This sentence in the RAIL article is, I believe, GWR being somewhat disengenous:-
1) GWR's 12% growth assumption was predicated on their plan to increase weekday off peak service frequency to 3tph, with Gatwick getting 2tph. This plan has been shelved (hopefully not abandoned entirely).
2) Passenger numbers on the North Downs have recovered to 97% of the 2019 figure, which is very good news. I daresay the revenue recovery will also be fair to decent, given that - unlike many other lines in the south east - the £££ gap between peak and off peak fares is not eye-watering.
3) This coming summer will see Gatwick Airport operating at close to capacity for the first time in four years (the number of flights last summer was way down compared with 2019), so I'd expect 2023 passenger numbers on the North Downs to increase accordingly.
GWR had assumed 12% passenger growth on the line between 2019 and 2022. In reality, it has dropped by 3%.
1) GWR's 12% growth assumption was predicated on their plan to increase weekday off peak service frequency to 3tph, with Gatwick getting 2tph. This plan has been shelved (hopefully not abandoned entirely).
2) Passenger numbers on the North Downs have recovered to 97% of the 2019 figure, which is very good news. I daresay the revenue recovery will also be fair to decent, given that - unlike many other lines in the south east - the £££ gap between peak and off peak fares is not eye-watering.
3) This coming summer will see Gatwick Airport operating at close to capacity for the first time in four years (the number of flights last summer was way down compared with 2019), so I'd expect 2023 passenger numbers on the North Downs to increase accordingly.
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