It's at least two years since the design involving the dogleg and two roundabouts on the A7 was first announced.
2 years isn't long in the Borders Railway space time continuum though.
It's at least two years since the design involving the dogleg and two roundabouts on the A7 was first announced.
What's happening where the B709 is crossed further South? It looks on Street View as though there was a station there.
What's happening where the B709 is crossed further South? It looks on Street View as though there was a station there.
The Scotsman said:Borders railway is a white elephant which will cost so much that it simply isn’t worth it, writes Brian Monteith
A project that is likely to be at least four years late and is approaching being five times its original projected cost, it is entirely fitting that the Borders railway is the spawn of the Holyrood parliament. More worrying still, and entirely in keeping with the management of the construction of their own temple to political self-indulgence, our MSPs have thus far not managed to exert any sort of control on what will become the most expensive railway in Scotland – if not Britain.
It is worth going back to those early days of 2000 when MSPs were still meeting at the Assembly Hall on the Mound and were dreaming of the many great projects they could unleash on an expectant public. There appeared to be no end to what could be done by the new Scottish Parliament – and re-opening a railway line from Edinburgh to Galashiels or thereabouts was an ideal contender.
For one thing it cemented the Labour–Liberal Democrat coalition, as Labour would get its pet schemes through (like the Glasgow Airport rail link) while the Liberal Democrats could claim the Borders railway as their great achievement.
Secondly, it would right what was portrayed as a great Tory wrong – the closing of the Waverley line, that most romantic but highly uneconomic direct route from Edinburgh to Gala, Hawick and on to Carlisle.
It was a moot point that the closure, recommended by the farsighted British rail chairman Dr Richard Beeching during the early 1960s, was actually carried out by Harold Wilson’s Labour government in 1969. The prevailing anti-Tory consensus did not want such truths to get in the way of any myth-making about the Scots-hating Tory party. Ironically, in an attempt to curry favour in the Borders and seem like all-round good guys, some Conservative MSPs, most vocally David Mundell, now an MP and Scotland Office minister, got behind the idea.
And so it left the drawing board, and an “independent study” commissioned by the Scottish Executive, Scottish Borders Council, Midlothian Council and Scottish Borders Enterprise reported that a half-hourly service from Tweedbank (almost but not quite Melrose) to Edinburgh could cover its operating costs and would have an estimated capital cost of £73 million.
By 2003 the cost was being quoted as between £125-£130m but by the time the proposal had been worked up and studied by a Parliamentary Bill committee and passed by 114 votes to one (that one being me) the cost had doubled to £155m, an ominous sign that might have woken politicians up to the dangers. These were, however, still the days of loadsamoney government, so almost everybody slapped their backs and looked forward to riding on the first trains in 2011.
Unfortunately the timetable and ticket price turned out to be beyond the scope of any fat controllers.
After 2007 the project was in the hands of the minority SNP government and the price had, within a year, risen to between £235-£295m and delivery was shunted into 2013. By 2010 the target completion had slipped again into 2014 and in 2012 it was put back further – to September 2015. When announced, this date was admitted to be “challenging” by the new minister in charge, Keith Brown. His arithmetic was no less challenging as his quoted figure of £294m construction conveniently left out some £54m costs already spent.
So let us just clear away the steam and soot surrounding the project. It is admitted to be four years late – but could be later – and standing today at £353m is approaching five times the original quoted cost – but could be costlier.
The truth is that the Borders railway will be costlier for there are aspects of the project that are being kept off the balance sheet; and there is absolutely no prospect that – as was claimed – the railway will pay its way. The Borders railway is continuing to bust its own budget and is set to become the most expensive and heavily subsidised line in Scotland if not the whole of the UK (the latter claim, while alarming, is irrelevant as it us Scots who will subsidise it).
Here is why. If the Borders railway had not been started there would have been no need to make engineering changes to Portobello junction, but because of it there were and these costs – in undisclosed millions – have not been credited to the project. Neither have extensions to platform lengths previously uncosted.
Secondly, if the railway had not gone beyond Gorebridge it would not have required a new bridge at Falahill. This bridge, not included in the costs of the project managers, Transport Scotland, is now on its third design (having previously involved significant realignment of the A720 and the addition of two roundabouts that have now been dropped in favour of a more expensive slew bridge).
The costs for this exercise have yet to appear – I suggest looking at road costs rather than the Borders railway project where it would cause embarrassment.
The difference of the economics of the railway travelling south of Gorebridge to Galashiels and Tweedbank is key – for the official projections admit that 70 per cent of the passenger numbers are on 7.9 per cent of the route between Edinburgh and Gorebridge. Had politicians been given a business case that split the viability of building a commuter railway to Gorebridge and then a second part to the heart of the Borders – as they should have – then they would have been able to see the white elephant they were proposing.
That the parliamentary Bill committee did not demand such information – as was its right – was an abrogation of those MSPs’ fiduciary duty to the public.
If we compare the number of passengers being carried per kilometre being run, with a UK average of 101, a Scottish average of 66, and the Borders railway at around 30, we can see how low the traffic will be. When we consider the low number includes commuters and that most trains will therefore be closer to empty, we can see that for all the cost, the Borders railway is Holyrood’s greatest folly yet.
Article in The Scotsman from Brian Monteith. He's never been a fan it is fair to say. I suppose the business cases of a shorter line with a 'borders park and ride' a few miles south of Gorebridge night have made more economic sense
Article in The Scotsman from Brian Monteith. He's never been a fan it is fair to say. I suppose the business cases of a shorter line with a 'borders park and ride' a few miles south of Gorebridge night have made more economic sense.
http://www.scotsman.com/news/brian-monteith-borders-railway-will-never-pay-1-3094739
Borders railway is a white elephant which will cost so much that it simply isn’t worth it, writes Brian Monteith
and they might be able to do the North of England a favour too - with another flagship rail project, namely EGIP, also nicely clocking up the delay minutes, the borders line could provide a home for some 142s as the intended Scottish sprinters woant be freed up in time where as the north of England wires will, in stark contrast be ready to go!
Sadly while the full version of EGIP is slightly behind schedule I would think that the Cumbernauld and Whifflet electrifications will generate enough DMUs to serve Borders Rail. We'll just have to miss out on the joys of 142s north of the Border :cry:
The money spent on the Borders line is as well spent on that than on say the Pentland Firth tidal power project for instance.
Great to see a major reopening project taking place.
I am sure it will be a huge success, and give weight for more schemes to follow.
Btw are the new over bridges being constructed for single (or double) track?
Is their a possibility of it being extended to Carlisle in the (very) distant future?
Your confidence is admired but not shared!
Hawick yes, Carlisle no chance. What would be the market for services south of Hawick?
An extension to Melrose, Newtown St Boswells and Hawick has the potential to fulfill these criteria, south of Hawick just doesn't generate enough traffic to pay for itself.
Cumbernauld line yes, so I believe, but the other? I haven't seen the slightest little Whiff of mast yet, but perhaps work has started at the Coatbridge end which I see less often.
Another alternative would be to open it to St Boswells and then on through Kelso and on to the ECML at Berwick this would then give people a chance of travelling south from the central borders by train. I would suspect that this option would be cheaper than opening the Waverley route through to Carlisle.
I am not to sure if it would be cost effective to open it all the way to Carlisle or even Hawick for that matter.
Another alternative would be to open it to St Boswells and then on through Kelso and on to the ECML at Berwick this would then give people a chance of travelling south from the central borders by train.
I am aware the it would mean a new station at Berwick but it would not be a major problem to build one south of the existing one the other side of the river.
I would suspect that this option would be cheaper than opening the Waverley route through to Carlisle.
One big problem of opening right to Carlisle is the the missing bridge at Hawick.
No chance of further extension any time soon - they've ticked a box by opening a "new" line into a previously unserved area - there's a lot of other reopenings/ extensions in the Central Belt that I'd prioritise ahead of an extended Borders line (given the size of some settlements there).
Alloa to Dunfermline?
GARL?
Paisley Canal extension?
Leuchars - St Andrews?
Thornton - Methil?
(etc)
No chance of further extension any time soon - they've ticked a box by opening a "new" line into a previously unserved area - there's a lot of other reopenings/ extensions in the Central Belt that I'd prioritise ahead of an extended Borders line (given the size of some settlements there).
Alloa to Dunfermline?
GARL?
Paisley Canal extension?
Leuchars - St Andrews?
Thornton - Methil?
(etc)