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EWR, Universal and Wixams

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richieb1971

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Definitely need a relief line. Nobody is mandating it and it's not in the scope. In the wixams station presentation they briefly mention if the station will be 4 lines, 4 platforms, or 6 lines 4 platforms. It looks like 4 lines to me as the station has been positioned for access rather than expansion.
 
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richieb1971

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I'd rather wixams was adjacent to the car auction. It was a world war 2 munitions loading siding in the 1940s. You could move the car auction for a ready made car park and expansion possibilities are better as well. To be honest I don't like any of the propositions that are going ahead on the rail side of this park. Maybe I'm not seeing the vision.
 

DarloRich

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If there is an unfortunate backlog of traffic on the A421 for any reason those "through" village roads will get GPS/Sat Nav priority for a shorter journey. That is the big problem. Especially as those routes will take you to places that already have traffic congestion. The cow bridge area in Kempston is attrocious as it is. The government thus far has shied away from a redesign, the council cannot do it as its exactly where the 2 railways cross over.
There are plenty of simple ways to limit access to local roads.
The local road network will obviously have to be upgraded as part of the planning process.

You keep saying how bad congestion is in Bedford but it really isn't bad compared to many other places. I suspect your view of "atrocious" and mine are quite different!

Do you think 4 car trains on EWR will suffice?
Yes. Most people who use the train will be on the much longer Thameslink trains.

but I think this definitely raises the need to ensure the infrastructure around the park is up to scratch.
Obviously. Universal will be on the hook for improvement works.
but it might also be a strong case for a new Crossrail route (Crossrail 2 extension or even a new Crossrail 3) since the Thameslink route is already a major commuter belt with eight to twelve car trains. An additional relief line would ease capacity if coming from the south and through London.
Shall we not over think this!
 

Sorcerer

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Shall we not over think this!
With respect, I don't think suggesting a relief line is a result of overthinking. As it stands the Thameslink and Midland Main Lines are already busy commuter routes into London from Bedford as it is, so no doubt that tourists visiting London might also be tempted to pay a visit to the park as part of their holidays. On some of me and my family's trips to Orlando we made the detour to Tampa for Busch Gardens which is further and less well connected than Bedford is to London, and even if you're not visiting the city itself you will likely be disembarking at one of it's major airports depending on where you come from.
 

DarloRich

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With respect, I don't think suggesting a relief line is a result of overthinking.
I do - how many peopel are we expecting to come to this park? How many of those by rail?

As it stands the Thameslink and Midland Main Lines are already busy commuter routes into London from Bedford as it is, so no doubt that tourists visiting London might also be tempted to pay a visit to the park as part of their holidays.
I am sure - but, as the promotional literature for this park suggests, they will be going against the flow so to speak by using the train at times when it would be less busy. First thing in the morning the flow is INTO London not out.

On Thameslink between London and Bedford we have 12 (?) car trains running 6 times an hour. Wiki tells me a class 700/2 has 666 seats (52F, 614S) plus 1088 standees. That is just under 4000 seats an hour!
 

Sorcerer

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I do - how many peopel are we expecting to come to this park? How many of those by rail?
Apparently 8.5 million in it's first year according to the BBC Article about the park's approval.
Universal estimated the 476-acre complex could attract 8.5 million visitors in its first year.
How many of these journeys will be made by rail is hard to say, but I do think that people are more likely to make the journey by rail with reliable and efficient journeys and connections. For me personally, I would have to travel through London in order to get to Bedford, however this could be made easier, shorter and ultimately cheaper with the East West Rail connection by enabling me to change at Milton Keynes Central. I also simply think that in principle we should try to encourage as many people as possible to travel to this new park by rail and coach rather than using their cars.

On Thameslink between London and Bedford we have 12 (?) car trains running 6 times an hour. Wiki tells me a class 700/2 has 666 seats (52F, 614S) plus 1088 standees. That is just under 4000 seats an hour!
Okay so I will concede to underestimating the capacity of the seats per hour on the Thameslink line alone, however I do think this demonstrates how much more efficient trains are at transporting large numbers of people per hour which is why I still think encouraging a modal shift for park visitors to use the train would be a preferable option over using cars. For many people like me it would reduce the need to travel into London in order to change train and double back on myself.
 

richieb1971

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You keep saying how bad congestion is in Bedford but it really isn't bad compared to many other places. I suspect your view of "atrocious" and mine are quite different!
Ok, lets just say that due to 2 sets of traffic lights quite close together (25 car lengths at most) it brings traffic to a standstill. To the point where people ignore the diamonds between the lights which means whether the light is red, green or amber, you cannot move forward. This happens all day long, and in really heavy traffic situations it backlogs to the town center, which then gets gridlocked as well. This is also one of the access points to Kempston which if exiting Kempston you also in long queue. The 2 railways have hampered any reform to these roads and even though traffic numbers are 10x what they were 50 years ago, nobody has done anything except put traffic lights up, which in some cases just makes it even worse.

If it takes you 15 minutes to do 1 mile, thats pretty bad for me. Not to mention on this route you have Morrisons, a few pedestrian crossings, zebra crossings, a hospital etc. The design of these roads is absolutely to stop at everything. But the key factor is one of the busiest roads in Bedford has the most atrocious traffic light system. If Cow bridge junction wasn't there, the traffic would freely exit the town
I would have to travel through London in order to get to Bedford, however this could be made easier, shorter and ultimately cheaper with the East West Rail connection by enabling me to change at Milton Keynes Central.
There is not going to be a connection to Universal from Milton keynes central. Bletchley yes, but not MKC.


Can you imagine an EWR train being cancelled and the next train is a 2 car unit on a marston vale service and 400 people waiting on the platform?
:lol:
 

Bald Rick

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With respect, I don't think suggesting a relief line is a result of overthinking. As it stands the Thameslink and Midland Main Lines are already busy commuter routes into London from Bedford as it is

The Midland Main Line is busy, yes, (for both EMl and Thameslink), but there is an awful lot of spare capacity at off peak times. And in the peak, the TL trains are not busy north of Luton. And the peak flow is southbound morning, northbound evening. Universal will have to prepare a detailed Transport Assement as part of their planning application, covering the transport requirements during construction, operations, for employees and visitors. This will no doubt be several weighty reports, several hundred (and probably over a thousand) pages long.

To put it into further context, the number of passengers expected to use the train to/from Universal each year will make Wixams about as busy as Luton Airport Parkway. Which makes sense, as it will have similar ‘gravity‘ in terms of employees and ‘visitors’.

If it takes you 15 minutes to do 1 mile, thats pretty bad for me.

That is very common congestion in plenty of place around the country.
 

richieb1971

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It would be great if we could get the Denbigh North Chord on planning gain. Connect the MV to MKC and the whole game changes.
It would. I believe the scale of this project with Universal has only scoped for minimal expansion. If 13 million folk turn up and half by rail you'll be riding on the roof. What is worrying is the bias of visitors in the summer. Especially with our weather.
 

Zomboid

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So long as it's adequately publicised, getting there from London ought to be pretty straightforward. I wouldn't be at all surprised if they offered a bus from Bedford station as well as having two stations within a short walk of the park. They've also planned dedicated slip roads from the A421.

Time will tell, but being next to the MML, EWR and a short trip up a proper dual carriageway from the M1 and A1(M) and not far from the M11 most likely means it'll be well enough connected that potential customers being unable to get there isn't going to be the reason why it flops, in the unlikely event that it does.
 

richieb1971

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He added that Universal expects around 30% of early visitors to arrive via Luton Airport, with overseas visitors from Europe and the Middle East expected to drive tourism growth.

I took 8.5 million, divided that by 1/3rd and divided it again by 360 days it works out about 7000 8000 a day if its a good prediction.
 

Energy

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I took 8.5 million, divided that by 1/3rd and divided it again by 360 days it works out about 7000 8000 a day if its a good prediction.
MML alone would cope with 8000. A 12-car class 700 is 1754 standing+seating alone, and most will be on the underutilised morning northbound/evening southbound services. And that isn't including the EMR class 360 services.
 

cle

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I agree that Thameslink will carry the bulk of visitors, even those who may change at Bedford (right now, only Corby-s) - would finish on TL. And as mentioned, it has good capacity in the counter-peaks with its fixed formation 12 car trains. These are also very handy for Luton, Gatwick and Eurostar/ECML at St P.

EWR / MV - I think MV will likely need a 2tph local service in time, given the new opportunities (more tph to MKC, jobs in Oxford, connections) - or the consolidated rebuild that has been mentioned. But the workers will come from the local area - and travel daily - would be good to help traffic I'm sure. Plus regional services to Oxford.

And ultimately, this helps the Cambridge case.
 

richieb1971

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I took 8.5 million, divided that by 1/3rd and divided it again by 360 days it works out about 7000 8000 a day if its a good prediction.
Yeah, since most passengers for Universal will be going north when London commuters are going south in the morning, and London commuters are going north when Universal customers are going south in the evening its makes for a very convenient load in both directions. As I understand it Universal have done a deal with the government for Universal ticket options to include a cheaper rail ticket. I can't see any reason for Internationals to use any other mode of transport.

Of course it would be beneficial to get Gatwick passengers to a minimum as in some cases it will reverse everything.

Stansted airport will be a 2 train connection via EWR.

Heathrow is not a good option at the moment via rail, but that might change. Depends on how well Luton cope up with it.

The average airplane at Luton holds 150 to 200 seats according to Google. That's about 45 planes a day. Thats impressive numbers to me.


I'm still not convinced that Wixams station will be totally safe having a 125mph running line on 2 platforms. Especially considering children and non English speaking folk. Is there any station in the UK like in Japan where they put a barrier up like they do on the tube stations? I mean some sort of guard is better than nothing in this case. The Wixams station presentation said they didn't know if Wixams was 4 platforms on 4 lines, or 4 platforms on 6 lines. But I imagine its 4-4.

It would be nice to have a Harry Potter train for weekends, like they have in Scotland. I'm sure west coast railways would like to run more trains and the options are excellent.
 

Zomboid

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Heathrow is not a good option at the moment via rail, but that might change. Depends on how well Luton cope up with it.
Just one change at Farringdon, it's not so bad.
Maybe one day there will be direct trains to Oxford and it'll be possible to change once there, too.

Thameslink will generally serve the slows at Wixam, the fasts only during engineering works. There'll probably be gates like at WCML stations.
They could probably stop a few there from the north in the period around opening time (10-1030, so after the getting to London peak), or maybe give it a weekend service as those will probably be the busy days for visitors from north of Bedford. Open the barriers at the appropriate times, as they used to when fast line trains stopped at Wimbledon, but have them closed the rest of the time. Means staffing the station, but if it's got that much traffic then that's probably needed anyway.
 

D365

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I'm still not convinced that Wixams station will be totally safe having a 125mph running line on 2 platforms. Especially considering children and non English speaking folk. Is there any station in the UK like in Japan where they put a barrier up like they do on the tube stations?
Fast line platforms on the East Coast Mail Line [south of Stevenage] are fenced.
 

DarloRich

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however I do think this demonstrates how much more efficient trains are at transporting large numbers of people per hour which is why I still think encouraging a modal shift for park visitors to use the train would be a preferable option over using cars. For many people like me it would reduce the need to travel into London in order to change train and double back on myself.
I agree - and i think with some quite minor ( in the grand scheme) changes this can be encouraged.
If it takes you 15 minutes to do 1 mile, thats pretty bad for me.
That seems quite good to me!

As I said at post #69:

Honestly it is a fairly normal main route into town with fairly normal into town traffic. It is nothing special. Ampthill Road (A5141) is a standard 2 lane town road running thorough an area of housing and business with an added bus lane on one side. It is a standard road running from the town centre, through terraced housing to inter war semis and out of town outlets and out to the main road.

It has numerous side roads and people turning into and out of those are imo a big reason why the traffic slows. it also has a number of bus stops and traffic light crossings/junctions which upset the flow. It is used by all types of traffic heading into Bedford. it runs at one end to the main road meeting point in Bedford and is a key artery in entering the town centre from the main roads on the edge. Of course it is busy but it isn't THAT busy!


The issues with the box junctions is that people dont respect the rules that are designed to kepe the traffic flowing! If you block the box of course you have a snarl up!

It would be great if we could get the Denbigh North Chord on planning gain. Connect the MV to MKC and the whole game changes.
Possibly - and I think this improves the business case for it. It isn't a straightforward or cheap option mind. The biggest practical issue being where do you build a new electric dept for WMT between London and Northampton/Rugby?
 

Zomboid

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Without any track alteration (though possibly some signalling changes, I don't know), there are 3 platforms at Bletchley where trains from the north could reverse and head towards Bedford. Without blocking the slow lines. A bit of new track would be needed to get the existing MV platform into that and make 4.

Given that everything that carries passengers can be reversed by the driver walking to the other end these days, I don't see any justification for a Denbeigh north curve, unless significant freight flows are anticipated.
 

Bletchleyite

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Without any track alteration (though possibly some signalling changes, I don't know), there are 3 platforms at Bletchley where trains from the north could reverse and head towards Bedford. Without blocking the slow lines. A bit of new track would be needed to get the existing MV platform into that and make 4.

Given that everything that carries passengers can be reversed by the driver walking to the other end these days, I don't see any justification for a Denbeigh north curve, unless significant freight flows are anticipated.

A reverse at, and calling at, Bletchley, adds about 5-10 minutes to the journey - on a short journey that's significant.
 

The Planner

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A reverse at, and calling at, Bletchley, adds about 5-10 minutes to the journey - on a short journey that's significant.
Depends how long the dwell is. The reversal is part of that. Best case would probably be a 3 minute penalty (1 minute dwell as part of a 4 minute reversal). Though I cannot see how a Bletchley stop is possible with a chord without a distant platform as I can't see the depot being moved, it would blow the scheme out of the water.
 

Bletchleyite

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Depends how long the dwell is. The reversal is part of that. Best case would probably be a 3 minute penalty (1 minute dwell as part of a 4 minute reversal). Though I cannot see how a Bletchley stop is possible with a chord without a distant platform as I can't see the depot being moved, it would blow the scheme out of the water.

Why would you need a Bletchley stop? The primary demand is to/from MKC. The fact that the line serves a station in a suburb that is almost exclusively used for London commuting (and weekend London day tripping) is the key reason why hardly anyone uses it.

Bletchley would still have a service to Bedford (albeit not to quieter intermediates) in the form of the direct Oxford-Bedford(-Cambridge) service once an hour, and could still reach intermediates by changing at Woburn Sands at which everything is likely to call.

Particularly with the coming of Universal and MK's huge hotel provision that is mostly pretty quiet at weekends (bar Silverstone weekend), MKC-Bedford would be a seriously popular service; you'd also get big growth in places along the way to commute to MK as it'd have far better public transport provision than any of the main mass of MK does, aside from those areas within walking distance of Wolverton or Bletchley station.

FWIW I really like Woburn Sands (even given its recent growth) and if I had a half hourly service direct to MKC with an early enough start and late enough finish might even consider living there. (A station with a decent service within walking distance is a non-negotiable for me).
 
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Snow1964

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Looking at the shaded area on this map, it appears to be nearer the East-West line than the Midland main line


However I don't know where park entrance will be, or if a station will be built on East West line, so which will actually be nearest in walking distance from station entrance to park entrance.

Of course London area has other theme parks, (Chessington, Thorpe Park, Legoland), but South Midlands, Cambridgeshire, Oxfordshire etc doesn't have any, so there is fair chance of more passengers arriving from north, west and east than ever come from London. Maybe those wondering about how Thameslink or EMR will serve it should be wondering more about services from Birmingham, etc, or day trips from holiday areas like Cotswolds
 

edwin_m

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However I don't know where park entrance will be, or if a station will be built on East West line, so which will actually be nearest in walking distance from station entrance to park entrance.

Of course London area has other theme parks, (Chessington, Thorpe Park, Legoland), but South Midlands, Cambridgeshire, Oxfordshire etc doesn't have any, so there is fair chance of more passengers arriving from north, west and east than ever come from London. Maybe those wondering about how Thameslink or EMR will serve it should be wondering more about services from Birmingham, etc, or day trips from holiday areas like Cotswolds
It's being reported that Universal will be enhancing Wixams and building a new station on EWR, so it is likely to have entrances on both sides. A short walk from the station to the entrance isn't necessarily a bad thing, as it provides some queueing space and spaces out the flow of people a bit as trains come in. There could be some kind of shuttle for those less able to walk.

I'd say the dominant flow of passengers will be from the south via Wixams. Tourists are more likely to be visiting London than elsewhere, and it will be an easy day trip just as somewhere like Bicester Village is now. They and Londoners will be less likely to have access to a car or want to use it if they do. The Midland Main Line also links to Luton Airport, with a good range of flights from across Europe. Clearly EWR provides access from a wider range of origins, but this will be a more dispersed demand and driving will be a better option for many from these regions.
 

Zomboid

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I think the main flow via rail at least will be from the London direction, but there's quite a lot to detain tourists at the Oxford end of EWR (Oxford itself, Blenheim, Bicester Village, some will probably visit Bletchley Park too), and I could forsee the new park being part of an itinerary which takes some of those in before or afterwards. Though if they're part of a package deal it'll be by coach.
 

The Planner

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Why would you need a Bletchley stop? The primary demand is to/from MKC. The fact that the line serves a station in a suburb that is almost exclusively used for London commuting (and weekend London day tripping) is the key reason why hardly anyone uses it.

Bletchley would still have a service to Bedford (albeit not to quieter intermediates) in the form of the direct Oxford-Bedford(-Cambridge) service once an hour, and could still reach intermediates by changing at Woburn Sands at which everything is likely to call.

Particularly with the coming of Universal and MK's huge hotel provision that is mostly pretty quiet at weekends (bar Silverstone weekend), MKC-Bedford would be a seriously popular service; you'd also get big growth in places along the way to commute to MK as it'd have far better public transport provision than any of the main mass of MK does, aside from those areas within walking distance of Wolverton or Bletchley station.

FWIW I really like Woburn Sands (even given its recent growth) and if I had a half hourly service direct to MKC with an early enough start and late enough finish might even consider living there. (A station with a decent service within walking distance is a non-negotiable for me).
And that's fine if that is the decision that is made, but the time penalty for the reversal is always going to near the top as an option as technically there is no cost.
 

DarloRich

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Depends how long the dwell is. The reversal is part of that. Best case would probably be a 3 minute penalty (1 minute dwell as part of a 4 minute reversal).
And there are now 2 reversing options at Bletchley: Low level and high level platforms.
Though I cannot see how a Bletchley stop is possible with a chord without a distant platform
I don't think you would add a Belthcley stop. However....... \/
as I can't see the depot being moved, it would blow the scheme out of the water.
This cant be "hand waved" away and is a major problem - where, between London and Rugby do you build a new electric depot? ( and how much does it cost?)
 
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