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Will Labour scrap the £2 fare Cap? (now confirmed will rise to £3)

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slowroad

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It does, but charging more at peak time also seems logical, other than it then becomes a 'tax on working people' is some eyes.

Ultimately, the success or otherwise, would be measured in terms of modal shift that the £2 cap hasn't really delivered.
Ideally you’d want a charge that varies by time and place and reflects vehicle characteristics such as weight and pollution level. In practice increasing VED and making it strongly weight and fuel type dependent, coupled with congestion charges in urban areas might be a good second best.

Success should be measured by congestion and casualty reduction, not modal shift, as that is not an end in itself.
 
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Starmill

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It does, but charging more at peak time also seems logical, other than it then becomes a 'tax on working people' is some eyes.

Ultimately, the success or otherwise, would be measured in terms of modal shift that the £2 cap hasn't really delivered.
I don't think the Fare Cap Grant was intended to produce a mode share benefit. You could reduce all fares to £0 and the current pan-England bus offering wouldn't gain much market share.

It was conceived as a stop-gap to a reformed bus industry, that might win a few extra Tory votes, while Ministers worked out what would survive and what the public would tolerate the loss of without the Covid emergency funding. None of the actual hard work of reform has of course taken place, nor barely even been attempted in most parts of England.
 

TheGrandWazoo

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I don't think the Fare Cap Grant was intended to produce a mode share benefit. You could reduce all fares to £0 and the current pan-England bus offering wouldn't gain much market share.

It was conceived as a stop-gap to a reformed bus industry, that might win a few extra Tory votes, while Ministers worked out what would survive and what the public would tolerate the loss of without the Covid emergency funding. None of the actual hard work of reform has of course taken place, nor barely even been attempted in most parts of England.
You are right - the fare cap was not introduced to try and produce some sort of modal shift. It was to a) avoid the bad publicity of massive bus cuts that would impact pensioners (core voters) and b) demonstrate that they were helping with the cost of living crisis.
 

Mikey C

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It does, but charging more at peak time also seems logical, other than it then becomes a 'tax on working people' is some eyes.

Ultimately, the success or otherwise, would be measured in terms of modal shift that the £2 cap hasn't really delivered.
Road pricing won't be brought in to encourage modal shift, it will be brought in to replace the money raised by fuel duty! £25bn a year plus the VAT which is charged on the fuel duty.
 

Starmill

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You are right - the fare cap was not introduced to try and produce some sort of modal shift. It was to a) avoid the bad publicity of massive bus cuts that would impact pensioners (core voters) and b) demonstrate that they were helping with the cost of living crisis.
Indeed. If it's cut and not replaced with something else, a lot of people won't be angry that the price of singles has skyrocketed - they'll be angry that there is no price because there is no longer a bus.
 

renegademaster

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Road pricing won't be brought in to encourage modal shift, it will be brought in to replace the money raised by fuel duty! £25bn a year plus the VAT which is charged on the fuel duty.
Do you belive a tax on Healthy Food should be brought in to cover the whole left by Tobacco duty once Tobacco is fully illegal(presuming the phased ban law comes into force)?
 

yorksrob

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It does, but charging more at peak time also seems logical, other than it then becomes a 'tax on working people' is some eyes.

Ultimately, the success or otherwise, would be measured in terms of modal shift that the £2 cap hasn't really delivered.

Modal shift isn't the be all and end all that some people make out, however anecdotally I know a few people who use the bus a lot more because of the £2 fares.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

Do you belive a tax on Healthy Food should be brought in to cover the whole left by Tobacco duty once Tobacco is fully illegal(presuming the phased ban law comes into force)?

Tobacco duty will need to be replaced somehow. Shifting it onto vapes would be the more accurate analogy.
 
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Teapot42

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Why do you assume its going to be equitable rather than whats politically easier to collect, our taxation is far from perfectly progressive. Why do you also assume the funding shortfall isnt going to be responded to with borrowing or austerity. Theres so many options other than the alleged inevitbility of road pricing. Not to mention EVs are going to create savings by removing lots of the externalities of ICE , combined with road accident rates that will likely further decline with reduced car use and automatic safety systems
Interesting how you totally avoid the question and pick up one point to carry on your argument. You aren't a politician by any chance? Saying there are many options without articulating any of them - and how they would be superior - isn't great debate.

Borrowing would be OK if it created some growth, but borrowing to maintain roads will at best ensure productivity doesn't fall. Austerity - I'm not sure we have the appetite for more. There may be strong voices arguing that the public should pay for everything (medical care, education etc) but I believe there is enough support for quality state provision that this isn't realistic. Austerity also isn't aligned with the increased public transport provision necessary to reduce car use. Indeed, I can see car use keeping on increasing without a wide-ranging (and expensive) plan to improve provision of park and rides, tram and metro networks, and improved long distance rail links.

You make the point further down about taxing food to replace tobacco duty, but fail to recognise the massive reduction in healthcare costs smoking prevention brings. There are similar arguments for reducing car dependence, even if we move to cleaner EVs, there are still particulate emissions from brakes and tyres, and the sedentary lifestyle of car use isn't great for long term health either.
 

James H

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The Telegraph piece could equally have been spun as ‘Labour to extend £2 fares cap by another six months, then maintain a cap at a higher level for a further six months' which seems to be the thrust of the story.

As much as the industry (and passengers) would like some medium-term certainty, the likely extension at £2 for six months doesn't preclude another extension next summer if politically apposite. Perhaps with local elections next May in mind.
 

slowroad

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In some countries, buses are considered a way of reducing congestion and the other negative effects of car travel.
Maybe, and maybe it does make a small difference. But car use domestically everywhere, irrespective.

1729237799097.jpeg

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Maybe, and maybe it does make a small difference. But car use domestically everywhere, irrespective.

1729237799097.jpeg
……”dominates”
 

The exile

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In some countries, buses are considered a way of reducing congestion and the other negative effects of car travel.
And indeed in urban areas (at least) in this country they soon would be if they disappeared and even 50% of f their passengers started driving.

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Maybe, and maybe it does make a small difference. But car use domestically everywhere, irrespective.

View attachment 167533

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……”dominates”
Of course it does, since the majority of journeys are only doable by private transport - either for reasons of geography or practicality (I have brought an IKEA bookcase, complete with shelves, home on a tram, but it’s neither to be recommended or appreciated by the other passengers).
Anyway - being really pedantic, walking must dominate in terms of number of individual journey elements; just that most people wouldn’t include it!
 

johncrossley

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For trips with one or both ends outside of cities, public transport mode share is negligible. This applies everywhere.

However public transport has a significant mode share for trips wholly within certain cities outside the UK. So this shows public transport can make a difference.
 

The exile

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However public transport has a significant mode share for trips wholly within certain cities outside the UK. So this shows public transport can make a difference.
And for those who do use it in rural areas its significance is all the greater. I suspect that the aim in modal shift terms should be -initially at least - to reduce the (often only oerceived) need for a second car.
 

slowroad

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And indeed in urban areas (at least) in this country they soon would be if they disappeared and even 50% of f their passengers started driving.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==


Of course it does, since the majority of journeys are only doable by private transport - either for reasons of geography or practicality (I have brought an IKEA bookcase, complete with shelves, home on a tram, but it’s neither to be recommended or appreciated by the other passengers).
Anyway - being really pedantic, walking must dominate in terms of number of individual journey elements; just that most people wouldn’t include it!
There are stats on this. They do show walking has a high share of journeys- but accounts for only a couple of percent of distance travelled (as does cycling). It’s why active travel doesn’t have much impact on traffic levels.

It’s true that public transport plays a significant role only in and between large cities. But comparing UK to EU average, rail is on the high side, bus on the low side. Accepting these are whole country averages, it does not suggest massive scope for modal shift in UK - may couple of percentage points?
 

johncrossley

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There are stats on this. They do show walking has a high share of journeys- but accounts for only a couple of percent of distance travelled (as does cycling). It’s why active travel doesn’t have much impact on traffic levels.

The vast majority of this distance travelled is outside urban areas. Converting 20% (say) of urban journeys from car to active or public transport modes would make a huge difference to traffic within that urban area.
 

slowroad

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The vast majority of this distance travelled is outside urban areas. Converting 20% (say) of urban journeys from car to active or public transport modes would make a huge difference to traffic within that urban area.
Maybe - but the question is whether that is realistic outside dense urban cores. UK cities tend to have a different settlement pattern to continental cities - more houses, fewer flats etc. Glasgow and Edinburgh are more like continental cities in this respect- and have higher public transport use.

Also if you accept the “induced traffic” argument, any decongestion from modal shift will be rapidly reversed.

The answer is road user congestion charging- and in principle you could then cut public transport subsidies (though the latter may be politically unacceptable in the context of road charging).
 

Bletchleyite

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Maybe - but the question is whether that is realistic outside dense urban cores.

I think it's entirely realistic if we are willing to invest in high quality public transport*. People even in rich places like Aughton and Formby go to Liverpool by train and mostly won't consider the car because why would you? Similarly people who live near Metrolink stations in Manchester.

* Slow, long bus services taking an hour into the city centre do not constitute "high quality public transport" even if the vehicle itself is fancy.
 

Nicholas Lewis

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Reversing the emergency 5p fuel duty cut from 2022 should be a no brainer for Reeves and the money raised should goto DfT to support modal shift. She should also state that fuel duty escalator should be bought back and again used to support modal shift and transition to EV's. In respect of the £2 fare it should never have been unrestricted length and some graduation at say 5, 10, 15 miles would be more sensible.
 

LUYMun

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The fact is that, for the vast majority of people, they value speed and comfort over cost. Countless examples are littered across the country where a) an existing line that was rubbish has been improved and is more reliable/faster, or b) a line has been reopened and decimated the parallel bus services.

It's why it's a misnomer when people say buses should or shouldn't compete with trains...
How does that logic work out when bus usage hasn't been decimated in urban areas where the rail lines have multiple stations (e.g. Reading, Bristol, Tilbury, Exeter)? The mentioned places have an adequate rail service stopping at the minor stations frequently, yet the bus services are no more than 15-30 minutely. It's not like buses there are carrying fresh air...
 

Starmill

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Maybe - but the question is whether that is realistic outside dense urban cores. UK cities tend to have a different settlement pattern to continental cities - more houses, fewer flats etc. Glasgow and Edinburgh are more like continental cities in this respect- and have higher public transport use.

Also if you accept the “induced traffic” argument, any decongestion from modal shift will be rapidly reversed.

The answer is road user congestion charging- and in principle you could then cut public transport subsidies (though the latter may be politically unacceptable in the context of road charging).
Leigh certainly isn't a dense urban core, but it has a well-used bus corridor because a) it's high-frequency and b) it's dedicated to buses, so it can actually be relied on a bit. Same for Dunstable.

== Doublepost prevention - post automatically merged: ==

The Telegraph piece could equally have been spun as ‘Labour to extend £2 fares cap by another six months, then maintain a cap at a higher level for a further six months' which seems to be the thrust of the story.

As much as the industry (and passengers) would like some medium-term certainty, the likely extension at £2 for six months doesn't preclude another extension next summer if politically apposite. Perhaps with local elections next May in mind.
I hope that is what happens. I hope any rumours that there will be a hard end to the cap on 1 January prove not to be the case.
 

Bletchleyite

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Reversing the emergency 5p fuel duty cut from 2022 should be a no brainer for Reeves and the money raised should goto DfT to support modal shift. She should also state that fuel duty escalator should be bought back and again used to support modal shift and transition to EV's. In respect of the £2 fare it should never have been unrestricted length and some graduation at say 5, 10, 15 miles would be more sensible.

I wouldn't bring back the escalator as such, but I would tie it to inflation so it's no longer reducing in real terms. Indeed maybe better if it was a percentage rather than a pence per litre, then it just goes up naturally.
 

The exile

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It’s why active travel doesn’t have much impact on traffic levels.
Another reason may well be that where urban traffic congestion is a serious problem many people who could easily switch to active travel already have - leaving those who don’t see it as a viable option.
 

renegademaster

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Interesting how you totally avoid the question and pick up one point to carry on your argument. You aren't a politician by any chance? Saying there are many options without articulating any of them - and how they would be superior - isn't great debate.

Borrowing would be OK if it created some growth, but borrowing to maintain roads will at best ensure productivity doesn't fall. Austerity - I'm not sure we have the appetite for more. There may be strong voices arguing that the public should pay for everything (medical care, education etc) but I believe there is enough support for quality state provision that this isn't realistic. Austerity also isn't aligned with the increased public transport provision necessary to reduce car use. Indeed, I can see car use keeping on increasing without a wide-ranging (and expensive) plan to improve provision of park and rides, tram and metro networks, and improved long distance rail links.

You make the point further down about taxing food to replace tobacco duty, but fail to recognise the massive reduction in healthcare costs smoking prevention brings. There are similar arguments for reducing car dependence, even if we move to cleaner EVs, there are still particulate emissions from brakes and tyres, and the sedentary lifestyle of car use isn't great for long term health either.
The country used to cope with VED and Fuel Duty being lower , they got raised substantially in the 90s with the justifcation being that increasing them will bring down pollution and reduce car use. Electric cars will elimnate pollution and the price premium they command will reduce car usage. Punishing EV drivers at excatly the same levels that ICE drivers where is not fair. Any future taxation that tries to justify itself off externalities needs to actually quantify them. The externalities arent the same so the tax shouldnt be the same. Road fatalities is a common one thrown about, and they get less and less every year, and automated systems modern ones have will reduce this even further.


We are still very far from EVs being the majority, so we shouldnt be worrying about faffing around with the VED system too much, mabye look back in a decade. Lots of people, road pricing seems to be hobby horse for the sake of it.
 
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