambridge North
Liverpool Street to Hertford East
Stratford to Meridian Water
Stratford to Bishops Stortford

Basic 2tph off-peak service involves 5 cycles to Stansted, 7 cycles to Cambridge North, 4 cycles to Hertford East and 6 cycles to Meridian Water / Bishops Stortford interworking. 317s and 379s tend to run in pairs nowadays and 720s on their own. However, there are currently some peak extras to Cambridge and Hertford East services divert to Stratford.
 
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Kite159

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The timetable cuts make a bit more sense suddenly. While the airport is quiet surely it would make sense to put the 317s on Stanex services and the 745s on Cambridge services and the 755/4s on Harwich and Walton branch services.
Though obviously there will be a perfectly rational explanation as to why it's a bad idea

There was a pair of 317s on Stansted services in late December, although I can't imagine a pair of non AC 3+2 seated 317s (with no power sockets) will be popular for the impression the railway gives to its paying customers. The bus companies will love it mind, as they can play up the various modern luxuries passengers can expect from their travel to Stansted Airport.
 

43102EMR

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There was a pair of 317s on Stansted services in late December, although I can't imagine a pair of non AC 3+2 seated 317s (with no power sockets) will be popular for the impression the railway gives to its paying customers. The bus companies will love it mind, as they can play up the various modern luxuries passengers can expect from their travel to Stansted Airport.
The 317s aren’t bad trains, just outdated and as you said, lack plug sockets and have 3+2 seating.
 

jopsuk

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Could you or somebody else explain if what is referred to as the West Anglia side is the line from Liverpool Street/Stratford to Cambridge/Kings Lynn via Bishops Stortford?

If that is so, I find it a bit odd that it is given the West Anglia moniker, as when I was at primary school many years ago, Hertfordshire, Essex, and Cambridgeshire west of the River Cam were never part of the former Kingdom of the East Angles/Anglia (which contained Norfolk, Suffolk, and the eastern side of Cambridgeshire east of the River Cam).

Or did I have a rubbish geography teacher back then?
"West Anglia Main Line" is a railway name for it dating from at least as far back as the late 80s, when Network SouthEast branded the services as such. It's why the immediate post-privatisation franchise that ran commuter services from Kings Cross & Liverpool Street to Cambridge was called "WAGN"- it was "West Anglia Great Northern". "the railway" has form for this sort of thing. After all, the "south east" included Kings Lynn and Exeter.
(and I wouldn't go relying on simplified versions of, well, anything as taught in primary school as being the absolute truth!)
 

Nicholas Lewis

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So WAML customers are going to experience a drop in reliability due to the Class 379s (25,000 - 25k- miles per technical incident - MTIN) going off lease early and leaving behind a mixture of Class 317s (9k MTIN) and 720/5's 5(5.7k MTIN). That's great progress!!! And a service reduction too from Monday 10th!
The 379 lease was already up and has been extended once. The units were originally owned by MACQUARIE UK PASSENGER LEASING LIMITED and they were charging £19.5m pa for the stock so in these money constrained times thats a chunky saving. Akiem who now own them factored that in when they bought the assets of MACQUARIE EUROPEAN RAIL LIMITED and they were largely interested in the European locomotive fleet. They will want to keep units in warm store and im sure that a game is being played here by DofT to get them back on a more cost effective lease.
 

O L Leigh

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"West Anglia Main Line" is a railway name for it dating from at least as far back as the late 80s, when Network SouthEast branded the services as such.

West Anglia yes, but not West Anglia Main Line. This whole WAML thing has come from I don’t know where, but it grates because it is a route and not a mainline.
 

MotCO

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The 379 lease was already up and has been extended once. The units were originally owned by MACQUARIE UK PASSENGER LEASING LIMITED and they were charging £19.5m pa for the stock so in these money constrained times thats a chunky saving. Akiem who now own them factored that in when they bought the assets of MACQUARIE EUROPEAN RAIL LIMITED and they were largely interested in the European locomotive fleet. They will want to keep units in warm store and im sure that a game is being played here by DofT to get them back on a more cost effective lease.
If the lease was already up and been extended once, typically secondary leases are cheaper since most of the cost recovery has already occurred. Is thst not the case with the 379s?
 

Class455

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I think the 379’s to Great Northern would be officially confirmed once the new TSGN NRC is sorted which I reckon will be anytime in the next two months as GTR’s expires at the end of March. That ties in nicely to when the 379’s are due to go off lease.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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If the lease was already up and been extended once, typically secondary leases are cheaper since most of the cost recovery has already occurred. Is thst not the case with the 379s?
These leasing people play games with the finances to keep tax down but on the last set of accounts they were still in the books for 115m and had a big loan outstanding. Now since then Akiem have bought them and whilst you don't know what they paid for the 379's but given they had no long term lease in place im sure they would have got them for less than book price. Akiem also have financed the deal at much lower interest rates so will now be able to lease them for less than Mcquarie did so im sure a deal will be agreed in due course.
 

43096

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These leasing people play games with the finances to keep tax down but on the last set of accounts they were still in the books for 115m and had a big loan outstanding. Now since then Akiem have bought them and whilst you don't know what they paid for the 379's but given they had no long term lease in place im sure they would have got them for less than book price. Akiem also have financed the deal at much lower interest rates so will now be able to lease them for less than Mcquarie did so im sure a deal will be agreed in due course.
When Akiem acquired the 379s they didn't do a separate valuation of the 379 fleet - they bought the entire Macquarie European rail leasing business. All the various factors around the entire portfolio would be factored in to the price, but they don't agree a separate price for each asset - they value the business as a whole.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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When Akiem acquired the 379s they didn't do a separate valuation of the 379 fleet - they bought the entire Macquarie European rail leasing business. All the various factors around the entire portfolio would be factored in to the price, but they don't agree a separate price for each asset - they value the business as a whole.
Agree with that but what i was trying to say was they can now ascribe what value they want to each asset and most important factor is they don't have the higher interest cost on loans that Macquarie was saddled with. At least with the 379's the owning company was British Domiciled but isn't now as are the likes of Porterbrook and Eversholt who use Jersey domiciled entities and thus don't need publically publish accounts.
 

Astro_Orbiter

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West Anglia yes, but not West Anglia Main Line. This whole WAML thing has come from I don’t know where, but it grates because it is a route and not a mainline.
Without going into a semantics debate, what to you constitutes a route vs a mainline?
 
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